Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Faces 25% Risk as Buy-the-Dip Narrative Weakens
Bitcoin’s recent rebound has revived the buy-the-dip narrative, but the data tells a more complicated story. After falling nearly 15% and briefly touching the $60,000 zone, the Bitcoin price bounced more than 11%, drawing traders back into long positions.
At first glance, the bounce looks encouraging. However, bearish chart patterns, rising leverage, and fragile spot demand suggest the market may not be out of danger yet. With a potential 25% downside still in play, the latest bounce is now facing serious scrutiny.
Bear Flag, Rising Leverage, and Falling Exchange Supply Signal Risky Optimism
Bitcoin’s short-term risk is already visible on the 4-hour chart.
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After the sharp sell-off toward $60,000, the Bitcoin price formed a rebound structure that now resembles a bear flag pattern. This setup typically appears when the price pauses after a strong drop before continuing lower. If the lower trendline breaks, the pattern points to a downside move of nearly 25%, targeting the $48,000–$49,000 zone.
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Despite this technical warning, leverage is rising again.
Following the 11.18% rebound, more than $540 million in new long positions were built on Binance alone. This shows that traders are once again using heavy leverage, betting that the bottom is already in. Similar behavior has preceded major liquidations in past downturns.
At the same time, spot market behavior reflects a growing buy-the-dip mindset.
Bitcoin supply on exchanges fell from around 1.23 million BTC to 1.22 million BTC between February 5 and February 6. This decline suggests that traders are withdrawing coins, possibly for short-term holding, expecting higher prices.
Public figures and social media sentiment have also turned more optimistic, reinforcing the ‘Buy-the-Dip’ narrative.
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Together, these signals possibly show misplaced confidence.
A fragile chart pattern, rising leverage, and early dip buying are forming at the same time. When optimism builds before structural weakness is resolved, downside risk often increases rather than fades.
Long-Term Holders Keep Selling as Realized Price Support Comes Into Focus
While short-term traders are turning bullish, long-term holders, the most stable folks, are moving in the opposite direction.
The Long-Term Holder Net Position Change, which tracks the 30-day supply shift among investors holding for more than one year, has remained deeply negative since early January. On January 6, this metric showed net selling of around 2,300 BTC. By February 5, that figure had worsened to roughly 246,000 BTC.
This represents a nearly 10,500% increase in long-term distribution in just one month. In simple terms, the most conviction-driven investors are still reducing exposure.
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This behavior becomes more concerning when combined with the long-term holder realized price.
The realized price represents the average acquisition cost of coins held by long-term investors. Historically, when Bitcoin approaches or falls below this level, it signals deep market stress. In past cycles, major rallies only began after the price stabilized around this zone; however, not immediately.
Currently, the long-term holder realized price sits near $40,260.
As Bitcoin moves closer to this level, more long-term investors approach breakeven. If the price drops below it, many enter losses, often accelerating capitulation. This dynamic played out in late 2022 before the final bear market bottom formed.
So far, that reset has not happened.
Long-term holders are still selling, not accumulating. Their realized price is becoming a key downside magnet. This suggests the market has not completed its full deleveraging and redistribution phase.
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Key Bitcoin Price Levels Show Why $48,000 and $40,000 Matter Next
All technical and on-chain signals now converge around a few critical price zones.
On the downside, the first major support sits near $53,350. A failure here would expose the $48,800 region, which aligns with the bear flag target and prior consolidation zones.
If $48,800 breaks, attention shifts to the long-term holder realized price near $40,260.
This zone represents the deepest structural support in the current cycle. A move into this region would indicate broad capitulation among long-term investors and confirm a deeper bear phase.
In a worst-case scenario, extended weakness could even open the door toward $37,180, based on longer-term projections and historical support clusters.
On the upside, Bitcoin must reclaim $69,510 on a sustained 4-hour closing basis to regain short-term credibility. A move above $73,320 would be required to invalidate the bearish pattern.
Until that happens, rallies remain vulnerable.
With leverage rebuilding, long-term holders still selling, and critical support levels approaching, the current rebound lacks structural confirmation. Under these conditions, buy-the-dip strategies remain exposed to sharp reversals rather than sustained upside.
Pump.fun has expanded its footprint in on-chain trading by acquiring Vyper, the Solana-based trading terminal, and winding down Vyper’s standalone product to merge its infrastructure into Pump.fun’s Terminal ecosystem. The transition is set to begin with the shutdown of core Vyper features on Feb. 10, while limited functionality remains accessible as users are directed to Pump.fun’s Terminal (the former Padre) for continued access to trading tools. The deal’s financial terms were not disclosed, and Pump.fun did not comment for this article. The move underscores a broader consolidation strategy as Pump.fun seeks to unify token launches, execution, and analytics under a single platform, even as Solana-based memecoin activity cools from the speculative peak of late 2024 and early 2025. The acquisition follows Pump.fun’s earlier push into trading infrastructure, positioning the company to streamline workflow across the memecoin ecosystem.
Key takeaways
- Pump.fun is consolidating its trading workflow by absorbing Vyper, integrating the terminal into its broader ecosystem rather than maintaining standalone tooling.
- Vyper will begin winding down its core product on Feb. 10, with limited functions remaining as users migrate to Pump.fun’s Terminal (formerly Padre).
- The deal’s terms were not disclosed, and Pump.fun did not provide comment prior to publication.
- The move follows Pump.fun’s October acquisition of Padre, which was rebranded to Terminal, and signals a broader pivot toward end-to-end trading infrastructure.
- DefiLlama data show Pump.fun’s monthly revenue peaked at over $137 million in January 2025, but fell to about $31 million in January 2026, illustrating a cooling memecoin market.
Sentiment: Neutral
Market context: The consolidation comes as the memecoin sector, which once heated Solana-based launch activity, has cooled amid slower momentum and tightened liquidity. The industry is calibrating trading workflows, liquidity provisioning, and analytics to weather shifting risk appetite and evolving regulatory scrutiny.
Why it matters
The acquisition of Vyper marks a notable shift in how meme-centric platforms orchestrate their trading infrastructure. By folding a standalone terminal into a broader platform, Pump.fun aims to deliver a unified experience that spans token launches, liquidity management, and execution analytics. For users, this could mean simplified onboarding and a more cohesive set of tools, reducing the need to juggle multiple interfaces across separate services. For the broader market, the move signals ongoing consolidation among infrastructure players as platforms seek to lock in users during periods of normalization after the frenetic memecoin era.
Central to the narrative is the Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) blockchain’s role in memecoin activity. Pump.fun’s strategy has long leaned on Solana-based launches, where liquidity and speculative demand previously surged, driving short-term revenue growth. The latest integration suggests that Pump.fun intends to offer a more durable, end-to-end workflow—combining launch capabilities with execution and analytics—potentially stabilizing revenue streams even as speculative dynamics recede. Investors will be watching how the Terminal ingestion affects execution quality, slippage, and the reliability of data streams as the platform absorbs Vyper’s user base and tooling.
From a governance and product perspective, the move foreshadows further shifts as platforms recalibrate their product mix away from standalone memecoin gimmicks toward sustainable infrastructure. Pump.fun’s earlier steps—acquiring Padre and launching an investment arm, Pump Fund, in January—signal a pivot beyond pure memecoin speculation toward more diversified funding and support for early-stage projects. The company’s stated intent to back non-crypto ventures through the hackathon underscores a broader strategic realignment toward building an ecosystem with longer-term value capture, beyond the transient popularity of individual memecoins.
What to watch next
- Feb. 10: Operational shutoff of Vyper’s core features and the continued migration of users to Terminal. Monitor any service interruptions or migration pain points.
- Progress of Terminal integration: Assess how quickly users adapt to the combined workflow for launches, execution, and analytics and whether feature parity with Vyper is maintained.
- Subsequent expansion: Look for additional upgrades or partnerships that broaden Terminal’s capabilities beyond memecoin launches, including non-crypto or cross-chain integrations.
- Regulatory and market context: Stay aware of changing regulatory signals and macro conditions that influence liquidity and risk sentiment in on-chain trading.
Sources & verification
- Vyper announced the wind-down and migration plan with Feb. 10 as a milestone (X post by TradeonVyper).
- DefiLlama revenue data for Pump.fun showing a peak of over $137 million in January 2025 and ~ $31 million in January 2026.
- Cointelegraph reporting on Pump.fun’s acquisition of Padre (trading terminal) in October, which was later rebranded as Terminal.
- Pump.fun’s launch of Pump Fund and the January 20 hackathon aimed at supporting early-stage projects beyond crypto.
- Contextual background on the broader memecoin market’s expansion and subsequent cooling, including market-cap discussions tracked by CoinMarketCap.
Expansion and consolidation: Pump.fun absorbs Vyper into its Terminal ecosystem
Pump.fun’s latest move extends a pattern of vertical integration designed to streamline how users interact with memecoin launches, liquidity provisioning, and on-chain analytics. By absorbing Vyper, a trading terminal with a dedicated user base, into Terminal, the company is effectively folding a specialized toolset into a broader platform that aspires to cover more of the user journey—from initial token ideas to live trading and data-driven decision making. The timeline is explicit: on Feb. 10, core parts of Vyper will cease operating as a standalone product, while limited functionalities will remain accessible to bridge the transition. Users are being redirected to Pump.fun’s Terminal, which had previously been known as Padre, signaling a seamless migration path for existing customers.
The strategic logic behind the acquisition aligns with a broader industry trend: platforms seeking to lock in users by offering a one-stop shop for token launches, liquidity management, and analytics. As memecoin momentum cooled—from the heady days when celebrity-led token drops and government officials’ involvement helped spur a parabolic interest to a more measured pace—providers have sought to preserve revenue by bundling services. DefiLlama’s data capture demonstrates how Pump.fun’s revenue trajectory paralleled this cycle: a record of $137 million in January 2025, followed by a steep 77% decline in the year that followed, landing around $31 million in January 2026. The consolidation may be a pragmatic response to such revenue pressure, creating a more sustainable platform that can weather fluctuating demand while still serving a highly specialized user base.
Industry observers note that the Solana-based ecosystem has been a focal point for memecoin activity, with a number of tokens and launchpads anchored to that network. The rebranding and consolidation around Terminal indicates a shift from a project-centric model to an infrastructure-centric approach—one that prioritizes execution quality, reliability, and analytics accuracy for traders and project teams launching new tokens. The absence of disclosed financial terms in the deal leaves questions about the valuation and future revenue sharing, but the strategic intent is clear: unify tools under a single umbrella to improve user experience and potentially stabilize monetization channels beyond speculative token launches.
In tandem with the acquisition, Pump.fun has already pursued related strategic moves. The October acquisition of Padre, which was subsequently renamed Terminal, extended the company’s reach into the trading floor’s core capabilities. Earlier in January, Pump.fun broadened its footprint by launching Pump Fund, an investment arm intended to diversify beyond memecoins, and kicked off a $3 million hackathon to back early-stage projects, including ventures not directly tied to crypto. Together, these steps signal an evolution from a meme-driven growth model toward a more diversified ecosystem play that emphasizes sustainable infrastructure, broader funding initiatives, and broader use cases for its technology stack. The market will likely scrutinize how this transition affects liquidity, execution quality, and the platform’s ability to attract high-quality launches in a shifting macro environment.
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Bitcoin (BTC) liquidated billions of dollars going into Friday as BTC price action set bearish records.
Key points:
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Bitcoin liquidates $2.6 billion as it sees its first red $10,000 daily candle ever.
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BTC price action dives further in percentage terms than on any day since the 2022 bear market.
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It may take until 2028 for Bitcoin to return above $93,500 again.
Bitcoin seals biggest daily dollar rout in history
Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD consolidating after bouncing from $59,930 — its first trip below the $60,000 mark since October 2024.
Sustained selling pressure during Thursday’s US trading session eventually sparked a liquidation cascade, with $2.6 billion in crypto positions wiped out over 24 hours, per data from CoinGlass.
Commenting, crypto market participants noted that the liquidation tally had surpassed both the COVID-19 crash from March 2020 and the reaction to the implosion of exchange FTX in late 2022.
COVID crash: $1.2B in liquidations.
FTX crash: $1.5B in liquidations.
Random Thursday (today): $1.7B in liquidations. pic.twitter.com/iY1vaYCjnd
— Alex Mason 👁△ (@AlexMasonCrypto) February 5, 2026
Bitcoin price action also brought back historical bear-market records elsewhere.
In percentage terms, Thursday’s daily candle was the largest daily decline since the FTX debacle — an event that sparked the bear-market low of $15,600.
“The ETF holders have never experienced this kind of sell-off,” Joe Consorti, head of growth at Bitcoin equity company Horizon, responded on X, referring to institutional investors with exposure to the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
They saw net outflows of $434 million on Thursday, per data from UK-based investment firm Farside Investors.
BTC/USD, meanwhile, achieved an unenviable new feat, falling by more than $10,000 in a day for the first time.
“Yesterday was the highest volume day on $BTC since August 2024,” trader Jelle added.
“One for the history books.”
BTC price “trend reversal,” only in 2028?
In a grim outlook for Bitcoin bulls, crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital said that it could be 2028 before a true rebound occurs.
Related: Will Bitcoin rebound to $90K by March? Here’s what BTC options say
Using the BTC price cycle model as a guide, including a key moving average crossover at the end of January, Rekt Capital foresees a classic bear market year for 2026.
“Looks like it indeed is the year of the Bitcoin Bear Market,” he wrote in an X post.
“2027 will be the Bottoming Out year for BTC. And 2028 will be the Trend Reversal year where $93500 would be finally broken.”
A separate post warned of “bearish acceleration” on BTC/USD, again mimicking the 2022 bear market.
The Bearish Acceleration phase of the Bitcoin cycle is in progress$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/5H7VPvksnH pic.twitter.com/XnPU3FeNhO
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) February 5, 2026
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Goldman Sachs has been working with the artificial intelligence startup Anthropic to create AI agents to automate a growing number of roles within the bank, the firm’s tech chief told CNBC exclusively.
The bank has, for the past six months, been working with embedded Anthropic engineers to co-develop autonomous agents in at least two specific areas: accounting for trades and transactions, and client vetting and onboarding, according to Marco Argenti, Goldman’s chief information officer.
The firm is “in the early stages” of developing agents based on Anthropic’s Claude model that will collapse the amount of time these essential functions take, Argenti said. He expects to launch the agents “soon,” though he declined to provide a specific date.
“Think of it as a digital co-worker for many of the professions within the firm that are scaled, are complex and very process intensive,” he said.
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said in October that his bank was embarking on a multi-year plan to reorganize itself around generative AI, the technology that has made waves since the arrival of OpenAI’s ChatGPT in late 2022. Even as investment banks like Goldman are experiencing surging revenue from trading and advisory activities, the bank will seek to “constrain headcount growth” amid the overhaul, Solomon said.
The news from Goldman, a leading global investment bank, comes as model updates from Anthropic, co-founded by a former OpenAI executive, have sparked a sharp selloff among software firms and their credit providers as investors wager on who the winners and losers from the AI trade will be.
Goldman began last year by testing an autonomous AI coder called Devin, which is now broadly available to the bank’s engineers. But it quickly found that Anthropic’s AI model could work in other parts of the bank, said Argenti.
“Claude is really good at coding,” Argenti said. “Is that because coding is kind of special, or is it about the model’s ability to reason through complex problems, step by step, applying logic?”
Argenti said the firm was “surprised” at how capable Claude was at tasks besides coding, especially in areas like accounting and compliance that combine the need to parse large amounts of data and documents while applying rules and judgment, he said.
Now, the view within Goldman is that “there are these other areas of the firm where we could expect the same level of automation and the same level of results that we’re seeing on the coding side,” he said.
The upshot is that, with the help of the agents in development, clients will be onboarded faster and issues with trade reconciliation or other accounting matters will be solved faster, Argenti said.
Goldman could next develop agents for tasks like employee surveillance or making investment banking pitchbooks, he said.
While the bank employs thousands of people in the compliance and accounting functions where AI agents will soon operate, Argenti said that it was “premature” to expect that the technology will lead to job losses for those workers.
Still, Goldman could cut out third-party providers it uses today as AI technology matures, he said.
“It’s always a tradeoff,” Argenti said. “Our philosophy right now is that we’re injecting capacity, which in most cases will allow us to do things faster, which translates to a better client experience and more business.”
Tokenised collateral is shifting from experimental pilots into core financial market infrastructure, according to comments from Keith Grose, UK CEO of Coinbase, as central banks and institutions accelerate real-world deployment.
Grose explains growing engagement from central banks signals that tokenisation has moved beyond the crypto-native ecosystem and into mainstream financial plumbing, particularly around liquidity and collateral management.
From Pilots to Production
“When central banks start talking about tokenised collateral, it’s a sign this technology has moved beyond crypto and into core market infrastructure,” Grose said.
He pointed to new data from Coinbase, showing that 62% of institutions have either held or increased their crypto exposure since October, despite periods of market volatility.
According to Grose, this sustained institutional presence reflects a shift in priorities. Rather than speculative exposure, firms are increasingly focused on operational tools that allow them to deploy digital assets at scale within existing risk frameworks.
Demand for Institutional-Grade Infrastructure
Coinbase said it is seeing growing institutional demand for services such as custody, derivatives and stablecoins, which Grose said are essential for managing risk and supporting day-to-day financial activity. “That tells us the market is building for real-world use,” he said.
He added that tokenised assets and stablecoins are expected to move from being conceptual possibilities to becoming everyday instruments for liquidity and collateral management. This transition, Grose said, will define the next phase of market development through 2026 as infrastructure matures and regulatory clarity improves.
The Role of UK Regulation
Grose highlighted the importance of the UK regulatory environment in unlocking further capital allocation into tokenised markets. While the UK has made progress in developing a framework for digital assets, he said policy choices around stablecoins will be critical to sustaining momentum.
“In the UK, to grow tokenisation we need no limits or blocking of stablecoin rewards,” Grose said. He argued that allowing investors to keep funds circulating within the digital economy would help unlock a genuinely liquid, 24/7 tokenised marketplace.
As institutions move from testing to deploying tokenised collateral in live market environments, Grose expects adoption to accelerate across custody, derivatives and stablecoin-based settlement.
With central banks increasingly engaged and institutional exposure holding firm, tokenisation is positioning itself as a foundational layer of modern financial infrastructure rather than a niche crypto application.
What Is Tokenisation and Why It Matters
Tokenisation is the process of representing a real-world asset on a blockchain. Tokens can stand for a wide range of assets both financial and non-financial, including cash, gold, stocks and bonds, royalties, art, real estate and other forms of value.
In practice, anything that can be reliably tracked and recorded can be tokenised, with the blockchain acting as a shared ledger that records ownership and transfers in a transparent and verifiable way.
As tokenisation continues to develop, its implications for markets, infrastructure and risk management are becoming clearer, prompting further research and analysis into how on-chain assets can reshape financial systems.
The post Coinbase UK CEO Says Tokenised Collateral Is Moving Into Market Mainstream appeared first on Cryptonews.
Pump.fun has acquired crypto trading terminal Vyper, which will wind down its standalone product and migrate its infrastructure into the Solana memecoin launchpad’s ecosystem.
On Friday, Vyper said core parts of its product will begin shutting down on Tuesday, while limited functions will remain accessible. Users were directed to Pump.fun’s Terminal (formerly Padre) to continue using the tools.
The move reflects a broader strategy by Pump.fun to consolidate more of the trading workflow, from token launches to execution and analytics, as memecoin activity cools from the speculative frenzy of late 2024 and early 2025.
The companies did not disclose the financial terms of the deal. Pump.fun did not respond to a query from Cointelegraph before publication.
Expansion beyond token launches
Pump.fun’s acquisition of Vyper follows earlier moves into trading infrastructure. On Oct. 24, Pump.fun acquired trading terminal Padre to strengthen liquidity and improve execution for tokens launched on its platform. Padre was later rebranded and now operates as Terminal.
In January, Pump.fun also launched an investment arm called Pump Fund, marking what the company described as a pivot away from a pure memecoin focus.
On Jan. 20, Pump Fund debuted alongside a $3 million hackathon aimed at backing early-stage projects, including those not directly related to crypto.
Related: MEV trading returns to court in Pump.fun class-action lawsuit
Consolidation amid a cooling memecoin market
The expansion comes as memecoin activity has fallen from peaks when celebrities and several government leaders launched their own tokens. Pump.fun’s growth was driven by intense speculative activity on Solana, but revenue has since fallen as the popularity of memecoins weakened.
Data from DefiLlama shows that Pump.fun’s monthly revenue peaked at more than $137 million in January 2025. That figure fell 77% over the following year, with the platform generating about $31 million in January 2026.
In December 2024, the estimated market capitalization of memecoins tracked by CoinMarketCap surpassed $100 billion. At the time of writing, the sector was valued at about $28 billion, a decline of about 72%.
Magazine: Hong Kong stablecoins in Q1, BitConnect kidnapping arrests: Asia Express
Yesterday’s decision by the Bank of England came as a surprise to forex traders. While the Official Bank Rate was left unchanged at 3.75%, markets were caught off guard by the notably dovish signals regarding future policy.
According to media reports, four out of nine Monetary Policy Committee members voted for an immediate rate cut. This has brought forward expectations of easing by the Bank of England, making the pound less attractive to hold and triggering its weakness yesterday.
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD
Price action in GBP/USD has been forming an upward trend (outlined by a channel) since November last year. However, yesterday’s move has put this channel at risk of a downside break.
It is worth noting that the market had only recently been in a very strong bullish phase. GBP/USD was advancing along the blue support line and even pushed above the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Sentiment then shifted abruptly. Bears stepped in aggressively, driving the pair lower and breaking through several technical levels in sequence:
→ the blue trendline;
→ the upper boundary of the channel;
→ the channel median, reinforced by the 1.3640 level.
As a result, the price fell towards the lower boundary of the channel, strengthened by the 1.3530 level, which had acted as resistance in late December and early January.
Almost all of the bullish gains made in late January have now been erased. It cannot be ruled out that today’s rebound in GBP/USD is merely a technical recovery — a pause that allows bears to regroup before attempting a break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel, potentially steering the market into a downward trajectory (shown in red).
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The U.S. jobs market is cooling fast, a timely blow that could force the Federal Reserve to loosen its purse strings and potentially put a floor under the price of bitcoin .
Planned layoffs, the job cuts that companies have announced but not yet executed, surged by 205% to 108,435 in January, according to data tracked by global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. That’s the highest reading since January 2009, months after Lehman Brothers collapsed and pushed the global economy into recession.
Year-on-year, the announced cuts rose 118%, indicating a sharp weakening in the labor market in the first year of Donald Trump’s second stint as president. The technology industry announced 22,291 reductions, with Amazon (AMZN) accounting for most, while United Parcel Service (UPS) announced 31,243 planned cuts.
Andy Challenger, workplace expert at Challenger, Grey & Christmas, called it a high figure for January, in any case a seasonally weak month for hiring.
“It means most of these plans were set at the end of 2025, signaling employers are less-than-optimistic about the outlook for 2026,” Challenger said.
This data clashes with the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly payrolls report, which still paints a resilient labor market picture.
Private reports are increasingly becoming early warning flags, signaling cracks forming before the official figures. Earlier this month, the blockchain-based Truflation showed a precipitous drop in real-time inflation, to under 1%, even as the official CPI lingers well above the Fed’s 2% target.
Together, these unofficial indicators suggest the Fed may soon need to relax policy by lowering borrowing costs to support the economy. The potential easing could bode well for assets like bitcoin, which is now down nearly 50% from its record high of over $126,000.
The Fed this month left the benchmark borrowing rate unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range, while flagging concerns about inflation. Analysts’ projections on what it will do next are all over the place.
JPMorgan expects the Fed to keep rates unchanged throughout this year and then increase sometime in 2027, while other banks expect at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts this year.
An economist who correctly predicted Japan’s fiscal issues expects Trump’s nominee for Fed chairman, Kevin Warsh, to cut rates by 100 basis points before the mid-term elections in November.
Quantum computing is moving from theory to long term strategic consideration, and Strategy (MSTR) has made it clear it intends to be proactive rather than reactive during the company’s Q4 earnings call on Thursday.
Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, plans to initiate a bitcoin security program to coordinate with the global cyber, crypto, and bitcoin security community.
The company addressed growing discussion around quantum risk and reaffirmed its commitment to bitcoin security, framing quantum not as an immediate threat but as a future engineering challenge the network can prepare for.
Strategy reported a net loss of $12.4 billion for the quarter. Shares fell 17% on the day, trading as low as $104, but market focus quickly shifted to executive chairman Michael Saylor’s commentary.
Saylor revisited a long list of historical Bitcoin FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) that the network has already overcome quantum concerns, while acknowledging that quantum deserves serious long term planning.
The company outlined a range of key points on quantum computing, predicting that quantum technology is likely more than a decade away and pointing out that the Bitcoin community is already researching quantum-resistant cryptography.
Shares are up 6% in pre-market trading as bitcoin has rebounded to $65,000.
Read More: Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz doesn’t see quantum as big threat for bitcoin
Santiment says extreme fear after Bitcoin’s $60K drop helped trigger a rebound, with a potential push toward $70K.
Bitcoin (BTC) slipped to around $60,000 earlier today before rebounding toward $65,000, following one of the sharpest daily sell-offs in its history.
The move has split traders between those calling the rebound a temporary technical reaction and others pointing to extreme fear as a setup for a recovery toward $70,000.
Fear Spikes as Bitcoin Rebounds From Sell-Off
On February 6, Santiment noted that social media mentions calling for Bitcoin to go “lower” or “below” shot up after the drop to $60,000, a pattern the analytics firm said often appears near short-term price rebounds.
The asset did indeed bounce back to about $65,000, with the uptick coming after what The Kobeissi Letter described as BTC’s first-ever daily drop of more than $10,000, alongside claims that a large leveraged position had been liquidated.
“Is this nothing but a dead cat bounce?” Santiment asked, while positing that enough retail may have been shaken out to justify a quick rally back up to the $70,000s.
The sell-off capped weeks of heavy downside pressure, as CryptoPotato previously reported, with Bitcoin wiping out gains seen after Donald Trump’s re-election and dragging most major altcoins lower. XRP fell 13% on the day, while Ethereum, Solana, and BNB also posted steep losses.
Meanwhile, on-chain and derivatives data are painting a mixed picture beneath the rebound. According to DeFi commentator Marvellous, “smart money” has taken a net short position, while whales and public figures are adopting long positions. The market watcher argued the move looked more like a mechanical response after $2.2 billion in long liquidations than renewed conviction, noting that open interest remained elevated and funding rates had stayed flat.
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Elsewhere, trader Sykodelic highlighted a lopsided liquidation map, claiming the market had cleared most long positions, leaving roughly $29 billion in shorts versus about $100 million in longs over a one-year view.
Price Action Shows Heavy Damage Despite Short-Term Bounce
Bitcoin was trading around the $65,000 level at the time of writing, down nearly 9% in the last 24 hours and more than 21% over the past seven days. Across the previous month, the losses stand close to 30%, pushing BTC about 48% below its peak from October 2025, when it surpassed the $126,000 mark.
Analysts from CryptoQuant have said that the current downturn is developing faster than the 2022 bear market, with their data showing the OG cryptocurrency fell 23% within 83 days of losing its 365-day moving average, compared with a 6% decline over the same period in early 2022.
Santiment added that sentiment toward both Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH) had turned “extremely bearish,” a condition that can coincide with short-lived relief rallies when retail fear stays elevated.
For now, traders remain divided. Some see the concentration of short positions and fearful sentiment as fuel for a move back toward $70,000, while others have warned that without a collapse in open interest and prolonged sideways trading, the recent bounce may only be the precursor to another test of lower levels.
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Secure Digital Markets sent $1M in Bitcoin to Kraken over Lightning, showcasing near-instant, low-fee settlement for institutional-size payments.
Summary
- Secure Digital Markets completed a $1M Bitcoin transaction to Kraken via Lightning on Jan. 28, the largest publicly reported Lightning payment so far.
- The pilot, powered by Voltage’s enterprise Lightning infrastructure, aimed to test high-value settlement between regulated counterparties with near-zero fees.
- SDM, Kraken, and Voltage executives say the transfer signals Lightning’s readiness for institutional treasury, venue-to-venue settlements, and faster exchange payments.
Secure Digital Markets (SDM) completed a $1 million Bitcoin transaction via the Lightning Network on January 28 in a pilot project with cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, the companies announced.
The transaction represents the largest Lightning payment ever publicly recorded, according to the companies. The payment settled almost instantly with minimal fees.
The operation was facilitated by Voltage’s Lightning enterprise infrastructure. Voltage is a Bitcoin payments and infrastructure provider focused on institutional clients.
The pilot project was designed to test whether the Lightning Network can support high-value transfers between regulated counterparties, according to SDM. The institutional trading and lending desk said the pilot demonstrated how Lightning can support use cases such as internal treasury movements, high-value settlements, and transfers between trading venues without the delays associated with on-chain settlement.
“Moving $1 million to Kraken via Lightning Network marks a definitive shift in global settlement architecture,” said Mostafa Al-Mashita, co-founder and director of sales and trading at SDM. “We have moved beyond the era of questioning Bitcoin’s institutional capacity.”
Kraken has supported Lightning for retail payments for several years. The company said the transaction reflects growing demand from institutional clients for faster settlement options.
Bitcoin Lightning Network used in investment
“Milestones like this demonstrate what’s possible when innovation meets real-world demand,” said Calvin Leyon, head of on-chain at Kraken. “By drastically reducing settlement times, Lightning Network unlocks Bitcoin’s potential on a global scale.”
Graham Krizek, founder and CEO of Voltage, said the transaction highlights the network’s maturity and its ability to meet enterprise requirements.
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