Crypto World
Cathie Wood’s $20 million SpaceX bet pays off as stock jumps 7%
Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest has gained an early paper profit after buying $20.45 million of SpaceX stock one day before the shares jumped 7.10% to $128.37.
Summary
- ARK Invest bought 170,634 SpaceX shares worth about $20.45 million across four ETFs.
- SpaceX stock jumped 7.10% to $128.37, giving ARK an early paper gain.
- ARK’s SpaceX investment has surpassed $475 million despite heavy short selling and IPO losses.
ARK Invest’s July 20 trading disclosure shows that four of the firm’s actively managed exchange-traded funds bought a combined 170,634 SpaceX shares while the stock was trading under its $135 IPO price. Based on Monday’s closing price of $119.85, the purchases were worth about $20.45 million.
During Tuesday’s session, SpaceX shares rose $8.52 to $128.37 as of 11:31 a.m. EDT, according to Nasdaq real-time market data. Applying that increase to ARK’s latest purchase gives the position an unrealized gain of about $1.45 million, although its final value will depend on where the stock trades when the funds sell.

Tuesday’s advance followed a 3.34% decline on Monday, when SpaceX extended a steep retreat from its post-IPO peak. Despite the rebound, the stock remained about 4.9% below its $135 offer price and nearly 43% under its record high of $225.64.
ARK expands its SpaceX exposure
Among the four funds, the ARK Innovation ETF made the largest purchase by adding 97,664 SpaceX shares. ARK’s disclosure valued that position at roughly $11.70 million using Monday’s closing price.
The ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF purchased another 31,807 shares worth about $3.81 million. At the same time, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF added 28,153 shares valued at approximately $3.37 million.
Completing the latest round, the ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF bought 13,010 shares for close to $1.56 million. ARK spread the purchase across funds with different mandates, although each portfolio gained exposure to the same SpaceX price recovery.
Monday’s transaction followed another large ARK purchase on July 17, when four funds acquired 147,623 SpaceX shares after the stock fell 5.43% to a fresh post-IPO low. According to ARK’s July 17 trading report, those shares were worth about $18.3 million at the closing price of $123.99.
ARKK led that earlier purchase with 95,129 shares valued at approximately $11.8 million. ARKQ bought 30,464 shares worth $3.78 million, while ARKX added 12,611 shares valued at $1.56 million. ARKW completed the transaction with 9,419 shares worth roughly $1.17 million.
Across the July 17 and July 20 disclosures, ARK purchased 318,257 SpaceX shares valued at about $38.75 million at the respective closing prices. The two transactions continued a series of investments that began around SpaceX’s June 12 stock-market debut.
According to Ark Invest Tracker, Wood’s firm had already invested more than $475 million in SpaceX by the week ending July 10. The tracker reported about $52.1 million of purchases during that week, following roughly $444 million of buying around the IPO.
Wall Street’s outlook remains largely positive despite SpaceX’s post-IPO decline. According to an Ark Invest Tracker post citing Reuters data from July 7, analysts had a median price target of $213.50, which implies about 66% upside from Tuesday’s $128.37 price. Raymond James held the highest target at $800, followed by Morgan Stanley at $300, while MoffettNathanson had the lowest estimate at $130.
Short sellers retain large exposure
Although Tuesday’s rally gave ARK’s latest position an early lift, S3 Partners data indicates that bearish traders have benefited from the decline that followed SpaceX’s record high. According to the financial-data firm, short sellers accumulated about $4 billion in paper profits over the previous month.
S3 Partners also estimated that investors betting against SpaceX had shorted about 30% of its freely traded shares, equal to roughly 192 million shares. A large short position can add buying pressure when the price rises because some traders may repurchase shares to close their bets, though S3 Partners had not attributed Tuesday’s gain specifically to short covering.
Operational concerns have also weighed on investor sentiment since the IPO. SpaceX called off Starship’s first planned post-listing flight after an automatic abort triggered by engine problems, according to the original launch update. The cancellation added another setback while the stock was already retreating from its June peak.
Investors are also watching the scheduled expiration of SpaceX’s post-IPO lockup on Aug. 19. According to the lockup details cited in the original report, the expiration could make an additional 900 million shares eligible for trading, potentially increasing the stock’s available supply.
For now, Tuesday’s 7.10% jump has recovered Monday’s entire decline and moved SpaceX closer to its IPO price. Nasdaq data still placed the shares $6.63 below the $135 offer level, leaving ARK’s earlier purchases with different results depending on their entry prices, even as the latest $20.45 million bet moved into profit.
Crypto World
AI-Driven Trading Slump May Spark Faster Crypto Market Breakout, Analyst Says
Bitcoin and the broader crypto complex staged a rebound on Tuesday as optimism around proposed US legislation helped lift risk sentiment, while some analysts argued that cooling momentum in AI-linked equities could redirect investor attention toward digital assets.
Price action reflected that shift: Bitcoin briefly traded above $67,000, and Ether neared $1,950. Crypto-related stocks also surged, with Coinbase shares up about 12%, American Bitcoin rising roughly 14%, and Cipher Digital gaining around 17%.
Key takeaways
- Regulatory clarity expectations in the US boosted crypto sentiment, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signaling lawmakers are close to action on the CLARITY Act.
- Bitcoin outperformed in the same session crypto equities rallied, suggesting the move was broad rather than isolated to spot trading.
- Analysts cited a potential rotation away from AI-linked equities as AI trade momentum cools.
- The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index’s pullback may be a signal that AI infrastructure enthusiasm is losing traction.
US legislative momentum lifts crypto risk appetite
The immediate catalyst for Tuesday’s turnaround was renewed confidence that US lawmakers could move forward on a long-debated framework for digital-asset regulation.
According to Bloomberg, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said lawmakers were at the “1-yard line” regarding the CLARITY Act, a proposal intended to define the regulatory roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) across digital assets.
That kind of legislative direction matters to crypto markets because it can reduce uncertainty about how tokens are classified, which agencies have oversight, and what rules exchanges and custodians must follow. In the near term, even statements that suggest progress can improve investor confidence and translate into higher demand for crypto exposure—whether through spot or through equities that track the sector.
The stock reaction was pronounced. Coinbase’s reported jump of around 12% and similar gains in other crypto-linked companies indicated the market was responding to more than just token price moves; equities tied to the industry often react quickly to perceived regulatory and market-structure developments.
Rotation thesis: AI trade cooling could free up capital
Beyond regulation, some market commentators pointed to cross-asset rotation. As traders reassess the crowded “AI trade,” they may look for alternatives that previously attracted less speculative appetite.
FRNT Financial CEO Stephane Ouellette, speaking to Bloomberg, argued that with Bitcoin trading toward the top end of its recent range, the “path of least resistance” could be higher. He also suggested an “elevated likelihood” of a breakout as the AI trade slows and investors become more comfortable with the broader environment for interest rates.
This matters because the last year has seen AI narratives pull capital into specific equity segments, particularly chipmakers and AI infrastructure. If that momentum fades—whether due to valuation concerns, earnings expectations, or spending risk—capital can reallocate toward areas that offer a different risk/return profile, including crypto.
Semiconductors’ pullback signals AI momentum is weakening
The clearest supporting data for the rotation argument comes from the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), described as a widely watched benchmark for chipmakers tied to the AI boom. According to the article, the SOX index surged roughly 110% over the past year, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm for AI-driven demand.
However, the same report highlighted that the rally has begun to stall. It notes that last week the SOX entered a technical bear market after dropping more than 20% from its recent high. Investors, it said, have grown more concerned about high valuations and the risk of overcapacity in AI infrastructure spending.
That development is important for crypto investors because AI-linked equity weakness can change market perception of speculative growth. When expectations around AI spending cool, speculative flows can loosen—making it easier for other themes, including digital assets, to attract new buyers.
It also reframes Tuesday’s move: rather than treating crypto strength as purely idiosyncratic, the market appears to be reacting to a broader shift in speculative leadership—from AI back toward regulated or macro-sensitive narratives like US policy progress.
What to watch next
Traders will likely watch whether CLARITY Act momentum translates into concrete legislative steps rather than rhetorical optimism, and whether AI-related equity weakness persists. If the semiconductor selloff continues and regulation expectations become more tangible, crypto may find follow-through beyond a single-session rebound—otherwise Tuesday’s rally could prove harder to sustain.
Crypto World
Crypto Gains Momentum as AI Boom Shows Signs of Cooling
Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market looked poised for a recovery on Tuesday as progress on landmark US crypto legislation boosted sentiment, with analysts also pointing to a slowdown in the AI trade as a potential catalyst for capital rotating back into digital assets.
Bitcoin (BTC) briefly climbed above $67,000 and Ether (ETH) neared $1,950, while crypto-related stocks rallied sharply. Coinbase shares rose 12%, American Bitcoin gained 14% and Cipher Digital jumped 17%.
The gains came after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said lawmakers were at the “1-yard line” on the long-debated CLARITY Act, which would define the regulatory roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission over digital assets.

Coinbase (COIN) was among the market’s top-performing stocks on Tuesday. Source: Yahoo Finance
Beyond the regulatory tailwinds, some analysts said crypto could also benefit from investors shifting capital away from AI-linked equities.
“With Bitcoin at the top end of the range, we see the path of least resistance being higher and an elevated likelihood of a breakout of the range as the AI trade slows and the market becomes more comfortable with the path of interest rates,” FRNT Financial CEO Stephane Ouellette told Bloomberg.
Related: Hut 8, IREN deals lift AI-focused Bitcoin mining stocks
AI trade loses momentum as chipmakers fall
AI-related stocks have dominated speculative markets over the past year, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) — a widely watched benchmark for chipmakers powering the AI boom — surging roughly 110%.
However, the rally has begun to lose momentum. Last week, the SOX index entered a technical bear market after falling more than 20% from its recent high, as investors grew increasingly concerned about lofty valuations and the risk of overcapacity in AI infrastructure spending.
This follows an extended period in which AI largely overshadowed digital assets. Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, a wave of innovation, venture capital investment and retail enthusiasm has shifted much of the market’s speculative appetite toward AI.

Source: Milk Road
Related: Will the US get CLARITY this week? Bitcoin’s new $80K target: Hodler’s Digest, July 19
Crypto World
Pavel Durov says Telegram to roll out native Gram crypto wallet

Telegram founder Pavel Durov said the messaging platform will roll out a native non-custodial Gram wallet this summer, bringing self-custody crypto transactions to its more than 1 billion users.
Crypto World
Cardano’s NIGHT Hits All-Time Low After 290M Token Dump
NIGHT, the token behind Cardano’s privacy-focused Midnight network, plunged more than 43% earlier today to hit an all-time low of $0.01524.
Speculation then mounted that the Midnight blockchain may have been hacked, causing the steep selloff, but according to The Midnight Foundation, the price drop came after roughly 2% of NIGHT’s supply was moved out of a two-year-old contract tied to Wanchain’s Cardano-to-BNB Chain bridge.
Foundation Says Blockchain Was Not Hacked
Independent on-chain researcher Paul was among the first to flag the withdrawal and noted in his preliminary findings that between 14:46 and 14:55 UTC on Monday, some 515 million NIGHT tokens had been withdrawn from a contract identified as Wanchain’s Cardano-side bridge lock address, which backs the Wanchain-wrapped NIGHT on BNB. Nothing else in that contract, including Mynth, XER, and WMT, was touched.
According to his analysis, around 290 million tokens were then sold across decentralized exchanges, sending the price down, while another 200 million were transferred to a second wallet, leaving what he described as a large unsold overhang. Furthermore, he said that the total NIGHT supply itself did not change, meaning no new tokens had been minted.
Soon after, the Midnight Foundation published a community update on X, saying it was aware of reports involving the Wanchain Cardano-to-BNB bridge and stressed that the available information pointed to a cross-chain bridge issue and not a problem with the Midnight network. It also urged users to only rely on official updates and to watch out for phishing attempts while investigations were going on.
In a second statement, issued a few hours later, the organization confirmed that Midnight’s protocol, validator network, consensus mechanism, and core infrastructure were all operating normally.
CoinGecko data shows that before the plunge, NIGHT had traded as high as $0.026, with the sudden sale of 290 million tokens dragging it down to $0.01524, its lowest ever price level. It has since pulled back some of those losses and was trading more than 28% above that ATL at the time of writing, although it was still 27% in the red over 24 hours. It has also erased all the gains it had made in the last year and is about 34% lower than where it was a week ago.
Bridge Security Back in the Spotlight
Cardano co-founder Charles Hoskinson also weighed in, saying an automated alert on his phone had flagged NIGHT’s unusual price action, after which the Midnight Foundation and other parties set up an informal war room to track the situation as it unfolded.
His message boiled down to three points: that Midnight’s own smart contracts had kept on running without interruption; the problem came from one of the four components in Wanchain’s bridge architecture; and that the industry needs to be more vigilant given how fast AI tools can now find such flaws.
According to Hoskinson, bridge infrastructure is one of the weakest points in crypto because it depends on trust assumptions outside the underlying blockchain. But he believes that technologies, including zero-knowledge proof-based bridges and trusted execution environments, as well as multisig systems, could reduce such risks.
His point on AI is something OpenZeppelin co-founder Manuel Aráoz touched on in late May, when he warned people to get out of DeFi, saying AI-powered coding agents have tilted the security game in favor of attackers, making it difficult for any protocol to hold user funds with any level of confidence. DeFi Investor, an analyst who monitors the sector, repeated the warning recently when Anthropic announced the launch of its Mythos AI, which experts say is extremely good at finding software vulnerabilities.
The post Cardano’s NIGHT Hits All-Time Low After 290M Token Dump appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthrough
Senate negotiations over the CLARITY Act have produced new customer safeguards and an ethics agreement, raising Polymarket’s odds of enactment this year to 43% as lawmakers pursue a bipartisan floor vote.
Summary
- John Thune sees a good chance of reaching a bipartisan CLARITY Act agreement.
- Democrats secured stronger customer protections, while lawmakers agreed on ethics provisions.
- Polymarket traders place the bill’s chance of becoming law in 2026 at 43%.
CNBC reported that Democratic senators secured additional customer protection measures during negotiations over the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, although unresolved details have continued to delay the release of the Senate’s final text.
Speaking to CNBC on Monday, Coinbase Vice Chair Ryan VanGrack described the revised protections as giving the bill “more teeth.” According to VanGrack, the changes address gaps in the current rules governing digital asset users, but he did not explain what requirements lawmakers had added.
Senate Majority Leader John Thune has also voiced cautious confidence that Republicans and Democrats can reach an agreement. In comments shared through an X post, Thune said there was a “good chance” of a deal, while warning that the talks could still take a different course.
Lawmakers are working with Democratic senators to secure enough support to bring the legislation to the floor, according to Thune. The majority leader has previously indicated that he wants a bipartisan agreement before committing valuable Senate floor time to the bill.
Republicans control 53 Senate seats but would need support from at least seven Democrats to reach the 60 votes generally required to overcome a filibuster. That arithmetic has given Democratic negotiators considerable influence over the customer protection and ethics sections of the legislation.
Bipartisan support has moved closer
An agreement covering elected officials’ involvement in digital assets has removed one of the main obstacles in the negotiations, crypto.news reported. Democratic lawmakers had pressed for rules addressing potential conflicts connected to President Donald Trump’s crypto interests and the participation of public officials in the sector.
According to Punchbowl News, Trump accepted the inclusion of ethics provisions, helping negotiations advance after weeks of disagreement. The report did not publish the full language, and the final restrictions will remain unclear until senators release the updated bill.
Senator Kevin Cramer offered further details about the enforcement structure, stating that negotiators had reached an agreement on the ethics language. Under the approach described by Cramer, the Justice Department would enforce the provision instead of leaving enforcement to individual state attorneys general.
Cramer argued that the bill was becoming clearer as lawmakers resolved each disputed issue. Commenting on the progress, the North Dakota Republican said, “I think we’re almost there.”
At the same time, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Congress to complete the legislation before senators leave Washington for their August recess. Bessent described lawmakers as being at the “1-yard line,” indicating that only a limited number of disputes remained in the negotiations.
Coinbase has presented the customer protection concessions as evidence that Democratic participation has changed the legislation rather than simply supplying Republican sponsors with the votes they need. VanGrack told CNBC that Democrats had used the process to strengthen protections for people who hold or trade digital assets.
Earlier Senate work has already included rules governing customer property, fair and transparent pricing, advertising standards and fraudulent conduct. A draft published by the Senate Agriculture Committee also requires digital commodity brokers, dealers and exchanges to register with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, subject to exemptions written into the proposal.
The Senate Agriculture Committee advanced its portion of the market structure package in January. Committee Chair John Boozman stated at the time that the legislation built on the bipartisan, House-passed CLARITY Act and included provisions negotiated with Senate Democrats.
Final text still controls the timeline
Despite the latest agreements, CNBC reported that the Senate has not released the completed legislative text. Ethics rules remain part of the delay, leaving lawmakers, crypto companies and consumer groups unable to assess the precise restrictions or enforcement powers under discussion.
Thune has said he hopes to bring the CLARITY Act to the Senate floor before August, but his comments indicate that scheduling depends on Democrats committing enough votes. A floor vote without that support could stall the bill before the chamber considers amendments or final passage.
The House has already approved its version of the CLARITY Act, while the Senate is preparing its own text. Any differences between the two chambers would have to be resolved before Congress could send a common version to Trump for his signature.
The legislation seeks to establish federal rules for digital asset markets and clarify the roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the CFTC. Senate Agriculture Committee materials show that its portion would give the CFTC authority over digital commodity intermediaries and impose registration, custody, anti-fraud, and customer property requirements.
Traders on Polymarket currently assign a 43% probability that Trump will sign the CLARITY Act into law during 2026, down from the 47% figure cited earlier in the negotiations. Prediction-market odds can change quickly and do not establish whether Congress will meet Thune’s preferred timetable.

For now, the ethics agreement and Democratic customer protections have improved the path to a bipartisan vote, but the unpublished text and Senate calendar continue to determine whether the bill can reach the floor before the August recess.
Crypto World
Former Coinbase CTO Loses Malaysia License After Alleged Israel Link Sparks Investigation
Malaysian authorities have revoked the business license of Network School, a technology community founded by former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan.
The decision followed scrutiny over alleged links to Israeli participants. However, local officials said they cancelled the license over business and premises violations.
The Iskandar Puteri City Council ordered NS0 Malaysia Sdn Bhd to stop all operations at Forest City from July 22. Officials said the company operated from two premises. One site did not have the required business license.
Meanwhile, inspectors found that the company carried out activities beyond those approved under its existing license. Authorities also found problems with its advertising signboard.
Israeli Claims Trigger Investigation
The case began after pro-Palestinian activists raised concerns about possible Israeli participation at Network School.
Online posts alleged that Israeli entrepreneurs had entered Malaysia using passports issued by other countries. The claims also raised questions about the school’s admission process and its interest in Israel, politics and military technology.
However, Malaysian immigration officials later inspected 266 foreign residents from 40 countries.
They said everyone checked had valid travel documents. Authorities did not publicly confirm that any participant had entered Malaysia illegally as an Israeli national.
Malaysia does not recognise Israel and generally does not allow entry using Israeli passports. However, Israeli dual nationals may enter using valid passports from other countries if they meet Malaysian immigration rules.
Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said authorities would expel any Israeli national found breaking local laws.
What is the Network School?
Network School opened in Forest City, Johor, in 2024.
Despite its name, Malaysia’s Higher Education Ministry said it was not a registered university or private education provider. Officials described it as a residential and co-working community for technology founders, investors and startup workers.
The project became known for promoting Srinivasan’s “network state” idea. The concept involves online communities building physical settlements and developing their own economic and governance systems.
The school offered accommodation, meals, workspaces, startup programmes and fitness activities. It attracted people from the crypto, technology and investment sectors.
Srinivasan Rejects Allegations
Srinivasan denied the claims about Israeli links before the license was cancelled.
He said anonymous social media accounts had spread false allegations. He also warned that the investigation could damage Malaysia’s reputation among international technology investors.
According to Srinivasan, Network School had invested more than 100 million Malaysian ringgit in Forest City. He said the company had planned a further 500 million ringgit expansion.
The company placed those plans on hold during the investigation.
Srinivasan joined Coinbase in 2018 after the crypto exchange acquired Earn.com, where he served as chief executive.
Coinbase appointed him as its first CTO. His role focused on technology strategy, crypto advocacy and recruitment. He left the company in May 2019.
Malaysia and Israel’s Diplomatic Roadblocks
Malaysia has a long-standing policy of refusing formal diplomatic relations with Israel and strongly supporting Palestinian statehood. Israeli passport holders are generally barred from entering without special permission, and Malaysian passports have historically excluded travel to Israel.
The Gaza war intensified public pressure for boycotts and restrictions involving Israeli entities or companies accused of supporting Israel.
In 2024, 22 Malaysian civil-society organisations urged the government to block a consortium’s proposed privatisation of Malaysia Airports because one consortium member, Global Infrastructure Partners, was being acquired by BlackRock.
Campaigners alleged that BlackRock had significant Israeli connections and investments.
The government did not cancel the airport transaction solely on that basis. Global Infrastructure Partners later said BlackRock would not participate in the deal.
The post Former Coinbase CTO Loses Malaysia License After Alleged Israel Link Sparks Investigation appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
AI-Driven Trading Slows, Analysts See Crypto Breakout Momentum
Bitcoin and the wider crypto market started Tuesday on a firmer footing as expectations for US regulatory progress reignited risk appetite, lifting both digital assets and shares tied to crypto activity.
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $67,000 and Ether neared $1,950, while crypto-related equities rose sharply. Coinbase stock climbed about 12%, American Bitcoin gained roughly 14%, and Cipher Digital jumped around 17%.
Key takeaways
- Shares and tokens rallied after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said lawmakers are approaching a key vote on the CLARITY Act.
- The proposed law would clarify which regulator—SEC or CFTC—oversees different categories of digital assets.
- Analysts also cited weakening momentum in AI-linked equities as a potential driver of capital rotation back into crypto.
- The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index’s pullback suggests speculation in AI infrastructure may be cooling after a strong run.
Regulatory optimism lifts the whole complex
The immediate catalyst for Tuesday’s rebound came from remarks by Scott Bessent, reported by Bloomberg, indicating that lawmakers were at the “1-yard line” on the long-debated CLARITY Act. The bill aims to define the regulatory roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for digital assets.
For investors, that kind of clarity matters because it can reduce uncertainty around enforcement risk and the classification of tokens and trading venues. It also has second-order effects: when regulators’ boundaries look more clearly drawn, capital formation—whether in exchanges, custody, or institutional products—tends to improve as participants better price compliance and operational costs.
Crypto’s rebound runs alongside stock strength
Market-wide optimism showed up most visibly in equities connected to the crypto ecosystem. Coinbase’s stock led gains among major crypto market proxies, while companies exposed to mining, trading, or related infrastructure also outperformed.
That strong correlation between crypto prices and crypto-linked equities often reflects a common driver: when policy expectations shift, both asset holders and equity investors adjust their assumptions about future regulation, adoption, and market structure.
Rotation risk: why AI-linked stocks may be losing steam
Beyond US legislative headlines, some analysts pointed to a separate potential driver—investors dialing back exposure to AI-linked equities—which could free up liquidity for other high-beta trades, including digital assets.
Bloomberg quoted FRNT Financial CEO Stephane Ouellette arguing that when Bitcoin is near the upper end of its range, the “path of least resistance” can turn upward. Ouellette also said the likelihood of a breakout may increase if the AI trade slows and investors become more comfortable with the broader interest-rate outlook.
The “AI trade” explanation has a concrete benchmark behind it. According to coverage cited by the article, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX)—a widely watched measure for chipmakers tied to AI demand—surged roughly 110% over the past year. But momentum has started to slip: the SOX entered a technical bear market last week after falling more than 20% from its recent high, with investors reportedly increasingly worried about lofty valuations and the risk of overcapacity in AI infrastructure spending.
That matters because much of the speculative appetite in financial markets has been concentrated in AI during the last year. Since the public launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, the mix of rapid innovation, venture capital activity, and retail enthusiasm helped shift attention away from crypto and toward AI narratives across trading desks and risk budgets.
What to watch next
Tuesday’s bounce looks tied to two threads: near-term expectations for the CLARITY Act’s progress in Washington and signs that AI-linked equity momentum may be cooling. The next signal for traders and longer-term investors will be whether crypto price strength holds through subsequent US legislative developments—and whether the broader market continues to rotate attention from semiconductors back toward risk assets like digital currencies.
Crypto World
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take ‘historic’ crypto Clarity Act ethics deal
“If Senate Democrats block this historic legislation after the administration has bent over backward to accommodate their concerns, stakeholders should make no mistake: It is the Democrats who are blocking this legislation because they were never serious about a legislative outcome,” the White House official said.
Democratic negotiators such as Senators Kirsten Gillibrand, Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks reportedly haven’t received details of the agreement with Trump, who’d met personally with Republican senators last week. But many of the Democrats have drawn a line in the sand that the ethics provision — driven primarily by Trump’s own deep crypto connections — needs to be strong.
The dispute was heightened recently by the president’s disclosures that he’d pocketed more than $1 billion last year from his crypto interests.
The White House, Republicans and their crypto industry allies are already building their case against any Democrats who don’t accept the new answer to their ethics demands. It’s unclear when they’ll get to see it.
The industry is expecting full circulation of the Clarity Act legislative language as soon as Tuesday night or Wednesday, though that expectation has been repeatedly delayed since last week.
The Senate has fewer than three weeks to finish the bill, including the ethics piece, and get it through the political gauntlet of a floor vote before lawmakers leave town for their reelection campaigns. There’s technically enough time, but even without significant further debate, it would be tight.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Just Triggered Three Rare Signals That Previously Marked Market Bottoms
Bitcoin is displaying the same technical conditions that have historically marked major market bottoms, even as some on-chain indicators continue to point to the possibility of further downside.
In his latest analysis, crypto analyst Ali Martinez said that metrics such as MVRV and Cumulative Value-Days Destroyed (CVDD) still place BTC’s potential cycle bottom in the $40,000 to $50,000 range. However, the crypto asset’s monthly chart is now showing a technical setup that has consistently appeared near the end of previous bear markets.
Rare Technical Trifecta Returns
According to Martinez, this pattern consists of three important signals occurring together: the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling to around 43.65, the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) dropping to roughly -71, and Bitcoin testing its 50-month moving average.
In the three previous market cycles, this combination coincided with major long-term bottoms. For example, back in March 2015, the setup appeared when BTC traded at $235. Although the price later briefly declined to $162, Martinez said the signal preceded an 8,300% macro expansion.
A similar pattern emerged in January 2019, when the crypto asset was near $3,333, slightly above the cycle low of $3,124 recorded a month earlier, before beginning a rally of 1,911%. The same technical cluster also appeared in December 2022, when it stood at $16,270, just above the $15,473 cycle bottom while hovering near the 50-month moving average. The analyst said that move was followed by a 675% rally.
Interestingly, Bitcoin’s correction to $58,000 last month triggered the same historical setup once again.
According to the analysis, the monthly RSI has now fallen below 43.65, the Chande Momentum Oscillator has cooled to -71, and Bitcoin is trading around its 50-month moving average. While Martinez acknowledged that on-chain indicators still leave room for the crypto asset to revisit the $40,000 to $50,000 range in what he described as a “sweep of the CVDD floor,” he said the current technical alignment has represented a dominant accumulation zone.
Based on that combination of signals, Martinez stated,
“Shifting focus away from short positions and toward spot BTC accumulation offers a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio at these levels.”
Buying Opportunity
Martinez is not alone in seeing the current market as a buying opportunity. Crypto analyst Doctor Profit also recently noted that investors waiting for a traditional four-year cycle bottom in September or October could miss the opportunity. While he acknowledged that a large liquidity zone remains around $54,000 and said Bitcoin could still decline about 15% from current levels, he does not expect the crypto asset to fall below $50,000.
Instead of waiting for lower prices, Doctor Profit suggested accumulating Bitcoin gradually rather than investing all at once. He also said the next major rally is unlikely to begin immediately. The analyst said several upcoming events could strengthen market sentiment before the asset reaches its expected cycle low.
These include the planned rollout of tokenized stocks involving BlackRock, the New York Stock Exchange, the S&P, Nasdaq, and the DTCC. He also mentioned speculation surrounding the CLARITY Act’s possible passage in August.
The post Bitcoin Just Triggered Three Rare Signals That Previously Marked Market Bottoms appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Xrp Ledger V3.2.0 Hits 66% Adoption Before July 29 Activation
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 now runs on 66% of tracked validators as the network approaches a scheduled amendment activation. XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 has reached 99 validators and 481 nodes across the monitored network. The July 29 activation remains on schedule because validator support continues above the required threshold.
Validator Adoption Expands Across The Network
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 currently operates on 57.33% of tracked nodes, according to recent XRPL Explorer data. The tracker recorded 481 updated nodes among 825 observed systems. Adoption has increased since the software became available in June.
However, many operators still use the earlier release across both validator and node infrastructure. Version 3.1.3 remains active on 42 validators, representing 28% of the monitored validator group. Another 323 nodes continue running that version, equal to 38.41% of tracked nodes.
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 gives operators access to maintenance fixes before the amendment changes ledger rules. Software installation and amendment approval remain separate processes under XRP Ledger governance. Updated servers receive the code, while validator votes determine whether consensus changes become binding.
Amendment Support Clears The Required Threshold
The fixCleanup3_2_0 amendment currently holds 85.71% validator support ahead of its planned activation. Thirty validators support the proposal, while five validators oppose it. The approval level exceeds the network’s required 80% threshold.
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 supports the amendment, but approval must remain above 80% during the full waiting period. XRP Ledger rules require that level for two consecutive weeks. A decline below the threshold would restart the countdown.
The network has scheduled activation for July 29, 2026, at 09:57 UTC. XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 must remain available across participating infrastructure when the new rules take effect. Unsupported servers may become amendment-blocked and lose the ability to confirm the ledger’s valid state.
Update Addresses Existing Protocol Issues
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 fixes problems affecting vaults, lending functions, permissioned trading, and related domain features. The release addresses calculations involving Single Asset Vault deposits and issued shares. It also corrects accounting behavior within the Lending Protocol.
The update includes repairs for the Permissioned DEX, Multi-Purpose Tokens, and Permissioned Domains. XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 applies maintenance changes to features already introduced through earlier amendments. The package does not center on new consumer-facing products.
The development team also renamed the main server software from rippled to xrpld. XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 retires amendments that have remained active for more than two years. Developers also continued dividing libxrpl into smaller modules for simpler maintenance and future development.
XRP Ledger’s v3.2.0 remains on course for the July 29 amendment activation after reaching 66% validator adoption. Validator support remains above the required level, while operators using older software still face an update deadline.
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