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Crypto World

AppLovin (APP) Stock Plunges 9% as Short Interest Spikes Amid Economic Uncertainty

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APP Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • AppLovin shares tumbled approximately 9% Thursday, marking a 35% retreat from its $745 peak earlier this year.
  • Bearish traders amplified concerns regarding competitive threats, intensifying downward momentum amid weakening investor sentiment.
  • Between March 11-12, CEO Adam Foroughi executed 44 stock sales; days later, a board member offloaded more than 130,000 units.
  • Fourth-quarter 2025 performance exceeded expectations: $1.66B revenue (surpassing forecasts), net profit surged 84% annually, yearly free cash flow reached $3.95B.
  • Broader economic concerns, including recession possibilities and inflation estimates approaching 4.2%, contributed to the stock’s weakness.

AppLovin shares retreated approximately 9% during Thursday’s session, trading around the $396 level. No adverse company announcements triggered the decline. Instead, the selloff reflected mounting short-seller activity combined with widespread market jitters.


APP Stock Card
AppLovin Corporation, APP

Bearish investors amplified claims questioning the sustainability of AppLovin’s competitive positioning and whether its artificial intelligence-driven advertising technology can maintain market dominance. These arguments gained momentum following a notable spike in executive stock disposals.

CEO Adam Foroughi executed 44 separate stock sales on March 11-12, with transaction prices ranging from $449 to $481 per share. Board member Eduardo Vivas subsequently sold over 130,000 units on March 16, at prices between $446 and $465. During the 90-day period ending March 26, insiders completed 155 transactions with virtually zero purchase activity to counterbalance the disposals.

This selling activity provided ammunition for bearish traders, despite strong fundamental business metrics.

Financial Performance Remains Robust

AppLovin’s fourth-quarter 2025 financial results demonstrated exceptional strength. The company posted $1.66 billion in revenue, exceeding analyst projections by 3.35%. Net profit reached $1.1 billion, representing an 84% year-over-year increase. The adjusted EBITDA margin stood at an impressive 84%.

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Fourth-quarter free cash flow totaled $1.31 billion. Annual free cash flow climbed to $3.95 billion—an 89% year-over-year surge. The company deployed $2.58 billion toward repurchasing 6.4 million stock units throughout 2025.

Operating expenses declined to merely 23% of revenue in Q4, compared to 37% in the prior-year period. Such dramatic margin improvement is uncommon in the technology sector.

CEO Foroughi addressed skeptics during the Q4 earnings conference: “When I look at our internal dashboards, we are delivering the strongest operating performance in our history.”

Wall Street analysts remain predominantly optimistic. Morgan Stanley maintains an Overweight recommendation with an $800 price objective. Goldman Sachs holds a Neutral stance at $710. Among all covering analysts, 24 recommend buying, 3 suggest holding, and only 1 advises selling. The average price target stands at $648.

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Economic Headwinds Compound Selling Pressure

Broader economic conditions are exacerbating investor concerns. Market participants remain anxious about escalating tensions involving Iran, climbing oil prices, and materially elevated recession probabilities according to economists.

A Thursday OECD report forecast U.S. inflation could reach 4.2% this year—substantially above the Federal Reserve’s recent 2.7% projection from the previous week.

APP has declined 35% year-to-date and fallen 38% over the trailing six-month period. The stock reached approximately $745 at its 52-week high.

For the first quarter of 2026, AppLovin provided revenue guidance of $1.745–$1.775 billion with anticipated adjusted EBITDA margins of 84%. Elevated call option trading activity indicates continued near-term price volatility is probable.

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Crypto World

Coinbase and Better Launch Crypto-Backed Mortgages With Fannie Mae Backing

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Coinbase and Better Launch Crypto-Backed Mortgages With Fannie Mae Backing

Borrowers can pledge Bitcoin or USDC as down payment collateral without triggering a taxable event.

Coinbase and Better Home & Finance announced a partnership on Thursday to offer token-backed mortgages. The product aims to expand access to homeownership while carrying the same Fannie Mae backing as other conforming mortgages.

Qualifying Americans can now pledge Bitcoin or USDC as collateral to fund their cash down payment, securing a standard conforming mortgage without liquidating their digital assets or potentially triggering a taxable event.

How It Works

Instead of needing to come up with cash for the down payment, borrowers pledge their crypto holdings as collateral for a separate loan that covers the down payment. The result is two loans at closing: a standard Fannie Mae mortgage on the home, and a second loan secured by the pledged crypto. Both loans share the same interest rate and amortization term, so the borrower manages a single combined monthly payment — a structure the companies describe as a market first.

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The mortgages are designed in accordance with Fannie Mae guidelines and structured as standard conforming loans, which the companies say will enable significantly lower interest rates than those traditionally associated with token-backed loans.

No Margin Calls

If Bitcoin’s value drops, the mortgage terms remain unchanged, and no additional collateral is required. Market movements alone never trigger liquidation. Collateral is only at risk of liquidation in the event of a 60-day payment delinquency, similar to conforming mortgages.

For borrowers who pledge USDC, the collateral earns rewards that can help offset mortgage payments, enabling borrowers to reduce their net effective interest rate.

Coinbase One members who close a crypto-backed or regular mortgage through Better are eligible for a rebate worth 1% of the mortgage value, capped at $10,000, to cover closing costs and fees.

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Why It Matters

For decades, the path to homeownership has required Americans to sell assets, liquidate investments, or withdraw retirement savings to cover a cash down payment — often triggering capital gains taxes or early withdrawal penalties. Market reports suggest 52 million American adults, or roughly 20% of the adult population, have owned digital assets.

Until now, borrowers have not been able to get credit for those assets in the traditional mortgage underwriting process without first liquidating them. Crypto-backed mortgages change this by allowing onchain wealth to translate into real-world access, expanding the pathways to homeownership while preserving long-term investment positions.

Better CEO Vishal Garg said the partnership “introduces a new pathway to realizing the American Dream for the 52 million Americans who own digital assets.”

The companies plan to expand eligible collateral types over time to include tokenized equities, fixed income, and other tokenized real estate assets, pending market and regulatory conditions.

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This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Real-World Perps Thrive, While Altcoins Languish

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Gold, Derivatives, Precious Metals, Financial Derivatives, Energy, Futures, Altcoin Watch, Commodities Investment, Oil and Gas, Standard Chartered

Onchain perpetual futures linked to real-world commodities like precious metals and oil have surged in trading volume, signaling an investor rotation from altcoins to commodity-linked digital assets, according to a report published Thursday by digital asset bank Sygnum.

Trading volume for oil and precious metals perpetual futures markets on the Hyperliquid decentralized exchange (DEX) accounts for over 67% of HIP-3 contracts in Q1 2026, also known as “Builder-Deployed Perpetuals,” on the Hyperliquid platform, according to the report.

Previously, indexes accounted for about 90% of HIP-3 trading activity, but this has fallen to about 17%, according to Sygnum.

Gold, Derivatives, Precious Metals, Financial Derivatives, Energy, Futures, Altcoin Watch, Commodities Investment, Oil and Gas, Standard Chartered
HIP-3 trading volumes by asset class. Source: Sygnum

Weekend HIP-3 trading activity has surged by about 9x since January 2026, the report said, adding, “This is likely due to an uptick in crypto-native traders rotating into traditional assets as the broader altcoin market continues to underperform.” 

Lucas Schweiger, Sygnum digital asset ecosystem research lead, told Cointelegraph that this shift toward onchain digital assets is corroborated by a 250% year-over-year surge in the market cap of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs).

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There are about $23 billion in tokenized real-world assets that are traded on permissionless blockchain networks at the time of this writing, he said.

Gold, Derivatives, Precious Metals, Financial Derivatives, Energy, Futures, Altcoin Watch, Commodities Investment, Oil and Gas, Polymarket, Standard Chartered
HIP-3 weekend trading volume. Source: Sygnum

He also said that traders are treating altcoins as “leveraged BTC proxies.” Schweiger told Cointelegraph:

“That creates an environment where crypto-native capital naturally gravitates toward traditional asset perps that can be traded through the same wallet, using the same margin, just a different trade.”

The ongoing war in the Middle East and the disruption to energy infrastructure have caused oil prices to spike, while many altcoins are already down 80-90% below their all-time highs, according to Sygnum.

Related: Bitcoin leads, altcoin indicators drop to intriguing lows: Time for an altseason?

Recessionary concerns mount as Middle East war drags on

The war between the United States, Israel and Iran has disrupted critical energy infrastructure across the Middle East, causing global oil prices to spike to a high of about $120 per barrel.

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Oil prices have whipsawed since the start of the conflict, rising or falling in response to comments made by US President Donald Trump and the Iranian government or ongoing developments in the geopolitical crisis.

If the price of oil remains above $100 per barrel in 2026, it will cause inflation to spike, according to Nic Puckrin, market analyst and founder of the Coinbureau media channel.

Traders are still pricing in a potential de-escalation or a quick end to the conflict, but Puckrin warned they may be in for a “rude awakening ”if the crisis persists and higher inflation derails any hopes of further interest rate cuts in 2026.

Gold, Derivatives, Precious Metals, Financial Derivatives, Energy, Futures, Altcoin Watch, Commodities Investment, Oil and Gas, Polymarket, Standard Chartered
2026 US recession odds surge to 36%. Source: Polymarket

Since the start of the conflict on February 28, the odds of a US recession have surged to 36% on the Polymarket prediction market platform.

The US economy now has a near 50% chance of entering a recession in 2026, according to ratings agency Moody’s. 

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