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Crypto World

Bitcoin price recovery falters, drops to $67k as popular analyst predicts major crash

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Bitcoin price recovery falters
Bitcoin price recovery falters
  • Bitcoin stalls near $67,000 after partial recovery from all-time highs.
  • On-chain data shows half of BTC is held at a loss, hinting at market fatigue.
  • Analyst warns deeper correction possible, with bottom around $45,000.

Bitcoin’s recent recovery attempt has stalled just below $70,000, with the cryptocurrency slipping back to around $67,250 at press time.

The drop comes as the broader crypto market struggles to maintain upward momentum following a few months of volatility.

After reaching an all-time high of $126,080 in October 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) has now retraced nearly half of its value.

All eyes are now on the cryptocurrency as it appears to consolidate around $67,000 after the steep drawdown.

Analyst Willy Woo warns of further downside

Renowned on-chain analyst Willy Woo has predicted a significant price correction following the recent bounce.

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He estimates that the bear market bottom could be around $45,000, with more extreme scenarios potentially testing $30,000 or even lower.

Woo’s caution stems from declining liquidity across spot and derivatives markets, which historically reduces the strength of rallies.

He suggests that Bitcoin may briefly climb to the mid-$70,000 range before facing renewed downward pressure.

On-chain signals hint at market fatigue

On-chain metrics suggest that Bitcoin may be entering the later stages of a bear market cycle rather than the early phase.

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Roughly half of all circulating BTC, nearly 9.2 million coins, are currently held at a loss, according to the latest weekly report by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode.

Historically, such levels indicate significant selling pressure and potential capitulation, yet the pace of accumulation by long-term holders hints at a market beginning to stabilise.

Some analysts view these patterns as signs that bitcoin’s price may be closer to a bottom than the start of a prolonged decline.

The balance between holders in profit and those in loss is an important measure of market sentiment, and it shows that while short-term volatility remains high, there is underlying support at current levels.

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Bitcoin ETF inflows show cautious optimism

Institutional investors have recently stepped back into the market, with Bitcoin ETFs recording over $1 billion in net inflows over a few days.

This trend follows a period of withdrawals totalling nearly $3 billion, signalling that some investors see the current price as a buying opportunity.

Spot ETFs, in particular, are attracting attention from long-term investors looking for regulated exposure to Bitcoin.

The renewed interest demonstrates that, despite the pullback from all-time highs, there is confidence in the asset’s long-term prospects.

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However, inflows are not a guarantee of sustained upward momentum.

Short-term technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin is trading near the top of a tight consolidation range between $67,000 and $68,000, and a breakout above this zone could spark a rally, although rejection may force the price back toward $63,000 or lower.

 

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Crypto World

CFTC Staff Share FAQ on Crypto Collateral

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CFTC Staff Share FAQ on Crypto Collateral

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission has given more details on its expectations for the use of crypto as collateral amid a pilot program that the agency launched last year.

In a notice on Friday, the CFTC’s Market Participants Division and Division of Clearing and Risk responded to frequently asked questions that emerged from two staff letters issued in December that established a pilot allowing crypto to be used as collateral in derivatives markets.

The notice reminded futures commission merchants wanting to take part in the pilot that they must file a notice with the Market Participants Division “which includes the date on which it will commence accepting crypto assets from customers as margin collateral.”

The crypto industry has argued that crypto technology is best suited for 24-7 trading and instant settlement, and the CFTC’s guidance in December clarified what tokenized assets can be used as collateral, along with how to value them and calculate how much is needed for a trading position.

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CFTC aligns guidance with SEC

The CFTC made clear its guidance was to align with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as the two agencies work together on a regulatory framework for crypto.

The CFTC said that capital charges, the amount that must be held to cover losses, would be “consistent with the SEC” and that futures commission merchants should apply a 20% capital charge for positions in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), while stablecoins should get a 2% charge.

Source: Mike Selig

The notice added that futures commission merchants taking part in the pilot can only accept Bitcoin, Ether, or stablecoins for the first three months and must give prompt notice of any significant cybersecurity or system issues. They must also file weekly reports of the total crypto held across customer account types.

After the three-month period, other cryptocurrencies can be accepted as collateral and the reporting requirements will end.

Related: SEC interpretation on crypto laws ‘a beginning, not an end,’ says Atkins

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The notice also clarified that “only proprietary payment stablecoins may be deposited as residual interest in customer segregated accounts” and that futures commission merchants can’t accept other cryptocurrencies for that purpose.

The CFTC said that crypto and stablecoins cannot be used for collateral of uncleared swaps, but swap dealers can use tokenized versions of an eligible asset if it meets regulatory requirements and grants the holder the same rights in its traditional form.

Meanwhile, derivatives clearing organizations can accept crypto and stablecoins as initial margin for cleared transactions if they meet CFTC requirements regarding minimal credit, market, and liquidity risks.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026

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