Crypto World
Analysts Speculate Where the Price Could Go Next
Will bitcoin dump below $70,000 after the latest rejection?
The primary cryptocurrency registered a renewed uptick over the past hours, with its price soaring past $74,000 before it faced an immediate rejection.
The broader outlook remains bearish, with BTC still trading far below its all-time high of over $126,000 reached last October. Analysts have highlighted several key resistance levels that must be reclaimed before bulls can regain full control.
More Gains Ahead?
The impressive revival comes on the back of Donald Trump’s recent remarks that Iran is “about to surrender” as well as the reports that the newly elected leader of the Asian country, Mojtaba Khamenei (who is the son of the late Ali Khamenei), is “likely disfigured.”
BTC’s pump has caught the attention of multiple market observers, and some expect the rally to go on in the short term. X user Ted noted that Coinbase Premium is rising, indicating solid spot demand. He believes that holding above the $70,000 zone could lead to further gains of around $76,000.
The analyst who goes by the moniker Ardi on X claimed that the leading digital asset needs to flip the $74,000 resistance into support to actually “start looking macro bullish again.” If it could achieve that, the valuation might surge to $85,000, he added. At the same time, he warned that anything below that mark is “just price setting a macro lower high in a downtrend.”
Certain indicators suggest the asset could continue marching north. Data from SoSoValue show that over the past few days, inflows into spot BTC ETFs have outpaced outflows. This is a clear bullish factor that displays that institutional investors, such as pension funds, hedge funds, and asset managers, have been increasing their exposure to cryptocurrency. As inflows rise, ETF issuers are required to purchase additional BTC to back the new shares, creating buying pressure that can further support the price.
Next on the list is the gradually declining amount of coins sitting on crypto exchanges. According to CryptoQuant, the figure slipped to roughly 2.74 million today, the lowest level since the end of 2020. This development signals that investors have been moving their holdings toward self-custody methods and are in no rush to cash out.
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Short-Term Pullback on the Horizon?
Other metrics, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest that BTC’s substantial resurgence could soon be replaced by a correction. The technical analysis tool measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes to give traders an idea about possible reversal points. It ranges from 0 to 100, and readings above 70 signal that the asset is overbought and gearing up for a decline. As of press time, the RSI stands at 81.
BTC’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) is also worth analyzing. It compares the current value of all coins to the price at which people originally paid to acquire their holdings. Over the past months, the ratio has been decreasing, reaching around 1.3 today. According to CryptoQuant, readings below 1 typically signal a bottom, implying that the bear market may not have fully unfolded yet.
Earlier this week, numerous analysts warned that BTC’s price could drop to $50,000, and possibly lower, later this year.
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A US federal court has rejected Custodia Bank’s final attempt to challenge the Federal Reserve’s authority over granting master accounts — effectively ending the crypto-focused bank’s five-year-long battle for direct access to the central bank’s payment system.
The US Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit said in a filing on Friday that it wouldn’t hear Custodia’s final appeal on that point in a 7-3 vote.
Custodia first applied for a master account in October 2020, which allows financial institutions to hold reserves directly at the Federal Reserve and access its payment rails, enabling them to settle transactions without relying on intermediary banks.
After the Fed rejected its master account application, Custodia turned to the courts, arguing the Monetary Control Act entitles state-chartered banks to access Fed services and therefore a master account.
However, the multiple courts have now ruled that the Fed retains discretion over whether to grant master accounts.
Custodia’s blow comes as Kraken became the first crypto platform to receive a master account from the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City on March 4.
Kraken’s master account enables it to connect to the Fedwire payments system, though it does not include the full range of services available to traditional banks.
The move raised hopes that US regulators could offer “skinny” or limited master accounts to crypto firms.
Banks not given master accounts akin to “death sentence”
While only three judges sided with Custodia, one of them, Judge Timothy Tymkovich, wrote a strong dissenting opinion, stating that “a master account is ‘indispensable’ for a bank’s operations” and being denied one is “akin to a death sentence.”
Related: Democrats say they will oversee reported DOJ probe into Binance
He noted that three months after Custodia’s application in October 2020, the Fed said Custodia was eligible and told it there were “no showstoppers” with its application.
He added, “I do not agree that Reserve Banks have discretion over account applications and would have allowed the mandamus claim to go forward.”
Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns
Michael Saylor has responded sharply after former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson criticized Bitcoin (BTC) and suggested that it resembles a Ponzi scheme.
Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson criticizes Bitcoin
Johnson described a conversation with a church acquaintance who lost money after being lured into a supposed crypto investment opportunity. According to Johnson, the man initially handed over £500 to someone who promised to double his money through Bitcoin.
“After three and a half years of muddle… he was down £20,000,” Johnson wrote in a report. He also described how the individual paid repeated fees in an attempt to recover the funds. The former prime minister used the story to question the value and structure of cryptocurrencies.
He contrasted BTC with traditional assets and collectibles.“I can see the intrinsic value of gold,” Johnson wrote. “I can even understand why Pokemon cards have kept their value.”
He then questioned the foundations of digital assets, arguing that Bitcoin lacks an identifiable authority or issuer. “But Bitcoin? What is it? It’s just a string of numbers stored in a series of computers,” he wrote.
Johnson also referenced the mysterious origins of the BTC’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, adding that the system depends heavily on collective belief. “The whole thing depends completely on the collective belief… of the Bitcoin holders,” Johnson said.
He warned that increasing cases of fraud linked to crypto investments could weaken confidence in the sector. “I have always suspected from the outset that all cryptocurrencies were basically a Ponzi scheme,” Johnson wrote. He argued that the ecosystem relies on a continuous flow of new investors.
Michael Saylor claps back at Johnson
Saylor rejected that characterization in a post on the social platform X. “Bitcoin is not a Ponzi scheme,” Saylor wrote. “A Ponzi requires a central operator promising returns and paying early investors with funds from later ones.”
He argued that Bitcoin’s structure makes it fundamentally different from such schemes. “Bitcoin has no issuer, no promoter, and no guaranteed return—just an open, decentralized monetary network driven by code and market demand,” Saylor said.
The executive has long been one of the most prominent corporate advocates for Bitcoin. His company, MicroStrategy, holds billions of dollars worth of the crypto on its balance sheet. Johnson’s comments also revisited broader debates about monetary systems.
In his remarks, he referenced historical currency models backed by government authority, pointing to Roman coins bearing the image of emperors as an example of trust in state-backed money. Crypto supporters, however, often argue that Bitcoin’s decentralized structure is precisely what protects it from political influence and inflation tied to government spending.
The XRP Ledger has never been busier, but traders are yet to catch up.
Daily successful payments on XRPL recently hit a 12 month high of over 2.7 million, up from roughly 1 million in late 2025, according to XRPSCAN data. The network is processing between 2 and 2.8 million transactions per day at 20 to 26 transactions per second.
Automated market maker pools have exploded to nearly 27,000 active pools supporting more than 16,000 unique tokens. Tokenized real-world asset value on the ledger climbed to $461 million, up 35% in the past 30 days, per RWA.xyz. Stablecoin transfer volume over the same period hit $1.19 billion.
XRP is trading at $1.37 and is down 26% year-to-date. It’s 62% below its late-2025 high of $3.65.
That gap between what the ledger is doing and what the token is doing is the most important thing happening in XRP right now, and it’s a question the market hasn’t answered yet.
The standard crypto thesis is that network activity drives token value. More usage means more demand for the native asset, which pushes price higher. It’s the framework that worked for Ethereum during DeFi summer and for Solana during the meme coin boom.
But XRP is breaking the pattern. Every metric that should matter for a utility token is up, but the price is down.
The most likely explanation is structural. XRPL’s growing activity is increasingly driven by RLUSD, Ripple’s stablecoin, and tokenized assets that flow through XRP as a bridge currency but don’t create sustained demand for the token.
A payment that uses XRP for three seconds to settle a cross-border transaction between fiat currencies doesn’t generate the same kind of buy pressure as someone staking ETH for months or locking SOL in a DeFi protocol. The network gets busier, but the token stays liquid and transient. Activity goes up but scarcity doesn’t.
The DeFi numbers make this stark. DeFiLlama shows XRPL’s total value locked at $47.54 million. That’s the entire DeFi ecosystem on a chain whose native token has an $84 billion market cap.
For comparison, Solana carries roughly $4 billion in TVL. Ethereum has over $40 billion. XRP’s DeFi layer is a rounding error relative to its valuation, which means the market cap is still overwhelmingly driven by speculative positioning and ETF expectations rather than capital locked into productive on-chain activity.
The native DEX tells a similar story. Daily volume runs between $4 million and $8 million on recent data, modest for any Layer 1 and especially small for one ranked fifth by market cap.
The AMM pool growth is real, with 27,000 pools and 12 million XRP deposited, but the dollar value of that liquidity remains thin relative to the scale of the token’s market.
The RWA picture is the one area where the data genuinely supports the bull case. $461 million in distributed asset value and $1.5 billion in represented asset value puts XRPL ahead of several larger chains in specific tokenization categories.
Stablecoin market cap on the ledger sits at $339 million with 35,800 holders. The 30-day RWA transfer volume of $149 million, up over 1,300%, suggests real institutional activity rather than wash trading. If the tokenization thesis plays out over the next few years, XRPL has a foothold that most competitors don’t.
As such, March historically averages an 18% return for XRP, and the $1.27 to $1.30 support zone has held through multiple tests. If macro conditions stabilize and the Iran conflict moves toward resolution, a relief bounce to $1.60 or higher is plausible.
The Ethereum Foundation, the non-profit organization that stewards the development of the Ethereum ecosystem, published its mandate on Friday, reaffirming its role and the core pillars of Ethereum.
The Ethereum Foundation’s two stated goals are that Ethereum remains decentralized and that users have a “final say” over their onchain assets and data, while the protocol achieves mass scale, according to the mandate.
Censorship resistance, open source code, privacy, security, and freedom-preserving technology are the core properties of Ethereum that will be upheld, the mandate, the document said.
The Ethereum Foundation said it will continue to focus on core protocol upgrades, “long-horizon research,” cybersecurity, and providing tooling for Ethereum’s developers, while minimizing its role as much as possible. The mandate said:
“Our ultimate goal is for Ethereum to pass the walkaway test: its protocol and core application layers become robust and trustless enough that they would continue to reliably function and evolve even if the Foundation and today’s core developers disappeared tomorrow.”
The Ethereum Foundation said it aims to focus on tasks that become less necessary over time through a process of subtraction.
The mandate follows a challenging year for the protocol, with Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin saying that Ethereum’s approach to scaling through layer-2 networks “no longer makes sense,” and that many L2s are centralized projects.
Related: AI ‘vibe coding’ could put Ethereum roadmap ahead of schedule: Vitalik Buterin
Buterin says a drastic change in how Ethereum scales is needed
Buteirn said that many layer-2 networks feature centralized points of control, including private trusted networks and centralized sequencers, and have no plans to transition to a fully decentralized model.
“The original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path,” Buterin said in February.
Buterin argued that a layer-2 project that boasts a throughput of 10,000 transactions per second (TPS) but relies on a multi-signature bridge to interact with the layer-1 protocol is not scaling the Ethereum ecosystem in a decentralized way.
Instead of acting as scaling layers for Ethereum, the ecosystem’s many layer-2 networks should specialize in a niche such as privacy, identity solutions, finance platforms and social media applications, Buterin said, which drew mixed reactions from L2 projects.
Magazine: Ethereum’s roadmap to 10,000 TPS using ZK tech: Dummies’ guide
The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI), an industry advocacy group, is eyeing a target window between March and August 2026 to pass a de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin through Congress, warning that time to pass meaningful legislation is running out.
BPI said it has engaged with 19 Congressional offices in both the House and Senate over the last three months to pitch US lawmakers on a tax exemption for Bitcoin (BTC) transactions below a certain threshold.
Expanding the de minimis tax exemptions beyond dollar-pegged stablecoins has bipartisan support, but the BPI warned that the “window is narrowing” for Bitcoin tax legislation. The BPI said:
“Congress will be increasingly consumed by midterm dynamics as summer approaches, and the bandwidth for complex tax legislation shrinks with every passing week. Senator Lummis, the issue’s most forceful champion, departs the Senate in January 2027.
If a package does not come together in the next few months, the opportunity may not return for years,” the BPI continued.
Under current US tax rules, using BTC to pay for goods and services triggers a taxable event and tax reporting to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), preventing the use of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange.
A de minimis exemption would allow small crypto transactions, typically below a set dollar threshold, to be excluded from capital gains reporting, allowing users to spend Bitcoin without calculating gains or losses on minor purchases.
Related: Bitcoin advocate group to fight Basel’s ‘toxic’ treatment of cryptocurrency
Tax policy has kept Bitcoin as an investment and out of commerce
Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced a bill in July 2025 proposing a de minimis tax exemptionfor cryptocurrency transactions of $300 or less, capped at $5,000 annually.
However, the bill failed to gain traction in the Senate, and a competing bill focused entirely on tax exemptions for stablecoins was introduced to the House of Representatives by Congresspersons Max Miller and Steven Horsford in 2025.
A comparison of the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill and the stablecoin de minimis tax bill.
Bitcoin payments are held back by the digital asset’s current treatment under the US tax code, according to Pierre Rochard, a board member for BTC treasury company Strive. “The number one impediment to Bitcoin payments adoption is tax policy, not scaling technology,” Rochard @said on X.
Magazine: Big questions: Should you sell your Bitcoin for nickels for a 43% profit?
1) Introduction
The Bitcoin Policy Institute is pushing for a de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin transactions, targeting a window from March to August 2026 to move a measure through Congress. The group highlights that time is running short as lawmakers grapple with competing priorities ahead of midterm dynamics. In the past three months, BPI says it has engaged with 19 offices across the House and Senate to advocate for a carve-out allowing BTC transfers below a defined threshold to avoid capital gains reporting. While there is bipartisan interest in extending de minimis relief beyond dollar-pegged stablecoins, observers warn that the window to legislate could close swiftly, especially with Senator Lummis set to depart the Senate in January 2027. The push centers on changing how small Bitcoin transactions are treated for tax purposes, potentially unlocking greater everyday use without tax accounting for minor expenditures.
2)
Key takeaways
- The stated legislative window for a Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption runs March through August 2026, a period proponents describe as the last best chance to pass meaningful tax relief before midterms shift congressional priorities.
- nineteen congressional offices across the House and Senate report engagement by the Bitcoin Policy Institute over a three‑month period, underscoring active lobbying for a BTC-focused exemption and broader expansion beyond stablecoins.
- Senate sponsor Senator Cynthia Lummis pushed a standalone crypto tax bill in July 2025 proposing a de minimis threshold of $300 per transaction, capped at $5,000 annually, but the measure stalled in the Senate.
- In parallel, a House-friendly proposal by Max Miller and Steven Horsford in 2025 aimed to deliver de minimis relief specifically for stablecoins, reflecting a split focus within crypto tax policy debates.
- The central argument stresses that current tax treatment has effectively kept Bitcoin as an investment vehicle rather than a practical medium of exchange, with advocates positioning tax policy as the primary bottleneck to broader adoption.
3)
Tickers mentioned: $BTC
4)
Market context: The push for a Bitcoin de minimis exemption sits within a broader regulatory and policy environment where tax treatment shapes crypto payments and consumer spending. If Congress acts, small BTC transactions could flow more freely in everyday commerce, while inaction risks maintaining a framework that treats Bitcoin primarily as an asset rather than an everyday currency.
5)
Why it matters
The ongoing debate over de minimis tax treatment matters because it shapes how readily individuals can use Bitcoin for routine purchases. A successful exemption would reduce the administrative burden for ordinary consumers who transact in small amounts, potentially expanding merchant acceptance and consumer spending in the crypto space. Advocates argue that tax policy, not technology, has been the primary obstacle to widespread BTC payments adoption, a claim echoed by industry voices who emphasize the upside of aligning tax rules with the realities of digital asset use.
Yet lawmakers face a crowded legislative calendar. The BPI’s warning that the window could close as summer approaches reflects a structural challenge: tax policy is entangled with midterm dynamics, budget considerations, and broader regulatory debates. The political calculus is further complicated by aging leadership in the crypto policy arena; Senator Lummis, a leading proponent, will exit the Senate in early 2027, potentially narrowing the coalition that has championed a de minimis approach to crypto taxation.
Supporters argue that a targeted exemption for small BTC transactions would not only ease everyday spending but also set a clearer precedent for how digital assets should be treated when used as currency rather than solely as investments. The tension remains: should policy favor incremental relief that could unlock practical use cases, or push for comprehensive tax reform that addresses all digital assets at once? The next several months are likely to reveal how aggressively Congress will pursue a path forward and which constituencies—consumer advocates, merchants, or financial policy wonks—will shape the outcome.
6)
What to watch next
- March–August 2026: Legislative activity window for Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption moves through committees and potentially a full vote.
- Ongoing congressional engagement: The Bitcoin Policy Institute’s continued outreach to 19 offices to secure support and build a bipartisan coalition.
- Senator Lummis’s departure in January 2027: Assess how the leadership changes might affect the likelihood of enacting any BTC-specific tax relief.
- Comparison of bills: The trajectory of Miller–Horsford’s stablecoins-focused exemption versus the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill will influence the final framework if a package advances.
- Public-facing tax policy messaging: Watch for statements from tax authorities and industry groups clarifying how a de minimis exemption would interact with existing reporting requirements for small BTC transactions.
7)
Sources & verification
- Bitcoin Policy Institute article outlining the de minimis exemption for Bitcoin and the policy window.
- Cointelegraph reporting on the Bitcoin Policy Institute’s de minimis tax exemption push and related legislative activity.
- July 2025 Lummis proposal for a standalone crypto tax exemption with a $300 threshold and $5,000 annual cap.
- 2025 Miller and Horsford House proposal extending de minimis relief to stablecoins.
- Statements from Pierre Rochard about tax policy as the principal barrier to Bitcoin payments adoption.
7)
Why it matters
This policy debate matters because it could redefine how everyday users interact with Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative asset toward a practical currency for small purchases. If enacted, the de minimis exemption would reduce tax complexity for minor BTC transactions, potentially spurring broader acceptance by merchants and consumers alike. The timing of any agreement is critical, given midterm dynamics and the leadership shift anticipated in early 2027, which could alter legislative momentum for crypto tax reform.
At stake is whether policymakers view Bitcoin as a financial instrument warranting strict capital gains considerations or as a platform for everyday commerce needing pragmatic, policy-aligned rules. The discourse reflects broader questions about how the U.S. tax code should treat digital assets as their use cases evolve—from store of value to medium of exchange—and how to balance investor protection with practical adoption. The coming months will test whether a narrowly tailored exemption can bridge these aims without creating new loopholes or regulatory gaps.
9)
What to watch next
- March–August 2026: Legislative activity window for Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption moves through committees and potentially a full vote.
- Ongoing congressional engagement: The Bitcoin Policy Institute’s continued outreach to 19 offices to secure support and build a bipartisan coalition.
- Senator Lummis’s departure in January 2027: Assess how the leadership changes might affect the likelihood of enacting any BTC-specific tax relief.
- Comparison of bills: The trajectory of Miller–Horsford’s stablecoins-focused exemption versus the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill will influence the final framework if a package advances.
- Public-facing tax policy messaging: Watch for statements from tax authorities and industry groups clarifying how a de minimis exemption would interact with existing reporting requirements for small BTC transactions.
9)
Sources & verification
- Bitcoin Policy Institute article outlining the de minimis exemption for Bitcoin and the policy window.
- Cointelegraph reporting on the Bitcoin Policy Institute’s de minimis tax exemption push and related legislative activity.
- July 2025 Lummis proposal for a standalone crypto tax exemption with a $300 threshold and $5,000 annual cap.
- 2025 Miller and Horsford House proposal extending de minimis relief to stablecoins.
- Statements from Pierre Rochard about tax policy as the principal barrier to Bitcoin payments adoption.
After reaching a monthly high of $2,209 on Friday, Ether (ETH) price fell back below a key monthly resistance, which has been tested five times since February.
While onchain data highlights a large cluster of investors near $2,800, Ether’s futures market data shows traders are scaling back positions after this week’s rally.
Investors’ $2,800 cost basis highlights a major accumulation zone
Data from Glassnode indicated that ETH’s cost-basis distribution heatmap shows a heavy accumulation near $2,800, where more than 3 million ETH were previously purchased.
The cost-basis clusters identify the price zones where large groups of investors established positions, often acting as magnets during upward moves as investors defend entry levels or add exposure.
The data suggests a potential pathway toward $2,800. Notably, there is a relatively limited historical supply concentration between $2,200 and the $2,800 cost-basis cluster, meaning a break above the current range may allow the price to move more freely into that range.
From a technical standpoint, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) also intersects near the $2,800 level on the daily chart, a key indicator ETH has not approached since early January.
However, derivatives data suggest traders remain cautious near the present price range.
Related: Ethereum Foundation publishes mandate clarifying role and goals
Ether futures activity fades after $2,200 test
Ether’s futures market activity expanded during this week’s rally, with open interest rising 21% to $10.9 billion from $9 billion this week as the price pushed toward $2,200. The increase suggests traders were opening new leveraged positions as Ether moved higher.
However, the positioning shifted once ETH tested the upper range. Open interest fell roughly 6% after the $2,200 test, indicating some traders began closing positions rather than adding new exposure.
The pullback suggests long traders likely took profit or reduced risk near the upper boundary of the range, slowing the rally’s momentum.
Spot market activity showed improving demand during the move. Spot volume cumulative delta (CVD), which tracks aggressive buying versus selling, rose sharply to $87 million from -$150 million on March 8, indicating buyers stepped in as Ether rebounded from the $2,000 region.
However, order-flow data reflected a fading bullish sentiment. The bid–ask ratio remained strongly positive while Ether consolidated near $2,000, showing buyers dominated trading during the range phase.
That strength faded as the price approached $2,150, signaling reduced buying pressure near the top of the move.
Hyblock data offered additional clarity in the derivatives markets. The futures positioning remains relatively balanced, with long traders accounting for about 59.4% of Ether futures exposure on Binance.
Such a balanced outlook often leads to choppy price action as the market struggles to decisively break through nearby resistance levels.
The data shows a divergence forming, while past ETH accumulation points toward a rally to $2,800. With this in mind, it is clear that Ether futures traders remain cautious near ETH’s current range.
Related: Ethereum accumulation wallets jump 30%: Will ETH price follow?
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Global market volatility persists, yet when Alibaba’s AI models are fed a carefully engineered prompt, they reveal strikingly optimistic forecasts for XRP, Bitcoin, and Ethereum heading into the latter part of 2026.
Bolstering the broader crypto outlook, a recent agreement between the SEC and CFTC to align their regulatory strategies signals that comprehensive U.S. cryptocurrency legislation could soon take shape.
If that regulatory framework emerges, Alibaba’s bullish AI projections could begin to look far more realistic.
Let’s take a look at the charts…
XRP (XRP): Alibaba AI Forecast: XRP to $8 by Christmas
Ripple recently emphasized that XRP ($XRP) serves as the foundational asset in its vision to evolve the XRP Ledger into a worldwide enterprise-grade payment infrastructure.
Designed for swift, low-cost settlements, the XRPL now positions Ripple advantageously in booming areas like stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets.
XRP trades near $1.45 today, with Alibaba AI predicting a surge as high as $8 by year-end, delivering 5.5x returns for those holding positions if it plays out.
The chart displays a sustained bullish flag pattern, typically preceding strong upward moves. XRP’s current position is also strengthened by its neutral relative strength index (RSI) reading of 53.
Watch for catalysts such as inflows via newly launched U.S. XRP ETFs, Ripple’s growing international partnerships, and the likely passage of the CLARITY Act through Congress soon.
Bitcoin (BTC): Alibaba AI Sees Bitcoin Hitting $250,000 by Year-End
Bitcoin ($BTC) hit a peak of $126,080 in early October before experiencing a sharp correction, shedding roughly half its value amid broader pressures.
Even so, AI evaluations suggest Bitcoin remains positioned for major upside, possibly rising from today’s price of $73,500 all the way up to $250,000 by 2027.
Viewed as “digital gold,” BTC draws capital seeking portfolio diversification and protection from inflation plus geopolitical risks.
With a $1.4 trillion market cap within the $2.4 trillion total crypto space, Bitcoin’s dip aligned with rising tensions between US and Iran and Greenland, yet after all-out war between Iran and US on February 28, Bitcoin appears to be doing better, a sign that the volatility was likely priced in beforehand.
If President Trump follows through on establishing a national Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, Bitcoin could go even further, potentially hitting $1 million in the years to come.
Ethereum (ETH): Could Ether Reach Five Figures in 2026?
Ethereum ($ETH) stands as the leading smart contract blockchain, powering much of decentralized finance activity.
Boasting a market cap of $264 billion and a substantial $57 billion TVL, it functions as the core layer for on-chain commerce.
Robust network security, dominance in stablecoins, and increasing real-world asset tokenization strengthen arguments for wider institutional participation.
Regulatory progress remains pivotal; the passing of the CLARITY Act would deliver the certainty needed for institutions to deploy large amounts of capital on the network.
ETH hovers just below $2,200 currently, facing sticky resistance at $3,000, $4,000 and $5,000, as seen en route to its ATH of $4,946 last summer.
A firm breakout could propel Ethereum to a new ATH just above its last, around $5,041, according to Alibaba AI.
Maxi Doge: Emerging Meme Coin Aims for Major Upside
In a crypto bull market, meme coins frequently deliver outsized performance by magnifying overall price trends.
Maxi Doge ($MAXI) stands out as an intriguing fresh meme coin, having secured $4.7 million in its ongoing presale amid expectations it might challenge leaders like BONK or Floki.
Touted as a bold, hard-pumping, distant degen cousin to Dogecoin, it channels the viral comic memes and high-risk-high-reward marketing of the 2021 meme coin boom.
Built as an ERC-20 token on Ethereum’s proof-of-stake chain, MAXI offers a greener alternative to Dogecoin’s proof-of-work mechanism.
Presale participants can stake $MAXI for yields reaching up to 67% APY, though rates taper as more people stake.
Currently priced at $0.0002808 in this stage, the token sees nominal fixed price rises as it moves through funding rounds.
Prospective buyers should visit the official website and connect a supported wallet such as Best Wallet.
Card payments are also supported.
Visit the Official Website Here
The post China’s Alibaba AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Bitcoin and Ethereum by The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Analysts at the investment company said the change was significant because the stablecoin “winner” will be the one people use for everyday transactions.
Japanese investment bank Mizuho reported that stablecoin issuer Circle’s USDC overtook Tether’s USDt in transaction volume for the first time since 2019.
In a research note released on Friday, Mizuho said it had raised its price target for Circle stock from $100 to $120 after comparing transaction volumes between the two major stablecoins. According to Mizuho, USDC (USDC) had about $2.2 trillion in adjusted transaction volume for the year to date, compared with USDt (USDT) at $1.3 trillion.
“The data shows USDC vs. USDT volumes at 64% market share,” said Mizuho. This is a reversal in a long-term trend of USDT volumes surpassing USDC in 2019-2025.”
The stock price for Circle, which went public on the NYSE in June 2025, was little changed following the Mizuho report’s release. While the investment bank reported that USDC had overtaken USDT in transaction volume, Tether’s stablecoin remained the largest by market capitalization, at about $184 billion, compared with USDC’s $79 billion.
Related: DOJ and Europol take down SocksEscort network tied to crypto fraud
According to Mizuho analysts, volume data is significant because the stablecoin “winner” will be the one people use for everyday transactions, not just market capitalization.
Fight over stablecoin yield continues in US government
In Washington, DC, it’s unclear whether lawmakers and policymakers will reach an agreement that would allow a digital asset market structure bill to move forward in Congress.
The legislation, called the CLARITY Act when it passed the House of Representatives, has been stalled in the Senate amid debates over stablecoin yield, ethics, and tokenized equities.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune reportedly said on Thursday that the chamber would prioritize a bill on voting requirements rather than market structure, which he didn’t anticipate passing before April.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s ‘narrative vacuum,’ Ethereum now inevitable: Trade Secrets
Trend Research is again moving size through Binance, pulling 27,000 ETH off‑exchange while wiring in about $150m USDC, signaling fresh positioning after its brutal ETH unwind.
Summary
- An address tied to Trend Research withdrew 27,000 ETH from Binance, then sent roughly $150.47m in USDC back to the exchange in recent hours.
- Earlier this year the same firm dumped over 700m worth of ETH to Binance to repay Aave loans, realizing an estimated $700m‑plus loss on a looped long.
- The new pattern of ETH out and USDC in suggests Trend Research is rotating into fresh ETH strategies rather than simply de‑risking, making its flows a key ETH liquidity signal.
Trend Research is back moving size through Binance, this time cycling Ethereum (ETH) out and USDC in, in a way that looks like renewed ammo for directional ETH positioning rather than simple de‑risking.
Trend Research pulls ETH, then pushes USDC to Binance
On‑chain monitoring shows an address linked to Trend Research withdrawing 27,000 ETH from Binance in recent hours, before later transferring approximately $150.47 million in USDC back to the exchange. At current prices, the ETH withdrawal represents tens of millions of dollars in value, while the subsequent USDC inflow reloads the firm’s on‑exchange stablecoin balance. The sequence — assets out, stables in — fits a pattern seen before with Trend Research, where it actively rotates between ETH spot, derivatives exposure, and loan repayment.
This latest move comes against the backdrop of Trend Research’s highly publicized ETH strategy over the past months. The firm, associated with LD Capital, previously built a position of around 600,000–650,000 ETH using large Aave loans, then repeatedly transferred six‑figure ETH amounts to Binance to cut risk as prices moved against it, crystalizing hundreds of millions of dollars in realized losses.
Context: from forced selling to fresh firepower
Earlier this year on‑chain analysts tracked Trend Research sending 216,000 ETH — roughly $411 million — to Binance in a single day, having sold a total of 404,600 ETH at an average price of about $2,071 to avoid liquidation. In another episode, the firm was reported to have effectively “almost sold all of its ETH,” depositing 772,865 ETH back to Binance at around $2,326 after originally buying 792,532 ETH near $3,267, locking in an estimated $747 million loss. Those flows were clearly defensive, aimed at repayment and survival of a heavily leveraged book.
By contrast, the current pattern of withdrawing ETH while sending a fresh nine‑figure USDC tranche into Binance suggests Trend Research is again actively positioning rather than just unwinding. One plausible read is that ETH is being moved to self‑custody or DeFi while USDC sits on Binance as dry powder for new derivatives or spot entries, consistent with prior behavior where the firm borrowed stablecoins from Aave, sent them to Binance, and ran a large ETH carry and directional strategy.
What it signals for ETH traders
For market participants, Trend Research’s renewed activity matters because of sheer size. When a player that has moved hundreds of thousands of ETH and billions of dollars through Binance starts rotating again in 20,000–30,000 ETH clips and nine‑figure USDC transfers, it can affect short‑term liquidity, funding, and sentiment around key levels.
Traders watching ETH should monitor follow‑through: if on‑exchange ETH balances fall while USDC balances associated with Trend Research rise, that tilts toward accumulation or DeFi deployment; if the reverse happens and ETH deposits spike with spot selling, it points back to forced de‑risking. Either way, Trend Research’s flows remain a live barometer of how an over‑levered institutional whale is trying to navigate this phase of the cycle, and ignoring them is a luxury only small accounts can afford.
Summary
- French Hill said the CLARITY Act could resolve issues left open by the GENIUS Act.
- Hill noted the House passed the CLARITY Act with bipartisan backing, including 78 Democratic votes.
- Lawmakers aim to ensure equal rules for bank and nonbank stablecoin issuers, Hill said.
French Hill, chair of the U.S. House Financial Services Committee, said the CLARITY Act could help address unresolved issues in the GENIUS Act.
French Hill remarks on CLARITY and GENIUS Acts
Hill discussed concerns raised by banks about how crypto firms may be regulated under the proposed framework, according to a Fox Business interview. The lawmaker pointed out that the House had already passed the CLARITY Act with bipartisan support.
“In the House last summer, we created the act, and we passed CLARITY Act in the House, with 78 Democratic votes,” Hill said. The legislation is part of broader efforts in Washington to define how stablecoins and other digital assets should operate within U.S. financial markets. Policymakers are also debating whether crypto firms should face the same oversight as banks.
Hill said lawmakers from both parties have already agreed on one key principle. “On a bipartisan basis we said stablecoin should not pay yield,” he said. The issue has become central to discussions around the GENIUS Act. That bill focuses on the regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers.
Hill suggested that some remaining concerns could be addressed through the CLARITY Act. “In my view this independent issue can be resolved in the CLARITY Act,” he said.
He also indicated that certain questions may be handled through regulatory rulemaking rather than new legislation. In particular, he pointed to potential rules on rewards or incentives tied to stablecoin transactions.
“I think all the issues about paying rewards should be dealt with in the regulatory proposal that Treasury has to come up with,” Hill said. “I think that’s best resolved in the GENIUS Act,” he added.
Banks Oppose CLARITY Act
Major banks have argued that crypto companies could gain a competitive advantage if they operate under lighter regulation. Executives from traditional finance have called for equal standards across the industry.
Hill said parity between different issuers is a key objective. “We want equal treatment between bank and nonbank issuers of stablecoins,” he said. The debate has drawn comments from banking leaders such as Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase & Co.
Some executives have questioned whether the proposed legislation gives crypto firms too much flexibility. Hill said lawmakers want to avoid regulatory imbalance as the market evolves. “All issuers should be treated the same way,” he said. “You don’t want to have an imbalance between people using a dollar-backed stablecoin on their platform,” Hill remarked.
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