Connect with us

Crypto World

cautious optimism as BTC holds near $70,000 amid Iran war

Published

on

U.S.-listed bitcoin ETF flows per month (SoSoValue)

Bitcoin’s resilience during the latest bout of global macro stress is starting to turn heads on trading desks.

The largest crypto climbed to just shy of $71,000, up roughly 7% from Sunday evening lows, even as geopolitical tensions escalated over the Iran conflict and markets grappled with risks ranging from oil supply disruptions to stress in private credit markets.

That relative strength is beginning to stand out. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have been roughly flat over the same time, while gold — typically a go-to safe haven during turmoil — has booked only modest gains. Looking at performance so far in March, BTC is the only one of the three posting gains.

Bitcoin is also showing early signs of breaking away from its tight correlation with embattled software stocks. Over the past five days, BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF (IBIT) is up 3.75%, while the iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) is down 2.45%.

Advertisement

The price action is turning analysts cautiously optimistic that the crypto market may finally be stabilizing after months of declines.

Seller exhaustion

Aurelie Barthere, principal research analyst at Nansen, said one encouraging signal is how little BTC has reacted to fresh geopolitical headlines.

Earlier in the week, a brief wave of optimism lifted equities and crypto alongside softer oil prices, suggesting markets were tentatively pricing in a potential de-escalation in the Iran conflict. But as the session progressed, that optimism faded, and risk assets gave back some of their gains.

“Bitcoin’s downside sensitivity has been relatively limited,” she said, noting that some traditional benchmarks such as the Euro Stoxx index have fallen more sharply during the same period.

Advertisement

That resilience suggests the marginal seller in bitcoin may be less aggressive than in equities, Barthere added.

Shifting correlation with gold

Another shift catching traders’ attention is bitcoin’s changing relationship with gold.

According to Bryan Tan, trader at crypto trading firm Wintermute, the BTC–gold correlation has flipped positive, moving to +0.16 from -0.49 a week ago.

During the initial phase of the Middle East conflict, bitcoin fell while gold rallied in a classic risk-off move, Tan noted. More recently, both assets have risen together while the U.S. dollar weakened, suggesting investors may be starting to treat them as beneficiaries of dollar softness rather than opposing risk trades.

Advertisement

“If this correlation continues trending positively, it shifts the narrative around BTC in a conflict environment from ‘sell the risk asset’ to something more nuanced,” Tan said.

ETF flows return

Improving bitcoin ETF flows may also be supporting the recent strength.

U.S.-listed bitcoin ETF flows per month (SoSoValue)
U.S.-listed bitcoin ETF flows per month (SoSoValue)

Bitcoin ETF flows had been trending negative for months following the peak in October. But data from the past two weeks shows a notable improvement, noted Joe Edwards, head of research at Enigma, particularly with consistent inflows into BlackRock’s IBIT fund, the largest of the bitcoin ETFs.

A sustained recovery in ETF demand could be critical for bitcoin, he added. A sustained recovery in ETF demand could be critical, he added. Many analysts believe bitcoin’s next phase of growth depends on access to deeper institutional capital pools, such as ETF investors in brokerage accounts. With that in mind, the recent wave of outflows was concerning, Edwards said.

The “good news,” he said, is that there are signs of that period ending.

Advertisement

IBIT has attracted nearly $1 billion in fresh inflows so far in March, after losing more than $3 billion between November and February, data by SoSoValue shows.

If the trend holds through the coming weeks, Edwards argued, it could support a broader bitcoin recovery into the second quarter.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Ledger Uncovers Security Vulnerability That Could Affect 25% of Android Phones

Published

on

Ledger Uncovers Security Vulnerability That Could Affect 25% of Android Phones

The chip vulnerability makes it possible for hackers to decrypt affected Android smartphones, and steal data — including crypto wallet private keys.

Ledger said on Wednesday, March 11, that it has discovered a vulnerability that could affect as much as 25% of Android phones, letting hackers steal users’ private keys, according to a press release shared with The Defiant.

The hardware wallet company’s in-house white-hat security team, the Donjon, has disclosed a critical vulnerability in Android smartphones powered by MediaTek chips that allows an attacker to extract user data — including wallet seed phrases and PINs — in under a minute, even when the phone is off.

In a proof-of-concept test, the Donjon plugged a Nothing CMF Phone 1 into a laptop and, within 45 seconds, was able to recover the device’s PIN, decrypt its storage, and extract seed phrases from six major crypto wallet apps: Trust Wallet, Base, Kraken Wallet, Rabby, tangem, and Phantom.

Advertisement

Before the operating system of the MediaTek-powered Android device even loads, Ledger’s security team found that an attacker can connect over USB and steal the root cryptographic keys that ensure the phone’s full-disk encryption, per the release. The phone’s data can than be fully decrypted offline.

The vulnerability could affects phones using Trustonic’s Trusted Execution Environment (TEE), the release said, including the Solana Seeker phone.

“Smartphones were never designed to be vaults,” said Charles Guillemet, Ledger’s CTO, adding:

“If your crypto sits on a phone, it’s only as safe as the weakest link in that phone’s hardware, firmware, or software.”

Following the standard 90-day responsible disclosure process, Ledger said it reported the flaw to both MediaTek and Trustonic. MediaTek confirmed it delivered a fix to affected original equipment manufacturers in January.

Advertisement

Ledger advised users of potentially affected Androids to install the latest security updates immediately.

The news comes crypto-related theft has been on the rise. As The Defiant reported, 2025 was a record year for crypto crime, with North Korea alone stealing roughly $2 billion — including the $1.5 billion Bybit hack, the largest hack on record.

But the threat isn’t limited to centralized exchanges. In December, Trust Wallet confirmed $7 million was stolen via a malicious Chrome extension update that harvested seed phrases directly from users’ browsers. Hackers have also reportedly been increasingly using AI tools and phishing-as-a-service infrastructure to increase the number of attacks.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Mastercard Launches Crypto Partner Program with 85+ Industry firms

Published

on

Visa, Circle, Mastercard, Binance, Stablecoin

Mastercard has launched a global crypto partner program that initially brings together more than 85 companies across the digital asset and payments industries to collaborate on blockchain-based payment and settlement systems.

The initiative is designed to connect crypto companies, financial institutions and payments providers as digital assets begin playing a larger role in cross-border transfers, payouts and other financial services.

Participants include crypto exchanges, blockchain networks and infrastructure providers including Binance, Circle, Gemini, Paxos, Ripple, PayPal, Polygon, Solana, Crypto.com, MoonPay, Fireblocks and the Canton Network.

They will work with Mastercard on products that integrate blockchain-based systems with existing payment infrastructure. According to the announcement, the program will focus on use cases such as cross-border money movement, settlements and commercial payments.

Advertisement

In a post on X on Wednesday, Mastercard said “digital assets are entering a new phase,” with technologies that once operated alongside traditional finance increasingly being applied to practical uses such as cross-border remittances and business-to-business payments.

Visa, Circle, Mastercard, Binance, Stablecoin
Source: Mastercard

Mastercard said the initiative builds on its existing work in digital assets, including partnerships with crypto companies, programs supporting blockchain startups and crypto-linked payment cards.

Related: Mastercard, MetaMask launch US crypto card, debuting in New York

Visa and Mastercard deepen embrace of digital assets

Mastercard’s new partner program comes as major payments networks deepen their embrace of digital assets. Both Mastercard and Visa have launched initiatives in recent years aimed at integrating blockchain technology and stablecoins with traditional payment infrastructure.

In September, Visa announced a pilot that allows banks to pre-fund cross-border payments with stablecoins through its Visa Direct platform, enabling near-instant payouts.

Advertisement

About a month later, the company said it would expand its crypto services to support four additional stablecoins across four blockchains, in addition to stablecoins it already supports on networks including Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Stellar (XLM) and Avalanche (AVAX).