Regulation has emerged as the central risk facing Hyperliquid, according to Crypto Banter founder Ran Neuner, who warned that governments are likely to extend rules currently being built for centralized exchanges to decentralized trading platforms next.

Neuner made the comments during Cointelegraph’s Chain Reaction podcast, arguing that while regulatory frameworks for centralized venues are already taking shape, the treatment of decentralized exchanges remains unclear—a gap that could materially affect the way platforms like Hyperliquid operate across jurisdictions.

Key takeaways

• Ran Neuner says regulators have begun focusing on centralized exchanges, and decentralized exchanges could be next.
• Uncertainty around how decentralized trading will be regulated is viewed as Hyperliquid’s biggest vulnerability.
• Neuner also argues Hyperliquid’s network effects and liquidity advantages are difficult to replicate, limiting competitive threats.
• US officials have indicated potential for a “fully compliant and legal” path for Hyperliquid, but no concrete process details have been published.

Regulatory uncertainty is the main risk

Discussing Hyperliquid’s long-term outlook, Neuner placed regulation at the top of his risk list. He pointed to the fact that authorities have already started establishing rules for centralized crypto businesses, including licensing regimes in Europe such as MiCA.

According to Neuner, the next phase could involve decentralised exchanges. “The governments have just started to regulate centralized exchanges… And I think that when that’s done, they come in for the decentralized exchanges,” he said on the Chain Reaction podcast.

For investors and users, the key issue is not whether regulation exists, but how it will apply to decentralized trading models. Neuner’s concern underscores a practical problem: even if a platform is technically “decentralized,” regulators may still seek ways to define responsibility, compliance expectations, or market access constraints. Until those boundaries are clearer, platforms that rely on open access and permissionless execution face an asymmetry—competition can move fast, but compliance frameworks often lag.

Hyperliquid’s network effects may blunt competition

While Neuner highlighted regulatory uncertainty, he took a more optimistic stance on Hyperliquid’s ability to withstand competitive pressure. His argument centered on network effects—particularly the difficulty of copying a system where user activity and liquidity reinforce one another.

Neuner compared the challenge to the broader tech market: “You can’t copy a network,” he said, explaining that even if competitors attempt to build alternatives, most won’t successfully attract enough participants to replicate the original’s momentum.

That logic matters acutely for trading platforms. Neuner described how liquidity tends to concentrate where activity is already strongest, because users prefer deeper markets that can support smoother entries and exits. “When something is a network, naturally users will flock to the busiest or the best node,” he said.

Hyperliquid, which operates a layer-1 blockchain best known for its decentralized perpetual futures trading, has been leading the sector on volumes. DeFiLlama data cited in the discussion put Hyperliquid’s decentralized perpetual futures exchange at about $223 billion in trading volume over the past 30 days (DeFiLlama’s perps section).

US access: signals exist, but operational details are still missing

Neuner’s regulatory concerns come as US officials have publicly floated the idea that Hyperliquid could eventually access the market in a compliant manner. In August, President Donald Trump said that CFTC Chair Michael Selig was working to bring Hyperliquid into the United States “in a fully compliant and legal fashion.” The remarks were accompanied by a roughly 20% jump in HYPE over the following 24 hours, with the token trading around $70 at the time.

However, as of that August announcement, neither the CFTC nor Hyperliquid had released a formal proposal describing what “compliant and legal” access would mean in practice. The coverage noted the absence of details such as whether an application had been submitted, what specific structure regulators would require, or when a compliant offering could launch.

That lack of clarity remains a key item for market participants to watch. Even when officials signal a positive direction, the implementation timeline and exact compliance mechanics can determine whether access becomes truly usable for US participants—or remains largely theoretical.

HYPE continues to draw attention as markets price the future

Despite the regulatory questions raised by Neuner, HYPE has remained in focus with strong year-to-date performance. On Friday, the token was reported to be trading around $82, up more than 220% year-to-date, according to CoinGecko.

CoinGecko data cited in the article also put HYPE’s market capitalization at about $18.2 billion, with a fully diluted valuation of roughly $78.4 billion.

These figures highlight a tension that is common in crypto markets: sentiment can move quickly on political and regulatory signals, even when the regulatory framework itself is still being defined. For traders, that means volatility can remain elevated around any new statements or filings; for long-term holders, it increases the importance of monitoring how compliance pathways evolve beyond headline announcements.

Going forward, the most important question is whether regulators will articulate clear standards for decentralized exchanges—and whether Hyperliquid can translate US “compliant access” signals into specific, implementable requirements. Until then, the platform’s liquidity-led competitive position may help, but the regulatory trajectory will likely determine how broadly its services can expand.

Katana CEO Matt Fisher has said a dollar stablecoin planned by 21 financial institutions for the first half of 2027 could generate yield through independent DeFi protocols, although holders would assume risks not covered by its issuing banks.

Katana CEO Matt Fisher told crypto.news that the GENIUS Act restriction applies to permitted stablecoin issuers, not necessarily to how holders use tokens after receiving them, though he described his position as a market-structure view rather than legal advice.

“The GENIUS Act stops the issuer from paying yield; it doesn’t stop the holder from putting the dollar to work somewhere the issuer doesn’t control. Once a compliant stablecoin leaves the issuer and moves into an independent protocol, yield can come from genuine economic activity.”

Bank stablecoins may leave tokenized cash idle

Fisher’s comments follow a Sep. 1 commitment by Bank of America, Citi, Goldman Sachs, UBS and 17 other financial institutions to establish a new stablecoin company during the second half of 2026, subject to closing conditions.

As detailed in a recent 21-firm stablecoin plan, the unnamed venture expects to introduce a dollar-denominated token in the first half of 2027. It may later add tokens tied to other G7 currencies, with a euro product listed as its first expansion priority.

The participating institutions said the dollar token could support wholesale, institutional and retail transactions, including cross-border payments and digital asset settlement. North American participants include Fidelity Investments, Capital One, Wells Fargo, PNC Financial Services, Scotiabank, TD Bank Group, and WisdomTree, alongside Bank of America, Citi, and Goldman Sachs.

Banco Santander, BBVA, Commerzbank, Crédit Agricole, Deutsche Bank, Lloyds Banking Group, Rabobank, and UBS represent Europe. MUFG Bank, Sirius International Holding, and Standard Bank complete the group.

According to the official consortium announcement, the project intends to comply with the GENIUS Act and the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation where applicable. The group has not disclosed the token’s name, supported blockchains, reserve custodian, governance structure, or redemption terms.

Under current U.S. stablecoin issuance rules, permitted issuers cannot pay interest or yield to holders. The federal framework also requires eligible payment stablecoins to carry one-to-one backing with approved liquid reserves, regular disclosures, and defined redemption rights.

For Fisher, the restriction leaves a gap between creating a tokenized dollar and making it productive. A compliant issuer may improve how money moves without providing a return on cash held in the token.

Jiko’s 2026 Corporate Cash Confidence Survey illustrates the size of the existing cash problem. Conducted between April 13 and June 19 among 192 treasury professionals, the survey found that nearly half kept more than 10% of corporate cash uninvested at any given time. Another 23% said more than one-quarter of their cash regularly remained idle.

Liquidity still came before returns for the survey participants. Access to cash when required ranked as the leading priority for 60% of respondents, while 46% selected risk control and protection of principal. Yield ranked behind both considerations.

Independent DeFi protocols could supply the yield

Once a stablecoin enters a protocol outside the issuer’s control, Fisher said its return could come from overcollateralized loans, market makers financing inventory or other users paying to borrow the asset.

He compared the arrangement with the separation between a bank deposit and a money-market fund. Under his interpretation, the bank creates the dollar token while an independent venue puts it to work.

“The yield comes from what the cash is lent against, not from the bank that minted it,” Fisher said.

The source of the return determines whether the arrangement can last, according to Fisher. Interest paid by a borrower using the stablecoin represents economic demand, while rewards created through repeated issuance of a protocol’s governance token depend on a subsidy.

Infrastructure such as Katana’s VaultBridge protocol is designed to route stablecoins toward lending demand, Fisher said. His comments about the product represent Katana’s description of its own infrastructure rather than an independent assessment of its performance or risks.

The distinction also sits inside an active U.S. policy dispute. In January, American community bankers challenged indirect yield paid through exchanges and other third parties. The banks argued that such rewards could pull deposits away from local lenders even when stablecoin issuers did not pay the returns themselves.

Fisher’s model differs from a passive holding reward because it requires the token holder to place funds into a separate strategy. Returns would depend on lending or another income-producing activity rather than solely on ownership of the stablecoin.

Sustainable stablecoin yield needs identifiable demand

Treasurers evaluating an on-chain return should first identify who is paying to use the stablecoin, Fisher said. A named source of demand allows depositors to examine why a borrower needs the funds and which risks support the offered rate.

His second test concerns how the rate behaves. Lending returns should move with the supply of available dollars and borrower demand, while a fixed headline annual percentage yield may depend on a temporary incentive program.

Removing token rewards provides the third test. If the base return disappears when a protocol stops issuing incentives, Fisher said the advertised yield was a subsidy rather than income generated by the underlying activity.

“Any yield materially above the risk-free rate is a risk premium you’re being paid to bear. A treasurer should be able to name the specific risk they’re taking to earn it.”

Without an identifiable risk, Fisher said the return may come from a subsidy that will end or from an exposure the depositor has not priced. His tests do not establish whether a product is legally compliant, and the regulatory treatment would depend on its structure and the relationship between the issuer, protocol and holder.

DeFi yield leaves holders carrying the risk

Moving a bank-issued stablecoin into DeFi introduces exposures absent from simply holding the payment token, Fisher said. Smart contracts may contain exploitable code, while a failed or manipulated oracle can supply an incorrect collateral price.

Liquidity creates a separate problem during stress. Even when a protocol reports enough assets for normal redemptions, depositors may be unable to exit at par if many users withdraw at the same time.

Self-custody can also leave the holder without a chargeback or customer service route after an incorrect transaction or loss of account access. Counterparty failures and failed lending strategies add further paths to losses.

“In most DeFi, no issuer stands behind the strategy. If an independent protocol’s strategy fails, the loss generally sits with the depositor, not a bank, not a backstop.”

Audited code, liquid markets, and conservative collateral can reduce parts of the exposure, according to Fisher, but none turns an independent protocol into a bank guarantee. Eligible payment stablecoins are also not FDIC-insured deposits under the U.S. framework, although the law provides reserve, disclosure, redemption, and insolvency protections.

DeFi developers have raised a related concern about rules that could make issuers responsible for activity they cannot control. In June, Hyperliquid Policy Center and Paradigm warned that proposed secondary-market compliance duties could push regulated stablecoin liquidity toward permissioned or offshore platforms.

Corporate adoption depends on liquidity during stress

Fisher also rejected the idea that DeFi had already solved the problem of unproductive digital dollars. DefiLlama recorded approximately $305.3 billion in stablecoins and about $87.6 billion in DeFi total value locked at the time of reporting, leaving much of the stablecoin supply outside deposited DeFi capital.

Before treating a protocol as treasury infrastructure, companies would need transparent economic activity, predictable liquidity, conservative collateral, real-time reporting, and defined responses to failures, Fisher said. Operational requirements would include round-the-clock settlement and counterparties able to keep functioning under stress.

The advertised rate should not serve as the primary test, according to Fisher. He said treasurers need to examine the redemption route and determine how long an exit could take on a day when many other depositors are trying to withdraw simultaneously.

“Most treasurers underwrite the yield and inherit the redemption path by accident,” he said. Fisher added that corporate users should test stressed exit conditions rather than relying on the liquidity a protocol displays during normal trading.

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett has disclosed owning between $1 million and $5 million in Coinbase shares while the Trump administration advanced policies affecting the U.S. crypto industry.

Coinbase shares remained in Hassett’s disclosed portfolio

CNBC, citing Hassett’s latest annual financial disclosure, reported that the National Economic Council director held between $1 million and $5 million in Coinbase Global stock as of Dec. 31, 2025.

Federal disclosure forms report assets within value ranges rather than giving exact amounts. The filing, therefore, does not show the number of Coinbase shares Hassett owned or the precise value of the position.

Because the document only covers assets held through the end of 2025, it also does not establish whether Hassett retained, reduced, or sold the investment during 2026.

Before joining the Trump administration, Hassett served on Coinbase’s Academic and Regulatory Advisory Council from 2021 until January 2025. His relationship with the company ended when he entered the White House, according to CNBC.

An earlier disclosure reported in June 2025 had already placed the value of Hassett’s vested Coinbase stock within the same $1 million-to-$5 million range. It also showed that he had received more than $50,000 in compensation from Coinbase for advisory work.

Coinbase trades on Nasdaq under the ticker COIN, giving U.S. investors direct exposure to the country’s largest publicly listed crypto exchange. Changes in federal rules covering token trading, stablecoins, banking access and securities oversight can affect the company’s operations and its appeal to shareholders.

White House crypto policy gave the NEC a central role

Hassett’s investment has drawn attention because the National Economic Council helps coordinate economic policy across the administration, including decisions that can affect digital-asset companies.

Three days after President Donald Trump returned to office, he signed an executive order creating the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. The group received instructions to develop proposals covering crypto regulation, stablecoins and a possible national digital-asset stockpile.

In January 2025, crypto.news covered the executive order, which also directed federal agencies to review rules affecting digital assets and recommend changes. Treasury, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and other federal bodies received seats in the working group.

The executive order placed White House artificial intelligence and crypto adviser David Sacks in charge of the group. Although Hassett was not its chair, CNBC reported that the National Economic Council played an important part in developing the administration’s crypto agenda.

Policy work under the group extended to market regulation, access to banking services, stablecoin rules, and the tax treatment of digital assets. Each area carries possible financial consequences for Coinbase because the company operates a U.S. trading platform, provides custody services, and earns revenue from stablecoin-related activity.

Later in 2025, the working group published recommendations for federal agencies and Congress. The report called for clearer divisions of authority between the SEC and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, federal legislation for digital-asset markets, and updated banking guidance for crypto companies.

Hassett says he has avoided crypto-related matters

Hassett told CNBC that he had stayed away from cryptocurrency matters after consulting government ethics officials. The White House also defended his conduct, saying he “has always and continues to fully comply with all ethical requirements.”

The available disclosure does not show whether Hassett received a formal waiver, sold the Coinbase position after December 2025, or placed restrictions on his ability to trade the shares.

Federal ethics rules generally require executive-branch employees to avoid participating personally and substantially in matters that could have a direct and predictable effect on their financial interests. How the rules apply depends on the employee’s duties, the type of government matter involved, and any recusal or waiver approved by ethics officials.

Former SEC ethics lawyer Shira Pavis Minton Kantor told CNBC that the size of Hassett’s holding represented a “significant conflict of interest” or, at minimum, created the appearance of one.

Her assessment concerned the overlap between Hassett’s financial exposure to Coinbase and the NEC’s role in policy discussions affecting the crypto sector. The report did not say that Hassett had violated a federal ethics law or participated in a specific decision benefiting the company.

Any finding of an ethics breach would require evidence about the matters Hassett handled, the steps he took to recuse himself, and the advice provided by White House ethics officials. The disclosed ownership alone establishes a financial interest but does not prove misconduct.

Coinbase has built a large role in U.S. crypto politics

Coinbase entered the Trump administration’s second term after spending heavily on U.S. political advocacy during the 2024 election cycle.

The exchange joined Ripple, Andreessen Horowitz, and other crypto companies in backing Fairshake, a bipartisan super PAC supporting candidates viewed as favorable to digital-asset legislation. A November 2024 report on Fairshake’s political funding said crypto businesses and investors had put millions of dollars into the PAC and its affiliates.

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong described the 2024 election as a win for the industry, arguing that voters had elected what he expected to become the most pro-crypto Congress in U.S. history. At the time, Armstrong called for legislation that would set clearer rules for crypto companies and their customers.

Armstrong has also met Trump and other senior administration officials during discussions about digital-asset policy. Coinbase contributed $1 million to Trump’s inaugural committee, while its policy team continued lobbying Congress over market-structure and stablecoin legislation.

During Trump’s second term, federal policy changes directly affected the company. In February 2025, the SEC voted to dismiss its civil enforcement case against Coinbase, ending litigation that had accused the exchange of operating as an unregistered securities platform and offering an unregistered staking service.

The SEC said its dismissal was intended to support the agency’s work on a new regulatory approach and did not express a view on the merits of Coinbase’s legal arguments. Commissioners approved the dismissal with prejudice, preventing the agency from bringing the same claims again.

Coinbase had denied the allegations and argued that the SEC had failed to provide a workable registration route for crypto businesses. No penalty, admission of wrongdoing, or change to the company’s business model formed part of the dismissal.