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Cboe eyes binary options reboot to rival Polymarket’s prediction markets

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XRP open interest drops to lowest level since 2024

Cboe is in talks to relaunch binary options contracts for retail investors, positioning regulated alternatives to compete with crypto prediction markets like Polymarket.

Summary

  • Cboe Global Markets is in early-stage discussions with retail brokerages to relaunch all-or-nothing binary options contracts that would compete with on-chain prediction markets like Polymarket
  • The exchange aims to offer regulated, centrally cleared fixed-return contracts under SEC or CFTC oversight, focusing on financial markets rather than political or sports outcomes
  • Polymarket has achieved up to 94% accuracy in predictions while driving hundreds of millions in volume, creating a template that Cboe wants to replicate with institutional infrastructure

Cboe circles binary options reboot

Cboe Global Markets is edging back into the binary‑wager business, in what increasingly looks like a Wall Street answer to on‑chain prediction giants such as Polymarket. The exchange is “in discussions with retail brokerages to relaunch ‘all‑or‑nothing’ options contracts for individual investors that would vie with prediction markets,” the Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter.

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Cboe described the talks as “at an early stage” and said it is also working with market makers on “revamped binary options, sometimes called fixed‑return contracts,” that pay either a set cash amount or nothing at all.“This represents, in my view, a new entry point for many individuals looking to engage in the options market,” a Cboe executive told Yahoo Finance, adding that any launch would undergo “rigorous evaluations to ensure compliance with legal standards” under SEC or CFTC oversight.

Prediction markets set the pace

The timing is not accidental. Polymarket, which brands itself as “the world’s largest prediction market,” has seen cumulative volumes climb into the hundreds of millions of dollars across more than 10,000 markets, even as researchers warn that parts of its reported turnover may be double‑counted or inflated by wash trading. Monitoring tools such as Polymarket Monitor and research from Paradigm and Fortune highlight both the depth and distortions in these markets. Despite those caveats, independent analysis puts Polymarket’s odds around 90% accurate a month before resolution and up to 94% in the final hours before an event settles, according to studies cited by Yahoo Finance, The Defiant and Polymarket Research.

For crypto traders, these flows are tightly bound to digital‑asset pricing. High‑conviction yes‑or‑no positioning around macro data, elections and ETF approvals routinely feeds into Bitcoin futures and spot volatility, turning prediction odds into a live proxy for risk appetite. This parabolic move comes as digital assets continue to trade as the purest expression of macro risk appetite. Bitcoin (BTC) is hovering around $88,235, with a 24‑hour high near $90,476 and a low near $87,549, on roughly $32.8B in dollar volumes. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands close to $2,953, with about $23.4B in 24‑hour turnover and spot quotes clustered in the $4,500–$4,600 band on major exchanges earlier this week. Solana (SOL) trades around $192, up about 2.7% over the last 24 hours, with nearly $9.8B in volume.

Can Cboe pull flow back onshore?

By floating a regulated, centrally cleared all‑or‑nothing product that “sticks to financial markets” rather than political or sports outcomes, Cboe is effectively betting that some of that speculative energy can be redirected from on‑chain venues back to listed derivatives. If it works, the next big crypto‑linked binary trade may look less like a degenerate side bet on Polymarket and more like a highly structured ticket punched through a Chicago options screen.

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MicroStrategy Pushes 2x Monthly Payouts for STRC Holders

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STRC Notional Value

MicroStrategy (now Strategy) has proposed switching its Stretch preferred stock (STRC) from monthly to semi-monthly dividend payments. The change would double payout frequency while keeping the annualized 11.5% rate unchanged.

The company filed a preliminary proxy on April 17, 2026. Shareholders will vote at the annual meeting on June 8.

Why MicroStrategy Wants to Pay STRC Semi-Monthly Dividends

Under the current monthly schedule, STRC experiences predictable ex-dividend price drops. Each cycle creates a dip as holders sell after receiving payments. A recovery follows as buyers chase the next yield window.

Semi-monthly payouts would cut each individual dividend in half. Smaller, more frequent distributions should reduce those swings.

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Strategy says the move is designed to stabilize price near $100 par, dampen cyclicality, and improve liquidity.

STRC has already shown declining volatility since its July 2025 launch. The 30-day measure dropped from roughly 13% in its early months to about 2.1% recently.

The stock traded near $99.21 with an effective yield of approximately 11.59%.

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What STRC Holders Should Know

If approved, the first semi-monthly record date would be June 30, 2026. The first payment under the new schedule is expected on July 15. Total annual dividend obligations remain identical.

Strategy currently has about $6.35 billion in outstanding STRC notional value. The company uses STRC proceeds to purchase Bitcoin (BTC), adding to its treasury of more than 762,000 coins.

STRC Notional Value
STRC Notional Value. Source: MicroStrategy

Voting opens around April 28. Shareholders of record as of April 17 can participate through the definitive proxy materials on Strategy’s website.

The post MicroStrategy Pushes 2x Monthly Payouts for STRC Holders appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Ripple-linked token goes live on Solana in DeFi boost

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Ripple-linked token goes live on Solana in DeFi boost

Wrapped XRP went live on Solana on Friday, issued by custodian Hex Trust and bridged through LayerZero, making the token available inside Solana’s DeFi apps for the first time.

XRP holders can now use the wrapped asset on Jupiter, Phantom, Titan Exchange, and Meteora without selling their underlying position.

Each wXRP is backed 1:1 by native XRP held in segregated custody accounts and is redeemable at any time, according to Hex Trust.

The Solana launch is one leg of a broader rollout Hex Trust disclosed in December 2025, which also targets Ethereum, Optimism, and HyperEVM. The move fits a pattern that has accelerated through 2025 and 2026, where tokens that started their life on one chain are being bridged to others to capture yield and liquidity that did not exist at launch.

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XRP has historically functioned as a payment-rail token settled directly on the XRP Ledger. Solana has built the opposite use case, a throughput-optimized smart contract platform where the DeFi and memecoin activity actually lives.

The piece of infrastructure underneath this deal is LayerZero, the cross-chain messaging protocol that has quietly won most of the bridge volume that used to flow through Wormhole, Nomad, and Ronin before those protocols were exploited for more than $1 billion combined between 2022 and 2024.

Whether XRP generates meaningful DeFi volume on Solana is a separate question. The wrapped asset is live, but the test is whether holders actually use it.

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co-founder Joseph Lubin warns of the dangers of AI being controlled by a few big tech firms

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SBET executives urge to look beyond recent price action

Crypto’s next major inflection point is coming from artificial intelligence (AI).

That’s according to Consensys CEO and Ethereum co-founder Joseph Lubin. He told CoinDesk that autonomous or semi-autonomous agents can transact, coordinate and verify one another on decentralized networks, using crypto rails as a foundation for machine-driven activity.

Lubin, who will be speaking at Consensus Miami 2026 next month, said he is “sympathetic to the idea that blockchain is for machine intelligences,” but does not see humans being displaced. Instead, increasingly intelligent interfaces will abstract away complexity, allowing users to interact with crypto systems through intent rather than manual inputs. In that model, AI becomes the intermediary layer between people and protocols.

That vision comes with risks. If AI infrastructure remains concentrated among large technology firms, “we could be in trouble,” Lubin warned. He argued that decentralized systems and cryptography will be essential in ensuring accountability, enabling machines to “check on one another” in transparent, verifiable environments.

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Within that broader shift, products like MetaMask — a Consensys product — are evolving to reflect the change. Lubin said the wallet is being rebuilt as “a new kind of neobank that you own and control,” part of a transition toward what he described as a “personal money operating system.” AI-powered agents could act on behalf of users, managing assets, executing transactions and navigating a growing decentralized economy. “You can walk around with your personal financial system in your pocket,” he said.

The rise of corporate chains on Ethereum

Beyond interfaces, Lubin pointed to structural changes across the Ethereum ecosystem. The architecture of the blockchain is also shaping how institutions approach adoption. Lubin expects “corporate chains” to become more common as companies seek higher throughput and greater control over their infrastructure. Still, he argued that assets are best issued on Ethereum’s base layer, saying “the best way to ensure that an asset is durable… is to mint it on Ethereum layer one,” even if the asset is later used across other networks.

Stablecoins, one of crypto’s fastest-growing sectors, are part of that transition, but not the endpoint. Lubin described them as a “stepping stone” toward more fully decentralized financial systems, noting that current models remain heavily reliant on centralized issuers. Over time, he expects growth in decentralized collateral to enable more robust, crypto-native forms of money.

On tokenization more broadly, Lubin suggested that traditional finance and decentralized finance are entering a period of convergence, combining centuries of financial innovation with newer blockchain-based systems. The result, he said, will be a more granular and programmable global economy.

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Even as these shifts accelerate, Lubin struck a measured tone on longer-term technical risks like quantum computing. While not an immediate concern, he said Ethereum developers have been preparing for years.

“A lot of us just see it as being folded into the natural evolution of Ethereum,” Lubin said.

Read more: Joe Lubin claims DeFi is as safe as traditional finance, adding that bitcoin is in crisis

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Poland Parliament Fails Again to Override Crypto Bill Veto

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Poland Parliament Fails Again to Override Crypto Bill Veto

Poland’s parliament has once again failed to overturn a presidential veto blocking a key crypto regulation bill, extending the political standoff over how the country should oversee digital assets.

In a vote held Friday, lawmakers fell short of the 263 votes required to override the veto issued by President Karol Nawrocki, local outlet TVP World reported. A total of 243 MPs voted against the veto, while 191 supported it, per the report.

The bill, backed by Prime Minister Donald Tusk, aims to align Poland with the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA), introduced in 2024 to govern the issuance and custody of crypto assets. Poland remains the only EU member state yet to implement the bloc’s framework.

Nawrocki has defended his decision, citing concerns over excessive regulation, limited transparency and the potential burden on small businesses, according to the TVP World report.

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However, government officials warn that delaying regulation leaves investors exposed. Finance Minister Andrzej Domański reportedly said the absence of clear rules risks turning the market into an “El Dorado for fraudsters,” adding that both consumers and businesses remain vulnerable to abuse.

Related: Zonda exchange says 4.5K BTC wallet inaccessible amid withdrawal crisis

Poland’s crypto bill faces repeated defeats

The failed overturn of the presidential veto marks the second unsuccessful attempt by the government to push the legislation through after a similar rejection in December.

However, despite the failure, Polish lawmakers reintroduced the regulation within days in December last year. They claimed that the new draft was an “improved” version, though critics said it was virtually unchanged from the original.

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Tusk criticizes president for vetoing the bill. Source: Koalicja Obywatelska

President Nawrocki vetoed the bill again in February this year. “I will not sign a wrong law just because it was passed again by the parliamentary majority. A wrong law that passed a hundred times still remains a wrong law,” he said at the time.

Related: Poland president vetoes MiCA bill again as crypto companies look to license abroad

Zonda caught in Poland crypto political row

The dispute has also drawn in Zonda, the country’s largest crypto exchange, which has reportedly lobbied against the bill. Tensions escalated after Tusk accused the platform of links to illicit funding, citing intelligence reports that allegedly connect its origins to Russian criminal networks.

“Attempts to drag me and Zonda into the current political squabbles are as absurd as they are harmful to the Polish innovation market,” Zonda CEO Przemysław Kral wrote on X, adding that he is “compelled to take appropriate legal steps to protect my personal rights.”

Last week, he also said he does not control access to a crypto wallet reportedly holding $330 million, which he claims remained with former CEO Sylwester Suszek prior to his disappearance in 2022.

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