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And It Just Happened Again

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And It Just Happened Again


Bitcoin slipped 3% the last time this whale made a substantial deposit, is another decline on its way?

Bitcoin’s overall market state has been more than dire for the past several weeks, with the asset plummeting from over $90,000 on January 28 to its lowest position in over a year at $60,000 last Friday.

While this is a painful decline of its own, the broader market’s state has not improved much since then, and Lookonchain just published another potential sell signal.

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The analytics company noted that the unknown whale had transferred 8,200 BTC (worth roughly $560 million) into Binance in the past 2 days alone.

Shortly after their previous deposit to the world’s largest exchange, the cryptocurrency’s price dipped yesterday by 3% within minutes, going from nearly $69,000 to $65,000.

In a subsequent post, Lookonchain added that the whale continued to transfer BTC to Binance, sending another batch of over 2,000 units with the likely intention to sell.

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In contrast, Binance just completed the conversion of its entire $1 billion SAFU fund into bitcoin by purchasing roughly 15,000 BTC. Additionally, Strategy continues to make weekly acquisitions, but BTC’s price fails to rebound in a meaningful manner.

More volatility is expected later today when the US January CPI numbers are released.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin ETFs Post $410M Outflows As Early-Week Momentum Fades

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Bitcoin ETFs Post $410M Outflows As Early-Week Momentum Fades

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw heightened selling on Thursday, with outflows accelerating the same day Standard Chartered lowered its 2026 Bitcoin forecast.

Spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded $410.4 million in outflows, extending weekly losses to $375.1 million, according to SoSoValue data.

Unless Friday brings substantial inflows, the funds are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses, with assets under management (AUM) nearing $80 billion, down from a peak of almost $170 billion in October 2025.

Daily flows in US spot Bitcoin ETFs since Monday. Source: SoSoValue

The selling coincided with Standard Chartered lowering its 2026 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, warning that prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.

“We expect further price capitulation over the next few months,” the bank said in a Thursday report shared with Cointelegraph, forecasting Bitcoin to drop to $50,000 and Ether (ETH) to $1,400.

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“Once those lows are reached, we expect a price recovery for the remainder of the year,” Standard Chartered added, projecting year-end prices for BTC and ETH at $100,000 and $4,000, respectively.

Solana ETFs the only winners amid heavy crypto ETF outflows

Negative sentiment persisted across all 11 Bitcoin ETF products, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund suffering the largest outflows of $157.6 million and $104.1 million, respectively, according to Farside.

Ether ETFs faced similar pressure, with $113.1 million in daily outflows dragging weekly outflows to $171.4 million, marking a potential fourth consecutive week of losses.

XRP (XRP) ETFs saw their first outflows of $6.4 million since Feb. 3, while Solana (SOL) ETFs bucked the trend, recording a minor $2.7 million in inflows.

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Extreme bear phase not yet here as analysts expect $55,000 bottom

Standard Chartered’s latest Bitcoin forecast follows previous analyst forecasts that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000 before testing a recovery.

Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant reiterated that realized price support remains at around $55,000 and has not yet been tested.

“Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000 today,” CryptoQuant said in a weekly update shared with Cointelegraph.

Bitcoin’s realized price chart. Source: CryptoQuant

“Market cycle indicators remain in the bear phase, not extreme bear phase,” CryptoQuant noted, adding: “Our Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has not entered the Extreme Bear regime that historically marks the start of bottoming processes, which typically persist for several months.”

Related: Bernstein calls Bitcoin sell-off ‘weakest bear case’ on record, keeps $150K 2026 target

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Bitcoin hovered around $66,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $65,250, according to CoinGecko data.

Despite ongoing selling pressure, long-term holder (LTH) behavior does not indicate capitulation, with holders currently selling around breakeven. “Historical bear market bottoms formed when LTHs endured 30–40% losses, indicating further downside may be required for a full reset,” CryptoQuant added.

Magazine: Bitcoin difficulty plunges, Buterin sells off Ethereum: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 1 – 7