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BitMine Battles $6B Unrealized Ether Loss as Crypto Sell-Off Deepens

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BitMine Battles $6B Unrealized Ether Loss as Crypto Sell-Off Deepens

BitMine Immersion Technologies, a publicly traded crypto treasury vehicle tied to investor Tom Lee, has faced a sharp mark-to-market unwind on its Ether holdings as recent liquidations ripple through crypto markets. The company boosted its Ether position by 40,302 tokens last week, lifting total holdings to more than 4.24 million ETH. Data from Dropstab indicate that unrealized losses now exceed $6 billion, illustrating how balance-sheet strategies can rapidly deteriorate when markets tilt lower and liquidity thins.

Valued at roughly $9.6 billion at current prices, BitMine’s Ether stack sits well below its October peak of about $13.9 billion, a reminder that the broader sector’s downturn has carved a sizable dent into treasury portfolios that once rode a wave of rising prices. The latest move comes as Ether itself has traded in a high-variance range, with valuations reflecting liquidity stress and the spillover effects of aggressive deleveraging across digital assets.

Source: Dropstab

The slide in Ether’s price toward the mid-$2,000s has intensified concerns about liquidity conditions in crypto markets. Observers point to a market where liquidity has been choppy at best, and where compressed liquidity amplifies the impact of large, leveraged positions. The Kobeissi Letter summarized the dynamic, noting that “air pockets” in price emerge when risk-taking is propped up by heavy leverage and crowd-like behavior among investors, exacerbating sell-offs in downtrending environments.

Related coverage has highlighted BitMine’s broader staking footprint as a source of recurring revenue, underscoring the tension between ongoing income streams and the risk of capital drawdowns during downturns. BitMine’s staking arrangements—through which Ether can generate annual revenue—illustrate how treasury strategies seek to balance yield with drawdown risk in volatile markets. The broader market narrative remains focused on whether staking economics can cushion losses in bear phases or merely provide a partial offset to mark-to-market declines.

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A difficult reset for crypto markets

In late 2025 and into 2026, Tom Lee, founder of Fundstrat, has cautioned that conditions have shifted and that the year could begin on a painful note before any potential rebound. In recent remarks, Lee emphasized that the crypto market continues to bear the weight of deleveraging, even as some longer-term fundamentals remain intact. He pointed to the October crash as a pivotal moment that reset risk appetite across digital assets, a reference to market events that seasoned observers view as a turning point in the liquidity cycle.

Source: Tom Lee

A recent assessment by market maker Wintermute reinforced the view that a sustained recovery in 2026 will hinge on a handful of structural improvements: renewed momentum in Bitcoin (Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC)) and Ether, stronger ETF participation, expanded digital asset treasury mandates, and a revival of retail inflows. Wintermute argued these catalysts are required to restore a broader “wealth effect” across markets, noting that retail participation remains tepid as investors chase faster-growth themes such as artificial intelligence and quantum computing.

Evidence from market watchers suggests that the liquidity environment will continue to shape price action well into the year. The narrative around liquidity, leverage, and crowd dynamics has intensified as crypto assets oscillate between bouts of risk-on optimism and risk-off selling, with the implication that any meaningful revival will likely be gradual rather than immediate. The market’s experience in 2025—where liquidations reshaped the asset hierarchy and shook confidence in traditional treasury strategies—serves as a reference point for how fragile balance sheets can become when volatility spikes and liquidity tightens.

For readers tracking the broader context, additional coverage has underscored the vulnerability of digital assets to liquidity shocks, including articles that highlighted how liquidations can temporarily push Bitcoin out of the world’s top assets and how stakeholders evaluate the market impact of large-scale deleveraging. These threads help explain why BitMine’s latest moves have amplified scrutiny of crypto treasury approaches at a time when risk appetite remains subdued and institutional testing of balance sheets continues.

Why it matters

The episode around BitMine’s Ether exposure is more than a single fund’s balance-sheet setback. It spotlights how publicly traded treasury strategies, even when backed by notable investors and governance structures, can be exposed to outsized drawdowns in volatile markets. For asset managers and corporate treasuries exploring crypto holdings as a yield or diversification vehicle, the affair underscores three practical considerations: the fragility of concentrated long-only exposures during liquidity shocks, the importance of risk controls around leverage and liquidations, and the potential value—and limits—of staking revenue as a cushion during drawdowns.

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From a market-wide perspective, the episode feeds into a broader question about how liquidity, ETF flows, and retail participation will shape crypto momentum in 2026. If the sector is to gain a sustained wealth effect, observers say it will require a combination of improved market liquidity, renewed retail interest, and broader adoption of treasury mandates that balance yield opportunities with prudent risk management. The path forward is unlikely to be linear, but the consensus suggests that any meaningful recovery will hinge on a combination of macro resilience, structural improvements in on-chain ecosystems, and a reaccumulation phase among investors who have been sidelined by volatility.

For builders and policymakers, the case reinforces the need for transparent risk disclosures around treasury allocations, clearer guidelines for staking-based revenue models, and robust risk management frameworks that can withstand sudden shifts in liquidity. As the market recalibrates, the ability of protocols and custodians to manage leverage, liquidity, and collateral positions will be as important as the price trajectories of the assets themselves.

What to watch next

  • BitMine’s next quarterly filing and any adjustments to Ether holdings or unrealized losses.
  • Ether price stability and liquidity conditions in major markets, particularly during any macro-driven risk-off episodes.
  • Follower liquidity trends in crypto markets, including potential ETF flow changes and renewed retail involvement.
  • Any updates to BitMine’s staking revenue expectations and related on-chain yields.
  • Broader market commentary on deleveraging dynamics and the pace of recovery for BTC and ETH.

Sources & verification

  • Dropstab portfolio data on BitMine’s ETH holdings and unrealized losses (bitmine-eth-strategy-portfolio lipdgyz9ho).
  • The Kobeissi Letter discussion of liquidity fragility and price air pockets linked to leverage in crypto markets.
  • BitMine staking revenue reference article: Bitmine’s staked Ether holdings point to $164M in annual staking revenue.
  • Fundstrat notes on 2026 dynamics and Tom Lee’s commentary (Fundstrat on tough start to 2026).
  • Wintermute assessment on the conditions required for a 2026 recovery (Wintermute: crypto 2026 comeback hinges three outcomes).

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Canaccord slashes price target as stock tumbles to multi-year low

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Michael Saylor hints at another bitcoin purchase despite market turmoil

With crypto winter clearly having set in, bulls are now left looking for signs that the bearishness has become so embedded that a bottom might form.

One case in point might be a note from Canaccord’s Joseph Vafi on Wednesday, slashing his price target on Strategy (MSTR) by a whopping 61% to $185 from $474.

Vafi, who lifted his outlook on Strategy as recently as November (to that $474 level), still maintains a buy rating on the stock, and his new $185 target suggests about 40% upside from last night’s close of $133.

Strategy is now down 15% year-to-date, 62% year-over-year, and 72% from its record high in November 2024.

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Bitcoin, said Vafi, is in the midst of an “identity crisis,” still fitting the profile of a long-term store of value but increasingly trading like a risk asset. That tension came into focus during October’s crypto flash crash, when forced liquidations accelerated selling.

Though frequently cast as “digital gold,” bitcoin has failed to keep pace with the recent surge in precious metals, he continued. As gold has climbed on geopolitical tensions and macro uncertainty, bitcoin has lagged, underscoring its ongoing dependence on liquidity and risk appetite rather than safe-haven demand.

Strategy is built to weather volatility, the report said. The company holds more than $44 billion in bitcoin against roughly $8 billion in convertible debt, including a $1 billion tranche puttable in 2027 that remains in the money. Preferred dividends are manageable through modest share issuance, even with MSTR’s market cap no longer commanding much of a premium to the value of its BTC holdings.

Quarterly results are coming this week, but they have become largely immaterial given Strategy’s near-complete dependence on BTC, Vafi continued. A sizable unrealized loss tied to bitcoin’s fourth-quarter selloff is expected.

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Vafi’s new $185 target assumes a 20% rebound in bitcoin prices and a recovery in the company’s mNAV to about 1.25x.

Read more: ETF that feasts on carnage in bitcoin-holder Strategy hits record high

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Bitcoin Price Falls to a New Low

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Bitcoin Price Falls to a New Low

As the BTC/USD chart shows, prices dropped below $74,000 yesterday. This marks the lowest level since November 2024, when the cryptocurrency was rallying on news of Trump’s election victory.

At the same time, sentiment indicators are signalling “extreme fear” across the market. This was reinforced by the break below the key April 2025 low near $74,450.

The media has been circulating increasingly alarming headlines:
→ Michael Burry, well known for his bearish calls, has suggested that a drop below the $70k level could create problems for the largest coin holder, MicroStrategy (MSTR);
→ Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, warns that the market may be heading for a “full-blown” crypto winter rather than a simple correction.

Technical Analysis of the BTC/USD Chart

The price continues to move further away from the support level whose break we highlighted on 30 January.

At the same time, the market appears extremely oversold:
→ the price has fallen below the lower boundary of the previously drawn descending red channel;
→ the RSI indicator is forming bullish divergences.

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Under these conditions, it is reasonable to assume that the market may be setting up for a technical rebound. This scenario looks particularly plausible given the scale of long position liquidations — around $2.5 billion were wiped out on 31 January alone.

If a recovery does unfold, a key test of bullish intent will be the psychological $80k area, where bears previously held clear control while breaking below the lower boundary of the descending channel.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Survey Shows Crypto Investors Favor Infrastructure Over DeFi

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Survey Shows Crypto Investors Favor Infrastructure Over DeFi

A survey of senior crypto investors and executives suggests capital priorities are shifting away from decentralized finance (DeFi) and toward core infrastructure, as decision-makers focus on liquidity constraints and market plumbing. 

The findings come from a new report published by the digital asset conference CfC St. Moritz, based on responses from 242 attendees of its invitation-only event in January. Respondents included institutional investors, founders, C-suite executives, regulators and family office representatives. 

According to the survey, 85% of respondents selected infrastructure as their top funding priority, ahead of DeFi, compliance, cybersecurity and user experience. 

While expectations for revenue growth and innovation remain broadly positive, respondents flagged liquidity shortages as the industry’s most pressing risk. The results suggest that investor interest remains, but capital deployment is becoming more selective.

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Respondents on crypto innovation. Source: CfC St. Moritz

Infrastructure takes priority as liquidity concerns persist

Respondents pointed to market depth and settlement capacity as key bottlenecks preventing larger pools of institutional capital from entering crypto markets. 

About 84% of respondents described the macroeconomic backdrop as better than neutral for crypto growth, though many said existing market infrastructure remains insufficient for large-scale capitalization.

The survey also showed a change in innovation expectations. While a majority expects innovation to accelerate in 2026, fewer respondents anticipate a sharp increase compared to last year, suggesting a shift away from more speculative expectations toward execution-focused development.

This shift aligns with broader industry trends, including a focus on custody, clearing, stablecoin infrastructure and tokenization frameworks rather than consumer-facing applications. 

Related: CoreWeave shows how crypto-era infrastructure quietly became AI’s backbone

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US sentiment improves as IPO expectations cool

The survey found a sharp improvement in perceptions of the US regulatory environment, with respondents ranking the country as the second-most favorable jurisdiction for digital assets, behind the United Arab Emirates. 

CfC St. Moritz attributed the shift to stablecoin legislation and clearer rules for banks and regulated market participants. 

At the same time, expectations for crypto initial public offerings cooled after what respondents described as a record year in 2025. While most still expect listings to continue, fewer expressed high confidence, citing valuation resets and liquidity constraints.