Crypto World
Analysts Rebuke Jane Street 10am Dump; Bitcoin Not Easily Manipulated
In online crypto circles, a persistent debate has emerged around whether a quantitative trading firm could nudge Bitcoin’s price at the moment U.S. markets open. Proponents point to a recognizable 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time pattern as potential evidence of coordinated selling, while critics caution that such a signal is not definitive proof of manipulation and may reflect broader market mechanics. The discussion intensified a day after a court-appointed administrator overseeing Terraform Labs’ affairs filed a suit against Jane Street, alleging insider trading tied to Terra’s May 2022 collapse. The intersection of high-speed trading, ETF liquidity, and opaque hedging strategies has kept traders watching the clock as BTC moves through daily cycles.
Key takeaways
- Allegations focus on a recurring 10:00 a.m. ET window at the market open, but analysts say this does not constitute conclusive manipulation or a sole driver of BTC’s price trajectory.
- Public filings show Jane Street’s exposure to BlackRock’s IBIT ETF, alongside stakes in Bitcoin mining firms, suggesting hedging and liquidity strategies rather than a simple directional bet.
- Industry voices argue that a single institution cannot control a global, liquid market as fragmented as Bitcoin, even if some trading strategies amplify volatility around open hours.
- Delta-neutral approaches—holding spot exposure while selling futures—are cited as a common method for capturing spreads rather than betting on direction, according to market observers.
- The discourse features a mix of on-chain data, trading analytics, and public posts from market observers, underscoring the complexity of disclosures and how net exposure can be obscured.
- Contextual factors such as geopolitical risk and competition for investor attention from AI-related equities are cited as broader drivers of BTC price moves beyond any single firm’s activity.
Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $IBIT
Sentiment: Neutral
Market context: The dialogue unfolds amid a broader crypto environment characterized by liquidity fluctuations, evolving ETF dynamics, and ongoing regulatory and macro influences shaping how traders price risk and opportunities.
Why it matters
The debate touches on the core questions facing crypto markets: how liquidity, disclosure, and algorithmic trading intersect with real-world price discovery. If a large player can influence the clock at which liquidity sweeps occur or how efficiently a spot market absorbs ETF-related flows, that could have implications for price integrity and market education. Yet the consensus among many analysts is that Bitcoin’s price formation remains a product of multiple forces, including macro risk appetite, capital allocation shifts, and competitive attention toward AI-driven tech and growth narratives.
At stake is trust in market transparency. For traders, the issue highlights the importance of understanding how publicly reported positions, hedges, and complex derivatives can mask net exposure. For regulators and exchanges, it underscores the need for clear, timely disclosures that help market participants distinguish legitimate liquidity activity from attempts to edge the price. For investors, the episode reinforces a prudent approach: interpret open-hour moves in the context of the broader market regime rather than attributing them to a single actor.
The discourse also intersects with ongoing legal and regulatory developments. The Terraform administrator’s lawsuit against Jane Street and the ongoing scrutiny of ETF structures like IBIT keep the conversation anchored in concrete questions about governance, disclosure requirements, and the boundaries of high-frequency market making in a frontier asset class. While proponents of a conspiracy narrative may highlight specific posts or data points, skeptics point to a broader pattern: markets are influenced by a constellation of participants with diverse strategies, and attribution to one firm oversimplifies the dynamics at play.
What to watch next
- Updates in the Terraform-related litigation against Jane Street, including any new filings or court rulings that may illuminate insider-trading claims.
- New or amended 13-F filings from Jane Street that shed light on hedging strategies, including positions in IBIT and mining-related equities, and any disclosed derivatives that could affect net Bitcoin exposure.
- On-chain and market data around the 10:00–10:30 a.m. ET window to assess whether any statistically significant patterns persist in the near term.
- Regulatory or industry guidance on disclosure practices for large ETF components and liquidity providers that could affect how market participants interpret “hidden” exposure.
- Monitoring broader market signals—geopolitical developments, liquidity conditions, and AI-sector performance—that could influence Bitcoin independently of any singular trading desk.
Sources & verification
- Court-appointed administrator filing related to Terra/Labs and Jane Street, alleging insider trading tied to the May 2022 collapse.
- Jane Street’s 13-F filings showing holdings in BlackRock’s IBIT ETF and stakes in Bitcoin mining companies such as Bitfarms, Cipher Mining, and Hut 8.
- Public posts and commentary from market observers, including Bechler’s discussions on 10:00 a.m. ET moves and the contention that IBIT-related hedging could conceal net exposure.
- CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno’s analysis on whether the described activity is unique to a single firm or part of delta-neutral trading patterns commonly used to capture spreads.
- Industry analysts’ assessments of whether a single actor can meaningfully drive BTC price given the structure and depth of the market, including critiques of the “10 a.m. dump” narrative by researchers such as Alex Krüger.
Market reaction and key details
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has long been a magnet for debate over who moves the market and when. In recent weeks, observers have spotlighted a recurring pattern that some traders interpret as a 10:00 a.m. ET “dump” coinciding with the U.S. market open. Proponents of the theory argue that a firm with deep liquidity, such as Jane Street, could deploy algorithmic sales to reap benefits from ETF inflows and to acquire spot Bitcoin at a discount on the open. A prominent critic of the narrative, however, notes that a single actor is unlikely to set the tone for a market as diffuse as Bitcoin’s, where liquidity is drawn from a wide array of exchanges and participants across multiple jurisdictions.
One thread of the debate centers on Jane Street’s disclosed exposure to the IBIT ETF, alongside positions in mining-related equities. Bechler, a crypto influencer, suggested that if Jane Street carries roughly $790 million in IBIT, the actual net Bitcoin exposure could be largely hedged away, masked by options and futures combinations rather than a straightforward long or short bet. This line of reasoning emphasizes that public filings reveal only a fragment of a much larger, more complex risk posture, where hedges might offset or even invert visible positions.
Yet others push back on the idea that the activity is unique to Jane Street. CryptoQuant’s Julio Moreno cautioned that many funds employ delta-neutral strategies—buying spot exposure while selling futures—to capture spreads without committing to a directional bet. In practice, these maneuvers can appear as divergent price actions around the open while serving to maintain neutral exposure in volatile markets. Moreno’s observations underscore a broader point: the mechanics of hedging frequently blend with price movement in ways that are not easily ascribed to a single firm’s choice of timing or size.
In the eyes of some researchers, even a credible pattern around the open does not translate into a bear-market engine powered by one institution. Nick Puckrin of Coin Bureau argued that Bitcoin’s price dynamics are inherently multifactorial, and a solitary actor—even one as large as Jane Street—cannot unilaterally dictate longer-term moves. He framed the conversation as part of a more nuanced reality: price action is shaped by geopolitical risk, global liquidity conditions, and the ongoing competition for attention among high-growth tech sectors, including AI.
As the market digests these viewpoints, the intersection of legality, disclosure, and market structure remains a live area of inquiry. The Terra-related lawsuit and the ongoing discourse about ETF flows highlight the need for transparency in how large players interact with both spot markets and derivative instruments. The broader takeaway is not a verdict on manipulation, but a reminder that the Bitcoin market’s depth and fragmentation make it resistant to easy explanations or simple villains.
Crypto World
GBP/USD Rises Following Bank of England Decision
Yesterday, the Bank of England’s decision had a significant impact on the pound, which strengthened against other currencies. Although the Official Bank Rate remained unchanged at 3.75%, the market was surprised by the “hawkish” signals, which sharply contrasted with the dovish statements made at the February meeting.
According to media reports:
→ None of the nine committee members voted to cut the rate;
→ The phrase stating that the rate “could be lowered in the future” was removed from the final statement.
Thus, the Bank of England indicated that it is ready to raise rates if the energy shock caused by the Middle East conflict accelerates inflation.
The hawkish stance contributed to the pound rising above the upper boundary of the channel in which it had been trading since late January.

Technical Analysis – GBP/USD
Movements in GBP/USD during March suggest that 1.3250 serves as an important support level. Additionally, following yesterday’s news, bulls may find support around 1.3374, where:
→ On 18 March, the market encountered resistance;
→ The upper boundary of the channel was broken yesterday.
On the other hand, the long upper wick on yesterday’s candle (as indicated by the arrow) points to bear activity. Even if the bullish momentum has not yet exhausted itself, further gains in GBP/USD may face resistance at higher levels, including:
→ Psychological level at 1.3500;
→ The high of 10 March;
→ The upper boundary of the expanded double red descending channel.
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Crypto World
XPeng (XPEV) Stock Climbs as Chinese EV Maker Achieves Maiden Quarterly Profit
Key Highlights
- XPeng achieved its maiden quarterly net profit of 383.2 million yuan (approximately $55.5M) during Q4 2025
- Quarterly revenue surged 38% compared to the prior year, reaching 22.25 billion yuan and exceeding Wall Street expectations
- Gross profit margin expanded to 21.3%, representing a significant improvement from the 14.4% recorded one year prior
- Shares gained roughly 2% during early market hours; American Depositary Receipts advanced 0.8% to $19.30 in pre-market activity
- China’s three leading emerging electric vehicle manufacturers — XPeng, NIO, and Li Auto — have all crossed into profitability territory
The Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer shipped 116,249 vehicles during the fourth quarter, establishing a new company benchmark, although falling short of its previously issued guidance range of 125,000–132,000 units. Despite the delivery miss, the financial outcome caught Wall Street off guard — market analysts had anticipated a net loss approaching 200 million yuan.
Across the entire 2025 fiscal year, the company’s net loss contracted dramatically to 1.14 billion yuan compared to 5.79 billion yuan recorded in 2024. Annual revenue exploded 88% higher to reach 76.72 billion yuan.
The margin expansion narrative proves equally compelling. Fourth-quarter gross margin reached 21.3%, climbing from 14.4% in the comparable period last year. Full-year gross margin registered at 18.9%, a substantial improvement over 2024’s 14.3% figure. Company executives attributed the margin gains to persistent cost optimization initiatives and an enhanced vehicle portfolio mix.
The earnings surprise arrives amid an intense pricing battle within China’s electric vehicle sector. Competitive pressure from domestic rivals has remained fierce, and XPeng shares remain down 12% across the trailing twelve months despite Friday’s positive momentum.
NIO announced its own maiden quarterly profit just last week, supported by record-breaking sales figures. Li Auto, which became profitable before its peers, delivered a modest profit despite experiencing softer sales volumes — highlighting that achieving profitability doesn’t guarantee consistent success in China’s saturated automotive landscape.
Beyond vehicle sales, XPeng has been expanding its technological footprint. The automaker recently introduced its VLA 2.0 autonomous-driving platform, developed using proprietary silicon, with worldwide rollout scheduled for 2027.
The company also intends to introduce three robotaxi variants this year targeting ride-sharing operations throughout China, with pilot programs anticipated to commence later in 2026.
Expansion Into Robotaxis and Humanoid Robotics
XPeng has been strategically repositioning itself as what management describes as a “physical AI company,” advancing into autonomous taxi services and humanoid robotics alongside its primary electric vehicle operations. While these represent longer-term strategic initiatives, they’re beginning to materialize with concrete implementation schedules.
First-quarter 2026 projections, however, signal a near-term deceleration. The company anticipates delivering between 61,000 and 66,000 vehicles, generating revenue in the range of 12.20–13.28 billion yuan. This guidance represents a 16% to 23% contraction compared to the corresponding period in the previous year — marking a considerable retreat from fourth-quarter performance levels.
First Quarter 2026 Outlook Indicates Sequential Slowdown
The subdued Q1 delivery projection mirrors customary seasonal patterns in Chinese automotive demand following robust year-end purchasing activity. XPeng management has not indicated any fundamental business concerns, characterizing the softness as consistent with typical first-quarter dynamics.
XPeng American Depositary Receipts traded 0.8% higher at $19.30 during premarket hours on Friday in response to the earnings announcement.
Crypto World
S&P 500 Analysis: Index Falls to Year-to-Date Low
As the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows, the index dropped below the 6,570 level yesterday for the first time in 2026. As a result, the equity market may be on track to post a fourth consecutive weekly decline, closing below its 200-day moving average.
Why Are Equities Falling?
Bearish sentiment is likely being driven by the ongoing military conflict in the Middle East:
→ Elevated oil prices are fuelling expectations of a renewed inflationary surge. This suggests the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer (as reinforced by Powell’s remarks this week), putting pressure on both the economy and corporate performance.
→ Investors are also concerned that the United States could become drawn into a prolonged conflict with Iran, which may pose significant challenges for the country, despite efforts by officials to calm market sentiment.
According to Trading Economics:
→ US President Donald Trump stated that the US is not considering deploying ground troops to the Middle East;
→ Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that the Iranian regime could face internal collapse;
→ Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel may refrain from further strikes on Iran’s energy infrastructure, suggesting the conflict could end sooner than expected.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500
On 11 March, we analysed the index chart and noted that the lower boundary of the broader channel was acting as support (point A), while the median line served as resistance (as indicated by the arrow).
Since then, selling pressure has led to:
→ the formation of a steeper descending trendline (R2);
→ a move down to a new low at point B, below the previously mentioned channel boundary.
From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, it is reasonable to assume that price has entered a Sell-Side Liquidity zone. If so, traders should consider the possibility that the recent bearish breakout below the channel may prove to be false. In that case, the S&P 500 could stage a recovery in the coming sessions, potentially moving back towards the R2 trendline.
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Crypto World
Planet Labs (PL) Stock Surges 22% After Hours Following Strong Q4 Earnings
Key Highlights
- Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue reached $86.8M, surpassing Wall Street’s $78M forecast
- Adjusted EBITDA posted $2.3M versus consensus expectations of a ~$6M loss
- Fiscal 2027 revenue outlook of $415M–$440M significantly exceeded the $380M analyst consensus
- Shares surged 22% in after-hours trading to $32.97 following an 8.7% regular session gain
- The stock has climbed 524% over the trailing twelve months
Planet Labs PBC delivered impressive quarterly results on Thursday, triggering a substantial rally in extended-hours trading.
The satellite imaging firm posted fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $86.8 million, comfortably exceeding the Street’s $78 million projection compiled by FactSet.
The company’s adjusted EBITDA registered at $2.3 million, a notable outperformance compared to the anticipated loss of approximately $6 million. The results marked a decisive win on both top and bottom lines.
Defense-related entities accounted for roughly 60% of fiscal 2026 revenue. Another 25% originated from other government agencies, while commercial customers made up the remainder.
Chief Executive Will Marshall characterized the period as a “transformational year.” Fourth-quarter revenue expanded 41% compared to the prior-year period, while the company closed the fiscal year with a $900 million backlog — representing 79% year-over-year growth.
Shares had already advanced 8.7% during Thursday’s regular session, while the S&P 500 declined 0.3% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.4%.
In after-hours action, PL surged an additional 22% to reach $32.97. The move pushed the stock’s twelve-month return above 524%.
Prior to the announcement, options activity suggested bullish sentiment. Call volume significantly outweighed put volume, indicating traders were positioning for positive news ahead of the release.
Those directional bets proved prescient as the actual results validated the optimistic positioning.
Forward Guidance Exceeds Expectations
For fiscal 2027, Planet Labs issued revenue guidance ranging from $415 million to $440 million. The analyst community had been modeling $380 million, representing a substantial upside surprise.
The company’s EBITDA outlook for fiscal 2027 came in around $5 million — trailing the $16 million Wall Street consensus. However, investors appeared unconcerned with the profitability metric.
Revenue trajectory remains the primary focus for market participants, and the forward guidance satisfied that appetite.
Twelve months ago, Street estimates for fiscal 2027 revenue stood near $330 million. That figure has now climbed toward $430 million.
Business Catalysts and Growth Drivers
Planet highlighted several operational achievements in its earnings release. The company successfully deployed 40 satellites throughout the fiscal year and entered into a research and development collaboration with Google focused on orbital data center technology.
The firm also referenced a recently secured satellite services agreement with Sweden as evidence of continued commercial momentum.
Through Thursday’s market close, PL shares had appreciated 25.81% year-to-date, before factoring in the after-hours movement.
Average daily volume runs approximately 11.5 million shares. Technical analysis indicators were flashing buy signals entering the earnings announcement.
The company commanded a market capitalization of $8.4 billion prior to the extended-session rally.
Trading at $32.97 in after-hours activity, the stock price reflected strong investor approval of the quarterly performance — especially the revenue outperformance and forward outlook.
Crypto World
Gemini Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Alleged Investor Misleading After IPO Strategy Shift
TLDR:
- Gemini’s stock has collapsed over 80% from its $32 IPO price, closing at $6.01 on Thursday after the lawsuit was filed.
- A New York class-action suit alleges Gemini hid a major strategy overhaul from investors ahead of its September 2025 IPO.
- Gemini’s net loss widened to $140.8 million in Q4 2025, with full-year losses reaching $582.8 million for the year.
- Under Gemini 2.0, the firm is exiting the UK, EU, and Australia markets while cutting roughly 30% of its total workforce.
Gemini is facing a class-action lawsuit filed in New York federal court. The complaint accuses the cryptocurrency exchange and its founders of misleading investors around its 2025 initial public offering.
Plaintiffs allege that Gemini concealed a major strategic overhaul before going public. The company’s stock has since dropped over 80% from its IPO price.
Meanwhile, Gemini reported widening losses and confirmed workforce cuts reaching approximately 30% since the start of 2026.
Lawsuit Targets IPO Disclosures and Executive Departures
The complaint was filed on Wednesday in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York. It names Gemini co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss as defendants, alongside the company. The suit covers investors who purchased shares during the September 2025 IPO through mid-February 2026.
Plaintiffs argue that Gemini’s IPO offering documents painted a misleading picture of the business. Specifically, the documents portrayed Gemini as a growing exchange focused on expanding its user base and international reach. However, the company allegedly withheld plans for a major strategic change at that time.
The complaint also points to the departure of several senior executives as evidence of internal disruption. Those who left include Gemini’s chief financial officer, chief operating officer, and chief legal officer. These exits occurred around the same period as the strategic pivot announcement.
In addition, the lawsuit ties the stock’s sharp decline to these undisclosed plans. Gemini’s stock opened at $32 on its Nasdaq debut and has since fallen to around $6. That represents a decline of more than 80% in just a few months.
Gemini 2.0 Strategy Introduces Prediction Markets and Market Exits
In early February 2026, Gemini announced its “Gemini 2.0” strategy, which marked a clear shift from its earlier direction.
The company said it would focus on building a prediction market product going forward. This move came as a surprise to many investors who expected continued exchange growth.
As part of the restructuring, Gemini also announced it would exit key international markets. These include the United Kingdom, the European Union, and Australia — regions it had previously targeted for expansion. The decision reversed the international growth narrative that featured in its IPO materials.
Alongside the strategic changes, Gemini disclosed its fourth-quarter 2025 financial results. Revenue rose 39% year-over-year to $60.3 million, though net losses widened sharply to $140.8 million from $27 million a year earlier.
In a shareholder letter, Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss confirmed that the workforce reduction has now reached “roughly 30% since the start of the year.” For the full-year 2025, net losses reached $582.8 million compared to $158.5 million in 2024.
Furthermore, Gemini’s trading volume remains far below major competitors. In February, Gemini recorded approximately $2.14 billion in monthly exchange volume.
By comparison, Coinbase posted $68.99 billion and Binance reported $334.86 billion during the same period. The Block has reached out to Gemini for comment on the lawsuit.
Crypto World
Gemini Lawsuit Over Post-IPO Strategy Shift as Shares Fall
A New York class-action lawsuit has been filed accusing Gemini Trust Co., its co-founders Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss, and senior executives of misleading investors around the company’s September initial public offering. The complaint, brought in Manhattan federal court, centers on how Gemini presented its business as a growing crypto exchange expanding its user base and international footprint, while allegedly pivoting soon after to a prediction-market-centric model.
Shareholder plaintiff Marc Methvin contends that the IPO documents painted Gemini’s core product as the driver of growth, even as the firm embarked on a dramatic strategic shift. The suit notes public statements in November that Gemini was advancing its international footprint and entering key global markets, claims that conflict with the IPO narrative. The plaintiffs are seeking a jury trial and damages for investors who bought shares at what the complaint describes as “artificially inflated prices” in the wake of the IPO.
Key takeaways
- The suit alleges Gemini misrepresented its core business during the IPO while pivoting to a prediction-market focus afterward, an initiative labeled “Gemini 2.0.”
- In February, Gemini announced a 25% workforce reduction and exit from the European Union, United Kingdom, and Australian markets as part of the pivot.
- Executive turnover followed the pivot, with the departure of the chief financial officer, chief operations officer, and chief legal officer amid rising operating expenses.
- Gemini’s stock performance has been bleak since its September IPO, slipping from a $28 offering price to around $6, with a February low near $5.82.
- Despite the stock-hit narrative, the company reported a 39% year-on-year rise in Q4 revenues to $60.3 million, beating consensus estimates of about $51.7 million.
Lawsuit alleges misrepresentation around IPO and pivot
The complaint filed in Manhattan federal court asserts that Gemini’s public filings framed the exchange’s growth trajectory around user acquisition and international expansion, presenting a picture of expansion as the “core product.” However, in February, the company’s leadership publicly pivoted to a prediction-market business model, beginning a broad strategic rethink that included cost-cutting and market exits. The plaintiffs point to a November update in which Gemini executives touted progress on its international expansion and commitment to entering “key global markets.”
The filing argues that this pivot, coupled with the IPO’s optimistic portrayal, misled investors and created a mismatch between the company’s public statements and its actual strategic direction. While the suit does not specify individual misstatements beyond the described shift, it frames the post-IPO pivot as a fundamental change in business model that investors relied upon when valuing the stock.
Pivot and cost-cutting drive stock decline
Gemini’s strategic shift, announced in February, included the decision to pivot away from certain markets and reduce its workforce by about a quarter. The company also disclosed its intention to exit the European Union, United Kingdom, and Australian markets. In the same period, Gemini’s leadership—specifically the chief financial officer, chief operations officer, and chief legal officer—left the firm as operating expenses rose by roughly 40% year over year, according to the lawsuit.
These structural changes coincided with a sharp downturn in Gemini’s stock price. The shares, which began trading at $28 in September, briefly touched $40 in the weeks after the IPO but subsequently tumbled to multi-year lows. By February 20, the stock hovered around $5.82, marking an all-time low and underscoring the tension between the company’s pivot strategy and investor expectations.
Even as investors grappled with the pivot narrative, Gemini reported quarterly results that offered a contrasting signal. The company disclosed a Q4 revenue of $60.3 million, up 39% from the prior year and ahead of consensus estimates of about $51.7 million, suggesting some demand resilience despite the strategic upheaval. This divergence between revenue momentum and equity-market performance has heightened questions about how much value investors can place in the pivots and the longer-term path to profitability.
What comes next for Gemini and its investors
The lawsuit adds to a broader set of headwinds facing Gemini as it navigates regulatory scrutiny and ongoing market volatility for crypto-related ventures. For investors, the key questions revolve around whether the pivot to prediction markets is sustainable, how management will reconcile the cost base with revenue growth, and what governance changes might follow as the company refines its strategic direction.
Observers will be watching how Gemini communicates updates on its business model, the status of its international operations, and the trajectory of profitability in the quarters ahead. The outcome of the litigation, alongside market reaction to forthcoming earnings and strategic disclosures, will play a significant role in shaping sentiment around the platform’s ability to weather a tightening crypto landscape.
Crypto World
Coinbase (COIN) Stock: Introduces Round-the-Clock Stock Perpetual Futures Trading
Key Highlights
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Coinbase introduces around-the-clock US equity perpetual futures with leverage up to 20x.
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Access major stocks including Apple, Microsoft, and Tesla alongside leading ETFs continuously.
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Both retail users and institutional players benefit from cross-margin functionality spanning cryptocurrency and equity positions.
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Around-the-clock availability enables immediate responses to international market developments.
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Platform advances toward its ambitious goal of becoming the “Everything Exchange” for diverse asset classes.
Coinbase (COIN) finished trading at $202.91, registering a 0.31% increase, following the announcement of stock perpetual futures designed for international market participants. The exchange now provides continuous access to prominent US equities and exchange-traded funds throughout every hour of every day. This strategic initiative bolsters Coinbase’s standing within the global derivatives landscape while merging cryptocurrency and conventional asset trading within a unified framework.
This innovative offering grants market participants leveraged, synthetic positions in American equities without interruption. It functions through Coinbase’s proven perpetual futures infrastructure featuring enterprise-level risk management systems. The launch addresses increasing international appetite for capital-efficient pathways to US stock market exposure.
Coinbase accommodates individual and professional traders through sophisticated trading interfaces for the newly launched stock perpetuals. Users can coordinate their positions leveraging cross-margining capabilities spanning perpetual contracts and actual holdings. The product suite features leverage ratios reaching 10x for individual equities and 20x for exchange-traded funds, expanding tactical trading opportunities.
Leading Tech Giants and Popular ETFs Anchor Launch Portfolio
Coinbase offers perpetual futures contracts on Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Meta, and Tesla as foundational instruments. The platform also includes exchange-traded funds like SPY and QQQ in jurisdictions with appropriate regulatory clearance. This curated selection prioritizes highly liquid instruments and enables sustained market engagement across key industry sectors.
Stock perpetuals for these instruments facilitate trading during weekends and market holidays, extending beyond conventional 24/5 US equity market hours. The infrastructure utilizes USDC settlement through blockchain technology, optimizing transaction efficiency for international participants. Coinbase intends to progressively broaden its offerings to encompass additional stocks, market indices, and commodity products.
The availability of ETFs facilitates sophisticated portfolio construction and risk mitigation strategies for professional trading desks. Uninterrupted market access empowers participants to capitalize on macroeconomic announcements and international developments instantaneously. Coinbase deploys its established cryptocurrency derivatives technology to uphold market quality and prudent risk parameters.
Market Impact and Global Trading Accessibility
This product release establishes Coinbase among the pioneering centralized platforms delivering continuous stock perpetual futures availability. International market participants obtain exposure without substantial capital requirements or geographic trading barriers. The service creates a connection between decentralized finance concepts and regulated marketplace structures within an integrated environment.
Professional institutions leverage cross-collateralization advantages and dynamic risk oversight through Coinbase’s derivatives ecosystem. Individual traders engage via the Advanced UI or programmatic APIs, consistent with the platform’s accessibility objectives. The perpetual trading model facilitates swift responses to price movements spanning both digital asset and equity sectors.
Coinbase’s strategic expansion demonstrates a comprehensive ambition to construct a comprehensive trading destination for both innovative and established asset categories. It advances the organization’s overarching objective of creating the “Everything Exchange” housing all significant tradable instruments. This development could fundamentally transform how global market participants engage with American equities through continuous trading paradigms.
Crypto World
Goldman Sachs Picks 8 Best Oil Stocks as Middle East Tensions Push Crude Prices to $106
Key Takeaways
- Investment bank Goldman Sachs identifies eight energy stocks—five producers and three refiners—as preferred investments amid Middle East turmoil
- Brent crude prices have jumped 56.3% in the last month, reaching $106.91 per barrel
- ConocoPhillips expected to achieve 20-25% compound annual growth in free cash flow per share between 2025-2030
- Three refining companies—Valero, HF Sinclair, and Marathon Petroleum—receive Buy ratings from Goldman analysts
- Year-to-date performance shows Valero climbing 49.6%, Marathon advancing 45.7%, and HF Sinclair gaining 32.6%
Goldman Sachs has identified eight standout oil stocks spanning both production and refining sectors as preferred investment opportunities, driven by escalating Middle East tensions and supply chain disruptions that have propelled crude prices significantly higher.
Over the past month, Brent crude has experienced a dramatic 56.3% increase, trading at $106.91 per barrel. Ongoing attacks on Red Sea shipping routes have compelled the United States and European nations to release strategic petroleum reserves in an effort to moderate global crude pricing.

Goldman analyst Neil Mehta assigned Buy ratings to the firm’s three preferred refining stocks: Valero Energy, HF Sinclair, and Marathon Petroleum.
Within the production segment, Goldman identifies attractive risk-reward opportunities at Brent prices ranging from $70 to $75 per barrel. The investment bank has elevated price targets throughout its U.S. Majors and Canadian energy coverage universe.
ConocoPhillips emerges as Goldman’s premier producer recommendation. Analysts forecast compound annual growth of 20-25% in free cash flow per share spanning 2025 through 2030, supported by four significant projects such as Willow and Port Arthur. Goldman calculates approximately $9 billion in additional free cash flow generation by decade’s end.
Chevron also features prominently on Goldman’s list, with projections indicating at least $12 billion in stock repurchase activity during 2026. New project launches in Guyana and the Gulf of America are anticipated to fuel continued expansion.
Refining Sector Gains from Margin Expansion and Demand Growth
Regarding refining operations, Goldman gravitates toward enterprises experiencing margin improvements, especially along the West Coast where crack spreads have widened due to constrained product stockpiles and robust gasoline consumption.
Valero Energy tops Goldman’s refining selections. Analysts highlighted its Gulf Coast facilities, which handle a minimum of 240,000 barrels daily of Venezuelan crude oil. Valero delivered fourth-quarter earnings of $3.82 per share against $30.37 billion in revenue. The corporation intends to distribute 40-50% of adjusted cash flow via dividends and repurchases, with Goldman anticipating roughly $4.9 billion returned during 2026.
HF Sinclair maintains its position as a Goldman preferred choice notwithstanding recent leadership transitions. The enterprise recently initiated a $55 million enhancement at its El Dorado facility, projected to increase heavy crude processing capacity by 10,000 barrels daily. Goldman characterizes the stock as trading below intrinsic value.
Marathon Petroleum completes the refining trio. Goldman forecasts $4.6 billion in shareholder returns throughout 2026. Marathon disclosed fourth-quarter earnings of $4.07 per share, surpassing analyst expectations. The company targets 12.5% dividend expansion over a two-year period.
Canadian Energy Producers Attract Attention
Among Canadian energy names, Cenovus Energy presents the strongest total return opportunity per Goldman’s analysis, with initial production from West White Rose anticipated toward the conclusion of the second quarter 2026.
Suncor Energy has delivered approximately 65% returns over the trailing twelve months. Goldman maintains an optimistic outlook, emphasizing its integrated operational structure and autonomous hauling truck implementation to reduce operational expenses.
Canadian Natural Resources provides a dividend yield hovering around 4%. Goldman projects annual production at approximately 1,632 thousand barrels of oil equivalent daily for the full year.
Crypto World
SEC Chair Paul Atkins Says Crypto Markets Deserve Long-Overdue Regulatory Clarity
TLDR:
- SEC Chair Paul Atkins confirms most cryptocurrencies are likely not securities under federal law.
- Only tokenized traditional securities remain subject to SEC oversight under the new interpretation.
- The SEC and CFTC signed a memorandum of understanding to coordinate digital asset regulation.
- The CLARITY Act passed the House in July 2025 but awaits a Senate Banking Committee markup.
Crypto markets in the United States may be on the verge of a major regulatory shift. SEC Chair Paul Atkins made that clear during a Thursday speech at the Practising Law Institute.
He said crypto markets and millions of Americans deserve long-overdue clarity from regulators. For over a decade, investors operated without a defined rulebook.
The agency previously leaned on enforcement rather than guidance. Atkins now says that approach is changing, and a new framework is taking shape.
A New Regulatory Direction Backed by Formal Interpretation
The SEC released an interpretative notice earlier this week addressing digital assets directly. The notice marked the agency’s clearest public statement yet on how federal securities laws apply to crypto.
Atkins told attendees at the DC Blockchain Summit that most cryptocurrencies are likely not securities. Only traditional securities that have been tokenized remain subject to the agency’s oversight.
The chair went further by naming the asset classes that fall outside the SEC’s jurisdiction. Digital commodities, digital tools, digital collectibles, NFTs, and stablecoins typically do not fall under the agency’s purview.
This distinction removes a long-standing source of confusion for developers and investors alike. Market participants can now assess their exposure to SEC oversight with more confidence.
Atkins also addressed the public through social media following his remarks. He wrote that SEC rules must be clear enough to guide markets and flexible enough to accommodate innovation.
He added that those rules must also be firm enough to protect investors from harm. That three-part standard reflects the agency’s commitment to balancing growth with accountability.
The SEC also signed a memorandum of understanding with the CFTC last week. This agreement establishes a coordinated approach between the two regulatory bodies.
The SEC will focus on securities law as it applies to crypto assets. The CFTC is positioned to take on broader authority over digital commodity markets going forward.
Congress Holds the Key to a Permanent Crypto Framework
The SEC’s interpretation is not meant to be the final word on crypto regulation. Atkins described it as a bridge while Congress works to advance formal market structure legislation.
A bill known as the CLARITY Act passed the House of Representatives in July 2025. As of Thursday, the Senate Banking Committee had not yet scheduled a markup for the bill.
Atkins made clear that the agency would defer to a congressional bill once passed into law. The current interpretation fills the regulatory gap that exists in the absence of that legislation.
This approach ends the era of enforcement-first regulation that frustrated industry participants for years. Businesses and investors can now plan with greater certainty during the transition period.
The demand for clear rules has been a consistent message from the crypto industry for years. The SEC’s new stance responds to that call with formal regulatory guidance rather than court actions.
A structured framework is expected to draw more responsible participants into digital asset markets. That, in turn, could support broader adoption and long-term market stability.
Atkins closed his remarks by framing this moment as a genuine turning point for the industry. He said the interpretation provides a foundation, with more regulatory work still ahead.
The SEC, CFTC, and Congress are expected to coordinate closely in the months to come. Together, their efforts are set to define what responsible crypto oversight looks like in the United States.
Crypto World
OpenAI Unveils Unified Desktop Superapp to Challenge Anthropic’s Enterprise Dominance
Key Takeaways
- OpenAI is consolidating ChatGPT, Codex, and its web browser into a unified desktop application
- Fidji Simo will spearhead sales initiatives while Greg Brockman manages the product transformation
- The strategic pivot addresses mounting competitive pressure from Anthropic
- OpenAI acknowledges that fragmented products hampered development velocity and user experience
- Both AI companies are aggressively pursuing enterprise clients and considering public market debuts
OpenAI has announced plans to consolidate its ChatGPT platform, Codex programming tool, and web browser into a unified desktop application. The company is branding this integrated offering as a “superapp,” aiming to streamline its product ecosystem and enhance usability.
The announcement came Thursday from OpenAI, validating earlier reporting from the Wall Street Journal. This represents a significant strategic pivot for the artificial intelligence leader.
Fidji Simo, serving as Chief of Applications, will direct sales operations for the consolidated platform. Meanwhile, President Greg Brockman will step away from his current computing infrastructure responsibilities to temporarily oversee this product integration and the accompanying organizational restructuring.
In a company-wide communication, Simo explained to staff: “We realized we were spreading our efforts across too many apps and stacks, and that we need to simplify our efforts.” She emphasized that this scattered approach had created inefficiencies throughout the organization.
Throughout the previous year, OpenAI introduced numerous separate applications, with many receiving backing from Microsoft. A significant portion of these offerings struggled to achieve meaningful user adoption and generated confusion internally regarding strategic priorities.
The consolidated platform will emphasize “agentic AI” capabilities. This refers to artificial intelligence systems capable of autonomous desktop operations, executing tasks such as software development or data analysis with minimal human oversight.
In contrast to conventional chatbots, agentic AI architectures function more like independent digital assistants. They accept assignments and pursue objectives with substantial autonomy.
The Battle for Enterprise Dominance: OpenAI vs. Anthropic
OpenAI and Anthropic have entered an intense competition for corporate client relationships. Both organizations are marketing AI-powered productivity solutions to the business sector.
Initially, OpenAI didn’t emphasize enterprise sales channels. However, the company reversed course after observing Anthropic‘s market traction with offerings including Claude Code and Cowork.
Anthropic has established significant market presence among enterprise customers. OpenAI is now mounting an aggressive campaign to narrow this competitive advantage.
Additionally, both organizations are reportedly considering initial public offerings before year-end. Each has committed to substantial revenue targets with their investor base.
Implications for End Users
The integrated superapp aims to consolidate OpenAI’s complete toolkit within a single interface. The organization anticipates this consolidation will significantly improve the workflow for developers and corporate users engaging with its technology.
Earlier this year, OpenAI released Codex as a separate desktop application. This programming tool will now be integrated into the broader unified platform.
The Wall Street Journal initially disclosed the superapp initiative. OpenAI officially verified these reports through an official spokesperson on Thursday, March 19, 2026.
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