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Can Cardano hold its top 10 comeback?

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ADA price forecast: Can Cardano hold its top 10 comeback? - 1

Cardano has made a defiant return to the crypto top 10, reclaiming its spot on CoinMarketCap after ADA price surged nearly 20% over the last 48 hours.

Summary

  • Cardano (ADA) surged nearly 20% in 48 hours, reclaiming a top-10 spot on CoinMarketCap and flipping Bitcoin Cash in market capitalization, though ranking discrepancies remain across platforms.
  • ADA is trading near $0.292, with RSI near 51 and the Awesome Oscillator turning positive, signaling strengthening bullish momentum as price tests psychological resistance at $0.30.
  • Large holders have added over 819 million ADA in six months, while Grayscale raised Cardano’s weighting to 20.2% in its Smart Contract Platform Fund.

This rally allowed the “Ethereum-killer” to flip Bitcoin Cash in market capitalization, signaling a renewed appetite for the asset following months of lacklustre price action.

ADA price forecast: Can Cardano hold its top 10 comeback? - 1
Cardano enters crypto’s top 10 | Source: Coinmarketcap

Interestingly, while CoinMarketCap places ADA at #10, the platform CoinGecko currently ranks it 12th. This discrepancy typically arises from how each platform calculates circulating supply and which “wrapped” or staked assets they include in their total market cap valuation.

Regardless of the minor ranking rift, the momentum behind Cardano is undeniable.

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ADA price analysis: Bulls eye $0.30 resistance

The attached ADA/USDT daily chart reveals a significant shift in sentiment. After a period of consolidation throughout February, Cardano is currently trading at $0.2921, testing the upper bounds of its recent range.

ADA price
ADA price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 50.98, indicating a neutral-to-bullish momentum with plenty of “room to run” before reaching overbought territory.

Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has printed its first few green bars above the zero line, suggesting that bullish momentum is finally overtaking the previous bearish trend.

The immediate resistance is a psychological barrier at $0.3000. A daily close above this level could clear the path for a move toward $0.34.

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On the downside, solid support is established at the $0.25 level, where buyers aggressively stepped in during early February.

The verdict: Can ADA hold its position?

Whether Cardano holds its top 10 position depends on its ability to flip the $0.30 mark into support. With whale accumulation on the rise and technical indicators flashing green, ADA is well-positioned to maintain its comeback, provided the broader market remains stable.

Recent data from Santiment and other analytics providers suggests a clear divergence between large holders and retail traders.

Over the last six months, “sharks” and “whales” have aggressively increased their positions. Specifically, 819.4 million ADA has been accumulated by this group even as prices hit local lows near $0.26.

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Meanwhile, institutional interest is also resurfacing. Grayscale recently increased Cardano’s weighting in its Smart Contract Platform Fund to 20.2%, making it the fund’s third-largest holding.

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Crypto World

Arizona Judge Blocks Gambling Enforcement Against Kalshi Contracts

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Arizona Judge Blocks Gambling Enforcement Against Kalshi Contracts

A federal judge in Arizona has temporarily barred state officials from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, siding with the CFTC.

A federal judge in Arizona has temporarily barred state officials from enforcing gambling laws against Kalshi, siding with US regulators in a growing dispute over how event-based trading products should be classified.

In an order issued on Friday, Judge Michael Liburdi of the US District Court for the District of Arizona granted a request from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the federal government to halt any state-level action targeting contracts listed on CFTC-regulated markets .

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The ruling centers on whether Kalshi’s “event contracts” fall under federal derivatives law or state gambling statutes. Last month, Arizona authorities sought to pursue enforcement against Kalshi under local gambling rules, but the CFTC asked a court order on Wednesday to stop the action.

The court said that the CFTC is likely to succeed in arguing that such contracts qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act, placing them within federal jurisdiction. The law grants the agency exclusive authority over swaps traded on designated contract markets.

Related: Prediction market users await Artemis II mission splashdown

Court halts Arizona enforcement against Kalshi

As part of the decision, Arizona officials are temporarily prohibited from initiating or continuing civil or criminal enforcement tied to Kalshi’s event contracts on regulated exchanges .

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The restraining order will remain in effect until April 24, while the court considers whether to issue a longer-term preliminary injunction.

Kalshi notional volume. Source: Kalshidata

The case adds to a broader debate over prediction markets in the United States, particularly as regulators and states clash over whether such products resemble financial instruments or online betting. Last month, Utah lawmakers also passed a bill targeting Kalshi and Polymarket that classifies proposition-style bets on in-game events as gambling, aiming to block such offerings in the state.

Related: US appeals court upholds preventing New Jersey enforcement against Kalshi

Nevada judge extends ban on Kalshi

Last week, a Nevada judge extended a ban preventing Kalshi from offering event-based contracts in the state, siding with regulators who argue the products amount to unlicensed gambling.

The court found that the platform’s offerings closely resemble traditional sports betting. The judge said there is no meaningful distinction between placing a wager through a sportsbook and buying a contract tied to an event outcome, concluding that such activity falls under Nevada’s gaming laws.

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