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Bitcoin Price Tests $72K Resistance as Traders Hedge Against ‘Fragile’ Middle East Truce

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Bitcoin price is sitting at $72,000 resistance, up 8% on the week, and the chart is telling two stories at once. The Iran-Israel truce gave traders a reason to cover shorts.

It hasn’t given them a reason to go long with conviction. Bulls point to $411 million in April ETF inflows and rising open interest.

Bears point to a two-week ceasefire window that Bybit’s chief market analyst Han Tan describes as sitting on ‘shaky ground.’ Both are right. That’s the problem.

The setup heading into the weekend is binary. Either the Iran-Israel truce holds and institutional investment flows accelerate, or it doesn’t – and crypto volatility returns fast, in thin liquidity, on a Saturday.

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Can Bitcoin Price Break $75,000 as Geopolitical Risk Unwinds?

Bitcoin is trading in a tight band between $71,800 and $72,100 as of Thursday. The $72,000 level is functioning as both psychological resistance and a technical ceiling – the zone where the rally stalled twice in the past six sessions.

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Volume context matters here: the breakout above $70,000 was real, but the follow-through has been thin, which itself is a signal.

Bybit’s derivatives data put $56 million in bearish liquidations on Bitcoin perpetual contracts during the surge.

But open interest climbed alongside price, meaning traders were adding fresh exposure rather than simply covering. Funding rates stayed contained. That’s controlled risk-taking, not euphoric leverage – and it’s the more durable kind of rally base.

Bitcoin (BTC)
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The support cluster we’re watching sits at $70,000–$71,000 on a closing basis. A clean break below $70,000 opens the path toward $63,000–$65,000, the range where ETF demand materialized during the February-March selloff from near $90,000.

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The bull case requires clearing $75,000–$76,000 with volume confirmation – that’s the level that would shift the structure from relief rally to trend resumption.

For us, the activation conditions are straightforward: the ceasefire holds through the weekend, spot volume expands on the next leg up, and Bitcoin closes above $72,500 on the daily. Until then, the chart is mending. It hasn’t healed.

Iran-Israel Truce: Why Traders Are Bracing for a ‘Flight to Liquidity’

The geopolitical backdrop driving Bitcoin’s price is more mechanically complex than a simple risk-on/risk-off toggle.

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The conditional two-week truce includes steps tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz – the shipping corridor that carries roughly one-fifth of global LNG supply.

Five weeks of disruption turbocharged inflation fears and raised the credible prospect of central bank rate hikes, a direct headwind for risk assets including crypto.

If the ceasefire fractures, the sequence runs: oil spike, inflation repricing, rate hike expectations rise, risk-off rotation accelerates.

Bitcoin gets sold first – not because it’s the problem, but because it’s liquid and margined. The ‘flight to liquidity’ dynamic is the institutional hedge that never fully came off, even as it got cheaper to maintain.

Tan’s note flagged that options skew has eased but downside protection hasn’t been abandoned. Traders are paying less for the hedge. They haven’t dropped it.

The weekend dimension makes this structural. US-Iran diplomatic contacts are scheduled in Pakistan on Saturday. Traditional markets are closed. Exchange liquidity thins materially after Friday’s close – bid-ask spreads widen, and outsized price moves on any headline become more likely in both directions. The inflow data is bullish. The calendar is not. Those two realities coexist, and neither cancels the other out.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early-Mover Upside While BTC Consolidates at $72K

Bitcoin at $72,000 resistance with a geopolitical overhang is a particular kind of frustrating for spot holders. The macro case is improving.

The chart needs confirmation. The weekend introduces a binary risk. That’s a slow-moving setup – and the math on asymmetric returns at current levels is harder to justify than it was at $65,000.

Bitcoin Hyper is the asymmetric play worth examining in this environment.

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The project is built as a Bitcoin layer-2 infrastructure protocol targeting the speed and programmability gaps that limit BTC’s utility as an active settlement layer – addressing Bitcoin’s structural weaknesses of slow transactions, high fees, and absent programmability in a single architecture.

Institutional appetite for Bitcoin-adjacent infrastructure is growing alongside spot ETF demand, and early-stage positioning in that layer captures upside the spot price can’t offer at $72K.

Key presale stats: $32 million raised to date, current token price at $0.0136783, with staking APY running at 36% for early participants. The presale window closes as the protocol approaches mainnet launch sequencing.

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The post Bitcoin Price Tests $72K Resistance as Traders Hedge Against ‘Fragile’ Middle East Truce appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Crypto World

White House Warns Staff as Iran Bets Spark Insider Concerns

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White House Warns Staff as Iran Bets Spark Insider Concerns

The White House warned staff against improperly using confidential information to place bets in futures markets after suspicious oil trades ahead of President Donald Trump’s March 23 Iran announcement drew scrutiny, according to Reuters.

Reuters reported on Thursday that the White House sent the internal email on March 24, a day after Trump ordered a five-day delay in attacks on Iran’s energy infrastructure.

The warning followed a roughly $500 million bet on Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures placed in a one-minute burst shortly before Trump’s March 23 announcement, according to Reuters calculations based on exchange data. Oil prices fell about 15% after the policy shift.

The episode has intensified scrutiny of whether officials or politically connected traders could profit from nonpublic information tied to military or policy decisions. It has also added momentum to a broader push in Washington to tighten rules around prediction-market trading.

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The STOCK Act amendment in the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) prohibits federal officials, congress members, executive staff and judicial officers from using non-public information derived from their positions to trade commodity, futures or options markets. The amendment was signed into law on April 4, 2012.

Cointelegraph has approached the White House for a copy of the internal email.

Related: US Senate bill targets prediction markets on war and assassinations

Lawmakers respond to prediction market insider trading concerns

Lawmakers have also stepped up scrutiny of prediction markets, where well-timed bets tied to military and political events have raised similar concerns about the misuse of privileged information. Polymarket traders netted around $1 million by accurately betting when the US would strike Iran.

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In response to the concerns, Congressman Adrian Smith and Congresswoman Nikki Budzinski introduced the Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act (PREDICT Act) on March 25, a bipartisan bill seeking to ban members of Congress and federal officials from prediction market trading.

On March 26, US lawmakers Todd Young, Elissa Slotkin, John Curtis and Adam Schiff unveiled the bipartisan Public Integrity in Financial Prediction Markets Act of 2026, a bill aimed at curbing prediction market insider trading by government officials.

End Prediction Market Corruption Act. Source: Merkley.senate.gov

The same day, Senator Jeff Merkley introduced the End Prediction Market Corruption Act, seeking to ban event contract trading by government officials with “material non-public information,” including the president, vice president and members of Congress.

Magazine: Crypto traders ‘fool themselves’ with price predictions — Peter Brandt