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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak

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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 2

Bitcoin prices traded cautiously after US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs snapped a three-day inflow streak, adding pressure to an already fragile market structure.

Summary

  • Bitcoin traded cautiously near $67,000 after US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs ended a three-day inflow streak, flipping back to net outflows.
  • ETF flow data points to waning institutional demand, reinforcing fragile market structure amid ongoing price consolidation.
  • Technically, BTC remains well below its 50-day moving average, with RSI in the low-30s, keeping near-term momentum tilted to the downside.

Bitcoin price struggles as ETF momentum stalls

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $67,000 at press time, struggling to attract strong upside follow-through after recent attempts to stabilize.

ETF flow data shows Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded steady inflows over the previous three sessions, signaling a brief return of institutional demand as BTC attempted to stabilize near $67,000.

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However, that trend reversed in the latest session, with net outflows replacing inflows, suggesting renewed caution among investors amid ongoing price consolidation.

Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 2
Bitcoin ETF flows | Source: SoSoValue

The halt in ETF inflows comes as broader risk sentiment remains mixed, with traders closely watching whether institutional demand can reassert itself after weeks of volatility.

Bitcoin price action weak below key moving average

The daily chart shows Bitcoin remains well below its 50-day simple moving average, which is currently hovering near $85,000. This large gap highlights the depth of the recent correction and signals that the broader trend remains under bearish control.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding below the neutral 50 level. It sits in the low-30s, suggesting bearish momentum is still dominant, even as selling pressure has eased compared with January’s sharp breakdown.

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Bitcoin price prediction as BTC ETFs break three-day inflow streak - 3
Bitcoin price performance | Source: Crypto.News

On the downside, immediate support sits near $66,500–$66,000, a level that has repeatedly attracted buyers in recent sessions. A decisive break below this zone could expose Bitcoin to deeper losses toward $64,000, followed by a broader psychological support area near $60,000.

On the upside, initial resistance is located around $70,000, where prior rebound attempts have stalled. Beyond that, stronger resistance emerges near $74,000–$75,000, a former support zone that now acts as a selling area.

A sustained move above these levels would be required to signal a shift in near-term momentum.

Overall, Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase following a sharp correction, with ETF flow data and broader market sentiment likely to determine whether BTC breaks higher or resumes its downward trend in the days ahead.

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Bitcoin is Positioning for ‘War is Ending’ Narrative Ahead of Trump’s Iran Speech

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Bitcoin held steady near the $68,000 range on Wednesday as markets braced for a key speech from President Donald Trump on the Iran war. Reports suggest Trump may signal that the conflict is nearing an end, possibly within weeks, while framing recent actions as a strategic success.

However, despite the “war ending soon” narrative gaining traction, Bitcoin’s intraday data shows a more cautious market beneath the surface.

Rallies Sold, Not Built

Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shows a clear trend: sellers dominated most of the day.

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After an early push higher, CVD steadily declined into negative territory. This means more aggressive sell orders hit the market than buys. In simple terms, traders used price strength to exit positions rather than build new ones.

Even during small recoveries later in the day, selling pressure continued. That signals weak conviction behind the upside.

Bitcoin CVD on April 1, 2026. Source: TradingView

Volume Confirms Distribution

On-Balance Volume (OBV) tells a similar story.

While Bitcoin’s price moved sideways for much of the session, OBV trended lower. This divergence suggests that volume flowed out of the asset, not into it.

Put simply, the market was not accumulating Bitcoin. Instead, it was quietly distributing, with sellers outweighing buyers over the full session.

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Bitcoin On-Chain Volume on April 1, 2026. Source: TradingView

Late Buyers Step In — But Lightly

Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) adds a final layer.

The indicator flipped slightly positive toward the end of the day, showing that some buyers stepped in during the final hours. However, the move remained modest and inconsistent.

This suggests dip-buying activity, but not strong or sustained demand.

Bitcoin CMF on April 1, 2026. Source: TradingView

Market Prepares, But Doesn’t Commit

Taken together, the data points to a market positioning defensively.

Bitcoin appears to be pricing in the possibility of de-escalation. Yet traders are not aggressively betting on a breakout. Instead, they are selling into strength and waiting for confirmation.

The pattern aligns with a broader “sell the news” setup.

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Bitcoin Price Chart Over the Past Week. Source: CoinGecko

A Narrative Priced In — But Not Trusted

If Trump confirms a near-term end to the conflict, markets may react positively at first. However, Bitcoin’s flow data suggests that much of this expectation is already priced in.

For now, the market is not chasing the narrative. It is preparing for it — cautiously.

The post Bitcoin is Positioning for ‘War is Ending’ Narrative Ahead of Trump’s Iran Speech appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Square launches zero-fee Bitcoin payments for US merchants through 2026: Square

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Square launches zero-fee Bitcoin payments for US merchants through 2026: Square


Square is waiving processing fees for Bitcoin payments at US merchants for two years, with instant dollar conversion to reduce adoption barriers.

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

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This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

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Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.