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BTC $20,000 put option is very popular

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BTC $20,000 put option is very popular

Nearly $600 million worth of $20,000 bitcoin put options has emerged as the third most popular strike ahead of Deribit’s quarterly expiry, showing how traders are positioning for extreme downside scenarios due to the Middle East conflict.

A put option gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to sell bitcoin at a predetermined price. With bitcoin trading below $70,000, the $20,000 strike is considered deep out of the money, meaning it would only gain value in the event of a sharp market collapse, or a 70% drawdown from current prices.

Roughly $596 million in notional value, the total dollar value of underlying contracts, is concentrated at the $20,000 strike, making it one of the three most dominant positions. The others sit at $75,000, with $687 million, and $125,000, with $740 million, highlighting a wide spread of expectations across both downside and upside scenarios.

Looking at it from face value, large positioning in a $20,000 put option could suggest fears of a meltdown. However, the structure of the market is more nuanced.
Much of this activity is likely driven by traders selling these far out of the money puts to collect premium, reflecting the low probability of bitcoin falling to $20,000 rather than a direct hedge against a crash. In other words, it is often a strategy tied to income generation or volatility positioning, rather than outright bearish conviction.

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The total notional value of bitcoin options expiring on Deribit is $13.5 billion. While, even though the market is in extreme fear, the options market still leans slightly bullish, with a put call ratio of 0.63, indicating more call options than puts, typically used to express bullish views. Total open interest stands at 195,719 BTC, with 120,236 BTC in calls and 75,482 BTC in puts.

Meanwhile, the max pain level, the price at which the largest number of options expire worthless, is $75,000, which could potentially act as a magnet into expiry. As options market makers often hedge around this level, pulling price toward where the greatest number of contracts expire worthless.

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Crypto World

FBI Warns of Impersonation Phishing Scam on Tron

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FBI Warns of Impersonation Phishing Scam on Tron

Scammers impersonating the FBI via a token are telling Tron users they are under investigation and must complete a check to avoid having their assets frozen.

The US Federal Bureau of Investigation says a scam using a token on the Tron blockchain is impersonating the agency with the aim of grabbing personal information.

FBI New York’s X account shared on Thursday a message some Tron users received via a token bearing the agency’s name and seal that said their wallet was “under investigation.”

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The message then prompts the recipient to complete a sham anti-money laundering verification online “to avoid a total block on your assets.” 

The on-chain message that Tron users received. Source: FBI

The message uses the same urgent call to action as many phishing scams in crypto that steal billions each year. In April, the FBI said it received over 140,000 complaints referencing crypto scams in 2024, resulting in $9.3 billion worth of losses, a 66% increase from the year before.

The FBI told Tron users to “exercise caution” if they encounter the fake token and urged them not to provide “any identifying information to any website associated with such token.”

The FBI said those who may have already sent information to the scammers should file a report with the Internet Crime Complaint Center.