Crypto World
AI Agents Won’t Take Jobs if They’re Too Expensive
The high costs of deploying and running artificial intelligence agents in the workforce may prevent them from replacing humans who can do the same work at lower cost, say two multimillionaire tech investors.
Tech investor Jason Calacanis said on the All-In podcast on Saturday that he has been paying $300 per day for an Anthropic Claude AI agent to help run his businesses, despite the bot only operating at 10% to 20% of full capacity.
“When do tokens outpace the salary of the employee?” Calacanis questioned, referring to the usage allowance, called tokens, that users must purchase to use most AI models.
Social Capital CEO Chamath Palihapitiya said he had the same problem and that the cost of the models means they “need to be at least two times as productive as another employee.” He added he may need to set a budget on how much AI his business can use.
What Happens When AI Tokens Cost More Than Your Employees?@Jason:
“We, with our agents, hit $300/day per agent using the Claude API, like instantly. And that was doing, maybe, 10 or 20%. That’s $100k/year per agent.”@chamath:
“We’re getting to a place where we have to… pic.twitter.com/5N0rteNFts
— The All-In Podcast (@theallinpod) February 18, 2026
Tech investor Mark Cuban said on Thursday that the high cost of AI adoption in the workforce raised by Calacanis and Palihapitiya was the smartest counter-argument he’d seen to AI taking over jobs.
Cuban said that with the cost of tokens and maintenance, it could cost twice as much for eight Claude AI agents “to do what an employee does per day” for $1,200.
He questioned whether the AI bots were more than twice as productive as a human. or if there were “qualitative issues like morale, morality […] that can’t be quantified, that need to go into the decision.”
The threat of AI replacing large swathes of the workforce has caused uncertainty in recent years, as some companies have initiated layoffs, pointing to their use of AI making some jobs obsolete.
A research paper from Microsoft in July found that knowledge-based occupations, along with customer service and sales roles, were most at risk of being replaced by AI.
Related: China’s AI lead will shape crypto’s future
White House AI and crypto czar David Sacks is one of many who claim such fears are overhyped, saying in August that AI still needs to be prompted and verified to “drive business value.”
However, others, such as business consulting firm McKinsey & Co, have highlighted that the point of these AI agents is to automate tasks end-to-end, operating without constant human input.
Stablecoins could be agentic AI’s native currency
The use of AI agents has grown in popularity among crypto users, and stablecoin issuer Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire predicted last month that billions of AI agents will be transacting with stablecoins for everyday payments on behalf of users within five years.
Binance co-founder Changpeng Zhao said in January that crypto would end up being the native currency for AI agents due to blockchain being the “most native technology interface for AI agents.”
AI agents are already operating on several blockchains, such as Ethereum Layer 2 Base, where AIXBT, via the Virtuals Protocol, makes micropayments and facilitates trades on behalf of users, while ASI Alliance on Fetch.ai can manage assets and coordinate other economic tasks for users.
On Wednesday, OpenAI launched a new benchmark evaluating how well different AI models detect, patch, and even exploit security vulnerabilities found in smart contracts.
OpenAI said the research was useful as it is becoming more important to evaluate their performance in “economically meaningful environments.”
“Smart contracts secure billions of dollars in assets, and AI agents are likely to be transformative for both attackers and defenders,” it said.
Magazine: IronClaw rivals OpenClaw, Olas launches bots for Polymarket — AI Eye
Crypto World
Quantum Fears Is Not The Reason For Bitcoin’s Decline: Developer
Bitcoin’s recent sell-off isn’t because of quantum computing fear, because if that were the case, Ether would be soaring, says Bitcoin developer Matt Carallo.
“I strongly disagree with the characterization that Bitcoin’s current price is materially, because of some kind of quantum risk,” Carallo told journalist Laura Shin on the Unchained podcast on Thursday.
“If that were true, then Ethereum would be up substantially on Bitcoin,” he added. Ether (ETH) is down 58% since a major crypto market crash in early October, trading at $1,957 at the time of publication.
Carallo’s comments come as several Bitcoiners have argued that fears of quantum computing affecting the blockchain is partly why Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 46% from its October all-time high of $126,100 to now trade at $67,162, according to CoinMarketCap.

Ethereum zones in on quantum readiness
Some Bitcoin users have accused the blockchain’s developers of not moving quickly enough to make the network quantum-resistant, while the Ethereum Foundation has said it is taking measures to be ready.
In its protocol update on Wednesday, the Ethereum Foundation outlined long-term post-quantum readiness as part of its broader security initiative.
Carallo said that although quantum computing poses long-term risks to Bitcoin, market makers don’t see it as a pressing short-term threat, arguing that the Bitcoin community is just looking for a scapegoat.
“There are a lot of Bitcoiners who want to blame something, blame someone for lackluster performance.”
Carallo said that a more likely reason for Bitcoin’s price decline is that it is now “competing for capital” in a way it never has before against other technologies such as artificial intelligence.
“AI is super capital-intensive,” he said, adding that it is a “massive new investment class that is substantially competing for capital.”
“There’s a lot of interest in value accrual that will happen because of AI in traditional equities,” Carallo said.
Bitcoiners are of the opposite opinion
Not all Bitcoiners agree with Carallo, as Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said at Cointelegraph’s LONGITUDE event on Feb. 12, that the risk should be priced into Bitcoin until it becomes quantum-resistant.
“Today, you kind of have to start to discount the value of Bitcoin based on that risk until it’s solved,” Edwards said.
Related: Bitcoin bottom signal that preceded 1,900% rally flashes again
Meanwhile, entrepreneur Kevin O’Leary told Magazine in December that using quantum computing to crack Bitcoin may not be the most efficient use of the resources, and there is more upside in using the technology for areas such as medical research.
In May 2025, the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, updated the registration statement for its iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) to warn investors of the potential risks to the integrity of the Bitcoin network posed by quantum computing.
Magazine: Bitcoin may take 7 years to upgrade to post-quantum: BIP-360 co-author
Crypto World
Metaplanet CEO Defends Bitcoin Bet as Shareholder Base Hits Record High
TLDR:
- Metaplanet reports shareholder growth into the hundreds of thousands as its Bitcoin treasury strategy gains global reach.
- The company increased Bitcoin per share by over 500 percent in 2025 through accumulation and derivatives-based income.
- Management confirmed it will never sell Bitcoin and will rely on volatility-driven strategies to grow reserves.
- Executives acknowledged drawdowns but maintained that long-term fundamentals guide every treasury decision.
Metaplanet’s shareholder base has expanded to hundreds of thousands as the company doubles down on its Bitcoin-focused treasury strategy. The firm acknowledged market volatility while confirming that its accumulation plan remains unchanged.
Management pointed to rising global adoption and Bitcoin’s fixed supply as core drivers of confidence. The update comes as digital asset markets continue to test investor patience.
Metaplanet Bitcoin Strategy Centers on Long-Term Accumulation
Simon Gerovich credited the company’s rapid shareholder growth to sustained belief in its Bitcoin-centered model.
He said early support came from only a small group of investors. Today, ownership spans multiple regions, reflecting wider participation in crypto-linked equity strategies.
According to a statement shared on X, the firm increased its Bitcoin per share by more than 500 percent during 2025. The company framed this metric as its primary performance benchmark.
Management said every decision now prioritizes expanding that ratio over short-term price movements.
Gerovich also acknowledged that volatility has created difficult periods for shareholders. He noted that conviction does not remove the pain of drawdowns.
The company stressed that its outlook remains anchored in long-term fundamentals rather than short-term market cycles.
The executive added that criticism tends to intensify when Bitcoin prices decline. He argued that abandoning strategy during downturns usually leads to weaker long-term outcomes.
The company maintained that discipline matters most during unstable market conditions.
Derivatives and Market Outlook Shape Bitcoin Accumulation Plan
Metaplanet said its derivatives strategy allows it to acquire Bitcoin at more favorable levels than spot purchases alone.
The firm uses structured trading approaches designed to benefit from price swings. Management described this as a risk-managed method that supports consistent accumulation.
The company also highlighted income generation through derivatives as a core operational pillar. This approach aims to strengthen treasury growth without selling existing Bitcoin holdings.
Metaplanet reiterated that it does not plan to liquidate its reserves under any circumstances.
Gerovich shared a personal view that Bitcoin may have found support near the $60,000 level. He emphasized uncertainty and said no one can predict exact price direction.
Despite that view, the company said its strategy would not change regardless of short-term movements.
Metaplanet linked its long-term outlook to Bitcoin’s fixed supply and expanding global use. Management said these features support its belief in higher valuations over time. The firm stated that shareholder trust remains central to every operational decision.
The update was released through Gerovich’s verified social account and echoed the company’s broader messaging on transparency. It signals continued commitment to BTC accumulation amid fluctuating market sentiment.
The firm positioned itself among a growing group of Bitcoin treasury companies pursuing long-term exposure.
Crypto World
Crypto fear index falls to 10 as Strait of Hormuz tensions rise
Crypto fear index fell from 12 to 10 this week as Iran’s Hormuz drills raised oil and energy risk for BTC miners.
Summary
- Crypto fear and greed index dropped from 12 to 10 as Iran’s naval drills briefly closed the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil route.
- Roughly 20–25% of seaborne oil and about 20% of global petroleum consumption move via Hormuz, making closures a direct shock channel to energy prices.
- Higher energy costs can compress BTC mining margins and force some miners to scale back or sell holdings, tightening market liquidity during macro uncertainty.
Cryptocurrency market sentiment declined this week as geopolitical tensions escalated in the Middle East, with Iran conducting military drills that temporarily shut down the Strait of Hormuz, according to market data and reports.
The crypto fear and greed index dropped from 12 points on Monday to 10 points on Tuesday, reflecting subdued market sentiment that coincided with rising tensions between Iran and the United States.
The Strait of Hormuz serves as a critical passage for global oil transport, with approximately 31 percent of all crude oil transported across oceans passing through the waterway. Disruptions to this route typically result in higher oil prices and increased energy costs globally.
Elevated energy costs could impact Bitcoin mining operations, potentially forcing some miners to reduce operations or liquidate cryptocurrency holdings to cover operational expenses, according to market analysts. This represents one mechanism through which geopolitical events affect cryptocurrency valuations and market liquidity.
Iran’s temporary closure of the strait occurred as part of military exercises, though the action came amid heightened tensions with the United States. Iranian and U.S. officials met in Geneva, Switzerland, this week for diplomatic talks, according to reports.
The outcome of those negotiations could determine the trajectory of regional tensions and their impact on global markets. A breakdown in talks could signal escalation, while successful de-escalation might improve market sentiment, analysts noted.
Cryptocurrency trading volumes remained low this week as investors awaited key U.S. economic data releases. The U.S. Federal Reserve was scheduled to release durable goods data mid-week, with Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data expected Friday. Traders typically await such data to establish directional market positions.
Macro factors have influenced cryptocurrency markets in recent months, with risk-on assets including digital currencies showing sensitivity to geopolitical events and global economic conditions, according to market observers.
Crypto World
Vitalik: New Ethereum Design Targets Censorship With FOCIL and EIP-8141
TLDR:
- FOCIL and EIP-8141 allow smart wallet and privacy transactions to reach blocks without wrappers or intermediaries.
- Randomized includers reduce proposer dominance and increase censorship resistance for all Ethereum transactions.
- Rapid inclusion within one or two slots becomes likely even under hostile network behavior.
- Future FOCIL expansion could support most block transactions while preserving MEV auction mechanics.
Ethereum is moving closer to censorship-resistant transaction inclusion after new technical links emerged between FOCIL and EIP-8141.
The update focuses on ensuring that all transaction types reach the blockchain quickly, even under hostile network conditions. It also expands how smart accounts and privacy protocols interact with block production.
The development highlights Ethereum’s push to reduce proposer power while keeping network incentives intact.
How FOCIL and EIP-8141 Enable Direct Transaction Inclusion
According to a post shared by CEO Vitalik Buterin, FOCIL works alongside EIP-8141 to make smart accounts and privacy tools first-class transaction senders.
EIP-8141 builds on account abstraction by allowing smart wallets to submit transactions directly onchain without wrappers or intermediaries. These accounts can support multisignature controls, quantum-resistant keys, and gas sponsorship.
FOCIL then ensures that these transactions gain rapid inclusion through randomly selected includers each slot. In every block, up to 17 actors can include transactions, instead of relying on a single proposer.
Vitalik noted that this structure creates a path for almost guaranteed inclusion within one or two slots. It also allows privacy protocol transactions to enter blocks through the public mempool without relying on broadcasters or relayers.
Why FOCIL and EIP-8141 Weaken Proposer Control
FOCIL currently limits each inclusion list to about 8 kilobytes, keeping the design lightweight in its first phase. However, the roadmap allows these lists to grow and potentially carry most transactions in future blocks.
The approach mirrors some features of multiple concurrent proposer models without removing proposer-builder separation. Instead, it preserves the MEV auction for the final ordering role through ePBS.
Even if all proposer slots were captured by a hostile entity, transactions would still reach blocks through FOCIL includers. This reduces the ability of any single actor to block or discriminate against certain applications.
The design shifts power away from centralized block producers while keeping economic incentives stable. It also protects smart wallet operations and privacy protocol activity from selective exclusion.
Developers say the combination strengthens the base layer against censorship without forcing changes to existing transaction flows. Transactions from smart accounts can move through the public mempool and directly reach includers.
With these changes, ETH positions itself to support a wider range of transaction types under adversarial conditions. The update reinforces ongoing work on account abstraction and block inclusion guarantees.
Crypto World
Payward Acquires Magna to Expand Kraken Token Lifecycle Infrastructure
TLDR:
- Payward’s acquisition of Magna links token vesting and claims infrastructure directly into Kraken’s expanding product ecosystem.
- Magna will continue operating independently while its tools integrate with Kraken’s broader token issuance and distribution roadmap.
- The deal extends Kraken’s reach from trading into fundraising and long-term token lifecycle management services.
- Magna’s platform already supports over 160 projects with peak total value locked of $60 billion in 2025.
Payward has acquired Magna in a move that extends Kraken’s services beyond trading into token lifecycle management. The deal brings vesting, claims, and distribution tools into Kraken’s broader financial infrastructure stack.
Company leaders described the transaction as part of a push toward verticalized crypto services. Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed.
Payward Acquires Magna to Build End-to-End Token Infrastructure
The announcement came through a company blog post and was later echoed in a social update from Dave Ripley. The post confirmed that Magna will continue operating as a standalone platform while integrations progress.
Magna provides tooling for onchain and offchain vesting, token claims, custody workflows, and specialized staking features. These services support teams running complex token distributions and treasury operations.
According to Payward, the acquisition supports its expansion from trading infrastructure into fundraising, issuance, and long-term network management.
The company said Magna already serves teams managing billions of dollars in active token ecosystems.
Arjun Sethi framed the deal as an effort to avoid concentration around distribution and access. He said open, chain-aware infrastructure connects fundraising, liquidity, and distribution into one operating layer.
Kraken Expands Beyond Trading With Magna Integration
Kraken’s on-chain leadership linked the move to a broader strategy around issuer services. Calvin Leyon said the exchange aims to extend trusted infrastructure across the full token lifecycle.
Magna will initially focus on onboarding and security hardening while preserving its existing integrations. Payward said later phases will align the platform with token issuance and global distribution workflows.
Magna’s client base includes more than 160 projects, with peak total value locked reaching $60 billion in 2025. The company has positioned itself as a core operational layer for token generation events and ongoing community management.
Bruno Faviero stated that joining Kraken provides resources for deeper liquidity and global reach. He added that Magna will continue supporting teams across multiple chains and custody setups.
Payward confirmed that Magna customers can keep using current products without disruption. Product updates will roll out gradually as foundational integrations advance.
The acquisition strengthens Kraken’s role beyond exchange services into infrastructure for builders and issuers. It also signals growing demand for standardized tools that manage vesting, distribution, and compliance at s
Crypto World
Tom Lee and K3 Capital Increase ETH Accumulation Below $2,000
For some institutional investors, trading ETH below $2,000 represents an opportunity rather than a risk, despite growing concerns about expanding unrealized losses.
ETH has now entered its sixth consecutive month of decline. This marks the longest losing streak since the 2018 downtrend.
Tom Lee and K3 Capital Boost ETH Holdings as Staking Ratio Hits Record High
According to Lookonchain, Tom Lee — founder of Fundstrat and head of Bitmine — executed large ETH purchases during the third week of February.
On February 18 alone, Bitmine acquired an additional 35,000 ETH worth approximately $69.37 million. The purchase included 20,000 ETH, valued at $39.8 million, from BitGo, and 15,000 ETH, valued at $29.57 million, from FalconX.
K3 Capital also made a significant move. Data from OnchainLens shows that a wallet linked to the investment fund purchased 20,000 ETH worth $40.08 million from Binance.
These sizable transactions reflect strong long-term conviction in ETH, even as the asset trades below $2,000.
Data from CryptoRank indicates that long-term investors have increased Ethereum accumulation during the current downturn.
Meanwhile, data from CryptoQuant shows that inflows into ETH accumulation addresses over the past six months have reached the most active period in history. History shows that in 2018, ETH experienced seven consecutive months of decline before recovering.
“The whales and the largest banks are buying and building on ETH. These are the highest inflows into whale‑accumulation wallets we’ve seen. Meanwhile, retail has abandoned it and is calling for its failure. They’re tired and exhausted after watching the price chop inside this massive range for five years.” – Crypto investor Seth commented.
Another key milestone has emerged. For the first time in Ethereum’s 11-year history, more than half of the total ETH supply has been staked.
On-chain data platform Santiment reports that over 50% of the ETH supply now resides in the Proof-of-Stake (PoS) contract.
This contract functions as a one-way vault. Investors deposit ETH into staking to secure the network. Staked coins temporarily leave circulation and cannot be traded.
Staking activity has continued to rise, particularly during bearish cycles. As more ETH becomes locked, the liquid supply declines.
“When over 50% of the supply is locked in staking, liquid supply shrinks. Fewer coins are available for trading. That reduces sell pressure and makes the market more sensitive to new demand.” Validator Everstake stated.
Everstake clarified that 50.18% represents the total ETH held by the Ethereum PoS contract address, while the remaining 30% is active stake.
However, recent analysis by BeInCrypto does not rule out the possibility that ETH could decline further to $1,385 in the short term, amid the most negative market sentiment seen in years.
Even if that scenario unfolds, on-chain data suggests that large investors and institutions continue to position for a long-term recovery.
Crypto World
Expert: Crypto Was Built for Machines, Not Humans, and AI Is Proof
TLDR:
- Crypto built for AI agents treats rigid code as infrastructure instead of a flaw in financial design.
- Legal contracts favor human judgment, while smart contracts favor machine verification and execution.
- AI wallets bypass legacy systems that only recognize humans and registered institutions.
- Self-driving wallets could replace manual interaction with automated on-chain decision systems.
Crypto has long struggled with usability, security risks, and trust gaps for everyday users.
A new framework suggests those flaws reflect a deeper design choice rather than engineering failure. The argument centers on crypto built for AI agents, not for human decision-making. This shift reframes why smart contracts rely on rigid logic instead of legal judgment.
Crypto Built for AI Agents Challenges Human-Centered Finance
The idea gained traction after a commentary shared by Milk Road and attributed to Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner at Dragonfly. He highlighted that even crypto-native firms still rely on traditional legal contracts when making investments.
Despite having engineers capable of auditing smart contracts, Dragonfly continues to use courts and lawyers for enforcement.
Legal systems allow judges to apply context and reason when disputes arise. Code executes instructions without interpretation.
Humans instinctively trust law because it reflects centuries of social and institutional design. Banking infrastructure assumes mistakes, reversals, and mediation will occur. Smart contracts offer none of those safety valves.
For machines, those same traits become advantages.
An AI agent can verify addresses, audit logic, and simulate outcomes in seconds. Deterministic code removes uncertainty that legal frameworks introduce through jurisdiction and precedent.
Crypto Built for AI Agents Aligns With Machine-Only Transactions
The traditional financial system only recognizes humans, companies, and governments as valid participants. It has no category for autonomous software actors. That creates unresolved questions around liability, compliance, and sanctions when AI systems transact.
Crypto avoids those constraints by treating every participant as a wallet controlled by code.
An AI agent can hold funds and execute agreements without legal identity. This structure allows machine-to-machine commerce to operate without regulatory classification barriers.
Supporters of the thesis argue that features humans dislike are optimal for automation.
Long addresses, gas fees, and permissionless access form a strict specification layer. AI systems interpret these rules as predictable infrastructure rather than friction.
This logic underpins the concept of a “self-driving wallet.” Instead of users clicking through decentralized apps, they would issue goals to an agent. The agent would evaluate protocols and construct transactions automatically.
Machine-to-machine transactions already occur in limited forms across on-chain trading bots and automated liquidity strategies. The framework suggests those activities will expand into broader economic coordination. Humans would remain supervisors rather than operators.
The argument does not claim crypto failed its original mission. It proposes that crypto found its natural counterpart in autonomous software. Earlier technologies followed similar paths once complementary tools emerged.
Milk Road framed the thesis as a rethinking of long-standing crypto criticism.
Problems such as complexity and rigidity may reflect optimization for non-human users. In that view, crypto’s future lies in becoming financial infrastructure for artificial agents rather than consumer interfaces.
Crypto World
Crypto.com adds ISO 42001 to its AI, security certifications
Crypto.com gains ISO 42001 AI certification in 2026, expanding its regulated security and AI governance stack.
Summary
- Crypto.com is the first digital asset platform to earn ISO/IEC 42001:2023, the new global Artificial Intelligence Management System (AIMS) standard.
- The exchange already holds ISO 27001, 27701, 22301, PCI:DSS, SOC 2 Type 2, and Tier 4 NIST cyber and privacy assessments, building a layered compliance stack.
- Recent AI moves include partnerships with CoincidenceAI and Doblox plus the $70m ai.com acquisition, positioning Crypto.com to deploy autonomous AI agents under formal governance.
Crypto.com has become the first digital asset platform to secure ISO/IEC 42001:2023 certification, the international standard for Artificial Intelligence Management Systems, the company announced.
The certification places Crypto.com among the earliest companies globally to align its artificial intelligence governance with the newly issued AIMS framework, according to the announcement. The ISO/IEC 42001:2023 standard sets requirements for establishing, implementing, maintaining, and continually improving an Artificial Intelligence Management System within organizations. The International Organisation for Standardisation issues the certifications and defines global requirements under the framework.
Kris Marszalek, co-founder and CEO of Crypto.com, stated the recognition demonstrates the company’s continued focus on safety and security standards and supports efforts to maintain a trusted, secure environment as it expands its use of AI tools and technologies.
The ISO 42001 certification requires companies to manage risks linked to artificial intelligence, including ethical considerations, transparency, accountability, and the broader impact of AI systems on individuals and society. Cryptocurrency platforms are increasingly deploying AI systems for fraud detection, security monitoring, risk modeling, and customer protection, as well as automation tools to improve operational efficiency.
Jason Lau, Chief Information Security Officer at Crypto.com, said security and privacy are top priorities for the exchange. The new certification adds to a compliance structure that includes ISO/IEC 27001 for Information Security Management and ISO/CEI 27701 for Privacy Information Management. The company also holds ISO 22301 for Business Continuity Management and PCI:DSS compliance, maintains Service Organisation Control 2 Type 2 compliance, and has completed Tier 4 independent assessments under the NIST Cybersecurity and Privacy Frameworks.
The ISO 42001 certification follows several AI-related partnerships and investments over the past year. In November, the exchange integrated with CoincidenceAI, an AI-powered trading platform. In December, Crypto.com announced a partnership with Doblox, an AI-powered crypto trading assistant that allows eligible users in approved jurisdictions to buy and sell assets directly using insights generated by the platform.
Marszalek purchased the ai.com domain for $70 million in April 2025 in a transaction conducted entirely in cryptocurrency, according to reports. The ai.com platform later developed a consumer platform of autonomous AI agents designed to perform tasks for users, including stock trading, calendaring, and workflow automation. Marszalek described the platform as intended to serve as a “front door to AGI” through a decentralized network.
The certification comes as AI adoption accelerates across financial markets. Morgan Stanley has stated that AI technology capabilities will continue to improve exponentially and that demand will exceed supply of AI computing power. According to Gartner, global AI expenditure in 2025 reached approximately $1.5 trillion. Analysts found that Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft are planning to spend a combined $650 billion on AI infrastructure this year.
Regulators are also advancing the use of AI in oversight. South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service is considering upgrading its AI-enabled VISTA platform to detect manipulation of the cryptocurrency market in real time, according to reports.
Crypto World
Will Bitcoin Crash to $50K?
Bitcoin traded near $66,400 on February 19, holding steady after days of volatility. However, growing fears of a potential US military strike on Iran are adding fresh uncertainty to global markets, including crypto.
According to confirmed reports from multiple American media, US military officials have told President Donald Trump that strike options against Iran are ready and could be executed as early as this weekend.
US-Iran on the Brink of War as Bitcoin Holds Fragile Support
The Pentagon has already deployed additional aircraft and moved a second carrier strike group toward the Middle East. At the same time, Iran has conducted military exercises and warned it would retaliate if attacked.
These developments follow stalled nuclear talks and rising tensions over Iran’s uranium enrichment and missile programs.
The White House said diplomacy remains the preferred path, but officials also acknowledged that military action is under active consideration. This escalation has increased risk across global markets.
Bitcoin’s recent price action reflects this uncertainty. The asset has fallen sharply from its cycle highs above $100,000 and now trades in the mid-$60,000 range.
Short-term investors are selling at a loss, according to the Short-Term Holder SOPR indicator, which currently sits below 1. This means many recent buyers are exiting their positions under pressure.
At the same time, Bitcoin’s short-term Sharpe ratio has dropped to extremely negative levels. This shows that recent returns have been poor relative to volatility. Historically, such conditions appear during periods of market stress and fear.
If the US launches a strike this weekend, Bitcoin will likely react in two phases.
Bitcoin’s On-Chain Signals Suggest Panic May Trigger Volatility
First, markets may see an immediate sell-off. During sudden geopolitical shocks, investors often move into cash and safer assets. Bitcoin has historically behaved like a risk asset in the early phase of global crises. The SOPR data confirms that short-term holders are already weak and sensitive to fear.
However, the second phase could look different.
The Sharpe ratio suggests Bitcoin is already deeply oversold in the short term. Many weak hands have exited. This reduces the amount of forced selling that can still occur.
As a result, any sharp drop could be short-lived if buyers step in at lower levels.
In addition, geopolitical uncertainty can eventually strengthen Bitcoin’s appeal. Investors often turn to assets outside traditional financial systems when global tensions rise. This shift does not happen instantly, but it tends to develop over time.
For now, Bitcoin sits at a critical point. Fear remains high, and geopolitical risks are rising. But on-chain data suggests much of the damage from the recent correction has already occurred.
The next move will depend heavily on whether tensions escalate into actual military conflict—or ease through diplomacy.
Crypto World
Crypto PAC to spend $1.5m to unseat Rep. Al Green
Pro‑crypto PAC Protect Progress plans $1.5m spend next month against Rep. Al Green over his anti‑crypto voting record.
Summary
- Protect Progress, aligned with Fairshake, will pour $1.5m into ads and outreach in Texas’ Democratic primary to defeat Green.
- The PAC cites Green’s opposition to FIT 21, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, the GENIUS stablecoin bill, and his support for SAB 121 bank‑custody limits.
- Fairshake and affiliates control about $193m in cash from donors including Ripple, Coinbase and a16z, signaling deeper crypto lobbying in 2026 races.
A cryptocurrency-aligned super PAC announced plans to spend $1.5 million opposing Rep. Al Green in the Texas Democratic primary next month, according to a statement released by the organization.
Protect Progress, a federal super PAC affiliated with Fairshake, said the funds will support advertising and voter outreach aimed at unseating Green, a longtime member of the House Financial Services Committee who has voted against several major crypto-related bills.
The group cited Green’s opposition to measures including the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act currently under consideration, and the GENIUS stablecoin bill that passed earlier this year. The organization also pointed to his support for maintaining the SEC’s Staff Accounting Bulletin 121, which limited how banks custody digital assets.
“As a member of the Financial Services Committee, Representative Al Green has decided to try and stop American innovation in its tracks,” Fairshake spokesperson Josh Vlasto said in a statement.
Green, who has served in Congress since 2005, has voiced skepticism about cryptocurrency, warning of potential risks to the U.S. dollar’s global role and raising concerns about the sector’s economic and environmental impact, according to public statements. During a House hearing last year, he dismissed claims that regulators pressured banks to cut ties with crypto firms, calling “Operation Choke Point 2.0” a “made-up statement.”
Green is running in a reshaped Houston-area district following Texas redistricting and faces Democratic challenger Christian Menefee, who has received favorable assessments from crypto advocacy groups.
Fairshake and affiliated committees reported holding approximately $193 million in cash earlier this year, following fundraising from major industry players including Coinbase, Ripple and Andreessen Horowitz, according to federal filings. The spending reflects how crypto-backed political groups plan to engage in the 2026 election cycle, backing candidates supportive of digital asset regulation while opposing lawmakers viewed as hostile to the industry.
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