Connect with us

Crypto World

Can $1.35 hold amid massive 400M barrel oil dump?

Published

on

XRP price prediction: Can $1.35 hold amid massive 400M barrel oil dump? - 1

The crypto markets witnessed a shift today as oil prices underwent one of their most significant intraday reversals in history. Following an initial surge of nearly 30% that saw Brent crude flirting with $120 per barrel due to the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the market plunged back toward the $100 mark.

Summary

  • Oil prices reversed sharply after reports that G7 nations may release up to 400 million barrels of crude from reserves, easing inflation concerns.
  • XRP is consolidating between $1.34 and $1.40 after rejecting the $1.47 local high earlier this month.
  • Technical indicators show neutral momentum and steady accumulation, suggesting selling pressure may be fading near the $1.30 support level.

This sudden correction followed an exclusive report from the Financial Times stating that G7 finance ministers, in coordination with the International Energy Agency (IEA), are weighing the largest-ever emergency intervention: a release of up to 400 million barrels of crude oil from strategic reserves.

For the cryptocurrency sector, and specifically for XRP, this cooling of energy-driven inflation fears has provided a much-needed window of stability.

XRP price analysis

The current price action on the XRP/USDT (XRP) 4-hour chart illustrates a period of high-tension consolidation following a significant rejection from the $1.47 local high.

After peaking on March 4th, the asset entered a steady downtrend characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. However, a vital defensive effort by bulls is now visible around the $1.34 to $1.35 range, where price has begun to trade sideways in a narrow cluster.

Advertisement

The most immediate support is firmly established at the $1.30 level, which served as a major floor during the late February sell-off.

Conversely, overhead resistance is concentrated at $1.40, a psychological barrier that has repeatedly stifled recovery attempts. If bulls can successfully leverage the current macro stabilization to push back above $1.40, the next significant resistance target lies at the recent swing high of $1.47.

XRP price prediction: Can $1.35 hold amid massive 400M barrel oil dump? - 1
XRP price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

Technical indicators suggest that while the immediate trend is cautious, the selling pressure may be nearing exhaustion. The Money Flow Index (MFI-14) is currently positioned at 44.58, indicating a neutral momentum that has recovered from an oversold dip below 20 seen on March 7th.

This suggests that capital is slowly re-entering the asset at these lower price points.

Additionally, the Accumulation/Distribution line remains relatively flat at 26.1 billion, showing that despite the price drop from $1.47, there hasn’t been a massive exodus of volume, pointing toward “strong hands” holding through the volatility.

Advertisement

For a definitive bullish reversal, traders are looking for a break out of the current tight range, specifically a close above the $1.36 level seen in the most recent candle.

Failure to defend the $1.34 immediate floor could lead to a retest of the $1.30 primary support, while a breakout could pave the way for a run back toward $1.50 if global energy fears continue to subside.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

XRP Price Stays Below $1.40 With 60% of Supply Now in the Red

Published

on

XRP Price Stays Below $1.40 With 60% of Supply Now in the Red

XRP (XRP) traded at $1.35 on Monday, a 63% drawdown from its multi-year high of $3.66 reached in July 2025. As a result, many XRP holders are sitting on significant unrealized losses, underscoring the risks facing crypto investors in bear markets.

Key takeaways:

  • XRP’s 63% drawdown from its $3.66 multi-year high has left holders with over $50 billion in unrealized losses.

  • Key XRP levels to watch in the short term include $1.40, $1.30 and $1.27.

60% of XRP circulating supply now in the red

The XRP/USD pair trades 28% below its yearly open of $1.87, extending losses after it closed 2025 down 11.6%. The prolonged weakness has pushed a significant portion of its supply into the red.

Related: XRP faces $650M sell risk as charts hint at prices below $1

Advertisement

With XRP trading at $1.35 at the time of writing, roughly 36.8 billion XRP are currently held at a loss, representing $50.8 billion in unrealized losses, or more than 60% of the circulating supply, according to data from Glassnode.

XRP: Total supply in loss. Source: Glassnode

XRP’s spot price is also below its aggregate holder cost basis, currently at $1.44, suggesting that long-term holders are increasingly under strain. 

XRP/USD average holder cost basis. Source: Glassnode

Spot XRP ETF investors are also feeling the pressure. Data from SoSoValue shows that these investors are reducing exposure to these investment products, which have recorded outflows for two consecutive days totaling $22.8 million.

More than $16.2 million in net outflows were recorded on Friday, marking the largest redemption since Jan. 29, when spot XRP ETFs saw $93 million in outflows.

Spot XRP ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue

The risk-off sentiment is also seen in global XRP investment products, which recorded more than $30 million in net outflows during the week ending March 6.

Key XRP price levels to watch below $1.40

The XRP/USD pair continued to trade within a range, with $140 as resistance and $1.30 a key support level that the bulls must hold to prevent further downside.

The price is now retesting the bottom of the range, as shown in the chart below.

Advertisement

“If buyers step in here, we could see XRP rotate right back toward the top of the range again,” analysts at CryptoPulse said, adding:

“If this level breaks, the range structure starts to shift and price could look for lower levels.”

XRP/USD 12-hour chart. Source: CryptoPulse

A key area of interest lies between $1.30 and the local low of $1.27 reached on Feb. 28. If the price loses this level, the next stop could be the Feb. 6 low of $1.13, which is also the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA).

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

On the upside, bulls are now focused on flipping the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) into support at $1.40.

Glassnode’s UTXO realized price distribution (URPD), which shows the average prices at which ETH holders bought their coins, shows an important level at the 200-week SMA, where investors acquired $1.28 billion in XRP.

XRP: UTXO realized price distribution (URPD). Source: Glassnode

As Cointelegraph reported, the XRP price could rally to $1.60 and then $1.95, if the support at $1.40 is reclaimed.