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Bitcoin bounces, but $72,000 remains key price level to breaking downtrend: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin bounces, but $72,000 remains key price level to breaking downtrend: Crypto Markets Today

The crypto market pulled back from potential peril on Thursday, with bitcoin rising 3.9% from a local low of $65,600.

Prices advanced overnight, with bitcoin adding 2% since midnight UTC, solana (SOL) gaining 2.7% and ether (ETH) rising 1.2%.

The broader downtrend, however, remains intact with bitcoin printing a series of lower lows and lower highs to give back all of the gains it made in the 12 months ended October 2025.

In the short term, bitcoin needs to break above $72,000 to confirm a bullish shift from the range-bound price action that has seen it float between support and resistance.

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Spot bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. have posted their largest drawdown of this cycle, with 100,300 BTC in withdrawals since October. That equates to around $6.8 billion of extra selling pressure on an already fragile market.

Derivatives positioning:

  • Market dynamics are stabilizing. Open interest rose to $15.8 billion, signaling a shift from leverage cleanup toward a firmer floor, and retail sentiment is rebounding, with funding rates flipping flat to positive across all venues and hitting 10% on Bybit and Hyperliquid.
  • Institutional conviction remains anchored, with the three-month annualized basis persisting at 3%.
  • The BTC options market shows a slight shift in sentiment, with 24-hour volume reaching a 51/49 split in favor of calls.
  • While the one-week 25-delta skew has jumped to 17%, the implied volatility (IV) term structure remains in short-term backwardation.
  • This persistent front-end spike confirms that traders are still paying a “panic premium” for immediate protection, even as longer-dated tenors stabilize near 49%.
  • Coinglass data shows $179 million in 24-hour liquidations, with a 56-44 split between longs and shorts. BTC ($59 million), ETH ($46 million) and others ($16 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations.
  • The Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $68,400 as a core liquidation level to monitor in case of a price rise.

Token talk

  • Altcoins were perky overnight, lending token MORPHO rose by more than 12% since midnight UTC and AI payment token KITE added 11%, extending its 30-day rally of 153%.
  • The rotation was also seen among DeFi tokens such as jupiter (JUP), which jumped by more than 3.6% after hitting its lowest point in seven days on Thursday.
  • The CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Select Index (SCPXC) was the best-performing benchmark over the past 24 hours, posting a gain of 2.25%, closely followed by CoinDesk’s Memecoin Index (CDMEME), up by 2.2% over the same period.
  • The bitcoin-dominant CoinDesk 20 (CD20) gained by 1% as crypto majors posted more restrained gains.
  • Altcoins typically perform well during periods of consolidation as traders have the freedom to rotate capital into more speculative bets without risking missing a move on the likes of bitcoin, ether and XRP.

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Crypto World

Top 3 reasons altcoins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, XRP are rising today

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here’s why Pepe Coin, Zcash, Morpho, and Dogecoin are rising

Bitcoin and most altcoins, including popular names like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, and XRP, were in the green today, February 20, as investors bought the dip after some key catalysts.

Summary

  • Bitcoin and most altcoins rose on Friday, with the market capitalization of all tokens rising to over $2.3 trillion.
  • The rally happened after the Supreme Court ruled against Donald Trump’s tariffs.
  • They also rose after the latest US GDP report, which showed that the economy slowed in Q4.

Bitcoin (BTC) jumped to $68,000, while Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu Coin (SHIB), and Ripple (XRP) rose by over 4%. The market capitalization of all tokens rose by 2.2% to over $2.3 trillion.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu Coin, and XRP rose after the Supreme Court ruling 

The main reason why altcoins like DOGE, SHIB, and XRP rose is that the Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

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In theory, the ruling will have a positive impact on the US economy by lowering inflation. Such a move raises the possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, especially now that the recent data showed that the headline Consumer Price Index dropped in January.

In reality, however, the decision will not have a major impact as Trump has some backup strategies that he will use to implement tariffs on key countries like China, India, and those in the European Union. 

Weak US GDP data and impact on the Federal Reserve 

Bitcoin and other altcoins rose after the US published a weak GDP report. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the economy expanded by 1.4% in the fourth quarter, badly missing the expected 3%. 

The economic growth was much lower than the 4.4% experienced in the third quarter. This slowdown was mostly because of the prolonged government shutdown that happened during the quarter.

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The weak economic report is bullish for cryptocurrencies because it raises the possibility that the Fed will cut interest rates later this year.

Donald Trump gave Iran more time to reach a deal 

Bitcoin and most altcoins also rose after Donald Trump gave Iranian leaders more time to reach a nuclear deal with the United States. He gave them 15 days, meaning that an attack may not happen during the weekend as some analysts were expecting.

Still, most analysts believe that he will ultimately attack the country later this year, a move that will lead to lower crypto prices. As such, there is a risk that the ongoing rebound is a dead-cat bounce, a situation where assets rise briefly and then resume the downtrend.

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Bitcoin, Altcoin Gains Hold But Top Sellers Enforce The Range Ceiling

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Bitcoin, Altcoin Gains Hold But Top Sellers Enforce The Range Ceiling

Key points:

  • Bitcoin bulls are struggling to sustain the intraday rallies, indicating that every minor rise is being sold into.

  • Select major altcoins are showing weakness, signaling a drop to their strong support levels.

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls pushed the price above $68,300 but are struggling to maintain the higher levels. BTC is likely to record its fifth consecutive red monthly candle in the absence of a major rally in the next few days. That is the longest losing streak since 2018/19 when BTC fell for six successive months. A minor positive for the bulls is that the losing streak in 2018/19 was followed by a 131.6% rally over the following five months, per CoinGlass data.

Another indicator signaling a possible rally to the upside is the Bollinger Bands. According to crypto analyst Dorkchicken, the monthly Bollinger Bands are at their “tightest” level on record. All previous such instances have resulted in a bullish breakout, except the breakdown to $16,000 from $20,000 in 2022.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

Although signs point to a possible up move, traders should keep a close watch on BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) flows to gauge institutional activity. US spot BTC ETFs have recorded $403.9 million in net outflows this week, according to SoSoValue data. Unless Friday witnesses sharp inflows, reversing losses of the past three days, the ETFs are on track for a five-week outflow streak. A sustained recovery may be difficult without institutional participation.

Could buyers push BTC and select major altcoins above their overhead resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

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Bitcoin price prediction

BTC bulls have maintained the price above the immediate support at $65,118, indicating demand at lower levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers will have to push the Bitcoin price above the 20-day exponential moving average ($71,247) to gain the upper hand. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair may climb to the breakdown level of $74,508. Sellers are expected to aggressively defend the $74,508 level, as a break above it suggests the pair may have formed a short-term bottom. The pair may then ascend to the 50-day simple moving average ($82,258).

Sellers will have to yank the price below the $65,118 level to signal strength. The pair may then retest the Feb. 6 low of $60,000, which is likely to attract solid buying by the bulls.

Ether price prediction

Ether (ETH) has been consolidating between the $1,750 and the $2,111 level, indicating uncertainty about the next directional move.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

There is minor support at $1,897, but if the level cracks, the ETH/USDT pair may drop to the $1,750 support. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the $1,750 level, as a close below it may sink the pair to $1,537.

The bulls will be back in the driver’s seat on a close above the $2,111 resistance. If they can pull it off, the Ether price may rally to the 50-day SMA ($2,665). Sellers may again attempt to halt the recovery at the 50-day SMA, but if the buyers prevail, the pair may surge to $3,045.

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XRP price prediction

The failure of the bulls to push XRP (XRP) above the 20-day EMA ($1.50) suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The XRP/USDT pair may slide to the support line, which is a crucial level to watch out for. If the XRP price turns up sharply from the support line and breaks above the 20-day EMA, it suggests that the pair may remain inside the descending channel for some more time. Buyers will have to pierce the downtrend line to signal a short-term trend change.

Contrarily, a break and close below the support line indicates that the bears are in command. The pair may then tumble to $1.11 and subsequently to $1.

BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) has been gradually sliding toward the $587 to $570 support zone, indicating that the bears are in control.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the BNB price turns down and skids below the support zone, the BNB/USDT pair may start the next leg of the downtrend to the psychological level at $500.

This bearish view will be negated in the near term if the bulls push the price above the $669 resistance. If that happens, the pair may surge to the breakdown level of $730 and then to the 50-day SMA ($797). Such a move suggests that the pair may have bottomed out in the short term.

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Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) bulls are attempting to maintain the price above the immediate support at $76, but the bounce lacks strength.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That heightens the risk of a break below the $76 level. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair may plummet to the Feb. 6 low of $67. Buyers are expected to mount a strong defense at the $67 level, as a close below it may sink the pair to $50.

The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the breakdown level of $95. That indicates the bears are losing their grip. The Solana price may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($114).

Dogecoin price prediction

Buyers are attempting to push Dogecoin (DOGE) above the 20-day EMA ($0.10), but the bears have held their ground.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they have not given up much ground to the bears. That increases the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the DOGE/USDT pair may rally to the breakdown level of $0.12.

Contrary to this assumption, if the Dogecoin price turns down and breaks below $0.09, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That might sink the pair to the critical $0.08 support. 

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Bitcoin Cash price prediction

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has slipped below the 20-day EMA ($548), indicating that the bears are attempting to take charge.

BCH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the Bitcoin Cash price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the BCH/USDT pair may plummet to the next major support at $500. Buyers are expected to vigorously defend the $500 level, as a close below it may open the doors for a fall to the vital support at $443.

The bulls will have to push and maintain the price above the 50-day SMA ($575) to signal strength. The pair may then jump to $600 and later to $631. Buyers are expected to encounter aggressive selling in the $631 to $670 zone.

Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today

Hyperliquid price prediction

Hyperliquid (HYPE) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($27.89) on Thursday, indicating that the bulls are buying on dips. 

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HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers will have to drive the Hyperliquid price above $32.50 to seize control. The HYPE/USDT pair may then pick up momentum and surge to the $35.50 to $38.42 resistance zone.

On the contrary, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA ($30.01) and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it suggests that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair may then slump toward the $20.82 support, where buyers are expected to step in. 

Cardano price prediction

Buyers are struggling to push Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.28), but a minor positive is that they have not ceded much ground to the bears.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls will again attempt to drive the Cardano price above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair may march toward the stiff overhead resistance at the downtrend line. Buyers will have to achieve a close above the downtrend line to signal a potential short-term trend change.

Sellers are likely to have other plans. They will strive to tug the price below the support line, indicating the resumption of the downtrend. The next stop on the downside is likely to be $0.15.

Monero price prediction

Monero (XMR) has been consolidating in a downtrend, indicating that the bears have kept up the pressure.

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XMR/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the Monero price below the $309 level. If they manage to do that, the XMR/USDT pair might drop to the $276 level. Buyers are expected to defend the $276 level with all their might, as a close below it may sink the pair to $247.

On the upside, the bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above the 20-day EMA ($360) to signal strength. The pair may then climb to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $414.