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Analysts Speculate Where the Price Could Go Next

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Spot BTC ETFs


Will bitcoin dump below $70,000 after the latest rejection?

The primary cryptocurrency registered a renewed uptick over the past hours, with its price soaring past $74,000 before it faced an immediate rejection.

The broader outlook remains bearish, with BTC still trading far below its all-time high of over $126,000 reached last October. Analysts have highlighted several key resistance levels that must be reclaimed before bulls can regain full control.

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More Gains Ahead?

The impressive revival comes on the back of Donald Trump’s recent remarks that Iran is “about to surrender” as well as the reports that the newly elected leader of the Asian country, Mojtaba Khamenei (who is the son of the late Ali Khamenei), is “likely disfigured.”

BTC’s pump has caught the attention of multiple market observers, and some expect the rally to go on in the short term. X user Ted noted that Coinbase Premium is rising, indicating solid spot demand. He believes that holding above the $70,000 zone could lead to further gains of around $76,000.

The analyst who goes by the moniker Ardi on X claimed that the leading digital asset needs to flip the $74,000 resistance into support to actually “start looking macro bullish again.” If it could achieve that, the valuation might surge to $85,000, he added. At the same time, he warned that anything below that mark is “just price setting a macro lower high in a downtrend.”

Certain indicators suggest the asset could continue marching north. Data from SoSoValue show that over the past few days, inflows into spot BTC ETFs have outpaced outflows. This is a clear bullish factor that displays that institutional investors, such as pension funds, hedge funds, and asset managers, have been increasing their exposure to cryptocurrency. As inflows rise, ETF issuers are required to purchase additional BTC to back the new shares, creating buying pressure that can further support the price.

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Spot BTC ETFs
Spot BTC ETFs, Source: SoSoValue

Next on the list is the gradually declining amount of coins sitting on crypto exchanges. According to CryptoQuant, the figure slipped to roughly 2.74 million today, the lowest level since the end of 2020. This development signals that investors have been moving their holdings toward self-custody methods and are in no rush to cash out.

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BTC Exchange Netflow
BTC Exchange Netflow, Source: CryptoQuant

Short-Term Pullback on the Horizon?

Other metrics, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest that BTC’s substantial resurgence could soon be replaced by a correction. The technical analysis tool measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes to give traders an idea about possible reversal points. It ranges from 0 to 100, and readings above 70 signal that the asset is overbought and gearing up for a decline. As of press time, the RSI stands at 81.

BTC’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) is also worth analyzing. It compares the current value of all coins to the price at which people originally paid to acquire their holdings. Over the past months, the ratio has been decreasing, reaching around 1.3 today. According to CryptoQuant, readings below 1 typically signal a bottom, implying that the bear market may not have fully unfolded yet.

BTC MVRV
BTC MVRV, Source: CryptoQuant

Earlier this week, numerous analysts warned that BTC’s price could drop to $50,000, and possibly lower, later this year.

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Crypto World

Altura Launches Onchain Gold Arbitrage Vault for Retail Users

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Altura Launches Onchain Gold Arbitrage Vault for Retail Users

Altura, a decentralized finance protocol founded by former Fidelity and PwC staff is launching an onchain gold arbitrage strategy aimed at retail investors, targeting 20% annualized returns, according to a Thursday release shared with Cointelegraph.

According to Altura, the product pools user deposits into a vault that recycles capital through short-duration physical gold trades. Unlike platforms like Robinhood or Revolut that offer passive gold price exposure, Altura claims to be tokenizing the underlying arbitrage process itself.

The company says it has raised $4 million in funding and has already facilitated the movement of about 185 kilograms of gold, representing roughly $28.5 million in cumulative transaction volume, per the release. 

Matthew Pinnock, co-founder and chief operating officer of Altura, told Cointelegraph the goal is to “bring an institutional-style gold strategy onchain in a way that retail investors can actually access.”

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The launch comes as spot gold trades near record levels after surging to an all-time high above $5,300 an ounce in January, though it has since pulled back sharply. Altura’s launch points to a new phase in tokenized real-world assets, where projects are no longer just offering passive exposure to commodities but are trying to package institutional trading strategies as onchain DeFi yield products for retail users.

A strategy typically reserved for institutional traders

Pinnock said Altura’s “revenue-generating trading strategy” was historically used by institutional commodities desks, and that high capital requirements, legal complexity and counterparty risk in traditional bullion arbitrage have effectively kept smaller investors out of this type of trade.

Gold price over the last 12 months. Source: Trading Economics

Gold purchased on behalf of Altura by its trading partner Inessa is tokenized at acquisition, Pinnock said, with those tokens escrowed through each trade and custody transitions recorded via dual cryptographic signatures. Depositors do not hold direct title to bullion but gain exposure to returns generated by the trade flow, he added.

Altura’s setup depends on a network of offchain actors. The company says it is working with Aurellion Labs and Inessa, which in turn partners with air-cargo specialist Zeal Global, to execute and verify trades.

Related: Gold hits record high over $5K, further diverging from Bitcoin

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On the targeted 20% yields, Pinnock said the strategy is structured to be “close to delta-neutral,” with trade terms agreed before logistics execution begins so that returns come from price discrepancies between counterparties rather than directional bets on the gold price.

Each arbitrage cycle typically completes within one to two days, allowing capital to be recycled multiple times and limiting exposure to spot moves, he said, while acknowledging that yields would compress if pricing inefficiencies narrow.

Related: Tokenized gold drives weekend price signals while CME futures are closed

Rising interest in real-world yields

The launch comes amid rising interest in “real-world” DeFi yields, as tokenized asset and RWA protocols grew to roughly $17 billion in total value locked in December 2025, according to DefiLlama data.

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However, a joint report by RWA.io and Veritas Protocol in that same month found that losses from onchain operational failures in tokenized RWA markets rose to $14.6 million in the first half of 2025, a 143% increase from the previous year, highlighting how complex offchain structures can still translate into user losses.

Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘biggest bull catalyst’ would be Saylor’s liquidation — Santiment founder