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Bitcoin price risks drop to $65k, weekly trend turns bearish

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Bitcoin price risks drop to $65,000 as weekly trend shifts bearish - 1

Bitcoin price is losing its weekly structure after a sharp rejection at channel resistance, raising the probability of a deeper corrective move toward $65,000 support.

Summary

  • Bitcoin was rejected at channel high resistance, triggering downside momentum.
  • The range midpoint has been lost on a weekly closing basis.
  • $65,000 channel low and the 200-week moving average are key downside targets.

The current Bitcoin (BTC) price is hovering at $83,000. It’s a critical phase as the higher-time-frame structure continues to weaken. After failing decisively at the upper boundary of a long-standing trading channel, the price has transitioned into an impulsive corrective move that is now reshaping the weekly outlook.

The loss of key levels has shifted momentum firmly in favor of sellers, increasing the probability that Bitcoin will rotate lower toward major structural support. With the weekly trend turning bearish, a downside continuation toward the channel low is becoming the more likely scenario.

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Bitcoin price key technical points

  • Channel high rejection confirmed: Price was rejected precisely at long-term resistance.
  • Range midpoint lost on a closing basis: Signals structural weakness.
  • $65,000 channel low in focus: Confluence with the 200-week moving average.

Bitcoin price risks drop to $65,000 as weekly trend shifts bearish - 1
BTCUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent decline began with a clean rejection at the range high, also referred to as channel high resistance. This level has historically acted as a ceiling for price, and the most recent test was no exception. Sellers stepped in aggressively, triggering a sharp bearish expansion away from resistance.

The rejection was not shallow or indecisive. Instead, it produced strong downside momentum, suggesting that the rally into resistance was corrective rather than the start of a new bullish leg. This reaction set the tone for the current move lower.

Loss of range midpoint confirms weakness

Following the rejection, Bitcoin rotated toward the range midpoint, a level that often acts as a battleground between buyers and sellers. Importantly, this level has now been lost on a weekly closing basis, a development that significantly weakens the bullish case.

Closing below the midpoint shifts control back to sellers and opens the path for price to explore deeper parts of the range. From a market structure perspective, this loss confirms that the corrective move has more room to develop rather than resolving quickly.

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Weekly trend turns bearish

With price failing to reclaim key levels, the weekly trend has officially shifted bearish. Bitcoin is now printing consecutive lower highs and lower lows, a defining characteristic of a downtrend. As long as this structure remains intact, rallies are more likely to be corrective and sold into rather than sustained.

This structural shift increases the probability that the current move is not a short-lived pullback but part of a broader corrective phase within the larger channel.

$65,000 emerges as a downside magnet

The next major technical objective sits at the channel low near $65,000. This level represents long-term structural support and has repeatedly acted as a reaction zone throughout Bitcoin’s multi-year trading history. Given the current bearish momentum, the price is increasingly drawn toward this area.

Markets often gravitate toward such well-defined levels, particularly when intermediate support fails. In this context, $65,000 acts as a magnet for price, where liquidity, historical demand, and long-term positioning converge.

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200-week moving average adds confluence

Adding to the significance of the $65,000 region is the presence of the 200-week moving average, one of the most closely watched indicators in Bitcoin’s long-term trend analysis. Historically, retests of the 200-week average have often coincided with major cycle bottoms or extended consolidation phases.

While this does not guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a base-building process is likely once price reaches this zone. Such bases often take time to develop, involving volatility and sideways movement rather than a sharp V-shaped recovery.

Correction does not equal trend failure

It is important to distinguish between a deep correction and a complete breakdown of Bitcoin’s long-term thesis. Even within broader bullish cycles, Bitcoin has repeatedly experienced large drawdowns that reset structure and sentiment before the next expansion phase.

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From a higher-time-frame perspective, a move toward $65,000 would still fit within Bitcoin’s historical behavior, particularly given the extended period price has spent trading within this large structural channel.

What to Expect in the Coming Price Action

Bitcoin remains in a bearish corrective phase as long as price stays below the range midpoint and continues to print lower highs on the weekly timeframe. The probability favors continued downside rotation toward $65,000 channel low support, where the 200-week moving average may provide a stabilizing influence.

Until that region is reached and structure improves, rallies are likely to face selling pressure. The coming weeks will be defined by whether Bitcoin completes this corrective move and begins forming a long-term base, or whether bearish momentum accelerates further before support is established.

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Foundry’s institutional Zcash pool captures a third of new issuance

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Cyclops raises $8m for enterprise stablecoin infrastructure

Foundry’s U.S.‑based, compliance‑first Zcash pool has already grown to roughly one‑third of network hashrate, giving institutional miners a regulated way into privacy coins while stoking fresh centralisation fears.

Summary

  • Bitcoin mining giant Foundry has launched an institutional Zcash pool that already accounts for roughly one‑third of new ZEC issuance.
  • The U.S.‑based, compliance‑focused pool is pitched at institutional and public miners as a “purpose‑built” alternative to offshore privacy‑coin infrastructure.
  • Foundry argues Zcash’s zero‑knowledge privacy with selective disclosure makes it more compatible with regulation than rivals like Monero.

Foundry Digital, operator of the Foundry USA Bitcoin mining pool, has officially launched an institutional‑grade Zcash (ZEC) mining pool that has quickly grown to around 30% of the network’s hashrate, consolidating a significant share of new ZEC issuance under a single U.S.‑regulated operator. The Rochester, New York‑based firm, which Fortune notes already commands about 31% of global Bitcoin production, is positioning its new pool as the default home for institutional miners seeking exposure to privacy‑focused assets without abandoning compliance.finance.

In a Business Wire release, Foundry said the Zcash pool has seen “rapid and sustained hashrate growth reaching ~30% of the current Zcash network hashrate” since it was first announced on March 11, with “multiple institutional mining customers already onboarded and contributing hashrate.” The company stressed that the pool is “designed for professional mining organizations and public companies that require a U.S.-based, compliance-ready partner, including KYC verification in line with Foundry’s institutional standards,” mirroring the governance of its Bitcoin operation.

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Foundry CEO Mike Colyer framed the move as both a bet on Zcash and a response to unmet institutional demand. “Zcash has matured into an institutional‑grade asset, but the mining infrastructure supporting it hasn’t kept pace,” he said, adding that the new pool is “purpose‑built for the operational and compliance requirements of institutional and public miners.”

A CoinMarketCap summary of the launch notes that the pool will offer know‑your‑customer and anti‑money‑laundering checks, transparent payout calculations, reporting tools and 24/7 technical support, with no minimum hashrate required to join.

Zcash, launched in 2016, relies on zero‑knowledge proofs (zk‑SNARKs) to enable shielded transactions that hide sender, receiver and amount while still allowing selective disclosure to auditors or regulators. Foundry and several commentators have argued that this “privacy with a view key” model is more compatible with institutional compliance than fully opaque systems like Monero, which lack native mechanisms for selective transparency.

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At the same time, the arrival of a U.S. pool with roughly one‑third of Zcash’s hashrate raises familiar centralisation questions. Unfolded and other mining trackers have previously highlighted that Foundry USA already coordinates about 30% of Bitcoin’s global hashrate, and Mempool.space data shows the pool averaging more than 340 exahashes per second on Bitcoin alone. Adding a Zcash operation that quickly captures around one‑third of ZEC issuance further concentrates influence over block production in a single corporate group, albeit one that stresses its role in “contribut[ing] to the decentralization of Bitcoin’s hashrate” by anchoring North American capacity.

For Zcash, the trade‑off is stark: institutional capital and hashpower are flowing in through a U.S.‑regulated gateway that validates the project’s positioning as a compliant privacy coin, but at the cost of a more concentrated mining landscape. As regulators in the U.S., EU and Hong Kong tighten their grip on stablecoins, exchanges and tokenized assets — a trend explored in recent crypto.news coverage of HKDAP’s launch, MiCA implementation and the CLARITY Act — Zcash’s bet is that privacy with selective disclosure, plus a mining pool built for auditors rather than cypherpunks, is a price worth paying for long‑term relevance.

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Bitcoin’s 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

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Bitcoin's 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

Bernstein said Monday that Bitcoin’s selloff has already priced in much of the market’s fear around quantum computing, arguing that the threat is real but still manageable rather than an immediate existential risk.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) near 50% drawdown from its $126,198 all-time high in October 2025 is proof that the market has “priced in” several risks tied to a quantum breakthrough, partly thanks to technological progress on zero-knowledge privacy and quantum-proof cryptography that “counterbalance” the AI and quantum acceleration, Bernstein said in a Monday note shared with Cointelegraph.

The note lands two weeks after Google researchers said future quantum computers could break the elliptic-curve cryptography used across many blockchains with fewer than 500,000 physical qubits in some architectures, reviving debate over how quickly Bitcoin needs a post-quantum upgrade path. This research suggested a quantum computer could crack a Bitcoin private key in nine minutes, in a theoretical scenario, which is less than Bitcoin’s 10-minute block production time.

However, Bernstein said Bitcoin core developers have “adequate time” to determine a post-quantum path. Last week, Bernstein predicted that Bitcoin has about three to five years to prepare for a post-quantum security upgrade, Cointelegraph reported on Wednesday.

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Graph showing the risk that an on-spend quantum attack that takes 9 minutes to derive a private key succeeds against Bitcoin. Source: Google Quantum AI

Institutions will play constructive role in quantum-proofing Bitcoin

Bernstein said large institutional holders, including exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and corporate treasury buyers such as Strategy, are likely to play a constructive role in any eventual consensus on a post-quantum upgrade.

“We expect institutional partners with now billions at stake to play a constructive role in building consensus on the post-quantum path.”

The note also highlighted the recently introduced BIP-360 proposal and added that slower consensus from Bitcoin developers is seen as responsible behavior when it comes to a $1.5 trillion asset.

BIP-360 is a draft Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that proposes a Pay-to-Merkle-Root output type designed to reduce long-exposure quantum risk by removing Taproot’s key-path vulnerability, though it does not itself add post-quantum digital signatures.

Bernstein said BIP-360 could be implemented as a soft fork for exposed Bitcoin addresses, but added that this would still leave around 8% of the BTC supply in inactive addresses vulnerable to future quantum breakthroughs.

Related: Bitcoiners push for quantum-resistant BIP-360 upgrade as debate heats up

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Quantum-proofing Bitcoin is a social issue, not technical

The real challenge of quantum-proofing Bitcoin lies in the societal adoption element of the new standards, not the technical development, according to Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos blockchain.

“The coding work could be done this afternoon,” but Bitcoin holders would still need to migrate to this new standard, Breitman told Cointelegraph during an interview at EthCC 2026.

“If Bitcoin needed to migrate in the next month, they could do it from a technical perspective […] but they can’t get everyone to migrate their key in a month, Breitman said. “It’s going to take years for people to properly migrate their keys,” he added.

Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos, interview at EthCC 2026. Source: Cointelegraph

Asset manager Grayscale’s head of research, Zach Pandl, shared a similar view in a research report last Monday. He said Bitcoin’s quantum-proofing challenges are “more social than technical,” provided that its UTXO model does not have native smart contracts and that some address types are not quantum vulnerable.

However, he warned that the community needs to find consensus on how to quantum-proof wallets where the private key has been lost or is otherwise inaccessible.

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Magazine: AI has dramatically accelerated the quantum threat to Bitcoin: AI Eye