Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

Bitcoin’s 7% Drop to $77K May Mark Cycle Low, Analyst Says

Published

on

Bitcoin’s 7% Drop to $77K May Mark Cycle Low, Analyst Says

Bitcoin may have found a floor after sliding roughly 7% to $77,000 over the weekend, according to analyst PlanC, who argues the move could mark the deepest pullback of the current bull cycle.

Key Takeaways:

  • An analyst says Bitcoin’s drop to $77,000 may mark a capitulation-style cycle low.
  • The pullback mirrors past crashes that preceded major recoveries, though losses remain deep.
  • Other analysts warn further downside is still possible despite the recent bounce.

In a post on X on Saturday, PlanC said there is a “decent chance” the latest drop represents a capitulation-style low rather than the start of a prolonged downturn.

Bitcoin briefly touched the $77,000 level before stabilizing and rebounding modestly to around $78,600, data from CoinMarketCap shows.

Bitcoin Drawdown Echoes Past Capitulations That Led to Recoveries

Advertisement

Despite the bounce, the asset remains down more than 11% over the past month and roughly 38% below its October all-time high of $126,100.

PlanC compared the current price action to several historic drawdowns that ultimately preceded major recoveries.

He pointed to the 2018 bear market capitulation near $3,000, the March 2020 COVID-driven crash to around $5,100, and the sharp declines following the FTX and Terra-Luna collapses, when Bitcoin briefly traded in the $15,500–$17,500 range.

“There is a decent chance we are going through another major capitulation low as we speak,” PlanC wrote, adding that his estimated range for a cycle bottom sits between $75,000 and $80,000.

Advertisement

In his view, the recent sell-off may represent a final shakeout rather than a structural shift in the broader trend.

Others urged caution but echoed the view that weekend moves can exaggerate market sentiment. Bitcoin advocate and financial accountant Rajat Soni noted that the drop occurred during one of crypto’s most volatile trading windows.

“Never trust a weekend pump or dump,” he said, warning traders against drawing firm conclusions from short-term price swings.

Advertisement

Still, not all market watchers are convinced the downside is over. Veteran trader Peter Brandt has suggested Bitcoin could slide as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026.

Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen also expects the cycle low to arrive later this year, potentially around October, though he anticipates multiple relief rallies before then.

Adding to the cautious outlook, Jurrien Timmer of Fidelity said 2026 could prove to be a “year off” for Bitcoin, with prices potentially revisiting the mid-$60,000 range before a more durable recovery takes hold.

Bitcoin Slides as Fed Caution, Geopolitics Sap Risk Appetite

Advertisement

Bitcoin has fallen back below $89,000 after a short-lived rebound, pressured by tighter financial conditions and rising geopolitical stress that have weighed on risk assets.

According to XS.com analyst Samer Hasn, a Federal Reserve stance that remains neutral to hawkish, combined with tensions in the Middle East, has reduced demand for speculative investments across crypto markets.

Market data points to weakening conviction among traders. CoinGlass figures show crypto futures open interest is down 42% from record highs, with attempted breakouts quickly reversed by sharp sell-offs.

At the same time, capital has rotated toward traditional havens such as gold and silver, leaving digital assets struggling to attract fresh inflows as volatility persists.

Advertisement

With Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaling little urgency to cut rates and geopolitical risks pushing investors toward tangible assets, analysts say Bitcoin remains a higher-risk trade until either policy eases or global tensions cool.

The post Bitcoin’s 7% Drop to $77K May Mark Cycle Low, Analyst Says appeared first on Cryptonews.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

EngageLab Flaw Opened 30M Wallet Apps to Android Data Theft: Microsoft

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Microsoft found the EngageLab SDK bug could expose private wallet data across 30M Android installs globally.
  • The flaw abused Android intents to grant hostile apps persistent read and write provider permissions.
  • EngageLab fixed the issue in v5.2.1 by changing MTCommonActivity to non-exported status.
  • Google Play removed affected wallet apps, while Android added safeguards for already installed versions.

Microsoft has disclosed a severe Android SDK vulnerability that placed more than 30 million crypto wallet installs at risk. The flaw affected EngageLab’s widely used EngageSDK, which many wallet apps used for push messaging features. 

According to Microsoft’s security research, the issue enabled malicious apps on the same device to bypass sandbox protections. Google Play has since removed all identified apps using the vulnerable SDK versions.

EngageLab Android SDK Flaw Exposed Crypto Wallet Attack Surface

Microsoft said the issue centered on an exported Android activity called MTCommonActivity

The component was automatically added during manifest merging after developers imported the SDK. Because it appeared post-build, many teams likely missed it during review. That left production APKs open to hidden risk.

The vulnerable flow began when the activity received an external intent. Its onCreate() and onNewIntent() callbacks both routed data into processIntent()

Advertisement

That method extracted a URI string and forwarded it deeper into the SDK logic. The chain eventually rebuilt and launched a new intent.

Microsoft’s write-up noted the critical failure happened in a helper method. Instead of returning a safe implicit intent, it returned an explicitly targeted one. That changed Android’s normal resolution path and let hostile apps redirect execution. 

In practice, the vulnerable wallet app launched the malicious payload with its own privileges.

The risk worsened because the SDK used Android’s URI_ALLOW_UNSAFE flag. That allowed persistent read and write URI permissions inside the redirected intent. 

Advertisement

A malicious app could then gain access to non-exported content providers. From there, sensitive wallet files, credentials, and user data became reachable.

Microsoft Patch Timeline and Android Wallet Mitigation Guidance

Microsoft Security Vulnerability Research first identified the flaw in EngageSDK version 4.5.4 in April 2025. It then notified EngageLab under coordinated disclosure rules. 

The Android Security Team also received the report because affected apps were live on Google Play. The fix arrived months later in version 5.2.1 on November 3, 2025.

In the patched release, EngageLab changed the vulnerable activity to non-exported. That single change blocks outside apps from invoking the component directly. Microsoft said it currently has no evidence of in-the-wild exploitation. Still, it urged developers to update immediately.

Advertisement

The report stressed that third-party SDKs can silently expand wallet attack surfaces. 

Crypto apps face elevated stakes because they often store keys, credentials, and financial identifiers. Even minor upstream library flaws can ripple across millions of devices. This case pushed total exposure above 50 million installs when non-wallet apps were included.

Microsoft also said Android added automatic protections for previously installed vulnerable apps. Those mitigations reduce risk while developers migrate to the fixed SDK. 

The company urged teams to inspect merged manifests after every dependency update. That review can catch exported components before release.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

XRP Price Flashes Multiple Bottom Signals As Bulls Defend $1.30.

Published

on

XRP Price Flashes Multiple Bottom Signals As Bulls Defend $1.30.

XRP (XRP) has been in an eight-month downtrend, with momentum and onchain indicators at levels that previously coincided with macro bottoms.

Data from TradingView reveals that the relative strength index (RSI) of the XRP/BTC ratio is at 24, the most oversold level since October 2025. 

Such low levels in the daily RSI have marked market bottoms for the ratio, ultimately leading to 65% to 345% XRP price breakouts against Bitcoin as seen late 2024 and 2025.

XRP/BTC daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The chart above also shows that the XRP/BTC pair is trading within a long consolidation range, which has previously acted as a strong launching pad for the ratio.

The last time XRP bottomed against Bitcoin around this zone was in June 2025. It marked the beginning of a 61% increase in the XRP/BTC ratio, accompanying a 92% XRP price rally to a multi-year high of $3.66.

Advertisement

Other instances shown by the yellow bars in the chart reinforce the reliability of this level in marking macro bottoms for XRP/BTC. 

MVRV Z-Score suggests XRP price is bottoming

XRP’s MVRV Z-score is hovering near zero, a level that historically aligns with accumulation zones and market bottoms.

This indicates that most holders are close to breakeven, reducing sell pressure and signalling potential downside exhaustion. Similar patterns appeared in 2021, 2022 and 2024 before major rallies.

XRP MVRV Z-score vs. price. Source: Glassnode

Note that the last time XRP’s MVRV Z-score fell to similar levels in late 2024 coincided with a macro market bottom at $0.30 and preceded a multi-month rally, with the XRP/USD pair rising 500% to a multi-year high above $3. 

Meanwhile, the 0.80 MVRV pricing band, which has historically marked cycle bottoms, is currently at $1.14, coinciding with a 15-month low reached on Feb. 6.

Advertisement
XRP: MVRV pricing bands. Source: Glassnode

These onchain metrics suggest that XRP is undervalued and may continue the ongoing recovery, potentially rising toward $1.70 or higher

XRP price must hold above $1.30 

Meanwhile, XRP/USD remains cautiously bullish as long as it holds the $1.25-$1.30 support zone. 

“$XRP is sustaining the major support zone between $1.30-$1.25 levels since early Feb’26,” trader ChiefraT said in an X post on Friday, adding:

“If this zone continues to hold, then a short-term bounce towards $1.45 can’t be ruled out.”

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The importance of this support level is reinforced by cost basis distribution. The heatmap below shows that nearly 1.73 billion XRP were acquired around this price.

XRP cost-basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

Below that, the next line of defence is the $1.15 demand zone, where the 200-week simple moving average is. 

If XRP/USD drops below this level, it would be in a free-fall toward the measured target of the bear flag at $0.80, or 41% below the current price.

As Cointelegraph reported, holding $1.27-$1.30 would be a sign of strength among the bulls who must push the XRP/USD pair toward the $1.61 range high to regain control. 

Advertisement