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BTC steadies at $67,000 as traders pay for crash protection

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BTC steadies at $67,000 as traders pay for crash protection

Bitcoin found its footing on Thursday, stabilizing above a key technical level after briefly slipping below $66,000 in early U.S. trading. The largest cryptocurrency recently changed hands at around $67,000, up roughly 1% over the past 24 hours.

The CoinDesk 20 Index lagged, with ether (ETH), XRP, BNB, and solana (SOL) flat to slightly lower during the same period, perhaps a signal of continued caution in altcoins amid shaky crypto markets.

Crypto-related stocks climbed modestly higher across the board, with bitcoin miners CleanSpark (CLSK) and MARA (MARA) standing out with 6% gains. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were 0.3% and 0.6% lower, respectively.

On the policy front, there were tentative signs of progress on the digital asset market structure bill. As CoinDesk’s Jesse Hamilton reported, White House-hosted talks between crypto industry representatives and bankers yielded incremental movement, though no compromise has yet emerged.

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At the same time, cracks from the recent crypto downturn are still surfacing. Chicago-based crypto lender Blockfills, as CoinDesk reported, is exploring a sale after enduring a $75 million lending loss during the recent price crash and having temporarily suspended client deposits and withdrawals last week. With crypto prices tumbling sharply in recent months, investors have been bracing for potential blowups like those of Celsius and FTX in 2022. So far, however, the fallout appears contained — on the one hand, tempering worst-case fears, but on the other, avoiding the kind of complete washout that set the stage for the bottom of that brutal bear market and the beginning of the 2023-25 bull run.

Still, risks outside the crypto sphere continue to loom that leave investors hesitant to take risks.

Worries about mounting stress in credit markets flared up after private-equity company Blue Owl (OWL) permanently curbed redemptions in its $1.7 billion retail-focused private credit fund. OWL fell 6% on Thursday, while the shares of other major private credit managers, including Apollo Global (APO), Ares Capital (ARES) and Blackstone (BX) slid more than 5%.

Geopolitical tensions remain another overhang, with the prospect of U.S. military action against Iran still in play amid an ongoing regional buildup. Crude oil rallied another 2.8% over $66 per barrel, hitting its highest price since August.

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Traders play defense

That caution is reflected in crypto derivatives markets, Jake Ostrovskis, head of OTC at trading firm Wintermute, pointed out. Many traders are buying downside protection while limiting upside participation, he noted, which means they are effectively paying for insurance against another drop while capping potential gains in a breakout to the upside.

The average U.S. bitcoin ETF cost basis now sits near $84,000, leaving a large share of ETF investors underwater — nursing a 20% paper loss on average — and potentially vulnerable to “capitulation selling” if prices slide further.

Still, total ETF holdings remain within about 5% of their peak in bitcoin terms, suggesting institutions are trimming exposure rather than rushing for the exits.

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Bitcoin Holds Near $67K as Traders Pay Up for Crash Protection in Options Markets

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Bitcoin Holds Near $67K as Traders Pay Up for Crash Protection in Options Markets

As Bitcoin struggles to hold $67,000, options markets are flashing warning signs as traders aggressively bid up downside protection to hedge against a potential capitulation event.

By early morning, UTC, BTC had climbed 1% over 24 hours to trade near $67,000, recovering from an uneasy dip below the $66,000 handle.

The setup remains precarious. Even as price action steadies, the average U.S. ETF investor is nursing a stinging 20% paper loss, with a cost basis near $84,000. This fragility comes after a brutal 47% drawdown from the October 2025 highs.

Key Takeaways:
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  • BTC steadies near $67K, but options skew remains bearish.
  • Average ETF investor sits on a 20% unrealized loss.
  • Private credit stress (Blue Owl) adds macro headwinds.

While recent reports indicate Abu Dhabi government funds bought $1 billion in BTC, while BlackRock doubled down on mining infrastructure, signaling continued institutional appetite, the broader retail market remains skittish. Investors are haunted by the prospect of a complete washout.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify portfolios with

Are We Facing Capitulation?

Jake Ostrovskis of trading firm Wintermute notes that traders are now “paying for insurance,” buying puts to cap downside risk while limiting their upside participation. This defensiveness aligns with harsh statistical realities.

The leverage washout has been severe, with Bitcoin recently hitting -2.88 standard deviations below its 200-day moving average—an anomaly unseen in a decade according to VanEck analysis.

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Contagion fears are actively resurfacing. Crypto lender Blockfills froze withdrawals after a $75 million lending loss, echoing the collapses of 2022.

Simultaneously, traditional markets are flashing red: private credit giant Blue Owl fell 6% after curbing redemptions. With Fed minutes recently warning of macro headwinds, risk-off behavior is dominating the narrative.

Despite the gloom, huge divergence exists in equities. Bitcoin miners CleanSpark and MARA rallied 6%, outperforming the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 which slid 0.6%.

Discover: The best crypto presales on the market

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What Happens Next for BTC Price?

From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin is fiercely defending the $66,000-$68,000 zone. If this level fails, the bearish triangle pattern suggests a slide toward $60,000 or even $55k, according to CryptoQuant.

Bitcoin Holds Near $67K as Traders Pay Up for Crash Protection in Options Markets
Source: TradingView

However, alternate scenarios exist. Arthur Hayes points to treasury liquidity as a potential savior for risk assets.

Furthermore, long-term confidence hasn’t evaporated; Trump insiders recently confirmed a $1 million target, suggesting whales may view this dip as a generational accumulation zone.

For now, bulls will be hoping for a swift run back to $84k to give the ETF customers confidence.

The post Bitcoin Holds Near $67K as Traders Pay Up for Crash Protection in Options Markets appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin Bears Face $600M Liquidation Risk, Sparks $70K Rally

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) has traded in a narrow corridor, effectively flinging up a question mark over the next directional thrust for the market. The past week has seen the benchmark crypto oscillate between roughly $65,900 and $70,500, a range that has left traders parsing for catalysts amid a broader risk-off climate. While momentum has oscillated, the risk of a sudden liquidation cascade remains a live concern: a modest rally could force a wave of short-covering in futures, squeezing risk assets higher and drawing new buyers back into the market. Against this backdrop, the network’s fundamentals have shown resilience, even as macro data continues to shape sentiment.

Key takeaways

  • A 4.3% rise to about $69,600 could trigger more than $600 million in forced liquidations on short BTC futures, according to liquidation heatmaps. This dynamic underscores how quickly sentiment can flip on a price move.
  • Hashrate has rebounded toward multi-week highs, with the seven-day average hovering near 1,100 exahashes per second, challenging earlier fears that miners were diverting capacity away from BTC toward other sectors.
  • The BIP-360 proposal aims to bolster long-term security by enabling post-quantum protection through a backwards-compatible soft fork, addressing concerns about quantum threats while preserving on-chain privacy until spending.
  • Macro data in the United States showed slower growth than expected, with Q4 2025 GDP at an annualized 1.4%, while inflation remained persistent, complicating expectations for near-term rate cuts and potentially nudging traders toward on-chain hedges.
  • Futures funding dynamics show continuing pressure from bears, with periods of negative funding and persistent undercurrents that keep the market sensitive to any upside surprise that could trigger a short squeeze.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $NVDA

Sentiment: Bearish

Price impact: Positive. A rally toward the $69,600 area could force substantial short liquidations and tilt momentum back toward bulls.

Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold.

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Market context: The market sits at a crossroads where macro weakness and on-chain resilience collide: macro data suggests a slower economy and sticky inflation, while the Bitcoin network shows signs of structural strength through rising hashrate and post-quantum security planning, a combination that could set up a short squeeze if price action turns decisively higher.

Why it matters

The immediate price action for Bitcoin is heavily tethered to traders’ expectations about liquidity and leverage in the futures market. When the price nudges, as it did toward the $69,600 region, liquidations—especially on short positions—become a dominant driver of momentum. In recent cycles, a sharp move higher from a tight range has repeatedly triggered a cascade of liquidations, squeezing out speculative bets and luring fresh capital back into the market. This mechanism is particularly potent when the market trades below psychologically important levels and a sudden uptick can trigger a cascade that shifts market psychology from pessimism to renewed risk appetite.

On the fundamental side, the resurgence of network hashrate to around 1,100 exahashes per second signals that participants remain confident enough to invest in BTC mining hardware despite external price pressures. This resilience is notable because it counters early fears that mining capacity might drain away toward other sectors, including AI. The reacceleration in hashrate contributes to a sense of on-chain security and network durability, factors that historically underpin longer-term valuations rather than short-term price skews.

Another dimension of the story is the technical roadmap embodied by BIP-360, a proposal designed to address post-quantum security risks without disrupting current operations. By safeguarding the spend-path and concealing public keys on-chain until spend time, this plan reduces the potential exposure to quantum computing threats while preserving privacy in ordinary conditions. If such a soft fork progresses smoothly, it could restore some bullish confidence by clarifying the long-term security narrative for Bitcoin, helping to offset near-term macro headwinds.

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Meanwhile, macro data remains a headwind for many traditional assets. The United States posted GDP growth in the fourth quarter of 2025 at an annualized rate of 1.4%, below expectations, a development that tends to sap risk appetite in equities and dampen immediate expectations for aggressive monetary easing. Coupled with inflation data that showed the PCE price index excluding food and energy rising 0.4% month over month, investors have had to recalibrate their outlooks for rate trajectories. In this environment, on-chain markets can appear attractive to macro traders seeking uncorrelated or counter-cyclical exposure, even as the total market risk remains elevated.

Another layer to consider is the broader risk-off mood evident in traditional markets, including the S&P 500 and gold. As equities waver, gold has emerged as a potential hedge, but the relative stock-bond dynamic remains unsettled. The trading landscape—characterized by muted upside momentum yet persistent volatility—suggests that Bitcoin could act as a catalyst for a broader reallocation if fundamental improvements align with a technical breakout above key levels like $70,000.

In terms of funding dynamics, BTC perpetual futures have shown a mix of negative and neutral readings in recent sessions. This indicates that bears have remained committed to their positions even as price tests important supports. The combination of tighter funding and a risk-off tilt has kept upside momentum in check, even as the network-side improvements create a foundation for possible reversals should liquidity and sentiment align in favor of bulls.

For investors watching the space, the question remains whether this confluence of macro weakness, on-chain resilience, and a clearer security roadmap can coalesce into a sustainable rally or whether the market will continue to drift in a wide range until a new catalyst emerges. In the near term, the path of least resistance may hinge on the balance between fear of macro risks and the lure of a short squeeze driven by liquidations and forced unwindings on the downside bets.

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In sum, Bitcoin remains at a pivotal juncture. The combination of a rebuilt hashrate, a tangible post-quantum roadmap, and an expected price re-pricing driven by liquidations could tilt sentiment in favor of bulls, but only if macro catalysts align and the market can sustain buying interest above critical thresholds. As traders monitor the interplay between on-chain fundamentals and macro headlines, the next move could redefine the near-term trajectory for BTC and potentially ripple through the broader crypto complex.

What to watch next

  • Watch for a move back above $70,000 and the subsequent response in long vs. short positioning in BTC futures.
  • Track the seven-day hashrate trend toward or above 1,100 EH/s and any updates on the deployment or consensus around BIP-360.
  • Monitor U.S. macro releases, including GDP and PCE data, for potential shifts in risk appetite and liquidity conditions.
  • Observe funding rates on BTC perpetual futures for signs of shifting trader sentiment or emerging short squeezes.
  • Follow ETF flows and commentary around the Bitcoin investment vehicle landscape for potential liquidity influx or withdrawal pressures.

Sources & verification

  • CoinGlass liquidation heatmap estimates for a move toward $69,600, illustrating potential short BTC futures liquidations exceeding $600 million.
  • U.S. GDP growth for Q4 2025 at 1.4% annualized, as reported by Yahoo Finance.
  • U.S. personal consumption expenditures price index ex food and energy rising 0.4% month over month, contributing to the inflation backdrop.
  • HashrateIndex seven-day hashrate data showing a recovery to around 1,100 EH/s.
  • BIP-360 post-quantum security framework and its intended soft-fork approach for hiding public keys on-chain until spending time.
  • BTC perpetual futures funding rate observations from market data providers, including notes on recent negative funding periods.

Bitcoin price dynamics and network resilience

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is navigating a delicate phase where on-chain security fundamentals converge with macro headwinds to shape the near-term path of least resistance. The range-bound price action has left the market vulnerable to abrupt shifts driven by leveraged positions, but it is precisely this dynamic that can catalyze swift reversals when liquidity returns and short positions are forced to unwind. CoinGlass estimates suggest that a move to around $69,600 could unleash substantial short liquidations, potentially flipping sentiment from fear to momentum if buyers reenter with conviction. This interplay between price, leverage, and liquidity remains a defining feature of the current market backdrop.

Beyond price, the on-chain story has gained clarity. The seven-day average hashrate has climbed back toward the high end of recent ranges, signaling ongoing mining activity and network resilience even in the face of price pressure. While early concerns that miners would pivot away from BTC toward other sectors have cooled, the resilience of hashrate underscores a broader risk-reward calculus: the network’s security and stability continue to be a central factor for long-term investors evaluating BTC’s role in diversified portfolios. The BIP-360 proposal further reinforces this narrative by addressing post-quantum threats through a backwards-compatible mechanism, significantly reducing the risk posed by quantum computing to on-chain security while preserving user privacy until spend moment.

Market participants are also weighing macro data that remains less than supportive of a rapid risk-on rebound. The GDP print and inflation metrics paint a picture of a still-fragile macro environment, where the quest for yield remains tempered and risk assets require a clear catalyst. In such an environment, Bitcoin’s potential for a short squeeze depends on a combination of technical breakouts, improved on-chain fundamentals, and a shift in risk sentiment—a trifecta that could redraw the balance of power between bears and bulls in the months ahead. Traders will be watching for sustained buying pressure above key levels, and the emergence of a decisive narrative that can both reassure existing holders and entice new entrants into the market.

As the market continues to digest these inputs, the path forward will likely hinge on how quickly macro volatility evolves and how effectively the Bitcoin ecosystem communicates its security and scalability roadmap to a broader audience. The balance between fear and opportunity remains delicate, but the confluence of improved network metrics, post-quantum safeguards, and the potential for liquidity-driven reversals means the coming weeks could redefine Bitcoin’s standing in the risk spectrum. For now, observers should remain cautious but attentive to any shift that could unleash a new cycle of momentum in this evolving market.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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SBI Ripple Asia Partners With AWAJ to Drive XRPL Adoption Across Asia

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • SBI Ripple Asia and AWAJ signed an MOU to provide XRPL technical support to financial startups in Asia.
  • AWAJ already holds separate partnership agreements with JETRO and Ripple, expanding its regional influence.
  • Support under the deal covers system design, security checks, and connections to existing financial infrastructure.
  • The initiative targets globally scalable XRPL use cases, with Japan positioned as the development launchpad.

SBI Ripple Asia has signed a formal memorandum of understanding with Asia Web3 Alliance Japan. The partnership targets startups building financial services on blockchain technology. 

Both organizations will work together to provide structured technical support. This marks a key step in expanding XRP Ledger adoption within Asia’s growing web3 sector.

SBI Ripple Asia and AWAJ Formalize Technical Support Framework for Blockchain Startups

The agreement focuses on supporting businesses that want to deploy financial services using XRPL. 

SBI Ripple Asia brings deep experience in international remittance and payments infrastructure. AWAJ, meanwhile, operates as a venture studio connecting startups with investors and institutional partners.

According to the announcement, support will cover system configuration, technical design, and security verification. Each engagement will be handled through individual contracts between the parties involved. The scope of support will vary case by case.

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SBI Ripple Asia is headquartered in Minato-ku, Tokyo, and is led by Representative Director Masashi Okuyama. 

AWAJ is based in Chuo-ku, Tokyo, and is represented by Hinza Asif. The two organizations say this collaboration is premised specifically on the XRP Ledger.

AWAJ recently signed separate agreements with the Japan External Trade Organization and Ripple. Those deals have positioned it as a central node in Japan’s web3 ecosystem. The new MOU with SBI Ripple Asia adds another layer to that growing network.

XRPL Positions as Infrastructure of Choice for Asia’s Financial Innovation Push

The announcement highlights growing interest in blockchain-based financial services across the region. 

However, it also acknowledges real barriers: regulatory complexity, security requirements, and business viability concerns. SBI Ripple Asia plans to help startups navigate all of these.

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Technical support under this initiative will primarily reach startups in AWAJ’s innovation programs. These programs are designed to take early-stage ideas through proof-of-concept and into commercialization. 

AWAJ describes its model as “hands-on,” going beyond simple networking.

The organizations say the goal extends beyond Japan. They aim to develop financial use cases on XRPL that can scale globally. Japan, in their framing, becomes the origin point for these internationally applicable solutions.

Per the official announcement, the partnership also envisions connection with existing financial systems, not just new blockchain infrastructure

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This practical framing sets it apart from more theoretical web3 initiatives. The emphasis stays on whether technology can function as a real financial service.

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Will Bitcoin price crash to $60k as bearish double top coincides with 5-week ETF outflows streak?

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Bitcoin price has formed multiple bearish patterns on the daily chart.

Bitcoin price has formed a highly bearish pattern that hints at a potential crash to $60K as both institutional and retail confidence continued to erode in the legacy crypto asset.

Summary

  • Bitcoin price is at risk of more downside after forming multiple bearish patterns.
  • Searches for “Bitcoin going to zero” have hit an all-time high.
  • Nearly $4 billion has left spot Bitcoin ETFs over past 5-weeks.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price fell to an intraday low of around $65,700 on Thursday before bouncing back above $67,000 at press time. At this price, it remains 15% below its February high and down over 46% below its all-time high.

On the daily chart, the bellwether asset’s price action appears to have formed multiple bearish patterns.

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Notably, Bitcoin price has charted a double top pattern, which is one of the most popular bearish patterns in technical analysis. Such a formation with two rounded tops has typically been marked with a downside equal to the height of the peaks from the neckline.

Bitcoin price has formed multiple bearish patterns on the daily chart.
Bitcoin price has formed multiple bearish patterns on the daily chart — Feb. 20 | Source: crypto.news

Bitcoin price has also formed a bearish pennant pattern, which appears like an inverted flagpole and is also another bearish signal indicating further continuation of the trend.

The convergence of both these bearish patterns at the same time significantly increases a bearish outlook for the asset in the coming sessions.

Adding to this, Bitcoin price currently lies below all of the key moving averages with a bearish crossover between the 20-day and 50-day SMA at play. Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow index has also printed a negative reading of -0.06 at press time, suggesting capital outflows away from its market, a metric that suggests selling pressure is building across the board.

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Hence, the path of least resistance points to a bearish prediction for Bitcoin, where bears could try to push the token price down towards the $60,000 mark, a level that is calculated by subtracting the height of the double tops formed from the breakout point.

Breaking below this key psychological support could position Bitcoin for a steeper drop towards $50,000.

Market sentiment shows heavy bearish overhang

The bearish narrative gains strength from the fact that retail sentiment already appears to have taken a negative turn. 

According to Google Trends data, global searches for “Bitcoin going to zero” have reached a five-year peak, hitting a perfect 100 score on the relative interest scale. This surge in doom-scrolling interest matches levels last seen during the 2022 FTX collapse.

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At the same time, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a metric that traders use to gauge market psychology, has remained under 10 for the past three days, marking extreme fear levels not seen for nearly two years.

Traders have accordingly positioned themselves with the overall market bias leading bearish, as evidenced by Bitcoin’s long-short ratio slipping below the 1.0 threshold, data from CoinGlass show.

ETF outflows extend into fifth week

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have been the primary engine that draws in institutional investment into the space, have also slowed down. Data from SoSoValue show that the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded persistent outflows, extending what could become the first five-week outflow streak since last March.

These investment vehicles have lost nearly $4 billion in the period. For context, during the previous cycle, these ETFs had drawn in nearly $20 billion and significantly fueled Bitcoin’s rally towards fresh highs.

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However, according to some analysts, a visit to $60k could also mark the bottom for the current cycle. This area coincides with the 200-week EMA, which has historically acted as a strong support level in past bear cycles. 

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Searching for the next 100x gen, between BNB and Patos on Solana

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Binancians vs the Flock: Searching for the next 100x gen, between BNB and Patos on Solana - 2

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

The Patos Meme Coin token presale launched on December 18th of 2025, and current on-chain data confirms it is rapidly selling out its initial allocation at the foundational floor price of $0.000139999993.

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For forward-looking investors seeking to bypass the congestion of legacy secondary markets, researching the mechanics of this high-velocity Solana token at PatosMemeCoin.com has become the defining prerequisite for Q1 2026 portfolio allocation.

The subculture wars: Binancians vs. The Flock

    In the modern cryptocurrency ecosystem of 2026, value is dictated as much by communal fervor as it is by underlying cryptography. At the forefront of this tribal financial landscape are two of the most loyal cryptocurrency subculture followings: the “Binancians” and “The Flock.”

    Binance Coin holders, proudly referring to themselves as Binancians, represent the old guard of the centralized exchange era. They are the investors who weathered the regulatory storms, the executives who utilize the BNB Chain for decentralized applications, and the traders who rely on BNB for fee discounts across the world’s largest exchange ecosystem. While Binance is much more established with a significantly larger global fanbase, market saturation has tempered their expectations.

    In stark contrast, the Patos token holders — known colloquially as “The Flock” — are an insurgency of high-risk, high-reward capital allocators. They are much more fervent for success in February 2026, driven by the viral mechanics of Solana-based wealth generation. 

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    The Flock is not interested in single-digit annual percentage yields; they are hunting for generational wealth. This comparative analysis posits a central thesis: between the entrenched Binancians and the hyper-aggressive Flock, which group is actually likely to see a 100X ROI first?

    The anatomy of a Solana gem

      Patos is the new Solana memecoin that currently commands a ‘ton of hype’ across decentralized finance (DeFi) message boards, alpha groups, and trading terminal chatrooms. Since ripping onto the scene on December 18th of 2025, it has systematically gained clout with heavy-hitting Solana Whales and most recently, crypto sharks. In less than two months, it has undeniably become Solana’s #1 crypto moon prospect.

      The project is garnering more support from centralized crypto exchanges than any other token presale currently active on any blockchain — including the dominant forces of Ethereum, Binance, Solana, and Sui. 

      As investor FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) spreads through the crypto degen trenches, the official token presale is moving over 14.5 million tokens daily. These sales averages are compounding weekly with strong upward momentum, creating a feedback loop of scarcity and demand. At this current rate of geometric growth, one prominent on-chain analyst report suggests its floor price offering could sell out completely well before its scheduled June 2026 end.

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      Smashing the legacy ceiling: The 111-exchange strategy

      What elevates Patos Meme Coin from a standard speculative asset to a verified “Solana Gem” is its unprecedented infrastructural roadmap. Patos is aiming to smash crypto records with 111 crypto exchange listings in its first week of public trading. This is an institutional undertaking that is nearly 10x more ambitious than the launch of any noteworthy legacy meme coin in history.

      To put this in perspective, one must look at the historical data on the market’s current multi-billion-dollar titans. Tokens like Bonk Inu, Pudgy Penguin, Shiba Inu, and Dogecoin all had fewer than 12 listings during their respective debut weeks, with most launching on under 9 platforms. They relied on slow, organic growth over the years to eventually secure Tier 1 exchange support.

      Patos is bypassing this multi-year grind entirely. On its 56th day of presale, less than 2 months in, Patos already has enough confirmed Exchange agreements to show it will top the combined debuts of these billion-dollar brands. Top 30 ranked exchange, Biconomy, became the 8th CEX to confirm it will list PATOS after its initial coin offering concluded just last week. The news triggered a rush of token presale buys, increasing FOMO and hype. 

      This staggering level of pre-launch market penetration is exactly what has crypto investors repeating their buying, dollar-cost averaging, and watching smart contract activity closely.

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      The mathematics of a Mars shot

        Patos Meme Coin is currently priced at $0.000139999993 per token today. Because this asset is in its incubation phase, a violent price surge is imminent once it officially launches on crypto exchanges in June, during the third quarter of 2026.

        For early presale buyers, suggesting a 10x return is more than likely at this point with absolute ease; however, a 70x-80x multiple is considered far more likely according to various decentralized analysts mapping the project’s liquidity constraints. Patos is expected to list with a multi-million dollar liquidity pool and a baseline market cap of just over $11 million.

        Centralized exchanges act as floodgates; they expose newly listed tokens to millions of active retail users and billions of dollars of dormant investor funds. An injection of $333 million into the Patos ecosystem upon its coordinated launch is easily plausible in the current macroeconomic climate. Because the starting market cap is tightly compressed, a $333 million liquidity injection represents a 33X multiple on both the market cap and the individual token value.

        Table 1: Patos Meme Coin price forecast (post-launch 2026)

        The following forecast models Patos Meme Coin’s price growth from its June 26th CEX listing date until the end of 2026. This model bases its figures on only 20 active crypto exchange listings, specifically including the wildcard event in which one Tier 1 exchange is predicted to occur.

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        Month (2026) ‘Bad Market’ Scenario ‘Good Market’ Scenario Month’s ATH (All-Time High)
        June (Debut) $0.000450 $0.001800 $0.003500
        July $0.000380 $0.002200 $0.004200
        August $0.000500 $0.003500 $0.006800
        September $0.000850 $0.005100 $0.009500
        October $0.000700 $0.004800 $0.008900
        November $0.001100 $0.007500 $0.012500
        December $0.001500 $0.009800 $0.015500 (~110X ROI)

        How tokens get their value

          To understand why a 100x return is achievable for the Patos Flock and statistically impossible for Binancians in 2026, investors must grasp the fundamental equations of cryptocurrency valuation.

          The formula is absolute: Market Capitalization divided by Total Token Supply is the token’s value. Market capitalization is simply the total amount of money currently supporting the asset in the open market. Therefore, whatever percentage of increase a market cap has, that exact percentage is directly responsible for the increase of the token price — provided the token supply remains strictly unaltered. If an asset has a $11 million market cap and receives $11 million in new buying pressure, its market cap doubles (100% increase), and its token price doubles (100% increase).

          The fixed supply advantage

          This economic reality is where the Patos Flock possesses an insurmountable investment advantage over Binance investors.

          The Patos token operates with a strictly fixed, immutable supply of 232,323,232,323 tokens. Because this supply can never increase, every single dollar of new buying pressure is forcefully routed into pushing the token price upward. There is no inflation to dilute the holdings of the early presale adopters.

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          Binance Coin (BNB) operates with a Total Token Supply of 136.4 million coins. While Binance regularly executes “burns” to manage supply, the core issue is not the supply itself, but the sheer weight of the capital already holding it up.

          For those who had the foresight to purchase BNB early, during its floor price days in the ICO of July 2017 (when it traded for cents), investing in BNB would be a no-brainer over 99% of the market. 

          They would have already achieved 100x, 1000x, or even 10,000x return. However, today is a different reality. The market cap of BNB is the fifth largest of all cryptocurrencies at $85.1 billion. This means it will take an extremely large new audience of retail traders and institutional financial entities to come in and invest just for this token value to marginally increase.

          Binancians vs the Flock: Searching for the next 100x gen, between BNB and Patos on Solana - 2

          The burden of billions: Imagine this population analogy

          To truly conceptualize the immensity of an $85.1 billion market cap, we must use a global analogy. Imagine trying to gather a population of 85.1 billion people. To reach this number, someone would need every single man, woman, and child currently alive on Planet Earth.

          If every single citizen of Earth (all ~8 billion of them) collectively logged onto an exchange and bought $10 in BNB Coin, they would inject roughly $80 billion into the ecosystem. This monumental, globally synchronized financial event would only be enough to double the price of BNB (a 2x return).

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          For a 10x in price to occur, the market cap would need to receive $833 billion from new token buyers. For a 100x return? BNB would require a market cap of over $8.3 trillion — an amount rivaling the gold standard and the GDP of superpowers. Frankly, the market cap is just so bloated that this won’t happen again anytime soon. The mathematical ceiling for hyper-growth has been reached.

          Table 2: Binance Coin price forecast (2026)

          The following forecast models Binance Coin’s price growth from current valuations until the end of 2026, illustrating the slow, restricted movements of a mega-cap asset.

          Month (2026) ‘Bad Market’ Scenario ‘Good Market’ Scenario Month’s ATH (All-Time High)
          March $580.00 $640.00 $675.00
          April $550.00 $660.00 $710.00
          May $520.00 $645.00 $690.00
          June $560.00 $680.00 $730.00
          July $540.00 $670.00 $715.00
          August $590.00 $710.00 $760.00
          September $570.00 $740.00 $795.00
          October $530.00 $720.00 $780.00
          November $610.00 $780.00 $830.00
          December $630.00 $820.00 $890.00 (< 1.5X ROI)

          (Highlight Disclaimer: All data presented in these tables is generated with an AI-assistant, which means massive historical market data was compared to create such algorithmic forecasts. These numbers are only meant to assist research on both Patos Meme Coin and BNB Coin. Each investor should do their own comprehensive due diligence before investing in any cryptocurrency.)

          The presale profit multiplier

          When comparing these two economic realities, it explains exactly how Patos Flock’s investments will generate much bigger profits for investors who get in during its floor price rounds, before the public market capitalization is generated on centralized exchanges. Buyers of this Solana and Ethereum bridged memecoin are effectively acquiring assets at wholesale valuations.

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          It is critical to note that securing 111 crypto exchange listings would blow past any predictions seen online to date. The sheer volume of order routing, retail access, and automated arbitrage across 111 platforms will create a perpetual-volume machine.

          In the event a Tier 1 crypto exchange like Binance, Coinbase, OKX, BitGet, MexC, KuCoin, or other Top 15 global exchanges list Patos Meme Coin, the crypto mars shot is possible, not just a moon ride. A Tier 1 listing triggers massive institutional liquidity bots and retail FOMO that can easily push a micro-cap coin into the multi-hundred-million-dollar valuation bracket overnight.

          A purpose-built wealth generation vehicle

          Ultimately, Patos Meme Coin is an unapologetic ‘for-profit’ project looking to create a massive liquidity inflow and market cap explosion in its first week on exchanges by listing on 111 crypto exchanges in a very small window (1 week). This is the development team’s overall, unwavering focus.

          The new Solana token was explicitly designed to be a money-making opportunity for crypto newbies, seasoned degens, and institutional crypto savants the same. It is highly reminiscent of the cultural and financial phenomena of Doge and Shiba Inu, but upgraded with the high-speed infrastructure required in 2026. Patos Meme Coin is a calculated crypto degen opportunity aimed at a crypto mars shot that has not yet been seen on the Solana network, and it appears to be exceptionally well-organized from an operational and marketing standpoint.

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          New Z: The reality of the Trenches

          Binance HODLers will undoubtedly see steady, small gains over the coming years. BNB is a vital piece of global exchange infrastructure and should not be ignored within a heavily diversified portfolio designed for wealth preservation. However, for ambitious investors actively looking for a major price pump to become a crypto millionaire fast, they should not be looking at BNB. The math simply prevents it.

          The crypto degen lifestyle is defined by high risk and high reward. This is precisely why all the degen trenches are discussing Patos Meme Coin as of February 2026. The Flock understands that finding the next 100x gem requires abandoning the safety of the bloated mega-caps and aping into the ground floor of the next viral ecosystem.

          Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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Bitcoin Price Reacts as US Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Tariffs

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BTCUSD Feb 20 5 Min Chart. Source: TradingView


The POTUS also weighed in on the Supreme Court’s decision, calling it a “disgrace.”

After a few delays, the United States Supreme Court finally announced its ruling on the highly debated Trump-tariff case. Unfortunately for the US President, the Court ruled them illegal, rejecting their usage of emergency powers to impose trade duties.

As reported by Walter Bloomberg, the import tariffs from countries like Canada, China, Mexico, and the EU were projected to raise $1.5 trillion over the next decade.

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Trump was quick to lash out against the Supreme Court’s decision, calling it a “disgrace.” Additionally, he said his administration has a backup plan.

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Further reports on the matter, including trade expert Lawrence Herman’s opinion, indicated that the trade tensions won’t end with the Supreme Court’s ruling. He reportedly added that the tariffs are “here to stay in one form or another,” and warned that the US-Canada trade relationship has already been “shattered.”

In the more recent development on the matter as of press time, Trump seemed to have threatened the US legal system, saying he had to do something about the courts.

Bitcoin has had a long and mostly painful history with Trump’s tariff impositions. It plunged last April when the first wave was announced and has reacted negatively to almost all threats from the POTUS to other countries.

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After the Supreme Court ruling today, BTC went on a wild micro ride, going down to $66,500, jumping to over $68,000 within minutes, before it repeated the scenario a few times. It has since settled at under $68,000.

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BTCUSD Feb 20 5 Min Chart. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Feb 20 5 Min Chart. Source: TradingView
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Ledn Closes $188M Bitcoin-Backed ABS With First-Ever Investment Grade Rating From S&P

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • S&P assigned a BBB- rating to Ledn’s ABS senior notes, the first for a digital asset lender.
  • The $188M offering was 2x oversubscribed, with institutional demand exceeding the full deal size.
  • Ledn’s bitcoin collateral stays ring-fenced in custody and cannot be lent out by any party.
  • The ABS creates a rated benchmark for bitcoin-backed loans, a first in crypto credit markets.

Ledn has closed a $188 million asset-backed security offering backed by its portfolio of Bitcoin-collateralized retail loans. 

Standard & Poor’s assigned the senior notes a BBB- rating, marking the first investment grade rating ever given to a digital asset lending portfolio. 

The deal drew twice the demand it sought, with institutional interest surpassing the full offering size. No crypto-native lender has hit this benchmark before.

Ledn Becomes First Crypto Lender to Earn Investment Grade ABS Rating From S&P

The rating places Ledn in a category previously reserved for traditional asset classes. 

Auto loans, mortgages, and similar instruments have long carried these benchmarks. Bitcoin-backed lending has not, until now. S&P’s decision signals a structural shift in how institutions view crypto credit.

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Ledn shared details of the transaction via a blog post published alongside the announcement. The company stated that S&P evaluated its loan book using the same analytical frameworks applied to conventional lending assets. 

Operational procedures, custody standards, and technology platforms were all reviewed. The outcome confirmed that Ledn’s systems met institutional requirements.

The offering closed oversubscribed by a factor of two. 

Demand from institutional buyers exceeded the $188 million target. Ledn did not disclose the specific investors involved. The oversubscription reflects growing appetite for rated crypto credit products among traditional capital allocators.

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Ledn noted the ABS structure does not change how client collateral is handled. Bitcoin posted as collateral remains in custody and stays ring-fenced. 

Neither Ledn, its funding partners, nor any financing vehicle can lend out that collateral. The company emphasized this in its blog post to address client concerns about counterparty exposure.

Bitcoin-Backed Lending Gets Its First Institutional Benchmark With This ABS Closing

The company has operated since 2018 and has navigated multiple market cycles, including the 2022 credit crisis. Its loan book maintained a clean performance record through those periods. 

S&P’s review covered that full history. The rating reflects durability across volatile conditions, not just recent performance.

Ledn described the ABS market access as a new liquidity frontier. The structure creates a direct channel between its bitcoin-backed loan portfolio and institutional credit markets. 

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This allows funding that operates independently of broader digital asset market conditions. The company framed this as a long-term stability mechanism.

Pension funds and insurance companies typically require investment grade ratings before allocating capital. This deal now meets that threshold for the first time in the digital asset space. 

Ledn’s blog post described the milestone as validation of the standards it has worked to establish. The transaction sets a new pricing and risk benchmark for the sector.

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XRP Price Prediction February 2026: Why Smart Money Is Rotating From Ripple Into Pepeto for 100X Gains

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XRP Price Prediction February 2026: Why Smart Money Is Rotating From Ripple Into Pepeto for 100X Gains

You know what’s frustrating? Watching a coin you believe in go nowhere for months while something you never heard of quietly crosses $7.2 million in funding. That’s the story playing out right now between XRP and Pepeto.. And once you look at the math, the rotation makes perfect sense.

XRP sits at $1.43 today. Even the most optimistic Ripple forecast puts it at $5 this cycle. That’s roughly 3.5x from here. Solid, sure. But Pepeto is priced at $0.000000185 with a confirmed Binance listing and working products already live. The difference in upside potential isn’t even close.

Senator Elizabeth Warren sent a letter to Fed Chair Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this week demanding they promise no taxpayer money goes toward propping up the crypto market. According to American Banker, Warren called out the Treasury Secretary for dodging questions about government intervention during a February 6 hearing. Bitcoin has lost roughly 50% since its October peak of $126,000. The letter signals that no bailout is coming. Investors who want upside need to find it on their own.

XRP price prediction for February 2026

XRP dipped 4.4% on February 19 to $1.40 before recovering to $1.43. The RSI reads 37, which means bearish pressure is still in control. The MACD keeps falling. If XRP holds above $1.35, a push toward $1.64 is possible. But even if it reaches $2, that’s only 40% from current levels. For investors chasing life changing returns, that math doesn’t excite anyone.

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Best crypto presale to buy: Why Pepeto is where the real 100X sits

Pepeto is cutting through this bear cycle without breaking a sweat. Priced at $0.000000185, this project has attracted over $7.2 million from investors who clearly see something special. And they’re not buying hype. They are buying into a working platform you can actually test after joining the presale at pepeto.io.

PepetoSwap handles instant meme token trades. The cross chain bridge moves assets between networks. The upcoming exchange only lists verified projects, cutting scams out completely. Four products. All in demo stage. That is not a roadmap promise. That is real infrastructure built during a downturn.

But here is the part most people miss. The staking at 214% APY is nice. Put in $7,000 and collect $14,980 a year. But don’t confuse the yield with the main play. The main play is the gap between the presale price and what happens after Binance listing. SHIB went from nothing to $40 billion without a single product. PEPE reached $7 billion on memes alone. Pepeto has actual utility at a micro cap valuation. According to The Motley Fool, Wall Street firms predict Bitcoin at $150K this year. When the tide turns, projects like Pepeto benefit first. Founded by a Pepe cofounder, dual audited by SolidProof and Coinsult, zero tax. 70% filled.

Final verdict

The XRP price prediction shows moderate potential, maybe $2 by month end if sentiment shifts. But Pepeto at $0.000000185 with confirmed listing, working products, and $7.2M raised offers something XRP can’t: ground floor access before the world notices.

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Click To Visit Official Website To Buy Pepeto: https://pepeto.io

FAQs

How high will XRP go in February 2026?

Technical indicators show XRP could reach $2 if it holds $1.35 support and Bitcoin recovers. But at $1.43, that’s roughly 40% upside. Pepeto at $0.000000184 offers asymmetric returns that XRP’s market cap simply can’t match.

Is Pepeto a better buy than XRP right now?

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XRP is established but needs massive capital inflow for modest gains. Pepeto has a confirmed Binance listing, working demo, dual audits, and zero tax at a fraction of XRP’s market cap. For 100X potential, the math favors Pepeto.

Can Pepeto really reach 100X after listing?

SHIB hit $40 billion with no products. Pepeto has swap, bridge, exchange demo, audits, and a Pepe cofounder at a micro cap entry. 100X is conservative when you compare it to what pure hype tokens achieved.


Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.

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Consensys-Backed Sharplink Now Holds 867,798 ETH in Treasury Strategy

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Consensys-Backed Sharplink Now Holds 867,798 ETH in Treasury Strategy

Sharplink, the Nasdaq-listed firm backed by Consensys, has taken its Ethereum treasury to 867,798 ETH as of February 15, cementing its status as a massive corporate holder.

This stockpile, valued at roughly $1.69 billion, highlights a growing trend for institutions to be long on ETH.

Key Takeaways

  • The Stash: Sharplink now holds 867,798 ETH, staking nearly 100% of the assets to generate continuous yield.
  • The Support: Institutional ownership has surged to 46% as of Dec. 31, driven by confidence in CEO Joseph Chalom’s strategy.
  • The Yield: The firm utilized liquid staking protocols to generate over 13,000 ETH in rewards to date.

Why Is StarLink Bullish on ETH?

Institutional appetite is shifting from passive holding to active yield generation.

Sharplink isn’t just sitting on assets; they are actively deploying them. According to recent filing data, institutional ownership in the firm hit 46% by the end of 2025.

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This institutional bullishness on crypto, even through the current downturn, mirrors a broader trend seen globally.

For instance, sovereign funds are reportedly eyeing crypto assets. Abu Dhabi’s government recently disclosed $1 billion in spot Bitcoin ETF holdings.

Sharplink added about 60 new institutional investors in Q4 2025 alone, signaling that smart money not only wants exposure to crypto’s long-term price action, but specifically to its yield generation capabilities.

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Discover: The best crypto to buy now

Breaking Down the Numbers

The strategy is technical and aggressive. According to an SEC filing, Sharplink’s total figure includes substantial allocations to liquid staking protocols: 225,429 ETH via Liquid Collective’s LsETH and 55,137 ETH through ether.fi’s WeETH.

Joseph Chalom, the CEO who joined from BlackRock, stated: “Sharplink stakes nearly 100% of its ETH holdings and has staked our holdings since the beginning.”

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This approach has generated 13,615 ETH in staking rewards, benefiting shareholders even as spot prices fluctuate.

This level of accumulation is being paralleled across decentralized finance, creating scarcity for DeFi coins. Just this week, for instance, Pioneer QLabs bought over 18 million QONE tokens.

Additionally, yield farming is pulling institutions into crypto in diverse ways. Just look at Ledn, which engages institutional capital via Bitcoin-backed bonds.

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Sharplink, though, is a pure Ethereum yield vehicle. Chalom noted that sophisticated investors want “disciplined execution” regarding risk management, which is likely a USP he pitched to court the new influx of new institutional capital.

What Does This Mean for Investors?

Efficiency is the game now. Sharplink’s pivot from gaming to a “digital asset treasury” model positions it as a liquid proxy for Ethereum’s network growth.

By staking heavily, they dampen the blow of market volatility and capture rewards that passive ETFs miss.

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Ultimately, Starlink’s level of accumulation tightens supply while its heavyweight investors validate the corporate treasury thesis. This is no bad thing for all crypto believers.

Discover: The best meme coins on Solana

The post Consensys-Backed Sharplink Now Holds 867,798 ETH in Treasury Strategy appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin Whales Drive V-Shaped Accumulation, Offset 230K BTC Sell-off

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) whale activity has begun signaling a shift back toward the stability seen before the late-2025 market wobble. In recent months, wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC have rebuilt their collective balance, pushing the total amount held by this cohort to 3.09 million BTC from 2.86 million BTC on Dec. 10, 2025. That 230,000-BTC increase essentially restores position levels observed prior to the October 2025 market dip. Meanwhile, exchange data show whale-related outflows averaging about 3.5% of the total BTC held on exchanges over a 30-day window—the strongest such rate since late 2024—suggesting a continued shift of coins away from spot venues.

Across on-chain data, the broader pattern points to an ongoing reallocation among major holders. CryptoQuant analysis shows that the large wallet segment has reaccumulated aggressively after a period of net selling, with roughly 98,000 BTC added to whale reserves over the past 30 days. The market narrative since August 2025 has been defined by a distribution phase, triggered after BTC touched new highs around the $124,000 level, with many observers noting that a sustained rally remained challenging in the face of shifting risk sentiment. This backdrop helps explain why the current accumulation cycle by whales is notable, even as price action remains sensitive to macro cues and shifting liquidity conditions.

CryptoQuant spot market data underscores a resilience in large-order activity. Through 2026, the average BTC order size has oscillated between roughly 950 BTC and 1,100 BTC, marking the most sustained period of sizable retail and institutional orders since September 2024. This pattern aligns with the return of liquidity into the market and a reopening of appetite among buyers willing to place larger blocks, even as price levels teeter between regions of resistance and support. A broader look at the February–March 2025 correction showed a similar appetite for larger orders, though the cadence of big-ticket purchases varied with retail participation and the timing of institutional inflows.

Total BTC balance of large holders (1k-10k). Source: CryptoQuant

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BTC whale reserves return to pre-October peak

Analysts at CryptoQuant point to a notable reversal in the drawdown of whale reserves, with the 30-day window marking a substantial uptick in accumulation. The net shift is most visible in the 98,000 BTC added to the whale category over the most recent month, reversing earlier declines and signaling renewed appetite among larger holders. This reaccumulation comes as part of a broader dynamic in which a growing portion of BTC activity originates from wallets with medium-to-large holdings, while smaller retail activity continues to surface in bursts. The sequential build-up in whale balances is consistent with a risk-off tilt in some segments of the market, even as other indicators suggest a more mixed mood among traders and institutions alike.

On the exchange side, inflows and outflows tell a nuanced story. CryptoQuant tracks roughly $8.24 billion in whale BTC flows moving to Binance over the past 30 days, a reading that marks a 14-month high and underscores how large players continue to reposition assets within major venues. At the same time, retail flows have climbed to about $11.91 billion in the same window, with the retail-to-whale ratio reported at 1.45—indicating that smaller participants remain active, albeit with the larger-ticket trades increasingly concentrated among the whale segment. This juxtaposition helps explain why net balances on exchanges have remained relatively stable despite higher gross inflows, as outbound transfers offset incoming liquidity.

Glassnode data reinforce the idea that the on-chain ecosystem is undergoing a rebalancing rather than a straightforward surge in exchange activity. The latest figures show gross exchange whale withdrawals averaging 3.5% of total exchange-held BTC supply over a 30-day period—an aggressive pace not seen since November 2024. If the withdrawal flow persists, it could imply a continued willingness among whales to migrate BTC off exchanges, potentially reducing the available supply for immediate selling pressure. Based on current exchange balances, this translates to a rough net withdrawal range of 60,000–100,000 BTC in the past month, offering a broader sense of the scale involved in the ongoing shift between custody models and trading venues.

Related: “Resilient” Bitcoin holders defend BTC, but bear floor sits 20% lower: Glassnode

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In parallel, the market continues to parse larger macro and crypto-specific signals. The on-chain narrative remains complex: while whale accumulation signals confidence among major holders, the overall price tempo depends on a confluence of liquidity availability, risk appetite, and regulatory developments. The balance between inflows to exchanges and outflows from them appears to be moderating, with indicators suggesting that the market could continue to experience periods of consolidation as participants assess whether the current supply dynamics translate into sustained price support or whether macro headwinds reassert themselves. The dynamic is a reminder that liquidity conditions in crypto markets remain a key driver of price discovery, even as on-chain behavior points to a more resilient posture among large holders.

Related: Quantum fears aren’t behind Bitcoin’s 46% drop, says developer

Key takeaways

  • Whale holdings of 1,000–10,000 BTC climbed to 3.09 million BTC, up from 2.86 million BTC on Dec. 10, 2025, restoring levels seen before the October 2025 market wobble.
  • The three-month accumulation included a net addition of about 230,000 BTC, signaling renewed demand from medium-to-large holders.
  • Over the last 30 days, whale reserves reversed earlier declines with a gain of roughly 98,000 BTC, suggesting renewed on-chain interest.
  • BTC spot market data shows large-average order sizes in 2026, ranging from 950 to 1,100 BTC, the strongest stretch of meaningful blocks since late-2024.
  • Binance rail for whale flows reached about $8.24 billion in 30 days, a 14-month high, while retail flows were about $11.91 billion with a retail-to-whale ratio of 1.45.
  • Glassnode reports a 3.5% average withdrawal rate of exchange-held BTC from whales over 30 days, indicating net exchange balances may remain relatively stable despite rising inflows.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC

Sentiment: Neutral

Market context: The observed on-chain activity unfolds against ongoing liquidity shifts and evolving risk sentiment in crypto markets, with whales reaccumulating as retail participation remains active and exchange balances show a mix of inflows and offsetting withdrawals.

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Why it matters

The reaccumulation by larger Bitcoin holders suggests an orientation toward longer-term custody and potential readiness to absorb buying pressure if market conditions improve. While price action remains contingent on macro signals and liquidity, the on-chain readouts point to a market that is gradually shifting from a phase of dispersion toward a more balanced posture where large entities are rebuilding positions while smaller players continue to transact in smaller blocks.

For traders, the pattern underscores the importance of watching cross-venue flows and the balance between inflows to exchanges and outbound movements. If whales keep moving BTC off exchanges or into more secure custody, the available supply for immediate selling could decline, potentially reducing near-term downside risk in the event of broader market stress. Conversely, sustained large-order activity on the buy side could provide a floor under price discovery, especially if macro catalysts align with a pickup in risk appetite among institutional players.

For developers and investors, the data emphasize the value of analyzing on-chain signals in conjunction with exchange flows and the behavior of different holder cohorts. The evolving distribution among whales, retail participants, and exchange inventories offers a nuanced view of the crypto liquidity landscape and the strategies that might shape price action in the coming months.

What to watch next

  • Monitor whether the total balance of large holders (1k–10k BTC) continues to approach or exceed 3.1 million BTC in the coming weeks.
  • Track net exchange balances to see if withdrawals persist or if inflows begin to outpace outflows again.
  • Observe Binance inflows and outflows for whale BTC to gauge where large holders are moving portions of their stock and whether this signals shifting custody preferences.
  • Watch the 30-day moving averages of large-order activity to confirm whether the 950–1,100 BTC order-size trend persists beyond 2026.
  • Keep an eye on macro and regulatory developments that could influence risk appetite and liquidity across crypto markets.

Sources & verification

  • CryptoQuant quicktake: Whales reaccumulate everything they sold since October (https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/69983917c876a02133a04bc2-Whales-reaccumulate-everything-they-sold-since-October)
  • CryptoQuant quicktake: 82B in Whale BTC Flows to Binance (https://cryptoquant.com/insights/quicktake/69982730312550148f4ec237-82B-in-Whale-BTC-Flows-to-Binance-creating-a-14-Month-High)
  • CryptoQuant: BTC spot average order size (https://cryptoquant.com/asset/btc/chart/market-indicator/spot-average-order)
  • Glassnode data on exchange withdrawals (as cited in the article)
  • Cointelegraph: Related piece on resilient bitcoin holders and market dynamics (https://cointelegraph.com/news/resilient-bitcoin-holders-defend-btc-but-bear-floor-sits-20-lower-glassnode)

What to watch next

  • 3–5 forward-looking checks (dates, filings, unlocks, governance votes, product launches, regulatory steps) ONLY if consistent with the source.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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