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3 Positive Signs for Bitcoin That Investors May Miss Due to Fear

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Bitcoin Lightning Network Capacity. Source: Newhedge

The market remains gripped by extreme fear. Many Bitcoin investors focus only on short-term price fluctuations and fixate on negative factors. As a result, they overlook strong underlying fundamentals.

Although the price may be correcting, the following data reinforces the case for a recovery.

Lightning Network Growth Despite a Sharp Bitcoin Price Decline

Bitcoin’s price has fallen sharply. However, its use as a payment network has reached an all-time high, as reflected in breakthrough data from the Lightning Network.

The Lightning Network is a Layer 2 protocol built on top of Bitcoin. It enables scalable, low-cost, and near-instant transactions, making it ideal for everyday payments.

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Data from Newhedge shows that Bitcoin Lightning Network capacity rose to a record high of 5,800 BTC in December. It remained above 5,600 BTC in early 2026.

Bitcoin Lightning Network Capacity. Source: Newhedge
Bitcoin Lightning Network Capacity. Source: Newhedge

Capacity (blue) represents the total amount of Bitcoin locked in Lightning Network payment channels. For the Lightning Network to function, participants must commit BTC to channels in advance. This committed BTC forms the network’s capacity.

Therefore, capacity determines the total value that can be transacted through the Lightning Network at any given time. An increase signals improvements in scalability, reliability, and user adoption.

In addition, a recent report from River revealed that the Lightning Network surpassed $1 billion in monthly transaction volume for the first time. It processed 5.22 million transactions. This growth indicates that businesses and exchanges are using Lightning to move real funds.

“While everyone is focused on Bitcoin dropping to $63K, something happened last week that nobody talked about. The Lightning Network crossed $1 billion in monthly transaction volume for the first time ever… Businesses are using it,” said Fernando Nikolić, a developer at Perception.

Sam Wouters, Director of Marketing at River, explained that most transactions involve transfers between exchanges, often with large amounts. He predicted that in the future, the emergence of AI agents could reduce the average transaction size when executing many small transactions.

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Hashrate Recovery Reflects Renewed Miner Confidence

Second, Bitcoin’s hashrate—an important metric that measures the network’s total computational power—has recovered to levels equivalent to September last year, when BTC traded above $100,000.

The strong V-shaped recovery in February shows that miners have returned with renewed confidence. It also strengthens the network’s security and resilience.

Bitcoin Hashrate. Source: Blockchain.com
Bitcoin Hashrate. Source: Blockchain.com

Miners appear to have moved past extreme negative sentiment. They have restarted operations after severe weather disruptions earlier in the year.

Historically, hashrate tends to rise alongside Bitcoin’s price. This pattern often signals a potential recovery in BTC.

The Sign of Strengthening Demand From US Investors

Third, the Coinbase Premium Index turned positive again in the final week of the month after remaining negative for a full month.

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The Coinbase Premium Index measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and on Binance. A return to positive territory reflects that US investors are willing to buy BTC at higher prices.

Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant.
Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant.

“This return to positive territory suggests a gradual improvement in demand from professional and institutional participants, particularly those based in the United States. This signal remains tentative and reflects ongoing investor caution. However, current price levels appear to be gradually becoming attractive again for professional participants,” commented Darkfost, an analyst at CryptoQuant.

These positive signals may appear faint amid prevailing pessimism. However, they could act as catalysts for a recovery.

Recent analysis from BeInCrypto emphasized that a breakout above the $67,394 resistance level would improve the negative short-term price structure. Such a move would lay the foundation for further upside.

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Crypto World

Can bulls break $2 as Bitcoin reclaims $65K?

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XRP price prediction: Can bulls break $2 as Bitcoin reclaims $65K? - 1

XRP price is back in focus as Bitcoin stages a sharp 24-hour rebound, reclaiming the $65,000 level after dipping to roughly $62,800 earlier this week.

Summary

  • Bitcoin has rebounded to $65,000 after defending the $62,800 support zone, shifting short-term momentum back to buyers.
  • XRP is consolidating near $1.36, with resistance at $1.45 and $1.60, while $2 remains a distant macro target.
  • The XRP/BTC pair remains in a broader downtrend, suggesting XRP is still underperforming Bitcoin despite improving momentum indicators.

Can XRP price follow Bitcoin’s $65K rebound?

The Bitcoin (BTC) price chart shows a strong impulsive bounce, with BTC climbing back above short-term consolidation levels and attempting to stabilize after the heavy sell-off on Feb. 23–24.

The recovery suggests buyers are defending the mid-$62K region, turning it into near-term support, while $66,000–$67,000 now stands as immediate resistance.

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XRP price prediction: Can bulls break $2 as Bitcoin reclaims $65K? - 1
Bitcoin price performance

Against this backdrop, the Ripple token (XRP) is trading near $1.36 on the daily chart, consolidating after a prolonged downtrend from above $2.20 in January. Price action shows XRP holding above the $1.30 support zone, with stronger structural support sitting near $1.20, the level that triggered the early-February bounce.

XRP price prediction: Can bulls break $2 as Bitcoin reclaims $65K? - 2
XRP price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

On the upside, XRP faces layered resistance at $1.45 and $1.60. A break above $1.60 would open the path toward $1.80, but bulls would still need a sustained breakout above that level before $2.00 comes into focus. At present, the $2 mark remains a distant macro resistance rather than an immediate target.

Indicators show tentative improvement. Balance of Power has flipped positive at 0.28, suggesting buyers are regaining short-term control, while the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has turned slightly positive at 0.03 — signaling mild capital inflows.

However, neither indicator reflects strong bullish momentum yet.

Meanwhile, the XRP/BTC pair remains in a broader downtrend, hovering around 0.0000209 BTC, indicating XRP is still underperforming Bitcoin. For a credible move toward $2, XRP would likely need not just Bitcoin stability above $65K, but also renewed relative strength against BTC.

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XRP price prediction: Can bulls break $2 as Bitcoin reclaims $65K? - 3
XRP remains in a broader downtrend against Bitcoin

For now, XRP’s outlook improves if $1.30 holds, but a decisive breakout above $1.60 is the real trigger bulls must clear before $2 enters the conversation. At current momentum, a move to $2 would likely require a broader market breakout led by Bitcoin clearing $67K.

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Bitcoin’s 200-Week Trend Line Is Next on the Horizon for Bulls

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Bitcoin's 200-Week Trend Line Is Next on the Horizon for Bulls

Bitcoin began an assault below the 200-week exponential moving average in fresh signs of upward BTC price momentum at the start of the US session.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit $67,000 at Wednesday’s Wall Street open as bulls shook off fresh US tariff pledges.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin enjoys a sustained rebound as BTC price action rises above $67,000.

  • A key long-term trend line now comes back into view, with the weekly close in focus.

  • Gold analysis reveals a developing RSI divergence with Bitcoin.

BTC price sets up rematch with 200-week trend

Data from TradingView showed daily BTC price gains hitting 4.5% as a local rebound continued.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin appeared unfazed by an announcement from U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer over 15% tariffs, which may become reality “within the coming days.”

“So right now, as we talked about, 10% is in place. There will be a proclamation raising it to 15% where appropriate,” he told Bloomberg.

Tariff headlines often spark volatility in crypto markets, with their impact nonetheless cooling in recent months.

Already enjoying respite from sustained selling pressure, BTC/USD thus approached a key long-term level in the form of the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA).

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As Cointelegraph reported, BTC price losing the level as support has become a classic bear market signal.

Commenting, trader and analyst Rekt Capital repeated analysis from earlier in February, suggesting that the upcoming weekly close should be above the 200-week EMA, now at $68,330.

BTC/USD one-week chart with 200 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Trader Castillo Trading also eyed weekly time frames, with a potential upside target near $74,500 — Bitcoin’s 2025 yearly lows.

Bitcoin teases RSI bullish divergence versus gold

As gold ranged above the $5,000 per ounce mark, meanwhile, crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe saw reason for Bitcoin bulls to stay optimistic.

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Related: Bitcoin ETF sell-off is ‘purification’ of bull case, investor says

“Interesting enough; There’s a strong bullish divergence on the daily chart of $BTC vs. Gold,” he told X followers on the day, referring to the relative strength index (RSI). 

“It’s not confirmed, but given the recent strength (today and yesterday) in Bitcoin, I think a slight rotation is starting. It’s about time.”

BTC/USD vs. gold one-day chart with RSI, volume data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Such a turnaround in capital flows would upend market opinions from earlier in the year.

As Cointelegraph reported, analysis even concluded that Bitcoin had lost its quest to be “digital gold” with its comedown from October 2025 all-time highs.