Crypto World
Arcus Launches Tokenized Stocks on Robinhood Chain
A decentralized exchange (DEX) backed by Robinhood is expanding into tokenized stocks and derivatives as platforms compete to build onchain markets for traditional assets.
Arcus, a DEX built by the team behind decentralized trading platform dYdX and backed by Robinhood Crypto, launched tokenized stocks and perpetual futures on Robinhood Chain on Tuesday, according to an announcement shared with Cointelegraph.
The company previously launched spot markets when Robinhood Chain went live on July 1. Arcus offers more than 95 stock tokens, perpetual markets and crypto assets through a self-custodial trading account, with Paxos-issued stablecoin USDG serving as its primary collateral and settlement asset.
The launch comes as crypto companies and financial platforms increasingly compete to build infrastructure for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), while regulatory questions around access and product structure remain a key challenge for the sector.
Related: Bernstein raises Robinhood price target, cites tokenization and prediction markets
Self-custody shapes approach to onchain trading
Arcus’s launch includes tokenized versions of stock in major US companies such as Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google and Amazon, as well as perpetual markets tied to equities, exchange-traded funds, commodities, indexes and crypto assets.
The platform uses a self-custodial model, allowing users to retain control of their assets rather than deposit them with a centralized exchange. Arcus uses Privy, a wallet infrastructure company that helps applications create and manage crypto wallets, allowing users to sign up through email or social logins.

Source: Robinhood Chain
Users who already hold crypto can connect existing self-custodial wallets, including MetaMask, Ledger and WalletConnect, with the company citing support for additional Ethereum-compatible wallets.
Tokenized stocks face regulatory questions
Arcus said its stock tokens are unavailable in the US, Canada, the UK and other restricted jurisdictions, highlighting the different regulatory approaches to tokenized securities across markets.
Cointelegraph contacted Arcus for clarification on the restrictions but did not receive a response by publication time.
Regulators in markets including the US and UK have been examining how blockchain-based representations of traditional assets fit within existing financial frameworks, with questions around custody, ownership and market structure being addressed.
The launch adds another player to the growing race to build infrastructure for tokenized assets, with platforms including Coinbase-backed Base exploring ways to bring traditional financial products onchain.
Magazine: Is Robinhood Chain’s success bullish or bearish for ETH the asset?
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is $70K Next After BTC Broke Above $66K?
Bitcoin is attempting to extend its recovery after rebounding sharply from the June lows. The asset is now pressing into an important confluence of resistance, where a descending trendline aligns with a major supply zone.
While buyers have regained short-term momentum, the coming sessions will determine whether this move develops into a broader trend reversal or another lower high within the prevailing structure.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, BTC continues to trade below its long-term moving averages, with the 100-day MA positioned around the $70K region and the 200-day MA closer to $73K. Both averages remain downward sloping, indicating that the broader market structure still favors sellers despite the recent recovery.
Following the sharp decline toward the $57K to $60K support area, Bitcoin established a sequence of higher lows inside a narrowing descending channel. The recent rally has carried the price toward the upper boundary of this formation, which coincides with the $66K to $67K resistance zone.
A decisive breakout above both the descending trendline and the $66K to $67K supply area would represent the first meaningful structural improvement since the correction began. Such a move could expose the next resistance level around $74K, where the 200-day moving average and another major supply zone converge.
However, rejection from current levels would reinforce the descending structure and could trigger another pullback toward the $60K support region. Below that, the major demand zone around $55K remains the most important higher timeframe support visible on the chart.
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart presents a more constructive picture. Bitcoin has been respecting a well-defined descending channel since early June, but recent price action shows buyers steadily reclaiming higher support levels after defending the channel’s lower boundary around $58K.
The market has already broken above several intermediate resistance zones at roughly $58K and $61K before advancing toward the current resistance cluster around $66K. This area also aligns with the channel’s upper trendline, making it the key short-term battleground.
Unlike previous tests, the latest advance has been accompanied by stronger momentum, with RSI pushing toward the overbought territory near 70. This reflects increasing buying pressure but also raises the possibility of a short-term pause or local pullback if profit-taking emerges at resistance.
If the breakout above the channel holds, it could invalidate the current bearish corrective structure and pave the way for an advance toward the next higher timeframe resistance around $72K to $74K.
Conversely, failure to overcome this ceiling would likely keep Bitcoin oscillating inside the channel, with initial support located near $61K followed by the stronger demand region around $58K.
On-Chain Analysis
The Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric currently sits around 0.18, well below the euphoric levels observed during previous market peaks.
NUPL measures the aggregate unrealized profits and losses across the network. Elevated readings generally indicate widespread investor optimism and increasing profit-taking risk, while lower values suggest that market participants are holding significantly smaller unrealized gains.
The recent recovery in NUPL from deeply depressed levels indicates that profitability across the network is gradually improving alongside price. However, the indicator remains firmly within the lower sentiment bands and is still far from the overheated conditions that historically accompanied cycle tops.
This suggests that, from an on-chain perspective, the market has not yet entered an excessive profit-taking phase. If Bitcoin manages to break above its current technical resistance, continued improvement in NUPL would likely support a healthier and more sustainable recovery. On the other hand, a rejection at current levels could temporarily stall the metric’s recovery without necessarily invalidating the broader rebuilding process.
The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Is $70K Next After BTC Broke Above $66K? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
White House Agrees to Ethics Provisions in Market Structure Bill
The White House agreed to provisions in a crypto market structure bill that could ensure support from some Democratic lawmakers in the US Senate.
According to a Tuesday Punchbowl report, White House officials met with Republican Senators Cynthia Lummis and Bernie Moreno to reach an agreement on ethics language in the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act under consideration in the Senate.
Neither Lummis nor Moreno have publicly announced the details of the deal, which could facilitate Democratic support in what is expected to be a tight Senate vote, but the report suggested that it could affect US President Donald Trump’s crypto investments.

Event contract on chances of CLARITY Act being signed into law in 2026.
Source: Polymarket
The CLARITY Act, passed by the House of Representatives in July 2025 as part of Republicans’ “Crypto Week” agenda, has faced several delays in Congress due to government shutdowns, concerns from lawmakers over ethics, tokenization and stablecoin rewards and provisions for protecting developers from enforcement actions. Many lawmakers and industry advocates expect the Senate to consider the bill before the chamber breaks for August state work periods, but as of Tuesday, no vote appeared on the congressional calendar and the text of the bill had not been made public.
No certainty for 60-vote threshold
Last week, Trump urged the Senate to pass CLARITY “in honor of” the late Senator Lindsey Graham, whom the president said was “a big supporter” of the bill. Many crypto industry executives and lawmakers have publicly come out in support of the bill, but it’s unclear whether the legislation will pass the 60-vote threshold in the Senate, due to many Democrats’ concerns about potential conflicts of interest with the Trump administration.
Related: Ethics remain sticking point as crypto market structure bill goes to markup
Several Senate Democrats, including Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy, Jeff Merkley and Chris Van Hollen said that any CLARITY bill would be “worthless” without ethics provisions to address Trump’s ties to the crypto industry, including his memecoin and his family’s World Liberty Financial business. Cointelegraph requested details on the agreement from Lummis’ office but did not receive an immediate response.
A White House official told Cointelegraph that the administration was “committed to working with Congress to see the CLARITY Act advance and has agreed to the most comprehensive and wide-ranging ethics provision in history,“ adding that it had “bent over backward to accommodate [Democrats’] concerns.“
According to Coinbase vice chair Ryan VanGrack, Democrats have already been able to negotiate to include provisions on customer protection in the Senate bill. However, many lawmakers are calling for hearings to explore Trump’s investments and links to the industry before any potential vote.
Bitcoin price climbs amid CLARITY talks
The price of Bitcoin (BTC) rose above $66,000 early on Tuesday, reaching a seven-week high amid reports of an ethics deal and Trump’s plans to introduce additional 10% international trade tariffs.
“The reason that prices are running upwards are entirely dedicated towards the potential approval of the Clarity Act,“ said Michaël van de Poppe, founder and chief investment officer of MN Fund and MN Capital, in a Tuesday X post. “Things are brighter and brighter, and as the charts technically look incredible from here, it looks likely that we’ll see the Clarity Act being approved shortly.“
Magazine: Will the crypto lobby’s $189M campaign get CLARITY over the line?
Crypto World
AI firm ORO says North Korean hacker stole $600K worth of crypto
AI shopping agent developer ORO has revealed that it lost $630,000 worth of crypto when a suspected North Korean state hacker, posing as a conference contact, tricked a staff member into installing a malicious Microsoft Teams extension.
According to a post-mortem released by ORO, one of its team members met a contact at an industry conference in February 2025 and formed a “legitimate relationship” that involved communicating on Telegram.
Almost a year later in May 2026, the Telegram account belonging to this genuine contact reached out to schedule a catch-up call.
However, when the ORO staff member joined the call via a link that mimicked Microsoft Teams, there was no working audio, and so the pair rescheduled for another day.
Almost immediately, the team member’s computer prompted them to update Microsoft Teams, and, thinking nothing of it, they okayed the procedure.
Read more: MetaMask hired suspected North Korean dev flagged months earlier
However, the seemingly innocent update allowed a malicious extension to be installed onto their computer. This extension tracked their keyboard inputs, clipboard history, took screenshots of the computer’s page and browser history, and could swap out crypto addresses.
The attacker spent almost a month quietly collecting data before, on July 13, they drained ORO’s crypto wallets of 147,000 Alpha tokens.
ORO believes attack came from North Korea
ORO maintains that the contact at the conference was “legitimate,” and that their Telegram account had become compromised.
As for who the attacker is, ORO claims with “high confidence,” based on its macOS intrusion, that it’s a North Korean hacker from the state-backed group Sapphire Sleet.
It said, “The IP address that our compromised machine was beaconing to, the matching payload and some overlapping infrastructure outlined in the above post from Microsoft makes us confident that the attack came from this group.”
Indeed, Microsoft’s Threat Intelligence department highlights how Sapphire Sleet uses Teams-themed cover, social engineering, and focuses on macOS.
“By impersonating a legitimate software update, threat actors tricked users into manually running malicious files, allowing them to steal passwords, cryptocurrency assets, and personal data while avoiding built‑in macOS security checks,” it said.
ORO claims it’s partly responsible for $600K hack
Despite the hacker’s actions, ORO also partly admitted responsibility for causing the hack.
It claims that a lack of widespread support for hardware wallets in decentralised protocol Bittensor meant that the firm, going against its preference for hardware wallets, “temporarily” established the owner key as a software wallet.
It said, “This is what allowed it to be exfiltrated from a compromised machine. That was inexcusable, and it was our mistake. We are sorry for the impact this has had on our community and our supporters.”
ORO claims it’s actively pursuing the recovery of the stolen assets with the help of cryptocurrency exchanges and law enforcement, as well as Bittsensor agent firm Opentensor, Bittsensor wallet firm Curciible Labs, and Bittsensor AI infrastructure firm Connito AI.
The company also stressed that its subnet is “fully operational,” no other wallets, user, or subnet data was affected, and that validator signing keys on hardware wallets “were never exposed.”
Read more: Solana DEX Stabble urges liquidity exit after alleged DPRK mole revealed
A number of North Korea-related crypto attacks have been uncovered in recent months.
In April, a North Korean mole known as “Moo” was exposed by crypto sleuth ZachXBT and subsequently fired from Solana-based DEX Stabble.
This month, the crypto wallet firm MetaMask was revealed to have employed a North Korean mole as a developer for at least a month.
According to a DeFi security analyst, the developer’s links to Lazarus Group, another North Korea-based hacking group, were publicly available for almost a year.
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Crypto World
Venice Token Breaks Out with 10% Rally. How Far Will This Altcoin Jump?
Venice Token (VVV) price rallied 11% on Tuesday to $12.84, breaking above the descending resistance line that had capped every recovery attempt since the June 3 peak at $21.47.
The move ends a six-week correction that bottomed just below $10. Momentum, volume, and Fibonacci structure now make $14 the next battleground.
Daily RSI Broke Its Downtrend Before the Price Did
Momentum turned before price action did. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) broke above its descending trendline several sessions ahead of the price chart. Analysts often read such leads as early confirmation of a trend change.
The indicator bottomed near 32 in early July, when the Venice Token price tested the $10 area. It has since reclaimed the 50 midline and its moving average, and it currently sits near 55.
A reading of 55 leaves room before the overbought zone above 70. However, the signal would weaken if RSI slips back below 50 during a pullback.
A previous analysis flagged bearish divergences in VVV just before the June top, and momentum has since completed a full reset.
Hourly Volume Delivers Critical Confirmation
Daily volume tells a more cautious story. It has declined steadily since May, which means the breakout still lacks confirmation on higher timeframes.
The hourly chart fills that gap. VVV traded inside a parallel channel between roughly $11.35 and $12.05 from July 18 until Tuesday morning. The break above the channel’s upper band occurred during the strongest hourly-volume spike of the entire recovery.
Hourly RSI reached 83 during the impulse and has since cooled to 70. Therefore, a retest of the $12.00 to $12.05 area would be a natural next step.
Holding that zone would confirm it as new support and echo the bullish setups that preceded the May rally.
Venice Token Price Prediction Makes $14 the Gate to $16.80
The correction from $21.47 stopped almost exactly where the Fibonacci theory said it should. The low formed just below $10, slightly above the 0.618 retracement at $9.33, and near a prior resistance area.
The current target sits at the 0.382 retracement near $13.97. That level overlaps a horizontal supply zone around $14, where VVV stalled repeatedly in May and June. A move there would add roughly 9% from current prices.
A clean break above $14 would expose the 0.236 level at $16.83, about 31% higher.
Beyond that, the record high of $22.58 from January 2025 remains the final barrier. In contrast, a rejection at $14, combined with a $12 loss, would invalidate the bullish structure and reopen the $10 support.
Fundamentals could accelerate the move. Venice AI announced on July 17 that $5 of every $100 in API credit purchases now automatically buys and burns VVV. The token also led a broader altcoin rally in May, and rising burns tighten supply while most circulating VVV remains staked.
The setup now reduces to a single question. Either buyers convert $14 into a launchpad, or the breakout stalls at the same wall that stopped them twice before.
The post Venice Token Breaks Out with 10% Rally. How Far Will This Altcoin Jump? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Ondo Enables Tokenized Stock Collateral on OndoPerps

Ondo Finance said it has deployed its tokenized stocks as collateral on OndoPerps, a perpetual futures venue, starting with SPYon and QQQon, in a post published Monday on X. The OndoPerps account said tokenized stock collateral is "live" and "now available for all users," letting Ondo Stocks back… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Crypto giant Galaxy sets up $5 million fund to future-proof Bitcoin security
Galaxy Digital (GLXY) said it set up a $5 million fund for Bitcoin developers working to protect the network from the potential future threat posed by quantum computing.
The crypto financial services company said it will begin accepting applications for the Galaxy Bitcoin Quantum Readiness Initiative immediately, with grants focusing on developing quantum-resistant signature schemes, wallet migration tools and security audits. The company said it hopes other firms will contribute funding and research to accelerate the transition to quantum-resistant cryptography.
Bitcoin secures wallets and transactions with cryptographic techniques that current computers cannot break in a meaningful timeframe. While quantum computing is still too immature to attack the blockchain, advances in the technology have accelerated efforts across government and industry to adopt quantum-resistant standards before the threat becomes a reality.
In the event that quantum computers do become capable of breaking Bitcoin’s cryptography, roughly 6.9 million bitcoin could become vulnerable to theft, according to CryptoQuant research. At today’s price of about $66,800, that comes to about $461 billion.
Crypto World
Durov Says Telegram Will Ship Native Gram Wallet to a Billion Users

Telegram founder Pavel Durov said the messaging app will embed a native, non-custodial Gram wallet in every version of Telegram this summer, putting a self-custody crypto wallet in front of the platform's more than one billion users. In a post on July 21, Durov said he is "implementing a native… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Bitcoin and XRP rally into resistance as Iran claims Amazon strike
Bitcoin has risen 2.2% to $66,681, and XRP has gained 3.6% to $1.152 as both assets test chart resistance while Iran claims it struck Amazon’s data infrastructure in Bahrain.
Summary
- Bitcoin approached $67,257 Fibonacci resistance as bullish momentum strengthened on its daily chart.
- XRP broke above a symmetrical triangle, opening a possible move toward $1.30.
- Iran’s unverified Amazon strike claim added geopolitical risk to both crypto rallies.
IRNA, Iran’s state news agency, has reported that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps used several cruise missiles to attack what it described as Amazon’s central data infrastructure in Bahrain on July 21. The IRGC claimed the facility was destroyed, although Amazon and Bahraini authorities had not confirmed the reported damage at the time of writing.
According to the IRGC, the operation came in response to a US attack on the construction site of Iran’s Darkhovin nuclear power plant. The Iranian force has also threatened 18 American technology companies, including Microsoft, Intel, Cisco and Google, over their alleged links to US military and intelligence activity.
Amazon Web Services facilities in Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates have already faced attacks during the conflict. In April, an Amazon cloud facility in Bahrain had sustained damage in an Iranian attack, while service interruptions affected AWS infrastructure elsewhere in the region.
Investors reacted cautiously because the latest IRGC account lacked independent confirmation. Amazon shares had closed Monday 1.12% higher at $249.99, but US stock futures later surrendered part of their earlier gains as reports of the alleged attack circulated.
Military action continued while Pakistan pursued another diplomatic effort. The US Central Command had completed a new series of attacks on Iran, extending the American campaign to a tenth consecutive night.
CENTCOM listed Iranian command centers, maritime assets, missile and drone launch sites, and air-defense systems among the targets. The US military stated that the strikes were intended to reduce Iran’s ability to attack commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
At the same time, the Associated Press reported that Pakistan was trying to restart ceasefire negotiations. Those efforts continued as Iran attacked targets in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan and fighting disrupted commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
Bitcoin recovery runs into Fibonacci resistance
Bitcoin (BTC) rose from a daily low of $65,149 to an intraday high of $66,956 on Binance, according to the supplied TradingView chart. The move placed BTC directly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $67,257, calculated from the decline between $82,485 and $57,845.

TradingView’s daily setup identifies $67,257 as the immediate technical barrier. A daily close above it would expose the 50% retracement at $70,165, while another advance could bring the 38.2% level at $73,073 into view.
Failure to clear the 61.8% line would leave Bitcoin inside the recovery range formed since its late-June low. The same chart places the closest marked downside level at $63,118, which corresponds with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and overlaps with recent consolidation.
Momentum has improved alongside the rebound. Bitcoin’s relative strength index stands at 61.91, above its moving average of 53.05 but still below the overbought threshold of 70, according to TradingView.
The daily MACD also remains positive, with the MACD line at 508.46, the signal line at 406.09 and the histogram at 102.37. TradingView’s readings show bullish momentum, although the small gap between the two lines means BTC still requires follow-through above $67,257 to strengthen the signal.
Bitcoin’s latest candle opened at $65,255 and remained positive when the chart was captured. However, the unfinished daily candle means the attempted break cannot be confirmed until the session closes.
XRP breakout points toward $1.30
XRP (XRP) price has moved above the descending boundary of a symmetrical triangle on its Binance daily chart. TradingView data shows the token advancing from a session low of $1.111 to an intraday high of $1.158 after several weeks of contracting price action.

The pattern developed between falling resistance from the mid-June swing high and ascending support extending from the late-June low. XRP’s move above the upper trendline indicates a breakout attempt, although confirmation still depends on a daily close outside the formation.
Based on the measured height displayed on the supplied chart, the triangle carries a projected move of about $0.2845. Applying that distance to the breakout area places the first marked target near $1.30.
A second resistance line appears at $1.374, which acted as a trading area before XRP’s sharp decline in early June. The chart therefore shows $1.30 as the first target and $1.374 as the next barrier if buyers maintain control.
TradingView’s Aroon indicator supports the bullish attempt, with Aroon Up at 100% and Aroon Down at 42.86%. Chaikin Money Flow has also climbed to 0.08, indicating that buying pressure has returned during the breakout.
A move back below the triangle’s upper boundary near $1.10 would weaken the pattern and place its rising support at risk. Sustained trading above the breakout line would preserve the chart’s path toward $1.30, though the unverified Amazon strike claim and continued US-Iran attacks could increase volatility across both XRP and Bitcoin.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
APPG Targets UK Bank Debanking of Crypto Firms Before 2027 FCA Deadline
The UK Parliament’s Crypto and Digital Assets All-Party Parliamentary Group has launched a formal inquiry into why banks refuse to open accounts and block payments for crypto businesses. Written evidence will be accepted until August 31, while the group aims to publish recommendations before the FCA’s mandatory crypto regime begins in October 2027. The move tests whether the UK’s ambition to become a global digital asset hub can survive banking restrictions.
The inquiry was announced on Tuesday by co-chairs Lord Vaizey of Didcot and Labor MP Gurinder Singh Josan CBE. It covers difficulties opening and maintaining business accounts, transfer limits, payment blocks, and whether banks apply restrictions proportionately. It will also compare the UK’s approach with the US, Hong Kong, Australia, and the European Union.

The APPG outlined its concern clearly. It said crypto and digital asset firms have consistently reported difficulty accessing UK banking services. The group added that banking access is essential for legitimate businesses, while unnecessary barriers risk slowing investment, innovation, and long-term growth.
The scale of the issue remains significant. Research from the UK Cryptoasset Business Council, published in January 2026, found roughly 40% of payments to crypto exchanges were blocked or delayed by UK banks. One platform reported almost £1 billion in rejected transactions during 2025. Meanwhile, 80% of exchanges saw customer friction increase, while 70% described banking conditions as more hostile than a year earlier.
Those findings contrast with the government’s stated position. HM Treasury Economic Secretary Lucy Rigby told Parliament in March 2026 that licensed crypto firms should not face restrictions simply because they operate in the sector. As a result, the inquiry will examine why FCA-registered businesses continue facing banking hurdles despite regulatory progress.
Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio
UK Crypto and FCA Framework Sharpen the Debanking Question
The inquiry also follows the UK’s finalized FCA crypto framework. The authorization window opens in September 2026, while full compliance becomes mandatory on October 25, 2027. If licensed firms still struggle to secure banking services, confidence in the new regulatory framework could suffer.
Meanwhile, comparisons with overseas markets continue to grow. In the United States, crypto companies have compared banking restrictions to Operation Chokepoint 2.0. Kraken recently secured a $22 million settlement from an auditor it claimed abandoned the exchange during that period. In Australia, Coinbase has also criticized banks over restrictions on crypto-related services. The APPG will assess how competing jurisdictions have handled similar challenges.

The inquiry arrives during a political transition. Andy Burnham became Prime Minister on Monday, while John Healey was appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer. Legal experts say global financial firms will closely watch whether the new government delivers a stable regulatory environment for digital assets and financial services.
Written submissions will be accepted from July 21 through August 31 across banking, payments, fintech, and crypto sectors. The APPG will then publish recommendations before the October 2027 deadline. Industry participants are expected to advocate for case-by-case risk assessments instead of blanket restrictions on FCA-registered crypto firms.
Trade on Bybit and Get a Chance to Win Our $1,000 USDT Airdrop
The post APPG Targets UK Bank Debanking of Crypto Firms Before 2027 FCA Deadline appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Nears Seven-Week High as Equities Weigh Tariff Plans, Not Iran Risk
Bitcoin extended its early gains into the Wall Street open, tracking a broader buoyancy in US risk assets despite fresh geopolitical and tariff-related headlines. TradingView data showed BTC/USD pressing toward $67,000 and edging close to its seven-week highs.
What stands out for traders is that neither the latest escalation in the US–Iran situation nor renewed talk of international trade tariffs has meaningfully derailed momentum in crypto markets. Instead, price action suggests participants are leaning toward the view that any disruptions may be temporary—at least for now.
Key takeaways
- BTC moved toward $67,000 and threatened fresh multi-week highs as stocks held up into the US session.
- Escalating tensions involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz coincided with strength in risk assets rather than a selloff.
- Reported US tariff plans could have been a headwind for speculative markets, but traders appeared to expect a resolution.
- Analysts warn Bitcoin needs to reclaim its 21-week simple moving average to credibly challenge the broader bear-market structure.
Geopolitical escalation and tariff talk fail to cool risk appetite
According to TradingView, BTC/USD approached $67,000 during the session, with momentum that began earlier appearing to persist. The cryptocurrency’s relative resilience came alongside firm trading in US equity futures.
At the same time, the day’s headlines pointed to conditions that often support “risk-off” behavior. The US–Iran conflict saw further escalation after Iran struck targets at Amazon facilities in Bahrain in response to US strikes, and reporting indicated the Strait of Hormuz oil route remained closed.
In commodity markets, the geopolitical pressure showed up in crude prices: WTI oil rose to its highest level in over a month, nearing $85 per barrel, as TradingView’s WTI CFDs chart reflected.
On the policy front, multiple outlets reported that President Donald Trump is planning to introduce new 10% international trade tariffs. The proposal is described as following 50% measures imposed on Canada earlier in the week. Historically, tariff uncertainty can weigh on broader risk sentiment, yet crypto traders did not appear to react with sustained caution.
Instead, commentary from market participants suggested expectations that the situation would ultimately resolve in favor of markets. YouTube host Crypto Rover, for example, summarized the prevailing stance in an X post, writing that “Markets are pricing in peace.”
Stocks in focus as macro risks get tested
While crypto held up, some investors remained confident about near-term equity direction. Caleb Franzen, who runs macro analysis resource Cubic Analytics, posted on X that he had “zero fear” or worry regarding S&P 500 futures, describing the setup as supportive.
Still, the optimism was not universal. Cautionary notes surfaced from senior banking leadership, including JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, who warned that markets were not pricing risks aggressively enough relative to what could come next. The juxtaposition highlights the tension investors face: risk assets can keep rising even when underlying risks are real, as long as participants believe outcomes will be less severe than feared.
Technical pressure point: the 21-week trendline
For Bitcoin-specific direction, attention shifted from short-term resistance levels to a longer moving-average benchmark. Material Indicators cofounder Keith Alan offered a more guarded view of the near-term outlook, arguing that the bear market may still be intact until BTC confirms a stronger trend.
Alan pointed to a “golden cross” involving the 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages on Monday, but emphasized that such signals on lower timeframes don’t necessarily negate a broader downturn. In his X analysis, he warned that bear markets do not always look like bear markets—especially when price action is volatile but not trend-confirmed.
The key condition, according to Alan, is whether Bitcoin can reclaim its 21-week simple moving average. He wrote that the macro trend would be challenged only if BTC pushes above that level, noting that until then, “the Bear Market remains intact.”
At the time of writing, the 21-week SMA was cited at $69,720, a figure that also aligns with Bitcoin’s 2021 all-time high. The larger implication is that reclaiming this long-term trendline would signal more than just a bounce—it would suggest a shift in how the market is pricing longer-duration risk.
Alan also acknowledged that there was “no real resistance” until $67,250, which helps explain why traders were willing to press higher even amid macro uncertainty. However, the absence of immediate resistance near $67,000 does not guarantee follow-through if the move fails at the longer-term moving-average level.
What to watch next for BTC
With BTC approaching the high-$60,000 zone, traders are now likely to monitor whether price can build momentum toward the $69,720 21-week SMA area. If Bitcoin cannot reclaim that threshold, analysts like Keith Alan suggest the market may still be operating under a bear-market structure—even if rallies continue to occur in the shorter term.
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