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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Iran Hormuz Toll Might Spark BTC USD Rally to $100K

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A single geopolitical policy announcement may have just rewritten Bitcoin price prediction. Iran is reportedly requiring ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to pay tolls in Bitcoin, instantly transforming the world’s most critical oil chokepoint into a live crypto settlement corridor.

According to the Financial Times report confirmed by Bitcoin Magazine, Iran’s Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Products Exporters’ Union spokesperson Hamid Hosseini confirmed the toll is set at $1 per barrel, with a fully loaded supertanker could face a charge approaching $2 million per transit.

Vessels have only seconds to complete payment once approved; the compressed window is explicitly designed so transactions cannot be traced or seized under existing sanctions. The policy applies during a two-week ceasefire window, with empty tankers exempted.

BTC had already surged past $72,000 on ceasefire news alone, recovering sharply from the $67,000 range where it held during Trump’s April 4 ultimatum weekend. The Hormuz toll announcement adds a second, structurally different catalyst, adding Bitcoin’s role in geopolitical infrastructure.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Hormuz Toll and Geopolitical Tension

Bitcoin’s technical setup entering this week was already constructive. Price reclaimed $69,000 Monday after volatile swings between $65,000 and $74,000 tied to Operation Epic Fury strike updates and oil price moves.

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Support is well-defined as institutional bids have clustered at the $65,800–$66,000 zone, which held during the worst of the escalation fear in early April. Resistance sits at $71,000–$75,000, a range BTC is currently pressing against.

A single policy have just rewritten Bitcoin price prediction. Iran is requiring ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz to pay tolls in BTC.
BTC USD, Tradingview

Oil crashed 16% from its $100+/barrel peak as ceasefire signals emerged, a deflationary impulse that historically benefits risk assets. Bitcoin’s resilience relative to equities during the Hormuz escalation period signals decoupling behavior in a bullish structural read.

If the ceasefire holds through the two-week window, Hormuz BTC tolls process live transactions, adoption narrative ignites, and the price can then target $100,000 after, with analysts flagging exactly this level on sustained risk-on sentiment.

The ceasefire expires in approximately 12 days. Every day it holds is a day BTC tolls process, and a day the “Bitcoin as sovereign payment rail” narrative compounds. Tick, tock.

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Hyper Targets Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

Bitcoin at $71,000 is a strong position, but the math of a move to $100K from here represents roughly 40% upside for spot holders. For traders who missed the run from $65K, that asymmetry feels thinner than it looks. The rotation question becomes: where does the upside of early-stage Bitcoin infrastructure lie?

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is making a case for exactly that allocation. Positioned as the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, the project targets Bitcoin’s core structural weaknesses. Bitcoin is known for slow finality, high fees, and the absence of programmable smart contracts.

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The SVM integration is the technical differentiator: it delivers sub-second transaction processing, faster than Solana’s base chain itself, with low-cost execution and a Decentralized Canonical Bridge for native BTC transfers.

The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of $0.0136 per $HYPER, with staking available at a high APY during the presale window. If the Hormuz toll story accelerates institutional and retail focus on Bitcoin’s infrastructure layer, early-stage Layer 2 projects absorb that attention before spot BTC does.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here before the presale window closes.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Iran Hormuz Toll Might Spark BTC USD Rally to $100K appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin (BTC) trades flat as index declines

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9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-04-09: vertical

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1982.06, down 0.6% (-12.51) since 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

One of 20 assets is trading higher.

9am CoinDesk 20 Update for 2026-04-09: vertical

Leaders: ICP (+1.5%) and BTC (+0.0%).

Laggards: AAVE (-3.6%) and XLM (-2.7%).

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The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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ADA could dip lower under broader market pressure

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Cardano bullish PA
Cardano bullish PA

Key takeaways

  • ADA is down 3% and is now trading around $0.2512 per coin.
  • The bearish performance could see ADA slip below the $0.2400 support level.

Cardano (ADA) faces renewed selling pressure as bullish interest fades

Cardano (ADA) continues to face significant selling pressure, with the cryptocurrency extending its 4% loss from Wednesday, falling to the $0.2500 at the time of writing on Thursday. 

The decline has been driven by intense long liquidations in ADA futures over the last 24 hours, signaling a diminishing bullish sentiment among traders. For a potential recovery, Cardano must reclaim the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2672.

The broader market sentiment remains mixed, as the US-Iran ceasefire risks being undermined by Israel’s ongoing missile strikes on Lebanon. While Cardano futures initially saw some bullish interest following Tuesday’s ceasefire announcement, this has since diminished.

Data from CoinGlass reveals that liquidated ADA derivatives positions over the past 24 hours totaled $602,370, with $544,540 coming from long liquidations, indicating a significant wipeout of bullish positions. This liquidation pressure has contributed to an 6% drop in ADA futures Open Interest (OI), which now stands at $412.36 million.

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Furthermore, the OI-weighted funding rate dropped to -0.0045% on Thursday, indicating that traders are increasingly shifting towards short positions.

ADA could dip below the $0.2400 support level

The ADA/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient following the recent day. ADA is currently trading below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

Momentum indicators only hint at tentative stabilization rather than a clear bullish shift. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a marginally positive reading, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 hovers just above the neutral midline level.

ADA/USD 4H Chart

If the selloff continues, ADA could slip towards the March 29 low at $0.2328, with the February 6 low at $0.2205 providing further support.

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On the flip side, if the bulls regain control, they would encounter initial resistance at the 50-day EMA around $0.2673. A daily close above this barrier would ease the immediate bearish tone and open the way toward the $0.2991 resistance level.

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XRP Ripple Just Outpaced Bitcoin in Weekly ETP Inflows: Is $120 Million a Sign Institutions Are Loading Up?

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XRP Ripple Just Outpaced Bitcoin in Weekly ETP Inflows: Is $120 Million a Sign Institutions Are Loading Up?

Ripple XRP recorded $120 million in weekly ETP inflows for the period ending April 7, 2026 – its strongest weekly haul since mid-December 2025 and the single largest contributor to global crypto ETP inflows that week, according to CoinShares data.

Total global crypto ETP inflows for the week hit $224 million, rebounding sharply from a prior $414 million outflow.

XRP’s $120 million slice outpaced Bitcoin’s $107 million and Solana’s $35 million, accounting for over 50% of the entire market’s weekly intake.

Source: TKL

The core question now: is institutional investment in XRP building a permanent structural position, or is this a single-week rotation that evaporates on the next macro shock?

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Ripple XRP Price Outlook: Can XRP Break $1.50 as Institutional Money Arrives?

Ripple XRP was trading in the $1.35–$1.40 range during the inflow week, posting a 5–6% weekly gain partially driven by US-Iran ceasefire optimism. The recovery looks constructive on the surface. Dig into the chart structure and the picture is considerably more complicated.

The 3-day chart is showing a death cross – the 50-day EMA has crossed below the 200-day EMA. That same pattern preceded a 54% price collapse in January 2026.

Source: Tradingview

RSI sits near 44 on the daily, not yet oversold but well below the 50 neutral line, reflecting a market still in damage-control mode rather than recovery mode.

Key support levels sit at $1.28, $1.18, and $1.05 – the last being a major structural floor from the pre-ETF launch period. On the resistance side, XRP faces a descending trendline from early March capping near $1.48, with $1.65 and $1.85 as the next meaningful ceilings if that line breaks with volume.

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Derivatives open interest has been declining alongside the price recovery, which signals thin conviction behind the bounce – institutions buying ETPs aren’t the same as leveraged longs pushing spot price.

A clean breakout above $1.48 with sustained daily volume opens the door to $1.65, with $1.85 as the macro target if broader crypto sentiment flips.

For us, the invalidation is simple: a close below $1.28 on the daily reopens the path to sub-$1.10 and calls the entire inflow thesis into question. Prior price analysis on the $119.6M inflow week flagged this same trendline resistance as the decisive level.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Resistance

XRP’s institutional setup is real. But at a market cap north of $75 billion, the math on asymmetric returns gets harder to ignore.

A 10x from current levels requires XRP to reach a market cap larger than Bitcoin’s current valuation – that’s not a trade, that’s a thesis that needs decades and dominant global payment rail adoption to validate.

Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) is currently in presale, targeting early-mover upside in the Bitcoin yield infrastructure layer – a sector drawing serious institutional attention as US spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $471.3 million in a single week.

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The presale has raised $32 million to date, with the current token price at $0.0093 and staking APY running at 86% annualized for early participants.

The core technical differentiator: Bitcoin Hyper operates as a Bitcoin-native Layer 2 executing smart contracts with BTC as the settlement asset – bypassing the wrapped-token credit risk that plagues existing BTC DeFi infrastructure. That’s a specific, verifiable architecture claim in a space full of vague interoperability promises.

For traders watching XRP’s institutional flows but frustrated by the price-action disconnect, the asymmetry argument is straightforward: ETP inflows into large-cap assets move sentiment; early presale positioning in infrastructure plays moves portfolios.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here before the presale window closes.

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The post XRP Ripple Just Outpaced Bitcoin in Weekly ETP Inflows: Is $120 Million a Sign Institutions Are Loading Up? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Enjin surges 45% as volume and open interest hit multi-month highs

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Sui price bullish
Sui price bullish

Key takeaways

  • ENJ is one of the best performers in the crypto market, up 45% in the last 24 hours.
  • The rally could allow ENJ to surge towards $0.045 in the near term. 

Enjin Coin (ENJ) continues to rally

Enjin Coin (ENJ) extends its gains, holding steady above $0.035 on Thursday following a remarkable 45% price increase in the last 24 hours. 

This bullish momentum is underpinned by both on-chain and derivatives data, with a positive technical outlook suggesting that ENJ may continue its upward trend in the near future.

Data obtained from Santiment shows that Enjin Coin’s ecosystem trading volume surged to $216.97 million on Thursday, marking the highest trading volume since April 2025. 

Meanwhile, CoinGlass data shows that ENJ’s futures Open Interest (OI) reached a new record of $74.68 million on Thursday, up significantly from $19.82 million on Tuesday. A rising OI indicates fresh capital entering the market, which could further propel the coin’s price upward.

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Despite the rally, traders remain cautious as some early signs of buyer fatigue begin to surface. According to CryptoQuant, there is a rise in retail activity, suggesting a shift in market sentiment. 

Furthermore, sell-side dominance in both the spot and futures markets may point to potential bearish pressure, signaling that the current rally could face resistance in the near term.

ENJ eyes further gains after 45% increase

The ENJ/USD 4-hour chart is bullish and efficient thanks to the 45% rally. The rally has lifted ENJ price back above the short- and medium-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), leaving only the 200-day EMA at $0.035 as immediate overhead resistance.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart reads 70, indicating a bullish bias. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram turning strongly positive reinforces growing upside momentum.

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ENJ/USD 4H Chart

If the rally persists, initial resistance is seen at the 200-day EMA at $0.035. If the daily candle closes above this level, it could extend its rally towards the $0.051 resistance level, followed by $0.066 and $0.082 zones. 

However, if the bears regain control, ENJ would likely face the initial support at $0.031. The 100-day EMA at $0.024 and the 50-day EMA at $0.022, together with the lower horizontal level at $0.019, form a deeper demand zone that could also prove to be bouncing support levels in the near term.

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Crypto Exchanges Vie for TradFi Commodities Market, Pricing Gaps Remain

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Crypto Exchanges Vie for TradFi Commodities Market, Pricing Gaps Remain

Cryptocurrency exchanges are taking a growing market share from traditional finance (TradFi) trading venues through tokenized commodities products, but the mainstream adoption of tokenized precious metals remains limited by pricing and liquidity issues.

Silver perpetuals have reached about 40% of the equivalent volume of the Comex Silver (SI) Contract at their peak, the world’s largest silver futures market, which accounts for over 70% of global exchange-traded silver futures volume, according to a Thursday report from Binance Research.

During March and April, tokenized silver accounted for 14.90% and 14.98% of the Comex’s volume, respectively, up from just 1.37% in January.

The growth suggests crypto exchanges are capturing more demand for round-the-clock exposure to traditional assets, particularly in metals-linked perpetuals, but analysts at Kaiko said liquidity depth and price formation still pose major obstacles to wider adoption among traditional investors.

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Average Aggregated TradFi-Perps Volume to The Primary Futures Equivalents on Traditional Exchanges. Source: Binance Research

Crypto TradFi perps need reliable pricing, strong liquidity

Tokenized commodities offer 24/7 trading, which can create vulnerabilities compared to TradFi gold and silver futures, where the holiday and weekend close create “natural circuit breakers that actually protect market quality,” Kaiko research analyst Laurens Fraussen told Cointelegraph.

This exposes tokenized commodities to degraded order book debt, widened spreads and less reference pricing from closed traditional venues.

Legacy commodities offerings avoid these issues through centralized clearing, consolidated liquidity, standardized contracts and “coordinated operating hours that prevent liquidity deserts,” Fraussen said, adding that crypto needs “better chain abstraction and unified liquidity aggregation” to compete with TradFi.

Related: NYSE taps Securitize for 24/7 tokenized securities platform

Despite the infrastructure concerns, tokenized gold perps have surpassed the gold futures trading volumes of several regional commodity exchanges, a trend seeing monthly acceleration, according to Binance Research.

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Figure 3: Average Aggregated Volume of Gold-Perps to Gold Futures in Regional Exchanges, in March

Binance Research also said gold perpetuals outpaced several regional commodity exchanges in March, reaching 401% compared to gold futures trading on the Japanese energy commodities futures exchange TOCOM, 228% of India’s Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) and 216% of the Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange (DGCX).

Binance attributed part of this growth to “market-moving events” that routinely occur on weekends, which would leave investors exposed to gap risks through traditional venues operating under regular trading hours.

Magazine: Can Robinhood or Kraken’s tokenized stocks ever be truly decentralized?