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Bitcoin price struggles at range-high resistance as rejection grows

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Bitcoin price struggles at range-high resistance as rejection risk grows - 1

Bitcoin price is once again testing the upper boundary of its trading range near $72,000, where selling pressure has historically emerged.

Summary

  • Range Resistance: Bitcoin is struggling to break above the $72,000 range high.
  • Rejection Signal: A developing daily wick suggests weakening bullish momentum.
  • Downside Risk: A confirmed rejection could rotate price toward $50,000 support.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price action is currently positioned at a technically significant inflection point as the asset trades near the upper boundary of its established trading range. The $72,000 region has repeatedly acted as strong resistance on the daily timeframe, preventing sustained bullish continuation.

While Bitcoin has attempted to challenge this level again, the latest candles suggest early signs of rejection, indicating that the market may remain locked within its broader consolidation structure.

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Bitcoin price key technical points

  • Range-High Resistance: $72,000 continues to cap upward momentum on the daily timeframe.
  • Rejection Signal: A developing rejection wick suggests weakening bullish momentum.
  • Downside Risk: A close below the value area high could trigger a rotation toward lower range support.
Bitcoin price struggles at range-high resistance as rejection risk grows - 1
BTCUSDT (1D) Chart, Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s current price action is centered around the $72,000 range-high resistance, a level that has repeatedly defined the upper boundary of the current market structure. On the daily timeframe, this region represents a major liquidity zone where sellers have consistently stepped in to defend price.

Recent price movement shows Bitcoin attempting to challenge this resistance once again, but the appearance of a rejection wick on the daily candle indicates that buyers may be struggling to maintain control. Rejection wicks often appear when price briefly pushes into a resistance zone but fails to sustain momentum, forcing the market back lower as selling pressure increases.

From a technical perspective, this behavior highlights the importance of the value area high as a confirmation level for market direction. The value area high often acts as a pivot point between bullish continuation and bearish rotation. If Bitcoin closes below this level, it would confirm that the latest attempt to break higher has failed, reinforcing the broader range structure.

Range-bound environments are characterized by price oscillating between key support and resistance levels as liquidity is redistributed across the market. In Bitcoin’s case, the broader range structure remains intact between approximately $50,000 on the downside and $72,000 on the upside.

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As long as the range-high resistance continues to hold, the probability favors further rotational price action rather than a sustained breakout. This means the market may gradually move back toward lower support levels in search of liquidity.

If bearish confirmation occurs through a close below the value area high, the next logical downside target becomes the swing low within the range. This would place the broader range support near the $50,000 region back into focus.

The $50,000 level represents a historically significant support zone where strong demand previously emerged. It also marks the lower boundary of the current trading range, making it a key area where buyers may attempt to defend price once again.

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Market structure analysis further supports this scenario. When an asset repeatedly fails to break above resistance, it often signals that the market requires additional liquidity before attempting another breakout. This liquidity is typically found at lower levels where stop orders and resting bids accumulate.

Because of this dynamic, rotational movements between range highs and range lows are common in consolidation phases. These cycles allow the market to rebalance supply and demand before a more decisive directional trend eventually forms.

What to expect in the coming price action

As long as Bitcoin remains below the $72,000 range-high resistance, the broader range structure is likely to remain intact. A confirmed rejection below the value area high would increase the probability of a rotational move toward the $50,000 range support, while a decisive breakout above resistance would be required to invalidate the bearish outlook.

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Crypto World

BPI Eyes August BTC Tax Relief as Deadline Looms

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Crypto Breaking News

The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI), an industry advocacy group, is eyeing a target window between March and August 2026 to pass a de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin through Congress, warning that time to pass meaningful legislation is running out.

BPI said it has engaged with 19 Congressional offices in both the House and Senate over the last three months to pitch US lawmakers on a tax exemption for Bitcoin (BTC) transactions below a certain threshold.

Expanding the de minimis tax exemptions beyond dollar-pegged stablecoins has bipartisan support, but the BPI warned that the “window is narrowing” for Bitcoin tax legislation. The BPI said:

“Congress will be increasingly consumed by midterm dynamics as summer approaches, and the bandwidth for complex tax legislation shrinks with every passing week. Senator Lummis, the issue’s most forceful champion, departs the Senate in January 2027.

If a package does not come together in the next few months, the opportunity may not return for years,” the BPI continued. 

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Under current US tax rules, using BTC to pay for goods and services triggers a taxable event and tax reporting to the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), preventing the use of Bitcoin as a medium of exchange.

A de minimis exemption would allow small crypto transactions, typically below a set dollar threshold, to be excluded from capital gains reporting, allowing users to spend Bitcoin without calculating gains or losses on minor purchases.

Related: Bitcoin advocate group to fight Basel’s ‘toxic’ treatment of cryptocurrency

Tax policy has kept Bitcoin as an investment and out of commerce

Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced a bill in July 2025 proposing a de minimis tax exemptionfor cryptocurrency transactions of $300 or less, capped at $5,000 annually.

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However, the bill failed to gain traction in the Senate, and a competing bill focused entirely on tax exemptions for stablecoins was introduced to the House of Representatives by Congresspersons Max Miller and Steven Horsford in 2025.

A comparison of the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill and the stablecoin de minimis tax bill.

Bitcoin payments are held back by the digital asset’s current treatment under the US tax code, according to Pierre Rochard, a board member for BTC treasury company Strive. “The number one impediment to Bitcoin payments adoption is tax policy, not scaling technology,” Rochard @said on X.

Magazine: Big questions: Should you sell your Bitcoin for nickels for a 43% profit?

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1) Introduction

The Bitcoin Policy Institute is pushing for a de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin transactions, targeting a window from March to August 2026 to move a measure through Congress. The group highlights that time is running short as lawmakers grapple with competing priorities ahead of midterm dynamics. In the past three months, BPI says it has engaged with 19 offices across the House and Senate to advocate for a carve-out allowing BTC transfers below a defined threshold to avoid capital gains reporting. While there is bipartisan interest in extending de minimis relief beyond dollar-pegged stablecoins, observers warn that the window to legislate could close swiftly, especially with Senator Lummis set to depart the Senate in January 2027. The push centers on changing how small Bitcoin transactions are treated for tax purposes, potentially unlocking greater everyday use without tax accounting for minor expenditures.

2)

Key takeaways

  • The stated legislative window for a Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption runs March through August 2026, a period proponents describe as the last best chance to pass meaningful tax relief before midterms shift congressional priorities.
  • nineteen congressional offices across the House and Senate report engagement by the Bitcoin Policy Institute over a three‑month period, underscoring active lobbying for a BTC-focused exemption and broader expansion beyond stablecoins.
  • Senate sponsor Senator Cynthia Lummis pushed a standalone crypto tax bill in July 2025 proposing a de minimis threshold of $300 per transaction, capped at $5,000 annually, but the measure stalled in the Senate.
  • In parallel, a House-friendly proposal by Max Miller and Steven Horsford in 2025 aimed to deliver de minimis relief specifically for stablecoins, reflecting a split focus within crypto tax policy debates.
  • The central argument stresses that current tax treatment has effectively kept Bitcoin as an investment vehicle rather than a practical medium of exchange, with advocates positioning tax policy as the primary bottleneck to broader adoption.

3)

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

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4)

Market context: The push for a Bitcoin de minimis exemption sits within a broader regulatory and policy environment where tax treatment shapes crypto payments and consumer spending. If Congress acts, small BTC transactions could flow more freely in everyday commerce, while inaction risks maintaining a framework that treats Bitcoin primarily as an asset rather than an everyday currency.

5)

Why it matters

The ongoing debate over de minimis tax treatment matters because it shapes how readily individuals can use Bitcoin for routine purchases. A successful exemption would reduce the administrative burden for ordinary consumers who transact in small amounts, potentially expanding merchant acceptance and consumer spending in the crypto space. Advocates argue that tax policy, not technology, has been the primary obstacle to widespread BTC payments adoption, a claim echoed by industry voices who emphasize the upside of aligning tax rules with the realities of digital asset use.

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Yet lawmakers face a crowded legislative calendar. The BPI’s warning that the window could close as summer approaches reflects a structural challenge: tax policy is entangled with midterm dynamics, budget considerations, and broader regulatory debates. The political calculus is further complicated by aging leadership in the crypto policy arena; Senator Lummis, a leading proponent, will exit the Senate in early 2027, potentially narrowing the coalition that has championed a de minimis approach to crypto taxation.

Supporters argue that a targeted exemption for small BTC transactions would not only ease everyday spending but also set a clearer precedent for how digital assets should be treated when used as currency rather than solely as investments. The tension remains: should policy favor incremental relief that could unlock practical use cases, or push for comprehensive tax reform that addresses all digital assets at once? The next several months are likely to reveal how aggressively Congress will pursue a path forward and which constituencies—consumer advocates, merchants, or financial policy wonks—will shape the outcome.

6)

What to watch next

  • March–August 2026: Legislative activity window for Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption moves through committees and potentially a full vote.
  • Ongoing congressional engagement: The Bitcoin Policy Institute’s continued outreach to 19 offices to secure support and build a bipartisan coalition.
  • Senator Lummis’s departure in January 2027: Assess how the leadership changes might affect the likelihood of enacting any BTC-specific tax relief.
  • Comparison of bills: The trajectory of Miller–Horsford’s stablecoins-focused exemption versus the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill will influence the final framework if a package advances.
  • Public-facing tax policy messaging: Watch for statements from tax authorities and industry groups clarifying how a de minimis exemption would interact with existing reporting requirements for small BTC transactions.

7)

Sources & verification

  • Bitcoin Policy Institute article outlining the de minimis exemption for Bitcoin and the policy window.
  • Cointelegraph reporting on the Bitcoin Policy Institute’s de minimis tax exemption push and related legislative activity.
  • July 2025 Lummis proposal for a standalone crypto tax exemption with a $300 threshold and $5,000 annual cap.
  • 2025 Miller and Horsford House proposal extending de minimis relief to stablecoins.
  • Statements from Pierre Rochard about tax policy as the principal barrier to Bitcoin payments adoption.

7)

Why it matters

This policy debate matters because it could redefine how everyday users interact with Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative asset toward a practical currency for small purchases. If enacted, the de minimis exemption would reduce tax complexity for minor BTC transactions, potentially spurring broader acceptance by merchants and consumers alike. The timing of any agreement is critical, given midterm dynamics and the leadership shift anticipated in early 2027, which could alter legislative momentum for crypto tax reform.

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At stake is whether policymakers view Bitcoin as a financial instrument warranting strict capital gains considerations or as a platform for everyday commerce needing pragmatic, policy-aligned rules. The discourse reflects broader questions about how the U.S. tax code should treat digital assets as their use cases evolve—from store of value to medium of exchange—and how to balance investor protection with practical adoption. The coming months will test whether a narrowly tailored exemption can bridge these aims without creating new loopholes or regulatory gaps.

9)

What to watch next

  • March–August 2026: Legislative activity window for Bitcoin de minimis tax exemption moves through committees and potentially a full vote.
  • Ongoing congressional engagement: The Bitcoin Policy Institute’s continued outreach to 19 offices to secure support and build a bipartisan coalition.
  • Senator Lummis’s departure in January 2027: Assess how the leadership changes might affect the likelihood of enacting any BTC-specific tax relief.
  • Comparison of bills: The trajectory of Miller–Horsford’s stablecoins-focused exemption versus the Lummis standalone crypto tax bill will influence the final framework if a package advances.
  • Public-facing tax policy messaging: Watch for statements from tax authorities and industry groups clarifying how a de minimis exemption would interact with existing reporting requirements for small BTC transactions.

9)

Sources & verification

  • Bitcoin Policy Institute article outlining the de minimis exemption for Bitcoin and the policy window.
  • Cointelegraph reporting on the Bitcoin Policy Institute’s de minimis tax exemption push and related legislative activity.
  • July 2025 Lummis proposal for a standalone crypto tax exemption with a $300 threshold and $5,000 annual cap.
  • 2025 Miller and Horsford House proposal extending de minimis relief to stablecoins.
  • Statements from Pierre Rochard about tax policy as the principal barrier to Bitcoin payments adoption.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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ETH Bulls Target $2.8K But Data Highlights Many Hurdles

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price

After reaching a monthly high of $2,209 on Friday, Ether (ETH) price fell back below a key monthly resistance, which has been tested five times since February.

While onchain data highlights a large cluster of investors near $2,800, Ether’s futures market data shows traders are scaling back positions after this week’s rally.

Investors’ $2,800 cost basis highlights a major accumulation zone

Data from Glassnode indicated that ETH’s cost-basis distribution heatmap shows a heavy accumulation near $2,800, where more than 3 million ETH were previously purchased.

The cost-basis clusters identify the price zones where large groups of investors established positions, often acting as magnets during upward moves as investors defend entry levels or add exposure.

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

The data suggests a potential pathway toward $2,800. Notably, there is a relatively limited historical supply concentration between $2,200 and the $2,800 cost-basis cluster, meaning a break above the current range may allow the price to move more freely into that range.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

From a technical standpoint, the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) also intersects near the $2,800 level on the daily chart, a key indicator ETH has not approached since early January.

However, derivatives data suggest traders remain cautious near the present price range.

Related: Ethereum Foundation publishes mandate clarifying role and goals

Ether futures activity fades after $2,200 test

Ether’s futures market activity expanded during this week’s rally, with open interest rising 21% to $10.9 billion from $9 billion this week as the price pushed toward $2,200. The increase suggests traders were opening new leveraged positions as Ether moved higher.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether price, open interest, aggregated spot volume. Source: velo.data

However, the positioning shifted once ETH tested the upper range. Open interest fell roughly 6% after the $2,200 test, indicating some traders began closing positions rather than adding new exposure.

The pullback suggests long traders likely took profit or reduced risk near the upper boundary of the range, slowing the rally’s momentum.

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Spot market activity showed improving demand during the move. Spot volume cumulative delta (CVD), which tracks aggressive buying versus selling, rose sharply to $87 million from -$150 million on March 8, indicating buyers stepped in as Ether rebounded from the $2,000 region.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether price and bid-ask ratio. Source: Hyblock

However, order-flow data reflected a fading bullish sentiment. The bid–ask ratio remained strongly positive while Ether consolidated near $2,000, showing buyers dominated trading during the range phase.

That strength faded as the price approached $2,150, signaling reduced buying pressure near the top of the move.

Hyblock data offered additional clarity in the derivatives markets. The futures positioning remains relatively balanced, with long traders accounting for about 59.4% of Ether futures exposure on Binance.

Such a balanced outlook often leads to choppy price action as the market struggles to decisively break through nearby resistance levels.

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Derivatives, Financial Derivatives, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH percentage of accounts long on Binance. Source: Hyblock

The data shows a divergence forming, while past ETH accumulation points toward a rally to $2,800. With this in mind, it is clear that Ether futures traders remain cautious near ETH’s current range.

Related: Ethereum accumulation wallets jump 30%: Will ETH price follow?