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Crypto World

Bitcoin Bear Market Is Still Here, and BTC Could Plunge Under $50K: Analysts Warn

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BTC Exchange Reserve


Is BTC yet to feel real pain during this market cycle?

After a solid multi-day run, the primary cryptocurrency lost momentum again, dipping below $70,000.

Numerous analysts caution that the bears still control the market, expecting much more substantial price declines in the near future.

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Where’s the Bottom?

The recent FOMC meeting, and especially Chairman Jerome Powell’s subsequent speech, poured cold water on BTC, which earlier this week touched $76,000 for the first time since the beginning of February.

Recall that America’s central bank kept interest rates unchanged for the second consecutive time this year, whereas Powell said the stubborn inflation remains an issue for the local economy. He also outlined the military conflict in Iran, describing the rising price of petrol as another hurdle.

His comments were unfavorable to the cryptocurrency market, whose total capitalization once again slipped below $2.5 trillion. As for Bitcoin, its valuation temporarily fell to as low as $69,500 and currently struggles to remain above that line.

Several analysts have weighed in on BTC’s performance, noting similarities between its recent price action and past cycles. X user Ted pointed out that the current structure closely mirrors the pattern seen in 2022, which ultimately led to a drop to around $16,000. If that historical parallel plays out again, he warned that the price could slip under $50K in the near term.

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The analyst who goes by as bee on the social media platform outlined an analogous thesis. They suggested that BTC’s resurgence to nearly $76,000 has been a “fakeout” and bull trap, claiming that “we are still in a bear market” and the valuation could plummet to as low as $46,760 in the coming months. Leshka.eth joined the pessimists’ club, predicting a pullback to almost $53,000 sometime this summer.

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The Bullish Case

However, it’s not all doom and gloom, as some key indicators signal BTC may experience another significant revival soon. For instance, whales snapped up 40,000 units in a matter of a single week, potentially positioning themselves for the next leg up. At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen strong inflows, suggesting growing institutional demand.

The amount of coins sitting on crypto exchanges should also be mentioned. The figure has been gradually decreasing lately, and earlier today (March 19) dropped to a new six-year low of approximately 2.723 million. This means that many investors continue to abandon centralized platforms and move their holdings to self-custody, thereby reducing immediate selling pressure.

BTC Exchange Reserve
BTC Exchange Reserve, Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, some analysts, such as Ali Martinez, expect a significant price boom based on the formation of certain setups. Just a few days ago, he noted that BTC’s funding rates have turned negative, and in the past, that has always been a precursor of a “major relief rally.” Martinez reminded that in August 2023, such a development was followed by a whopping 176% price increase for BTC.

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Crypto World

$5 million political donation by BitMEX’s Delo lands amid U.K. crypto crackdown

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$5 million political donation by BitMEX’s Delo lands amid U.K. crypto crackdown

Ben Delo, co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX, said he donated 4 million pounds ($5.1 million) to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK party, in an opinion piece for The Telegraph Wednesday.

Delo wrote that the contribution was made “since the start of this year” to help build Reform UK into “a genuine alternative party of government.”

The op-ed does not specify whether the donation was made in fiat currency or cryptocurrency, though he also expressed support for a proposed U.K. government moratorium on political donations made in cryptoassets, citing regulatory complexity.

Guidance from the U.K. Electoral Commission, last updated April 7, 2026, states that crypto donations are currently not prohibited under electoral law, but are treated as non-monetary donations and must be valued in pounds at the time of receipt. Parties must also verify donor identity, particularly for contributions above 500 pounds.

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The Commission also noted government plans to introduce a moratorium on crypto donations, potentially applying retrospectively to contributions received from March 25, 2026, though no legal changes have yet taken effect.

Late last month, U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s government announced an immediate moratorium on cryptocurrency donations to political parties, citing concerns that digital assets could be used to obfuscate the origin and motivation behind donations in British politics.

The move placed crypto at the centre of a broader crackdown on foreign interference, signaling that regulators view digital payments as a democratic risk rather than a financial one.

Electoral Commission data does not reveal any contributions listed under Delo or BitMEX.

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Delo did not respond to a CoinDesk request for further information.

Farage acknowledged the support on X, writing that “brave people like Ben Delo” were becoming “even more determined” to back Reform UK.

In December, British multi-billionaire Christopher Harborne, a Thailand-based entrepreneur who has invested in stablecoin issuer Tether and crypto exchange Bitfinex, made a donation of 9 million pounds to Reform.

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Binance Rolls out Prediction Markets for App Using Predict.fun

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Cryptocurrency Exchange, Applications, Binance, Prediction Markets

Binance Wallet has integrated prediction market features into its app, saying it will cover all trading and settlement transaction fees for users as it make a play for a piece of the $20 billion market.

In a Thursday notice, Binance said it will launch probability-based markets as a feature on the company’s app through an integration with third-party platforms, starting with Predict.fun. According to the crypto exchange, the integration will be “gasless,” with the company sponsoring fees for trades and settlements on the BNB Smart Chain.

Cryptocurrency Exchange, Applications, Binance, Prediction Markets
Source: Binance

Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket offer users the chance to take a position on the outcome of events in a variety of topics, including politics and sports. The latter has put those platforms in the sights of multiple US state authorities who have filed lawsuits for allegedly violating state gaming laws by offering sports bets.

Binance’s integration is the latest example of a crypto platform moving deeper into prediction markets despite some of the more controversial bets on the platforms. Polymarket, for example, has offered users contracts on events related to US-Israeli military actions against Iran.

Related: DOJ and CFTC seek halt to Arizona action against Kalshi

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According to data from TRM Labs, the monthly transaction volume across prediction markets platforms reached $20 billion in January — a twenty-fold increase from levels seen in early 2025.

Kalshi co-founder denies Trump son is influencing US regulators

While state-level gaming authorities pursue the platforms in court, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has claimed it has “exclusive jurisdiction” to oversee prediction markets. Amid challenges by federal regulators to state actions, ties between some of the companies and the current US administration have stoked concerns among industry leaders and lawmakers about conflicts of interest.

In an Axios interview released on Thursday, Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and co-founder Luana Lopes Lara addressed questions about conflicts due to hiring US President Donald Trump’s son as a strategic adviser shortly before his father took office. 

“We have never asked for any favors […] and he has never done anything, any regulatory ask, nothing like that,” said Lara, referring to Donald Trump Jr. using his connections to the US government.

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Magazine: Anger grows over Polymarket bets on Iran war: ‘Dystopian death market’