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Bitcoin Still Being Bought, Just Much More Cautiously: Report

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Net Metrics Miss the Real Story as Long-Term Holders Spend 370,000 BTC Monthly


Short-term Bitcoin buyers are becoming cautious, and accumulation is slowing even as net positions stay positive.

Bitcoin climbed above $126,000 in early October and recently crashed to $60,000 before a modest recovery near $68,000. Despite the brutal swing, many entities are still buying the asset, betting on a much-anticipated price appreciation.

But a certain cohort of BTC holders has reduced this pace.

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Demand Deceleration

Data shared by Alphractal revealed that the Short-Term Holder Net Position Change over 90 days is declining, despite remaining in positive territory. This means that while short-term holders are still accumulating Bitcoin, the pace of accumulation has slowed sharply in recent days.

According to the analytics platform, this deceleration points to weakening short-term demand momentum and has historically preceded periods of market consolidation, increased volatility, or broader regime transitions.

Against this backdrop, Alphractal founder Joao Wedson said that recent institutional buying has not translated into stronger short-term holder demand.

“Even with the news of Strategy accumulating and other institutional entities increasing their positions, Short-Term Holders are not accumulating at the same pace as they were 90 days ago. Analyzing a few isolated entities is not enough. The correct approach is to evaluate the entire Bitcoin blockchain to understand the true underlying demand”

Whale Holdings Differ

Separate analysis from CryptoQuant points to a contrasting trend among large Bitcoin holders. It found that whale accumulation has increased by more than 200,000 BTC.

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Although whale inflows to exchanges have risen recently, which is often associated with short-term selling activity, their overall holdings have continued to grow. To capture a more medium-term perspective, the analysis tracks whale-held supply using monthly averages rather than short-term flows. After this metric fell sharply to nearly -7% on December 15, whale behavior appears to have changed over the past month, as evidenced by holdings increasing by 3.4%.

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During this period, the amount of Bitcoin held by whales rose from around 2.9 million BTC to over 3.1 million BTC. The last time an accumulation of this scale occurred was during the April 2025 market correction, when whale buying helped absorb selling pressure and Bitcoin’s advance from $76,000 to $126,000. CryptoQuant explained that the crypto asset is currently consolidating almost 46% below its most recent all-time high. Hence, some whales may be taking advantage of this opportunity.

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Crypto World

Riot stock jumps roughly 7% as Starboard pushes $1.6 billion AI data center shift

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Bitcoin (BTC) mining stocks rallied in January despite softer BTC prices: JPMorgan

Shares of Riot Platforms (RIOT) rose nearly 9% Wednesday after activist investor Starboard Value LP released a letter pressing the company to accelerate its transition from bitcoin mining to AI infrastructure provider. The aim is for Riot to pursue high-margin artificial intelligence and high-performance computing (AI/HPC) hosting deals.

Riot’s 1.7 gigawatts of fully available power capacity make the company “well positioned to execute high-quality AI/HPC deals,” said Starboard, highlighting two of Riot’s Texas-based sites, Corsicana and Rockdale, as “premier” locations for data center development.

Starboard said that if Riot can monetize its power in line with recent transactions in the space, “it could generate more than $1.6 billion” in annual EBITDA. The group praised Riot’s recent deal with AMD, which is projected to yield $311 million over 10 years.

With a market cap of $4.25 billion, Texas-based Riot is the fifth-largest bitcoin mining company in the U.S. Its shares have risen by 19% in the past year, but remain lower by about 80% from highs hit during the 2021 bitcoin bull market. They’ve also underperformed miners like IREN, Cipher Mining, and Hut 8, which were quicker to recognize and transition to AI strategies.

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Starboard was Riot’s fourth-largest shareholder as of the end of last year, and this isn’t its first push on the company. In December 2024, Starboard requested that Riot convert some of its bitcoin mining sites into data centers capable of hosting HPC machines to support big tech companies.

While Riot Platforms has built its business around bitcoin mining, the pivot toward AI infrastructure could diversify revenue as power-hungry models like OpenAI’s GPT-4o and others drive data center demand. Riot’s power access, a rare commodity in the current energy-constrained data center market, could be used to lease capacity to major AI firms.

Starboard urged CEO Jason Les and Executive Chairman Benjamin Yi to act “with urgency” and position Riot as a long-term infrastructure provider for AI workloads.

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OpenAI Researches AI Agents Detecting Smart Contract Flaws

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OpenAI Researches AI Agents Detecting Smart Contract Flaws

OpenAI has launched a new benchmark that evaluates how well different AI models detect, patch, and even exploit security vulnerabilities found in crypto smart contracts.

OpenAI released the “EVMbench: Evaluating AI Agents on Smart Contract Security” paper on Wednesday, in collaboration with crypto investment firm Paradigm and crypto security firm OtterSec, to evaluate how much the AI agents could theoretically exploit from 120 smart contract vulnerabilities.

Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.6 came out on top with an average “detect award” of $37,824, followed by OpenAI’s OC-GPT-5.2 and Google’s Gemini 3 Pro at $31,623 and $25,112, respectively.

Detect awards won by AI agents. Source: OpenAI

While AI agents are becoming increasingly efficient at handling basic tasks, OpenAI said it is becoming more important to evaluate their performance in “economically meaningful environments.”

“Smart contracts secure billions of dollars in assets, and AI agents are likely to be transformative for both attackers and defenders.”

“We expect agentic stablecoin payments to grow, and help ground it in a domain of emerging practical importance,” OpenAI added.

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