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Bitcoin $150K Calls Drying Up, Santiment Says That’s Healthy

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Bitcoin market sentiment has cooled as speculative euphoria ebbs, according to a weekly assessment by Santiment. The analytics firm notes that calls for BTC to sprint into uncharted territory — with bold targets ranging from $150,000 to $200,000, or even a drop to $50,000–$100,000 — have faded from the discourse. The shift away from meme-driven optimism is framed as a healthier sign for the market, suggesting retail buyers are retreating from extreme projections. While price action has not produced a definitive trend, the combination of cooling FOMO and mixed on-chain signals points to a more cautious environment. Bitcoin previously surged to around $126,100 in October before sliding into a downtrend that persisted through year-end.

Key takeaways

  • Calls for extraordinary BTC targets are fading, signaling a rebalanced risk appetite.
  • Bitcoin traded near $60,000 on Feb. 6 and later rose toward the mid-$60s, reaching about $67,800 at the time of publication.
  • Social sentiment around BTC has shifted from extreme bearishness to neutral, complicating short-term trading decisions.
  • The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remained in Extreme Fear, underscoring persistent caution among investors.
  • On-chain activity shows warning signs, with declining transaction volume, fewer active addresses, and slower network growth suggesting dormancy rather than expansion.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Positive. Bitcoin’s bounce back toward the mid-$60k range provides a modest near-term price lift after February’s dip.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. The combination of softened sentiment signals and dwindling on-chain activity argues for a cautious stance rather than aggressive positioning.

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Market context: The mood around BTC sits at a crossroads between a cooler speculative outlook and a still-fragile risk-off backdrop. With daily trading volumes and on-chain participation cooling, the market appears to be testing whether the recent price appreciation can translate into sustainable user activity or whether it remains a symptom of speculative liquidity rather than fundamental growth.

Why it matters

The Santiment analysis captures a moment when the crypto narrative shifts from high-conviction price fantasies to a more grounded view of Bitcoin’s fundamentals and macro-driven price action. On one hand, prominent proponents previously predicting multi-hundred-thousand-dollar BTC prices have softened their stance, acknowledging the need for a longer, steadier runway. On the other hand, even as price nudges higher, traders face a paradox: sentiment has improved enough to reduce panic-driven moves, yet on-chain metrics tell a story of reduced network activity, which historically can precede meaningful price moves or retests of support levels.

Bitcoin’s price trajectory has been a central point of focus for market participants. After a push to the early 2025 high, BTC then retraced into late-year weakness, a pattern that left many investors cautious about the durability of any rebound. The February dip to around $60,000 was followed by a tentative recovery into the mid-$60k area, with the latest readings showing the asset hovering near $67,847 according to CoinMarketCap. This price action, set against fading meme-driven enthusiasm, underscores a market that may require clearer catalysts before committing to a fresh up-leg or a renewed consolidation phase.

From a sentiment perspective, the shift from “extreme bearishness” toward a neutral stance can both help and hinder decision-making. While neutral sentiment reflects a cooling of speculative frenzy, it can also reduce the clarity of trading signals, making it harder for participants to determine whether a breakout is genuine or simply a pause in the current range. Santiment cautions that relying solely on sentiment metrics in such environments can be misleading, urging traders to balance social indicators with real-time on-chain data and price action.

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On-chain indicators add another layer of nuance. Transaction volume, active addresses, and network growth have all shown a tendency to trend downward, a sign that the network is being used less frequently. In practical terms, this dormancy can imply that a large portion of market participants are waiting on the sidelines, rather than actively expanding utilization or driving new demand for block space. While this is not inherently bearish, it does suggest that price momentum might rely more on liquidity and macro factors than on fundamental network-driven demand in the near term.

Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index has persisted in the Extreme Fear zone, a reminder that risk appetite remains fragile even as prices recover from mid-wFebruary lows. Such readings often reflect a market where traders are wary of mispricing or sudden reversals, preferring to observe and react rather than to chase momentum. The juxtaposition of a modest price uptick with cautionary social sentiment and waning on-chain activity paints a complex picture for investors weighing the odds of a sustained rally versus a prolonged consolidation or a deeper pullback.

Beyond BTC-specific dynamics, the broader market context remains relevant. A cooler sentiment regime can coincide with tighter liquidity and a more selective investment climate, impacting capitalization on new products, exchange-traded products, and institutional allocations. In this environment, investors may favor risk-managed strategies and deeper due diligence over rapid entry, even as favourable macro cues or favorable regulatory developments could tilt the balance toward a renewed upswing.

What to watch next

  • Monitor on-chain metrics for signs of renewed active participation (transaction volume, number of active addresses, network growth) over the next few weeks.
  • Track BTC price action around key levels near $68,000–$70,000 to identify potential breakouts or resistance tests.
  • Watch sentiment indicators for any renewed swing toward bullishness or a return to fear-driven selling pressures.
  • Observe any shifts in macro liquidity and risk sentiment that could provide a catalyst for a sustained move higher or a pullback.

Sources & verification

  • Santiment: Weekly sentiment overview noting the decline in extreme price targets and the shift in retail optimism.
  • CoinMarketCap: Bitcoin price data showing a dip near $60,000 in early February and a later level around $67,800 at publication time.
  • Alternative.me: Crypto Fear & Greed Index reading at 8 (Extreme Fear).
  • On-chain indicators referenced by Santiment: transaction volume, active addresses, and network growth trends.
  • The broader discussion of BTC price dynamics and sentiment shifts summarized in Santiment’s weekly report.

Market reaction and key details

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has navigated a climate where speculative frenzy has cooled, and investors are increasingly data-driven in their approach. Santiment’s latest weekly note highlights a notable retreat in calls for explosive BTC appreciation or drastic downside, signaling a more tempered market outlook. The shift away from outsized targets underscores a broader recalibration of risk as participants weigh the likelihood of a sustained rally against the possibility of choppy, range-bound trading.

The historical price arc serves as a reference point for the current mood. After peaking around $126,100 in October, BTC entered a downtrend that tempered expectations for a rapid, uninterrupted ascent. The subsequent months reinforced a picture of a market sensitive to macro headlines and liquidity cycles, rather than a purely driven by hyperbolic optimism. In early February, the asset found its footing around the $60,000 mark, only to recover modestly in the mid-$60,000s and hover near $67,800 at the time of writing. This sequence illustrates how price and sentiment can diverge in the short term, with cautious optimism coexisting with measured risk-taking.

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On the sentiment front, the recovery from prior “extreme bearishness” suggests participants are beginning to consider price action in a more balanced light. Yet the absence of a clear, confirmatory trend means traders face a dilemma: whether to read the current neutral stance as a precursor to a durable rally or as a temporary pause before renewed volatility. Santiment emphasizes that sentiment metrics should not be the sole basis for decisions in such conditions; instead, they should be interpreted in the context of on-chain activity and price momentum to form a holistic view.

Despite the more constructive narrative around BTC, on-chain metrics offer a cautionary note. The indicators highlighted—transaction volume, active addresses, and network growth—are showing signs of deceleration. This pattern points to a market where a large share of participants is currently waiting on the sidelines, rather than actively expanding network usage or driving new adoption. While not inherently bearish, the data signals that any upside momentum may depend on a fresh round of sustained utility and user participation beyond mere price speculation.

Additionally, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index’s Extreme Fear reading reinforces the sense that risk tolerance remains constrained. In such an environment, even favorable price moves might be treated with scepticism by some investors who seek stronger proof of durable demand or clearer catalysts before committing additional capital. Taken together, the data landscape from Santiment — coupled with the price action and the on-chain signals — depicts a market undergoing a cautious recalibration rather than a wholesale paradigm shift toward new all-time highs.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Market volatility trap? This investment strategy may hurt investors

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Income-focused investing often leaves too much on the table, says Kathmere CIO
Income-focused investing often leaves too much on the table, says Kathmere CIO

The market volatility may be leading retail investors astray.

According to Kathmere Capital Management’s Nick Ryder, they shouldn’t use the current backdrop as an excuse to dive into defensive trades — including dividend-paying stocks and bonds.

“Oftentimes, we just see too often people taking an income-focused approach, and it leaves a lot on the table,” the firm’s chief investment officer told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “We generally just advise for all of our clients to take a total return-oriented approach … that’s going to apply across stocks, bonds and everything in between within a portfolio.”

Ryder, whose firm has $3.5 billion in assets under management, warns against so-called “yield-chasing.”

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“Within fixed income, it could be yield-chasing in terms of moving further out interest rate risk, taking greater amounts of duration and portfolio, [and] moving from investment grade to high-yield bonds —which have dramatically different risk and return expectations,” he added.

Ryder contends income shouldn’t be the foundation of long-term portfolios. He indicates investors are better served starting with goals and risk tolerance, then adding income, because pullbacks are part of long-term investing. An income-first approach, he cautions, can quietly push portfolios into unintended bets.

He’s also optimistic about the macro backdrop.

“Overall, the economy has been pretty darn resilient,” added Ryder. “You’ve seen corporate profitability be very resilient.”

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That total-return approach is also why Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is urging investors not to let the distribution number drive the decisions. 

“We think being smart about yield means balancing attractive yield with upside or long-term capital appreciation … not just going for a maximum possible yield,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview. “We think that’s a yield trap.”

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BlockDAG Reaches 35,000 Airdrops! Will its Beat LTC and BCH After the March 4 Trading Launch?

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BlockDAG Reaches 35,000 Airdrops! Will its Beat LTC and BCH After the March 4 Trading Launch?

The digital currency space is full of activity as top crypto gainers show fresh strength. Litecoin price today is hinting at a bounce over $56, with the $57 mark being a vital spot for the trend to keep moving up. Bitcoin Cash price stays firm around $559.70, keeping its main floor and showing a careful push from buyers.

Past these known names, BlockDAG (BDAG) is winning interest before its official start. With the Mainnet active and the TGE finished, people have already taken over 35,000 airdrops. The project is getting ready for a huge world release on exchanges in the USA and Europe on March 4th. Final Genesis coins are still open at $0.000125, making a fast path for those who want to join before the public markets take control.

With high interest before the start and a possible 400x listing jump, BlockDAG (BDAG) is showing up as a major path, ready to race against other top crypto gainers once the world trade begins.

Litecoin Price Today Points Toward a Positive Turn

Litecoin price today shows signs of moving up as a strong daily candle forms by the $56 floor. The $57 pivot point is very important for proving the short-term trend stays alive, and the Litecoin price today could find more strength if this spot is kept. Daily charts show that people are protecting the mid $50s, which suggests a careful move toward the green.

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How it looks next to Bitcoin will guide the next steps for Litecoin, and moving over the downward line of lower highs could clear a way to $68. Main walls at $57 and $64 will set how fast any relief climb goes. Litecoin price today stays tight near its floor, showing a chance for a big move if those buying stay in charge. Small jumps on the short charts offer paths for quick trades.

Bitcoin Cash Price Stays on Floor and Seeks a Move Up

Bitcoin cash price is sitting at $559.70 after a week with small shifts. BCH has kept above the MA 20 ($535.41) but is still below the MA 50 ($579.75) and MA 200 ($561.20), which shows short term strength hitting long term walls. Weekly views show different signs: MACD and ADX show selling power, while RSI and the CCI look more neutral or positive.

The main floor is at the Ichimoku Kijun near $513.50, with a wall at the MA 50. It will likely stay between $513.50 and $561.00 this week. A jump over $561.00 could start a new climb, while a slide under the floor might lead to a quick dip. Bitcoin cash price stays tight near the moving lines, showing a careful positive stance as people watch for breaks or drops.

BDAG Hits 35,000 Airdrop Milestone Prior to Launch

The waiting period is finished and BDAG is truly set to join the open market. Since the Mainnet is active and the TGE is finished, the work has shifted from planning to real movement. World trading starts on March 4 through USA and European platforms, and a large list of extra CEX spots will be shared near the start date. The creation stage is over and the market stage is where the real speed begins.

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Last Genesis coins are still out there at $0.000125, giving people a final opening to get ready before market trends take charge. More than 35,000 airdrop claims are already done, which proves there is high early interest. The smart plan for the rollout and the chance for a 400x listing jump have made things move faster for those wanting to get coins at the last set rate.

These points help turn BDAG into one of the top crypto gainers right now. Its mix of a planned world exchange start, active airdrops, and last pre-market rates makes a strong space for those who join early. When trading starts on March 4, the amount of coins, the need for them, and the speed will set the path, helping those who got in during this last opening.

Closing Summary

The digital coin space is showing careful hope as the Litecoin price today stays firm over $56, which hints at possible quick wins, while the Bitcoin Cash price stays close to $559.70, keeping its base but meeting some push back.

Both of these coins show steady speed among top crypto gainers, but those watching the market stay careful about key points for proof. At the same time, BlockDAG (BDAG) is setting itself up as a big new name. With its Mainnet running, 35,000 airdrops taken, and a last Genesis rate of $0.000125, the work is set for a big March 4th start in the USA and Europe.

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As world trading and DEX entry start, the smart exchange plan and high early need for BDAG show a strong chance for quick market results, giving a high growth path next to known coins.

Website: https://blockdag.network
Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial
Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu

Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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What’s next for Europe’s crypto after Lagarde steps down

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Crypto Breaking News

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is set to step down sometime before the next French presidential election, a timeline that market observers say could influence how Europe steers crypto policy and digital money initiatives. Lagarde’s tenure saw the EU push forward on the Markets in Crypto Assets regime, known as MiCA, and launch work on a digital euro designed to complement the bloc’s payments ecosystem. Yet policy gaps remain: DeFi remains خارج the regulatory scope of MiCA, and the final shape of the digital euro is still under debate. As observers weigh potential successors, questions arise about whether Europe’s cautious stance on crypto will endure or shift under new leadership.

Key takeaways

  • Lagarde’s looming departure timing could affect the tempo and tone of Europe’s crypto regulation, including MiCA’s implementation and post- MiCA adjustments.
  • MiCA has advanced but currently does not regulate decentralized finance (DeFi); policy gaps persist even as the bloc pursues a comprehensive framework for crypto assets.
  • The digital euro project has progressed from investigation to preparation for issuance, reflecting Europe’s bid to offer a secure, Europe-based digital money option while addressing privacy and offline operation concerns.
  • European officials continue to advocate for strict stablecoin regulation and global standards, emphasizing safeguards and equivalence with foreign issuers to prevent systemic risks.
  • Potential successors to Lagarde, such as Pablo Hernández de Cos and Klaas Knot, are expected to uphold a prudent regulatory posture toward crypto, signaling continuity rather than a dramatic policy pivot.

Sentiment: Neutral

Market context: The EU has moved ahead on a crypto framework with MiCA, while the digital euro program marches through defined phases. Investigation into the digital euro began in October 2021, and in October 2025 the ECB signaled it would begin preparation for issuance. The policy path sits within a broader global debate about stablecoins, cross-border payments, and central bank digital currencies as regulators weigh consumer protection, financial stability, and monetary sovereignty against innovation.

Why it matters

The trajectory of European crypto policy matters for users, investors, and developers alike. MiCA’s existence signals a long-awaited regulatory foothold for digital assets in a major economy, a framework that aims to reduce regulatory ambiguity while anchoring crypto markets in a single, coherent set of rules across 27 member states. Lagarde’s skepticism toward crypto—captured most famously in a 2022 remark where she described crypto as “worth nothing” for its lack of intrinsic backing—set a cautious tone. Even as the ECB advised, observed, and offered comments during the MiCA process, the central bank’s stance remained one of measured restraint rather than open endorsement.

“It is based on nothing … There is no underlying asset to act as an anchor of safety.”

That posture has shaped how Europe approaches crypto policy, emphasizing the need for robust consumer protections and safeguards against investor misperceptions. Even as MiCA became law, Lagarde continued to push for international alignment on stablecoins and for safeguards that would prevent the kind of market stress seen in times of stablecoin runs. In 2025, she urged lawmakers to ensure that stablecoins operate within a framework that includes robust equivalence regimes and safeguards governing transfers between the EU and non-EU entities. The aim is not merely domestic regulation but a coordinated, cross-border standard that could reduce regulatory arbitrage and systemic risk.

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Beyond MiCA, the digital euro represents a strategic bet on Europe’s monetary sovereignty in a digital era. The project has long faced criticism over privacy, offline operability, and the central bank’s ability to monitor or control spending. The ECB has defended the digital euro as privacy-protective and cash-like in its benefits, while acknowledging the need to adapt payment systems to a digital economy. The move to prepare for issuance in 2025-2026 reflects a belief that a European-issued digital cash tool could reduce costs for merchants, improve resilience in payment networks, and provide a platform for private-sector financial innovation to scale within a regulated environment.

Public remarks from Lagarde and her colleagues signal a cautious but constructive approach to the digital euro. ECB executive board member Piero Cipollone emphasized that the digital euro would preserve the advantages of cash while reinforcing the resilience of Europe’s payments landscape. The project is framed as a response to consumer demand for digital options, articulated by Lagarde as early as 2021 when she acknowledged an appetite for digital currencies if backed by secure, European infrastructure. The emphasis has consistently been on a solution that is secure, accessible, and fit for the future—without compromising financial stability or privacy.

As Europe debates the digital euro and a more comprehensive crypto framework, the identity of Lagarde’s successor could influence the emphasis placed on crypto innovation versus caution. The field remains skeptical about rapid, unbridled adoption, and the leading candidates discussed in financial circles—Pablo Hernández de Cos, former Spanish central bank governor, and Klaas Knot, former Dutch central bank governor—bring a similar prudential lens to crypto policy. Hernández de Cos, for example, warned that crypto assets can pose “highly significant risks that are hard to understand and measure,” calling for a robust regulatory transition from fiction to a more orderly framework. Knot, too, has been measured, recognizing potential benefits of blockchain while insisting on the primacy of stability and supervisory oversight.

The EU’s measured pace has been noted in contrast to the regulatory maturation observed in the United States and other jurisdictions. While the region’s path may appear deliberate, it has produced a comprehensive framework that integrates monetary policy considerations, payments regulation, and financial stability concerns. The collaboration between the ECB, European Parliament, and member states has yielded a crypto policy architecture that aspires to be risk-aware, globally harmonized, and technologically forward-looking without giving up the core public interest in stable and interoperable financial systems. In parallel, the ongoing dialogue around stablecoins—balancing innovation with safeguards—reflects a broader global debate about how to reconcile private money issuance with public monetary policy and consumer protections.

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Ultimately, the leadership transition at the ECB arrives at a moment when Europe is weighing how far to push centralizing control versus encouraging private-sector innovation in digital money. Lagarde’s legacy will be judged, in part, by how seamlessly MiCA’s, and the digital euro’s, developments continue under a new president. The fact that the EU proceeded with a regulated framework—rather than a laissez-faire path—before some other major jurisdictions illustrates a distinctive approach: prioritizing a well-defined supervisory environment that can accommodate innovation while reducing systemic risk.

As these conversations unfold, market participants will be watching for explicit signals on how a new ECB president will balance the competing imperatives of financial stability, monetary policy autonomy, and the potential for Europe to become a hub for compliant crypto activity. The coming months are likely to see tighter discussions around DeFi and cross-border payments, the refinement of MiCA provisions, and continued debates about the digital euro’s privacy guarantees and offline capabilities. The overarching narrative remains: Europe intends to shape, not simply follow, the global trajectory of digital money, with leadership choices that will echo through regulatory decisions, technology deployments, and the ongoing evolution of the crypto economy.

What to watch next

  • The selection process for a new ECB president—and whether Paris signals its preferred candidate—may influence the tone toward crypto policy and MiCA adjustments.
  • Key milestones in MiCA implementation, including any refinement of DeFi provisions or updates to stablecoin regulations.
  • Further communications from the ECB about the digital euro timeline, privacy safeguards, and offline functionality tests.
  • Continued international coordination on crypto standards, including discussions around equivalence regimes for foreign issuers.
  • Public speeches or BIS remarks from potential successors outlining their views on crypto regulation and financial stability.

Sources & verification

  • ECB public statements and press materials on MiCA and the digital euro rollout timeline.
  • Reuters coverage of Lagarde’s potential departure and the names of frontrunners to replace her.
  • BIS remarks and speeches by Pablo Hernández de Cos and Klaas Knot addressing crypto risks and regulatory frameworks.
  • Reports on Europe’s plan to close stablecoin loopholes and to align international standards, as referenced in contemporary coverage.

ECB leadership transition and Europe’s crypto policy trajectory

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is nearing the end of her tenure, with her exit anticipated before the next French presidential election. Her time at the helm has been marked by decisive moves to formalize Europe’s crypto regime through MiCA and to advance the digital euro initiative, a bid to provide a secure, European-based digital alternative to cash. In public remarks and behind-the-scenes deliberations, Lagarde has consistently urged a cautious, tightly regulated approach to crypto, underscoring the need to protect investors and preserve financial stability while still enabling innovation within a well-defined framework.

Her most public stance on crypto crystallized in a 2022 interview in which she described crypto as “worth nothing,” a sentiment anchored in the perception that many digital assets lack intrinsic value or a reliable anchor. The accompanying skepticism was not merely rhetorical; it shaped the ECB’s approach to MiCA as a mechanism to bring order to a volatile landscape. Lagarde and her colleagues argued that regulation should be robust enough to reduce risk, while not stifling legitimate use cases that could emerge from compliant, Europe-based crypto activity. The ECB did not legislate, but it played a central advisory and supervisory role, shaping the contours of MiCA through ongoing dialogue with lawmakers and industry participants.

As MiCA moved toward final enactment, Lagarde also pressed for international cooperation on stablecoins and cross-border standards. She warned that European legislation must deter the operation of stablecoin schemes without robust equivalence regimes and safeguards for transfers between the EU and non-EU entities. The aim was to prevent regulatory arbitrage and ensure that Europe remains part of a global financial system that is resilient to the rapid evolution of digital money. A recurring theme across her public statements has been the imperative to protect the public interest and avoid a future where private-sector control of a money-like instrument could undermine monetary sovereignty.

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The digital euro remains at the heart of Europe’s forward-looking money agenda. The project has faced criticism—particularly around privacy, offline operability, and the potential surveillance capabilities of digital cash. Yet the ECB has consistently asserted that the digital euro would be privacy-preserving and would replicate, in digital form, the advantages of cash. The bank has argued that such a currency could enhance payment resilience, reduce merchant costs, and provide a platform for private-sector innovation to flourish within a safe, regulated framework. The October 2025 decision to begin preparation for issuance signaled a concrete step toward realizing these ambitions, even as the detailed design and governance structures continue to be debated among policymakers.

Under discussion are also the personalities who might succeed Lagarde. The Financial Times has highlighted Pablo Hernández de Cos and Klaas Knot as prominent contenders, each with a record of cautious, risk-aware governance. Hernández de Cos, speaking at BIS events in 2022, warned of crypto’s potential risks and urged a transition from fiction to a more orderly, regulated ecosystem. Knot has similarly urged prudence, acknowledging potential benefits of distributed ledger technologies but emphasizing the need to preserve financial stability and maintain robust supervisory oversight. If Paris signals a preferred candidate, it could reinforce a policy posture that favors measured innovation with a strong emphasis on consumer protection and systemic resilience.

Ultimately, Europe’s crypto policy course appears to favor a steady, standards-driven path. While critics may argue that the approach stifles innovation, supporters contend that a predictable, well-regulated environment is essential for sustainable growth in digital money markets. The EU’s progress—often completed with more deliberation than in other regions—reflects a willingness to balance the benefits of financial innovation with the need to maintain trust in the financial system. As the leadership transition unfolds, market participants will be watching not only who rises to the ECB presidency but how new leadership weighs MiCA updates, the digital euro’s rollout, and Europe’s role in shaping global standards for crypto and digital payments. The coming months will reveal whether Europe can sustain its measured but forward-looking approach in a rapidly changing crypto landscape.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Top 3 reasons why the Ethereum price may crash to $1,500 soon

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ethereum price

Ethereum price continued its strong downward trend on Friday as geopolitical risks rose and demand for cryptocurrencies waned.

Summary

  • Ethereum price may continue the downward trend this year.
  • Technical analysis shows that it has invalidated the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern.
  • The upcoming Donald Trump attack on Iran may push prices lower.

Ethereum (ETH) token dropped to $1,937, down sharply from the all-time high of $4,943, and key factors suggest that it has more downside, potentially to the key support level at $1,500.

Ethereum price technical points to more downside 

The weekly timeframe chart shows that the ETH price has remained under pressure in the past few months. It has dropped in the last five consecutive weeks, and is hovering near its lowest level since May last year.

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The coin has dropped below the key support level at $2,145, invalidating the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, a common bullish reversal sign in technical analysis.

Ethereum has dropped below the 50-week and 200-week Weighted Moving Averages. It has also moved below the Supertrend indicator, a sign that bears remain in control.

The Relative Strength Index has moved to the oversold level of 30. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where it continues falling so that the RSI can become extremely oversold, which will then lead to a rebound.

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ethereum price
ETH price chart | Source: crypto.news 

Ethereum institutional demand is waning 

The other main bearish catalyst for Ethereum is that demand from institutional investors has waned in the past few months.

One sign for this is the fact that demand for spot Ethereum ETFs has waned. These funds shed over $130 million in assets on Thursday, bringing the monthly outflow to over $450 million. They have suffered outflows in the last four consecutive months.

Another sign of waning demand is that the futures open interest has continued falling in the past few months and now stands at $23 billion, down from the year-to-date high of $41 billion.

Donald Trump is locked and loaded on an Iran attack 

Geopolitics may also contribute to the Ethereum price crash as cryptocurrencies are no longer safe-haven assets.

All indications are that Donald Trump will attack Iran, as the US has accumulated a large armada in the region. In a statement on Thursday, he warned Iran of an attack that may happen in the next 10 to 15 days.

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An Iranian attack would have a major impact on financial assets. For example, it would lead to higher crude oil prices, which may lead to higher inflation. This is important as this week’s Federal Reserve minutes showed that some Fed officials are considering rate hikes if inflation remains at an elevated level.

Still, on the positive side, Ethereum has some potential bullish catalysts, including soaring transactions, active addresses, and fees. Also, key metrics in its ecosystem, like the DeFi total value locked has jumped to a record high in ETH terms. Also, its staking queue continues rising, while its market share in the real-world asset tokenization industry is soaring.

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70% UAE firms plan AI-driven SOCs

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Crypto Breaking News

Editor’s note: AI in security operations is rapidly changing how organizations detect and respond to threats. A global Kaspersky study indicates near-universal intent to integrate AI into SOCs, yet organizations still confront data quality issues, talent shortages and mounting costs. In the UAE, 70% of firms say they will probably adopt AI-driven SOCs, while concerns about data, skills and integration underscore the gap between ambition and execution. This editorial offers context on what to watch as AI becomes a core SOC capability and how to approach implementation responsibly.

Key points

  • 99% of respondents plan to incorporate AI into their security operations.
  • In the UAE, 70% say they will probably adopt AI in SOCs, with 30% stating they will definitely do so.
  • Top use cases: automated analysis for threat detection (58%), and automated incident response (46%).
  • Major challenges include data quality, shortage of AI experts, new AI-related threats, and high costs.

Why this matters

AI adoption in security operations is advancing, but the move from experimentation to real SOC impact remains challenging. Talent shortages and evolving AI threats complicate deployment. As providers roll out AI-powered features, organizations should couple technology with data governance and skilled teams to unlock meaningful improvements in threat detection and response.

What to watch next

  • Progress on data quality and availability for AI training and deployment.
  • Adoption of AI-powered features across SOC tools and platforms.
  • Investment in AI talent and integration of SOC processes with AI capabilities.
  • Updates to Kaspersky’s AI-powered offerings and threat intelligence capabilities.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Kaspersky study: 70% of UAE Firms Plan AI-Driven SOCs—But Talent and Data Gaps Stall Progress

February 20, 2026

Almost all companies planning to establish a Security Operations Center (SOC) regard artificial intelligence (AI) as a must-have component. However, despite high expectations, organizations face significant challenges in deploying and operationalizing AI effectively. These include a lack of high-quality training data, a shortage of AI-skilled personnel, substantial integration costs and emerging AI-related threats.

To explore how companies build and maintain processes in SOCs, Kaspersky conducted a comprehensive global study which highlights, among other things, priorities, expectations and challenges associated with leveraging AI to elevate SOC performance[1]. The findings reveal that an overwhelming 99% of respondents plan to incorporate AI into their security operations. Among them, nearly three quarters (70%) in the UAE say they will probably do so and nearly a third (30%) state they will definitely do so. This underscores the widespread perception of AI as a vital driver for enhancing threat detection, accelerating investigation processes and boosting overall SOC efficiency.

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When it comes to practical use cases, organizations in the UAE primarily expect AI to strengthen threat detection capabilities through automated analysis of data to identify anomalies and suspicious activities (58%) and to facilitate response automation, enabling rapid execution of predefined incident response scenarios (46%). These expectations align closely with the top motivations driving AI adoption in SOCs: improving overall threat detection effectiveness (46%), automating routine tasks (39%) and increasing accuracy while reducing false positives (52%). Large enterprises consistently report broader and more ambitious plans for applying AI across multiple SOC functions.

However, a clear execution gap appears when it comes to AI implementation, characterized by several critical and widespread challenges. Foremost is the lack of high-quality training data, a barrier cited by 32% of organizations in the UAE as a fundamental obstacle that hampers the accuracy and relevance of AI models. This issue is further compounded by other critical concerns: a shortage of qualified AI experts within internal team (43%), the emergence of new threats and vulnerabilities related to AI usage (27%) and the high costs associated with developing and maintaining AI-driven solutions (32%). Together, these factors create a barrier that prevents organizations from turning their AI strategy into operational success, underscoring the necessity for a structured and well-supported approach.

Organizations clearly recognize the value AI can bring to SOCs but the transition from experimentation to real SOC impact still remains challenging. Given the cybersecurity talent shortages—and AI talent being scarce as well—introducing in-house AI capabilities in a SOC remains a coveted but hard-to-achieve goal. This is why cybersecurity companies are investing in AI-powered features across their leading products. Over the past year, Kaspersky has introduced a comprehensive suite of AI-powered tools across its B2B portfolio to meet the rising demand for timely detection of more advanced threats, while also making our solutions more efficient and user-friendly,” says Anton Ivanov, Chief Technology Officer at Kaspersky.

To build and operate a successful and reliable SOC, Kaspersky recommends the following:

  • Engage with Kaspersky SOC Consulting during the initial setup or when enhancing your existing security operations. Our comprehensive consulting services are designed to help companies build a robust SOC and streamline its processes.
  • Boost your security performance with Kaspersky SIEM, powered by advanced AI capabilities. This solution aggregates, analyzes and stores log data across your entire IT infrastructure, providing contextual enrichment and actionable threat intelligence insights. Recently, this solution was empowered by AI capability to identify signs of dynamic link library (DLL) hijacking.
  • Protect your company against a wide range of threats with solutions from the Kaspersky Next product line that provide real-time protection, threat visibility and AI-driven investigation and response capabilities of EDR and XDR for organizations of any size and industry.
  • Equip your cybersecurity team with in-depth visibility into cyber threats targeting your organization. The latest Kaspersky Threat Intelligence delivers rich, contextual insights throughout the entire incident management cycle, enabling timely identification of cyber risks. Recently, it was strengthened by AI-enhanced open-source intelligence search, enhancing your team’s ability to uncover and respond to emerging threats with greater precision.

To explore more of Kaspersky’s solutions and services for building and enhancing your SOC, please follow this link.

About Kaspersky

Kaspersky is a global cybersecurity and digital privacy company founded in 1997. With over a billion devices protected to date from emerging cyberthreats and targeted attacks, Kaspersky’s deep threat intelligence and security expertise is constantly transforming into innovative solutions and services to protect individuals, businesses, critical infrastructure and governments around the globe. The company’s comprehensive security portfolio includes leading digital life protection for personal devices, specialized security products and services for companies, as well as Cyber Immune solutions to fight sophisticated and evolving digital threats. We help millions of individuals and nearly 200,000 corporate clients protect what matters most to them. Learn more at www.kaspersky.com.

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  1. The survey was conducted by Kaspersky’s internal market research center and involved senior IT security professionals, managers, and directors from organizations with 500 or more employees, and focused on companies that do not yet have a Security Operations Center (SOC) but plan to establish one in the near future. The respondents in this study come from 16 countries, including Germany, Spain, Italy, Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, Singapore, Vietnam, China, India, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates, and Russia.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Making cloud mining the preferred channel for ordinary people to steadily enjoy crypto dividends

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XRP ETF rebounds strongly, Arc Miner becomes a safe-haven choice

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

As 2026 nears, FT Mining’s zero-threshold cloud model is reshaping global crypto participation trends.

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Summary

  • FT Mining introduces zero-cost, flexible cloud mining, widening global crypto access.
  • As 2026 volatility looms, FT Mining’s compliant cloud model offers steady, low-barrier digital income.
  • With “after-sleep income” rising, FT Mining redefines mining through accessible computing power allocation.

As a new round of transformation in the cryptocurrency market approaches in 2026, a “lightweight” participation method is quietly emerging worldwide. Cloud mining platform FT Mining, with its disruptive “zero equipment, zero threshold” model, is rapidly becoming a convenient new channel for ordinary people to share in crypto dividends.

With its stable profit model, the platform has even been praised by French media as a “mining dark horse earning $2,000 per day.” This article will deeply analyze the wealth logic behind this phenomenon.

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Why FT Mining is becoming the first cloud mining choice

Founded in 2021 and headquartered in the United Kingdom, FT Mining has, after five years of development, rapidly risen to become a leader in the global cloud mining industry. FT Mining currently has more than 5 million registered users, operates over 100 large-scale mining farms worldwide, and contributes more than 3% of the total computing power of the global Bitcoin network.

Core platform highlights

Green Intelligent Mining:
All data centers are powered by clean energy and introduce AI algorithms to optimize the energy consumption-to-output ratio, taking into account both profitability and sustainability.

Top-Tier Hardware Guarantee:
Fully equipped with the latest cutting-edge mining machines to ensure industry-leading computing power output.

Compliant and Legal Operations:
Strictly complies with UK and EU regulations, possessing complete business registration and compliance qualifications, which can be traced and verified by users worldwide.

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24/7 Customer Support:
A 7×24-hour online customer service team responds in real time to any questions users encounter during the mining process.

Flexible Multi-Currency Deposits and Withdrawals:
The platform supports LTC, BTC, ETC, DOGE, USDT, USDC, SOL, XRP, and other mainstream and stable cryptocurrencies, making asset management more convenient.

Extremely Beginner-Friendly:
A simple and intuitive operating interface allows users with no technical background to complete the entire process from registration to earning within three minutes.

Daily Earnings Credited:
Mining output is automatically settled every 24 hours, and earnings are credited directly to users’ accounts, with support for withdrawal or reinvestment at any time.

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Dual Referral Rewards:
Successfully inviting friends to register and invest allows users to enjoy a permanent 5% investment rebate; they can also participate in the affiliate program, with up to $10,000 in additional rewards.

Start the FT Mining wealth journey in three steps

Registration Bonus:
Create an account and immediately receive a $15–$100 registration reward. At the same time, the platform will activate a free computing power contract to help someone steadily earn $1 per day and verify the mining process at zero cost.

Flexible Contract Selection:
FT Mining provides multiple computing power packages with different durations, ranging from short-term experiences to long-term compound interest, meeting the needs of investors with different capital scales.

Enjoy Daily Passive Income:
After the contract takes effect, the platform’s professional technical team will fully handle the operation and maintenance of mining machines. Log in to the account daily to view and withdraw continuously growing mining earnings.

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Selected computing power contracts

Beginner Entry [Basic Contract]:
Investment: 100 USDT | Term: 2 days | Daily Earnings: 4 USDT | Total Return: 108 USDT

Steady Progress [Classic Contract]:
Investment: 1,080 USDT | Term: 10 days | Daily Earnings: 15.66 USDT | Total Return: 1,236.6 USDT

Advanced Option [Classic Contract]:
Investment: 4,800 USDT | Term: 20 days | Daily Earnings: 76.8 USDT | Total Return: 6,336 USDT

High Return [Premium Contract]:
Investment: 28,000 USDT | Term: 32 days | Daily Earnings: 490 USDT | Total Return: 43,680 USDT

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Flagship Exclusive [Super Contract]:
Investment: 130,000 USDT | Term: 42 days | Daily Earnings: 3,250 USDT | Total Return: 266,500 USDT

(For more details, please visit the official website.)

Security and compliance: The cornerstone of building user trust

In the field of crypto assets, security is the prerequisite for earnings. FT Mining always places compliance and risk control in the first position:

Global Regulatory Endorsement:
The platform holds a license issued by the UK Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and U.S. MSB compliance certification. User funds are placed under institutional-level custody by HSBC, and asset security is protected by the laws of multiple countries.

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Cold Wallet Asset Isolation:
95% of user funds are stored in offline cold wallets and protected by Fireblocks bank-level encryption technology, maintaining a “zero security incident” record for two consecutive years.

Multi-Currency Hedging Strategy:
Users can independently choose to settle earnings into stablecoins such as USDT to lock in profits or obtain long-term compound returns through XRP staking services, effectively hedging against the market volatility risk of a single cryptocurrency.

Conclusion

FT Mining is reshaping the rules of cryptocurrency mining with the new concept of “zero-cost participation, high flexibility, and strong compliance protection,” opening up an accessible and stable wealth channel for ordinary investors worldwide.

As 2026 approaches and short-term market fluctuations become difficult to predict, choose to let assets sleep in a wallet, or embrace the “after-sleep income” revolution brought by cloud mining? The answer may lie in how someone wants to allocate their first portion of computing power.

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Visit the official website www.ftmining.com or download the official App to claim a $15–$100 registration reward and begin thejourney of steady daily income growth.

Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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Zcash price slumps as Ethereum plans stealth addresses and ZK privacy features

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zcash price

Zcash price has crashed this year, erasing most of the gains made last year as profit-taking continued and as competition fears rise.

Summary

  • Zcash price has slumped by 66% from its highest level in November last year.
  • Ethereum plans to launch stealth addresses, while Cardano is working on Midnight.
  • ZEC has moved to the distribution phase of the Wyckoff Theory.

Zcash (ZEC) token dropped to a low of $250 on Friday, down by 66% from its highest level in November last year. This crash has brought its market capitalization from nearly $12 billion to the current $4.21 billion.

The ongoing Zcash price crash aligns with the broader crypto market plunge that has affected Bitcoin and other top altcoins like Ethereum and Cardano. 

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At the same time, there are concerns that competition is rising in the privacy industry. The biggest competition will come from Ethereum, which plans to launch stealth addresses as part of the ERC-5565.

Stealth addresses aim to solve a key challenge that has existed for many years, where Ethereum transactions are public. As a result, sender and receiver data will now become private, a strategy that emulates Zcash’s shielded addresses.

Ethereum is also working on a strategy to implement zero-knowledge proofs in the layer-1 network, which will improve its privacy features

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Cardano, on the other hand, is working on Midnight, a zero-knowledge proof-based sidechain that will have advanced features. The mainnet launch will happen in March this year.

Meanwhile, data compiled by CoinGlass shows that Zcash’s futures open interest has dropped in the past few months, a sign that its demand has waned. It has dropped to $377 million from last year’s high of over $1.38 billion.

Zcash price technical analysis 

zcash price
ZEC price chart | Source: crypto.news 

The weekly chart shows that the Zcash price remained in a narrow range between the key support and resistance levels at $15 and $85, respectively. This consolidation was part of the accumulation phase of the Wyckoff Theory.

It then surged and moved to a high of $745 as part of the mark-up phase. Therefore, the ongoing retreat is part of the markdown and distribution of the Wyckoff Theory.

It has now moved below the key support level at $385, its highest level in May 2021. Also, it has moved below the 50-week and 100-week Exponential Moving Averages.

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ZEC price is also forming a bearish pennant pattern, a popular continuation sign in technical analysis. Therefore, the most likely scenario is where it continues falling, potentially to the next key support level at $200.

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How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market ‘glitches’ to make easy money

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How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money

A fully automated trading bot executed 8,894 trades on short-term crypto prediction contracts and reportedly generated nearly $150,000 without human intervention.

The strategy, described in a recent post circulating on X, exploited brief moments when the combined price of “Yes” and “No” contracts on five-minute bitcoin and ether markets dipped below $1. In theory, those two outcomes should always add up to $1. If they don’t, say they trade at a combined $0.97, a trader can buy both sides and lock in a three-cent profit when the market settles.

That works out to roughly $16.80 in profit per trade — thin enough to be invisible on any single execution, but meaningful at scale. If the bot was deploying around $1,000 per round-trip and clipping a 1.5-to-3% edge each time, it becomes the kind of return profile that looks boring on a per-trade basis but impressive in aggregate. Machines don’t need excitement. They need repeatability.

It sounds like free money. In practice, such gaps tend to be fleeting, often lasting milliseconds. But the episode highlights something bigger than a single glitch: crypto’s prediction markets are increasingly becoming arenas for automated, algorithmic trading strategies, and an emerging AI-driven arms race.

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As such, typical five-minute bitcoin prediction contracts on Polymarket carry order-book depth of roughly $5,000 to $15,000 per side during active sessions, data shows. That’s several orders of magnitude thinner than a BTC perpetual swap book on major exchanges such as Binance or Bybit.

A desk trying to deploy even $100,000 per trade would blow through available liquidity and wipe out whatever edge existed in the spread. The game, for now, belongs to traders comfortable sizing in the low four figures.

When $1 isn’t $1

Prediction markets like Polymarket allow users to trade contracts tied to real-world outcomes, from election results to the price of bitcoin in the next five minutes. Each contract typically settles at either $1 (if the event happens) or $0 (if it doesn’t).

In a perfectly efficient market, the price of “Yes” plus the price of “No” should equal exactly $1 at all times. If “Yes” trades at 48 cents, “No” should trade at 52 cents.

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But markets are rarely perfect. Thin liquidity, fast-moving prices in the underlying asset and order-book imbalances can create temporary dislocations. Market makers may pull quotes during volatility. Retail traders may aggressively hit one side of the book. For a split second, the combined price might fall below $1.

For a sufficiently fast system, that’s enough.

These kinds of micro-inefficiencies are not new. Similar short-duration “up/down” contracts were popular on derivatives exchange BitMEX in the late 2010s, before the venue eventually pulled some of them after traders found ways to systematically extract small edges. What’s changed is the tooling.

Early on, retail traders treated these BitMEX contracts as directional punts. But a small cohort of quantitative traders quickly realized the contracts were systematically mispriced relative to the options market — and began extracting edge with automated strategies that the venue’s infrastructure wasn’t built to defend against.

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BitMEX eventually delisted several of the products. The official reasoning was low demand, but traders at the time widely attributed it to the contracts becoming uneconomical for the house once the arb crowd moved in.

Today, much of that activity can be automated and increasingly optimized by AI systems.

Beyond glitches: Extracting probability

The sub-$1 arbitrage is the simplest example. More sophisticated strategies go further, comparing pricing across different markets to identify inconsistencies.

Options markets, for instance, effectively encode traders’ collective expectations about where an asset might trade in the future. The prices of call and put options at various strike prices can be used to derive an implied probability distribution, a market-based estimate of the likelihood of different outcomes.

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In simple terms, options markets act as giant probability machines.

If options pricing implies, say, a 62% probability that bitcoin will close above a certain level over a short time window, but a prediction market contract tied to the same outcome suggests only a 55% probability, a discrepancy emerges. One of the markets may be underpricing risk.

Automated traders can monitor both venues simultaneously, compare implied probabilities and buy whichever side appears mispriced.

Such gaps are rarely dramatic. They may amount to a few percentage points, sometimes less. But for algorithmic traders operating at high frequency, small edges can compound over thousands of trades.

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The process doesn’t require human intuition once it’s built. Systems can continuously ingest price feeds, recalculate implied probabilities and adjust positions in real time.

Enter the AI agents

What distinguishes today’s trading environment from prior crypto cycles is the growing accessibility of AI tools.

Traders no longer need to hand-code every rule or manually refine parameters. Machine learning systems can be tasked with testing variations of strategies, optimizing thresholds and adjusting to changing volatility regimes. Some setups involve multiple agents that monitor different markets, rebalance exposure and shut down automatically if performance deteriorates.

In theory, a trader might allocate $10,000 to an automated strategy, allowing AI-driven systems to scan exchanges, compare prediction market prices with derivatives data, and execute trades when statistical discrepancies exceed a predefined threshold.

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In practice, profitability depends heavily on market conditions and on speed.

Once an inefficiency becomes widely known, competition intensifies. More bots chase the same edge. Spreads tighten. Latency becomes decisive. Eventually, the opportunity shrinks or disappears.

The larger question isn’t whether bots can make money on prediction markets. They clearly can, at least until competition erodes the edge. But what happens to the markets themselves is the point.

If a growing share of volume comes from systems that don’t hold a view on the outcome — that are simply arbitraging one venue against another — prediction markets risk becoming mirrors of the derivatives market rather than independent signals.

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Why big firms aren’t swarming

If prediction markets contain exploitable inefficiencies, why aren’t major trading firms dominating them?

Liquidity is one constraint. Many short-duration prediction contracts remain relatively shallow compared with large crypto derivatives venues. Attempting to deploy significant capital can move prices against the trader, eroding theoretical profits through slippage.

There is also operational complexity. Prediction markets often run on blockchain infrastructure, introducing transaction costs and settlement mechanisms that differ from those of centralized exchanges. For high-frequency strategies, even small frictions matter.

As a result, some of the activity appears concentrated among smaller, nimble traders who can deploy modest size, perhaps $10,000 per trade, without materially moving the market.

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That dynamic may not last. If liquidity deepens and venues mature, larger firms could become more active. For now, prediction markets occupy an in-between state: sophisticated enough to attract quant-style strategies, but thin enough to prevent large-scale deployment.

A structural shift

At their core, prediction markets are designed to aggregate beliefs to produce crowd-sourced probabilities about future events.

But as automation increases, a growing share of trading volume may be driven less by human conviction and more by cross-market arbitrage and statistical models.

That doesn’t necessarily undermine their usefulness. Arbitrageurs can improve pricing efficiency by closing gaps and aligning odds across venues. Yet it does change the market’s character.

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What begins as a venue for expressing views on an election or a price move can evolve into a battleground for latency and microstructure advantages.

In crypto, such evolution tends to be rapid. Inefficiencies are discovered, exploited and competed away. Edges that once yielded consistent returns fade as faster systems emerge.

The reported $150,000 bot haul may represent a clever exploitation of a temporary pricing flaw. It may also signal something broader: prediction markets are no longer just digital betting parlors. They are becoming another frontier for algorithmic finance.

And in an environment where milliseconds matter, the fastest machine usually wins.

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‘Bitcoin Is Dead’ Searches Hit New Highs: Is the Bottom In?

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'Bitcoin Is Dead' Searches Hit New Highs: Is the Bottom In?


Such searches about BTC’s demise reached their highest levels in a while.

“The news about my death is greatly exaggerated.” Guess what, bitcoin is dead – again. At least according to people who search for that on Google and, of course, those who proclaim its demise.

Such instances in the past, though, have been followed by intense rallies as BTC typically tends to move in the opposite direction of what the crowd expects from it.

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Bitcoin Is Dead Searches on the Rise

It’s worth noting that when we tried to recreate the same search for “Bitcoin Is Dead” on Google Trends, the results were somewhat different from what Rekt Fencer reported. The analyst said these queries on the world’s largest search engine had just hit ATHs, but our graph showed that the peak was in December 2025.

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The levels are still quite high now, and have risen in the past few weeks, especially since BTC’s price tumbled from $90,000 to $60,000 by February 6. The retail crowd, which is usually Google Trends’ user base, has increased the searches for bitcoin’s untimely death.

Interestingly, the number of queries now is a lot higher than what happened after the FTX crash in late 2022. At the time, the uncertainty levels were through the roof, with many questioning the overall state of the market since one of its giants had just collapsed in days. Shortly after, bitcoin crumbled to $16,000 in what was a full-on bear market.

BTC’s crash at the time was for more than 75%, while this time, it retraced by a more modest 52% from top to bottom. Yet the crowd’s sentiment seems much more fragile now. However, most comments below Rekt Fencer’s post agreed that such negative feelings typically lead to immediate and impressive price reversals.

You may also like:

Dead 477 Times

Bitcoin used to be proclaimed dead so many times in the past, especially in its early and more volatile days, that websites had to be created to track all those obituaries. Two of the most popular ones – the obituaries page at 99bitcoins and bitcoindeaths – show close numbers. According to the former, BTC has been called dead 467 times, while the latter shows 477 such occasions.

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The last such examples were from February when one Deutsche Bank strategist said BTC must no longer be considered ‘digital gold,’ or a Financial Times columnist argued that even at $69,000, BTC’s price is still too high.

Well, bitcoin didn’t die after each of those 467/477 death proclamations. Just the opposite; it returned stronger than ever, attracting new sorts of investors, reaching new price peaks, growing its network usage, and so on. Why should we believe things should be any different now?

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Silver Price Prediction For March 2026: New All-Time High?

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XAG-USD Chart

Silver price has had a brutal yet fascinating start to 2026. After surging to an all-time high near $121 on January 29, the metal crashed nearly 47% by February 6. But since then, silver has staged a relentless 32% recovery to trade near $84 on February 20.

With markets closed on the 21st and 22nd, the question heading into March is clear: is this recovery the real deal, or does more pain lie ahead? The technicals and positioning data paint a nuanced picture. A consolidation is likely before the next decisive move, but the weight of evidence leans bullish.

Cup Formation, Hidden Bearish Divergence, And Signs Of Consolidation

The XAG/USD daily chart reveals a developing cup pattern, with the impulse wave originating from November 21, 2025, peaking at $121 on January 29, and pulling back to $63.85 on February 6. The recent recovery toward $84 is now approaching the neckline of this formation.

XAG-USD Chart
XAG-USD Chart: TradingView

Between February 4 and February 20, silver is printing a lower high setup. But the relative strength index (RSI), a momentum indicator, during the same period is forming a higher high: a hidden bearish RSI divergence.

This signals that, despite apparent RSI strength, the price trend favors consolidation before a decisive move. This pattern holds as long as the next candle remains below $92 (the previous high) and the RSI continues to climb.

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Smart money betting is betting on consolidation as well.

If the current consolidation develops into a handle, it must still hold above $75 to keep the bullish structure intact.

The cup-and-handle pattern gains validity on a clean daily close above $84. However, some consolidation is expected first — and the supporting indicators explain why a pause here is healthy rather than concerning.

Miners Lead, Silver Futures Lag: The Physical-Paper Divergence

The Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL), trading above $107, adds early validation to the bullish case. SIL peaked at $119 on January 26 — three days before silver spot topped on January 29. Miners leading on the way up and holding relatively firm on the recovery is a classic bullish leading indicator.

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Silver Miners ETF
Silver Miners ETF: TradingView

Mining companies have direct visibility into industrial order books and production demand, and their resilience suggests the fundamental picture remains intact despite the January liquidation. When miners hold while the metal consolidates, it typically signals that the next move is higher, not lower.

The disconnect between this physical market’s strength and the futures market’s hesitancy defines the current silver landscape.

COMEX silver futures (SI1!) are trading around $82 — below the spot price of $84. This backwardation (futures below spot) is rare and significant. It means buyers are willing to pay a premium for physical silver now rather than wait for future delivery.

The market is pricing urgency into spot, signaling physical tightness in the supply chain.

However, open interest on SI1! has been steadily declining since February 6, even as the Silver price rose from $63 to $82. A rising price amid falling open interest is the signature of a short-covering rally — traders who were short after the crash are buying back their positions, pushing the price higher.

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Silver Futures
Silver Futures: TradingView

This is not fresh money entering yet. It is the aftermath of the January wipeout clearing out. Short covering rallies have a natural ceiling, and once covering is exhausted, the price needs new buyers to sustain momentum.

This is where the transition to consolidation becomes the most probable near-term path — the short-covering fuel is running low, but the next wave of buying hasn’t arrived yet, as explained later.

Dollar Divergence, Gold Ratio Risks, And Hedge Funds On The Sidelines

The macro and positioning layers explain why consolidation is healthy rather than dangerous.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) sits above 97, having risen steadily since February 11. But since February 17, silver decoupled and started rising alongside the dollar. This is one of the strongest signals in the current setup. When silver rises despite dollar headwinds, it means underlying demand. Buyers want silver now, regardless of what the dollar is doing.

Dollar Index
Dollar Index: TradingView

The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAUXAG) adds a layer of caution. Currently at 60, the ratio has been declining since February 17, meaning silver has been outperforming gold.

However, the ratio is consolidating inside a bullish flag pattern. A breakout above the upper trendline could push it toward 70 or higher.

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If that happens, gold would reclaim dominance over silver — the market rotating back from silver’s risk-on appeal toward gold’s safe-haven purity.

Gold/Silver Ratio
Gold/Silver Ratio: TradingView

This would cap silver’s upside momentum or trigger a pullback. As long as the flag holds without breaking upward, silver’s outperformance can continue, but this is a risk to watch in March.

The tiebreaker comes from the COT (Commitment of Traders) report dated February 17. Managed Money — hedge funds and Commodity Trading Advisors — holds a net long position of just 5,472 contracts. During the rally to $121, hedge funds were positioned at multiples of this level.

A reading this low means the speculative heavyweights are still on the sidelines, waiting for a confirmed base before committing capital.

COT Report
COT Report: Tradingster

This is simultaneously the most bullish medium-term signal and the clearest explanation for near-term consolidation. There is massive room for fresh institutional buying when hedge funds re-enter. But they need to see a stable base and a clear breakout — likely above $92 — before stepping in.

March 2026 Outlook: Silver Price Levels To Watch

Four of seven key indicators lean bullish. These include Miners leading via SIL strength, backwardation confirming physical demand urgency, dollar-silver divergence showing genuine underlying buying pressure, and hedge funds barely positioned with massive room to re-enter.

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Plus, three indicators urge caution. These include declining COMEX open interest, hidden bearish divergence, and the gold-silver ratio’s bullish flag threatening to rotate momentum back toward gold.

The most probable path for March: silver consolidates between $75 and $92 as the market builds a base that gives Managed Money the confidence to re-enter.

A daily close above $84 confirms the cup-and-handle neckline. A push above $91–$92 validates the full breakout and opens the door to $100 — a psychologically significant level likely achievable by mid-March.

Extended targets of $121 (a retest of the all-time high) and $136 (the full Fibonacci extension) become realistic if the rally sustains through March with rising open interest confirming fresh institutional participation.

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Silver Price Analysis
Silver Price Analysis: TradingView

On the downside, $75 is the line in the sand. A daily close below $75 cracks the cup structure and invites a retest of $71. Losing $71 invalidates the cup formation entirely, exposing the 100-day moving average at $69.

Below that, the 200-day moving average at $57 represents one of the strongest structural support levels on the chart.

The bearish scenario gains traction if DXY surges above 100. Or the gold-silver ratio decisively breaks out of its bullish flag. Or if upcoming US economic data reinforces a higher-for-longer Fed stance, crushing rate-cut expectations.

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