By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin BTC$72,268.80 looks to be gathering bullish momentum, with volatility expected to increase as prices near a $3 billion trigger point.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value climbed through $72,100 during European hours, the widely tracked average price over the past 50 days. According to analysts, a firm move above this level would confirm bullish momentum, potentially drawing in more buyers.

Volatility is likely to pick up should prices near $75,000. That’s where options market makers, who provide order-book liquidity and ensure a seamless trading experience, are holding net “short gamma” positions worth $3 billion, according to Markus Thielen, the founder of 10x Research.

It means that as prices climb toward that level, these entities are likely to buy to rebalance their net exposure to neutral even as prices rise. This so-called dealer hedging could boost market volatility, potentially accelerating any rally. Note that market makers make money through the bid-ask spread, not price direction.

“The options market shows roughly $3 billion of negative gamma exposure at the $75,000 strike, meaning dealers are likely short gamma around this level. As Bitcoin moves higher toward this region, dealer hedging flows can begin to play a more important role in shaping price dynamics,” Thielen said in a note to clients.

That’s not, however, a set-in-concrete scenario. Alex Kuptsikevich, the chief market analyst at FxPro, worries that macro headwinds will arrest gains in bitcoin.

“External factors are acting as a headwind, including rising oil and dollar prices, as well as the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices falling to their 200-day lows. We doubt Bitcoin will have the strength to withstand the wind for long, and internal resistance may soon become a significant obstacle to growth,” he said in an email.

Traditional markets are indeed sending risk-off signals. The strongest hint comes from the U.S. Treasury market, which underpins global finance. The MOVE index, which measures the 30-day expected price turbulence in Treasury notes, surged over 21% to 95 points Thursday, the biggest single-day rise since October 2024, according to data source TradingView.

Sharp spikes in Treasury volatility often tighten money worldwide, choking credit flows and sparking broad selling across markets. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Crypto
• Macro
  • March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. GDP growth rate QoQ second estimate for Q4 Est. 1.4% (Prev. 1.4%;)
  • March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. core PCE price index MoM for January Est. 0.4% (Prev. 0.4%)
  • March 13, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. personal spending MoM for January Est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.4%)
  • March 13, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. JOLTS job openings for January Est. 6.7M (Prev. 6.542M)
  • March 13, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Michigan consumer sentiment preliminary for March (Prev. 56.6)
• Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
  • March 13: Bit Digital (BTBT), pre-market, -$0.01

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

• Governance votes & calls
  • No major calls scheduled.
• Unlocks
  • March 13: WhiteBit Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.77% of its circulating supply worth $4.59 billion.
• Token Launches
  • March 13: Ether.fi KAT token rewards to be distributed.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

• BTC is up 2.95% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $72,457.14 (24hrs: +3.14%)
• ETH is up 2.92% at $2,128.69 (24hrs: +3%)
• CoinDesk 20 is up 3.14% at 2,068.83 (24hrs: +3.01%)
• Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 1 bps at 2.79%
• BTC funding rate is at 0.0015% (1.6688% annualized) on Binance

• DXY is up 0.42% at 100.16.
• Gold futures are down 0.44% at $5,093.40
• Silver futures are down 2.11% at $82.89
• Nikkei 225 closed down 1.16% at 53,819.61
• Hang Seng closed down 0.98% at 25,465.60
• FTSE 100 is down 0.43% at 10,260.60
• Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.71% at 5,708.34
• DJIA closed on Thursday down 1.56% at 46,677.85.
• S&P 500 closed down 1.52% at 6,672.62
• Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.78% at 22,311.98
• S&P/TSX Composite closed down 0.84% at 32,840.60
• S&P 40 Latin America closed up 1.43% at 3,611.39.
• U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 6 bps at 4.27%
• E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.30% at 6,697.75
• E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.29% at 24,631.50
• E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are up 0.34% at 46,881.00

Bitcoin Stats

• BTC Dominance: 59.44% (0.24%)
• Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.0294 (0.01%)
• Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 984 EH/s
• Hashprice (spot): $31.34
• Total fees: 2.69 BTC / $188,598
• CME Futures Open Interest: 110,290 BTC
• BTC priced in gold: 14.2 oz.
• BTC vs gold market cap: 4.82%

Technical Analysis

• The chart shows bitcoin’s daily price swings in candlestick format since late 2025. It also plots the Fibonacci retracements of the January-February selloff and the 50-day simple moving average of bitcoin’s price.
• BTC’s price is looking to top the 50-day SMA line. That would shift the focus to next resistance level at $74,564, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the selloff.
• On the other hand, a failure to penetrate the 50-day SMA could embolden sellers, potentially leading to a drop below $70,000.

Crypto Equities

• Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $193.23 (–2.72%), +1.96% at $197.02 in pre-market
• Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $114.18 (+1.21%), +0.58% at $114.84
• Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $20.63 (–3.87%), +1.89% at $21.02
• MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $8.76 (+2.46%), +1.60% at $8.90
• Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.50 (–2.09%), +1.59% at $14.73
• Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.24 (–1.81%)
• CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.55 (–2.65%), +1.57% at $9.70
• Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $9.96 (–8.71%), unchanged in pre-market
• CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI): closed at $37.96 (–2.47%)
• Bullish (BLSH): closed at $36.24 (–2.55%), +0.44% at $36.40

Crypto Treasury Companies

• Strategy (MSTR): closed at $137.34 (–0.72%), +2.49% at $140.76
• Strive Asset Management (ASST): closed at $8.83 (–4.33%), +1.59% at $8.97
• SharpLink (SBET): closed at $7.48 (–1.45%), +2.54% at $7.67
• Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.93 (–9.71%), +4.61% at $0.97
• Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.15 (–1.71%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

• Daily net flows: $53.8 million
• Cumulative net flows: $55.93 billion
• Total BTC holdings ~ 1.29 million

Spot ETH ETFs

• Daily net flows: $72.4 million
• Cumulative net flows: $11.75 billion
• Total ETH holdings ~ 5.71 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

The new staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) from BlackRock recorded about $15.5M in trading volume on its first day.

Yesterday, BlackRock launched its iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, trading under the ticker ETHB.

According to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart, it recorded a trading volume of about $15.5 million on its first day.

A New Structure for Crypto Income

In a series of posts on X, Seyffart explained that the fund opened with just over $100 million in assets and had raked in more than $11 million in trading volume by 2 p.m. Eastern time. However, by day’s end, it had added another $4 million to close at $15.5 million. The analyst described the performance as “very, very solid for a day 1 ETF launch.”

He also looked at the numbers next to BlackRock’s existing spot Ethereum ETF, ETHA. During the same period, ETHA had about $264 million in trading volume, well above ETHB’s numbers. But the gap is largely a reflection of the difference in assets, with ETHA holding nearly $6.6 billion per SoSoValue and the staked Ethereum ETF launching at $100 million.

According to the analyst, ETHB carries a management fee of 0.25%, although in the first year, BlackRock is offering a reduced fee of 0.12% until the fund hits $2.5 billion in assets.

Documents released at the same time as yesterday’s launch show that Coinbase will be the custodian and staking provider. The ETF’s ETH will be delegated to a small number of approved validators, such as Figment, Galaxy Blockchain Infrastructure, and Attestant. Bitwise bought Attestant and is now rebranding it as Bitwise Onchain Solutions.

Rather than add staking rewards to the fund’s net asset value, BlackRock will pay them out as dividends, and according to Seyffart, the distribution will probably be paid out every month. Still, he urged investors to read the prospectus for the final details.

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Some Analysts Think This Could Move ETH’s Price

Following ETHB’s announcement, analyst Ash Crypto said on X that the product was more important than it might appear. According to them, the 3% yield gives Ethereum a new reason for institutional capital allocation. They also pointed to how it could affect the basic supply and demand dynamic, which could help push up ETH’s price.

“Every dollar flowing into $ETHB removes ETH from circulation and locks it into staking,” the market watcher posted. “Less supply. Same or growing demand. Price goes up by basic math.”

The new product is part of a bigger change in how institutions are using Ethereum. Per data shared by the network earlier in the year, more than 35 financial and tech companies, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Fidelity, have released products that are built directly on the blockchain. These offerings include tokenized funds, on-chain deposits, and stablecoin services.

At the time of writing, ETH was trading around $2,100, which was about 3% more than it was 24 hours ago and about 6% higher than a month ago. The asset has also gone up almost 12% in the last year but is still well below its all-time high of nearly $4,950, which it hit in August 2025.

The Dubai edition of Token2049, one of the crypto industry’s largest gatherings, has been postponed to 2027 amid ongoing regional uncertainties that complicate international travel and large-scale event planning. The conference, originally slated for April 29-30 in Dubai, will now take place on April 21-22, 2027. Organizers said tickets will remain valid for the new dates, and holders can also transfer attendance to Token2049’s Singapore edition. Preparations for the 2026 event had been advancing, but organizers concluded a postponement would preserve the event’s scale and quality and help the industry convene safely. A spokesperson told Fortune that registrations were tracking toward a sold-out turnout prior to the postponement. Token2049.

Key takeaways

• Token2049 Dubai is rescheduled to April 21-22, 2027, with existing tickets honored for the new dates and transferable to the Singapore edition.
• The Dubai plan historically progressed toward a sold-out event, according to a Fortune citation referencing a Token2049 spokesperson.
• Regional travel disruptions in the UAE, linked to broader tensions in the Middle East, prompted organizers to re-evaluate logistics and attendee safety considerations.
• Despite the postponement, preparations for the 2026 edition were described as ongoing before the decision was made to push the conference back.
• The shift illustrates how geopolitical and logistical headwinds continue to shape the calendar for major crypto conferences and investor gatherings.

Market context: The postponement underscores how macro and regional travel headwinds influence crypto event planning, potentially affecting attendee inflows, sponsor interest, and information exchange in the months ahead. In a market where in-person gatherings are still integral to deal-making and networking, such delays can impact momentum for project launches and fundraising activities as liquidity and risk sentiment evolve.

Why it matters

For attendees, the decision means adjusting travel itineraries and accommodation plans, but it also preserves the opportunity to hear from industry leaders at a time when crypto markets are navigating regulatory scrutiny and evolving macro conditions. The transfer option to Singapore offers a practical path for participants who had earmarked Dubai as a focal point for 2026 activity, ensuring continuity of networking opportunities, product demos, and investor briefings that typically accompany Token2049’s marquee events.

From the organizers’ perspective, the postponement is a calculated step to safeguard the event’s quality and integrity. By extending the timeline, Token2049 can align speaker lineups, vendor showcases, and security protocols with the scale expected of a flagship crypto conference while mitigating risk from travel disruptions and safety concerns. The decision also signals a broader trend in the industry toward deliberate pacing of major gatherings as travel and visa processes remain uneven across regions.

For the broader market, the move highlights how event calendars can mirror the fragility and resilience of the crypto ecosystem. Conference attendance often serves as a barometer for sentiment, sponsorship commitments, and potential fundraising activity for early-stage projects. When a leading venue delays, it can compress timelines for announcements and partnerships around related events elsewhere, influencing momentum and information flow within the community.

What to watch next

• Official confirmation of the new Dubai dates and the ticket-transfer process, with any deadlines for transferring to the Singapore edition.
• Updates on the Singapore edition’s schedule, venue, and registration status to gauge how many Dubai attendees opt to move their plans.
• Developments in 2026 event preparations and whether organizers reaffirm or adjust expectations for that edition.
• Continuing travel advisories or regional regulatory developments that could affect attendance and logistics at Token2049-related events.

Sources & verification

• Token2049 Dubai announcement detailing the new dates and ticket policy.
• Fortune report citing a Token2049 spokesperson about early Dubai preparations and indications of a sold-out trajectory.
• Gulf News coverage noting disrupted UAE travel schedules and airline adjustments impacting regional mobility.

Dubai edition reimagined: Token2049 postpones to 2027 and expands ticket-transfer options

The decision to push Token2049 Dubai into 2027 represents a measured response to a confluence of logistical hurdles and geopolitical risk that has influenced travel into the United Arab Emirates. In the official notice, organizers emphasized that the 2027 dates—April 21-22—will host a gathering designed to maintain the event’s global reach, speaker depth, and sponsor reach. They stressed that the postponement is intended to preserve the “scale and quality” attendees expect from Token2049’s most prominent regional installment, while ensuring participants can convene in a safer, more predictable environment.

Importantly for ticket holders, the policy remains flexible: existing passes will remain valid for the Dubai edition in 2027, and the option to transfer attendance to Token2049’s Singapore event is available. This approach acknowledges the logistical realities that often accompany large-scale tech and crypto conferences—from visa timelines to flight availability—while keeping the opportunity to engage with industry leaders and peers intact. The Singapore leg, long considered a complementary hub for Token2049’s broader Asia-Pacific footprint, stands to benefit from a potential concentration of regional participants who might otherwise have attended Dubai in a typical year.

The timeline shift follows a period during which organizers had signaled progress toward a sold-out Dubai event, a trend referenced by Fortune in reporting on a Token2049 spokesperson’s comments. While the public communication emphasized momentum behind the Dubai edition, the same week also brought cautionary notes about the broader travel environment and regional tensions that could complicate international gatherings. By opting to defer rather than compress the schedule, Token2049 aims to balance the appetite for in-person engagement with the practicalities of air travel, venue logistics, and on-the-ground safety concerns.

Beyond the conference mechanics, the news intersects with real-world travel conditions in the Gulf region. UAE airspace restrictions and evolving flight schedules have created a context in which even well-planned events can be exposed to disruptions. As reported by Gulf News, carriers such as Emirates, Etihad, flydubai, and Air Arabia have operated limited or adjusted schedules, with travelers advised to confirm bookings before making arrangements. The ripple effects extend to international attendees who must align visa processes, hotel bookings, and onward travel to and from Dubai, Singapore, and any connected hubs. In this environment, postponements are a practical step to safeguard attendee experience, sponsor engagement, and the overall integrity of such a high-profile industry gathering.

While Token2049’s Dubai postponement marks a notable shift, it also underscores the industry’s broader resilience. Crypto conferences have become more deliberate in their planning, integrating contingency options for attendees and sponsors who navigate evolving regulatory and logistical landscapes. The Singapore edition’s potential to absorb some attendance and sponsorship momentum mirrors a strategic diversification that could help sustain the event cycle even as geopolitical tensions and travel headwinds persist. In sum, the move is less about retreat and more about recalibration—preserving a premier platform for project updates, fundraising discourse, and community exchange at a moment when information exchange remains as critical as ever for market participants.

Update March 13, 10:56 am UTC: This article has been updated to add more information about the regional situation and additional details from the announcement.

The Dubai edition of Token2049, one of the crypto industry’s largest global gatherings, has been postponed until 2027 due to regional uncertainty affecting international travel and event logistics. 

The organizers said on Friday that the conference, originally scheduled for April 29-30, in Dubai, will instead take place on April 21-22, 2027. 

In the announcement, the organizers said preparations for the 2026 event had been progressing, but concluded that postponing the conference would help maintain the scale and quality expected from the gathering and ensure the industry could meet safely. 

The move marks a reversal from earlier this week, when a Token2049 spokesperson told Fortune that preparations for the Dubai conference were continuing and that registrations were tracking toward a sold-out event.

Organizers said Dubai remains a key hub for the digital asset industry and thanked the city’s regulators and government partners for their support, adding that they look forward to returning with a “stronger TOKEN2049 Dubai” in April 2027.

Related: Oil retreats from 25% surge as G7 weighs emergency reserve release

The United Arab Emirates is home to more than 1,800 crypto companies employing over 8,600 people, including more than 600 Web3 firms located in Dubai’s DMCC free zone. According to Token2049, over 15,000 attendees have participated in the event.

Regional tensions disrupt travel across the Middle East

Travel across the UAE has remained disrupted by regional airspace restrictions following the outbreak of the US-Israel war on Iran on Feb. 28.

Gulf News reported Friday that Emirates, Etihad, flydubai and Air Arabia were operating limited or adjusted schedules, with passengers urged to travel only if they had confirmed bookings.

Tensions further escalated after Iranian drone and missile attacks targeted the UAE and neighboring countries since the outbreak of the conflict, according to an Associated Press report.

Debris from intercepted missiles has caused fires and damage in Dubai, including infrastructure around Dubai International Airport. 

Despite the attacks, the Central Bank of the UAE assured residents that financial institutions and insurers continue to operate with full efficiency and stability.