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Covenant AI Exits Bittensor Amid Decentralization Concerns; TAO Drops 18%

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Crypto Breaking News

Covenant AI, a developer operating on Bittensor’s subnet ecosystem, announced on Friday that it is leaving the decentralized AI network, accusing governance of not being meaningfully distributed and questioning whether the project can sustain its decentralization claims. In a post on X, Covenant AI founder Sam Dare said the team could no longer build on or raise for Bittensor because governance wasn’t truly distributed. “It is decentralization theatre,” Dare wrote, alleging that Jacob Steeves—known as Const—maintains effective control over the governance triad, resists meaningful transfers of authority, and deploys changes unilaterally without process or consensus.

The dispute centers on the core selling point of Bittensor: true decentralization. Covenant AI contends that Steeves wields outsized influence over governance and network operations, an accusation Steeves has denied. Bittensor describes its governance as a transitional framework, featuring a “Triumvirate” of Opentensor Foundation employees alongside a senate, rather than a fully open, fully distributed model. The company’s documentation frames this as a staged approach rather than a completed, decentralized system.

Key takeaways

  • Covenant AI is exiting Bittensor, publicly challenging the project’s claim of decentralization and accusing governance of concentrated power under a Triumvirate-led structure.
  • The core accusation centers on control over governance and network operations, with Covenant AI alleging unilateral decision-making and resistance to meaningful authority transfers.
  • In response, Bittensor founder Jacob Steeves denies suspending subnet operations or granting special privileges, and says dissenting actions are either mischaracterized or misinterpreted—he also contends that certain token-related moves were ordinary market activity visible on-chain.
  • The dispute has coincided with a material move in TAO’s price and trading volume, reflecting broader investor attention as the governance rift unfolds.

Governance under the lens: what changed and what stayed the same

The heart of Covenant AI’s claim is that the governance design of Bittensor—ostensibly built to be open and composite—operates in practice as a closed system. Covenant AI argues that the Triumvirate, comprising key Opentensor Foundation figures, plus a senate, retains root permissions and can steer network modifications without broad consensus. Dare framed the arrangement as incompatible with the decentralization narrative that attracted builders and financiers to the project, suggesting that the structure undermines the very premise of distributed governance.

Steeves, for his part, pushes back on the description of centralized control. In his public responses, he argued that he does not wield privileges beyond those of ordinary TAO token holders and that he cannot suspend subnet emissions. He also contends that any large token movements he has executed were disclosed through on-chain activity and thus transparent to the community. In a Friday X post, Steeves responded to Covenant AI’s claims by stating he had liquidated some of his “alpha holdings” on subnets that were not actively running or were on burn-heavy code, asserting that such actions alter emissions in a manner consistent with typical market dynamics on Bittensor.

Nevertheless, Covenant AI asserts that governance friction has tangible effects on project momentum. Emissions controls and moderation rights are among the specific levers cited as evidence of centralized influence, with Covenant AI describing moves as attempts to pressure or stifle the subnet’s development trajectory. Steeves counters by noting that moderation permissions were temporarily restricted and later restored, and he emphasizes that changes in on-chain token economics would be visible to observers. He also argues that his actions fall within the rights of token holders and do not amount to a covert governance coup.

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Market signals and on-chain behavior amid the dispute

The governance dispute has spilled into market sentiment around TAO, Bittensor’s native token. TAO’s price had been under pressure, slipping roughly 18% over the preceding 24 hours as of Friday morning in market data cited by Cointelegraph. The selling momentum intensified in the day leading up to Covenant AI’s departure announcement, with on-chain sell volume hitting a level not seen since December 2024. Analysts framed the price and flow dynamics as a potential reflection of investors adjusting exposure to a project undergoing a governance upheaval.

External observers echoed the sense that the departure could be more than a PR dispute. One crypto analyst noted on X that the timing and scale of Covenant AI’s exit appeared deliberate, describing it as a calculated move rather than a coincidence. While market dynamics can be noisy, the episode underscores how governance tensions in decentralized projects can translate into tangible liquidity and price reactions, particularly when a builder with an active subnet exits.

Cointelegraph sought comment from Covenant AI and Bittensor for responses to the evolving narrative but did not receive official remarks by publication time. The broader market context remains relevant: governance design that emphasizes decentralization is increasingly scrutinized as multiple teams seek to attract talent and funding without compromising core distributed principles. The exchange between Covenant AI and Steeves—along with on-chain activity tied to token emissions and governance permissions—provides a live case study in how decentralization ambitions interact with practical governance controls.

Broader implications for decentralization in practice

Industry observers note that the Covenant AI episode highlights a broader, ongoing debate about the practical meaning of decentralization in long-running blockchain and Web3 projects. David and Daniil Liberman, co-founders of the Gonka protocol, described a tension that will resonate with builders across ecosystems: if a project’s infrastructure can be used against it because control rests with a concentrated subset of actors, does the model remain genuinely decentralized? Their assessment emphasizes the need for governance that can withstand complex, real-world pressures without becoming opaque or inert in the face of conflicts between contributors and governance stewards.

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The debate also harks back to earlier public moments in Bittensor’s story. For instance, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang publicly celebrated Covenant AI’s milestone in training a decentralized large language model on Bittensor Subnet 3, calling it a remarkable technical achievement. That historic spotlight contrasted with the current governance friction, illustrating the dual aspects of decentralization narratives: the technical frontier that attracts builders, and the governance framework that must sustain it without central choke points.

As the community digests the tensions, readers should watch for how Bittensor’s governance documents evolve and whether any reforms are pursued to broaden participation or formalize oversight. The resolution, or lack thereof, will influence not only Covenant AI’s future on the network but also how other builders evaluate the feasibility of heavily multi-party, permissioned decentralization models in practice. Observers will be mindful of potential new on-chain disclosures, governance proposals, or changes to subnet permissions that could redefine participation rules for developers and token holders alike.

In this moment, the core question remains: can a decentralized AI network reconcile rapid innovation with a governance framework that remains genuinely open to diverse contributors, or will episodes like Covenant AI’s departure redefine decentralization as a continuous negotiation between ambitious builders and centralized control points?

What to watch next: keep an eye on any updates to Bittensor’s governance structure, changes in subnet emission policies, and new participation rules for subnets. The outcome will influence how other multi-stakeholder networks balance openness with accountability, and it will shape investor sentiment around projects that promise decentralization as a core value proposition.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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BTC moves up to $72,400 after March inflation data

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Bitcoin, ether little changed before U.S. inflation report: Crypto Markets Today

As expected, U.S. inflation accelerated last month, driven mostly by rising energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict. Core prices, though, surprised to the downside.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.9% in March, according to a Friday report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Economists had forecast a 0.9% rise, and February’s increase was 0.3%.

On a year-over-year basis, CPI was higher by 3.3% against expectations of 3.3% and February’s 2.4%.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy costs, was more subdued, rising 0.2% in March versus forecasts of 0.3% and February’s 0.2%. Year-over-year core CPI rose 2.6% versus forecasts of 2.7% and February’s 2.5%.

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Trading in a tight range around the $72,000 level in the hours ahead of the news, the price of bitcoin rose to $72,400 in the moments following the report.

Amid the war in Iran and the resulting surge in oil prices, markets over the past weeks have shifted from pricing in a series of Fed rate cuts this year to pricing in one or more rate hikes, and now expect no change in U.S. central bank monetary policy.

Ahead of this morning’s data, there was about a 99% chance the Fed would stay on hold at its late-April meeting and a 97% chance of the same at the mid-June meeting, according to CME FedWatch.

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Early-stage gems gaining investor traction

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4 crypto presales selling out fast in April 2026: Early-stage gems gaining investor traction - 2

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

April surge in crypto presales sees multiple projects compete for early investor capital.

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Summary

  • April 2026 sees surge in crypto presales, with BlockchainFX leading as funding nears $15 million
  • BlockchainFX has attracted more than 22,000 investors, offering multi-asset trading app and nearing presale close
  • The project’s final presale phase boosts demand as bonuses and pricing incentives drive last-minute investor interest

April has turned into one of the most active months for early-stage crypto in recent memory. Mutuum Finance, IONIX Chain, Ozak AI, and BlockchainFX are all staking their claim in the top crypto presale race, each attracting capital at a pace that’s hard to ignore. With launch timelines converging and presale windows closing fast, the difference between early entry and late regret is narrowing daily.

4 crypto presales selling out fast in April 2026: Early-stage gems gaining investor traction - 2

BlockchainFX leads the pack, and the numbers make that case without much spin. Over $14.18 million raised, 22,900+ participants, and a live presale at $0.035 on a trading app already handling crypto, stocks, forex, ETFs, and commodities under one roof. The market has had its choppy patches lately, but that’s exactly when ground-floor entries in platforms with actual product-market fit tend to age best.

BlockchainFX: A launch countdown already ticking

The softcap is $15 million, and BlockchainFX has already crossed $14.18 million with 22,900+ investors on board. Once that target is hit, the presale ends and BFX moves to a listing price of $0.05, up from the current $0.035. Standing out among top crypto presales this April, BFX has analysts pointing to a $1 post-launch target, which would translate to returns above 2,700% from today’s entry. That’s not a typo.

BlockchainFX earned “Best New Crypto Trading App of 2025” while running a live beta,    already logging thousands of daily users and millions in daily trading volume. Licensed by the Anjouan Offshore Finance Authority (AOFA) and backed by multiple third-party security audits, this is a presale with both regulatory standing and live product credentials. In a market full of projects promising the moon before shipping a single feature, that combination means something real.

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LAUNCH50: 50% extra bfx, right before the gates close

BFX has activated bonus code LAUNCH50 for this final presale window, adding 50% extra tokens to every purchase made before launch. A $10,000 entry at $0.035 normally yields roughly 285,714 BFX tokens. With LAUNCH50 applied, that becomes approximately 428,571 tokens. At the $1 analyst target post-launch, that same $10,000 entry could return roughly $428,571. Purchasing $100 or more in BFX also enters investors into the $500,000 Gleam giveaway automatically.

BlockchainFX needs just $820,000 more to hit its $15 million launch trigger, and that gap is closing faster than most expect. Once hit, LAUNCH50 ends along with the $0.035 entry price. Buying is straightforward through MetaMask, Trust Wallet, or card payment directly on the BlockchainFX platform. Investors who arrive after launch do so without the bonus tokens and without today’s pricing. Both losses are permanent.

Mutuum Finance: Ethereum lending protocol crosses $21 million

Mutuum Finance has raised over $21 million on Ethereum, running a dual-market model that combines Peer-to-Contract liquidity pools with Peer-to-Peer lending. Users can earn yield or borrow against crypto collateral without surrendering asset custody, and the funding total reflects genuine demand for this kind of non-custodial capital access. Among DeFi protocols currently raising, MUTM is one of the better-capitalized options in the cycle.

For investors scanning top crypto presales in April, MUTM is a credible DeFi contender with serious money behind it. The flexibility between instant liquidity and custom loan terms gives the platform a practical range for different borrower needs. Product readiness and launch timeline are worth sizing up carefully before placing any significant allocation here alongside more mature options currently in the field.

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IONIX Chain: AI-native Layer 1 with 500k TPS and $6.69 million raised

IONIX Chain is an AI-native Layer 1 blockchain with a Quantum AI Consensus mechanism capable of over 500,000 transactions per second at near-zero gas fees. With $6.69 million raised targeting DeFi and real-world asset applications, the technical ambition is clear. For infrastructure-focused investors who care about raw throughput and genuine scalability credentials, IONIX makes an argument worth spending real time with.

Building AI directly into the consensus layer rather than treating it as a feature bolt-on gives IONIX a technically distinct architecture. Among top crypto presales with a strong technical identity, IONX has found its audience. The $6.69 million raised shows meaningful early momentum, though pre-launch infrastructure plays carry standard category risks and deserve careful evaluation against the broader competitive field.

Ozak AI: Predictive market intelligence powered by blockchain

Ozak AI has raised $6.65 million, combining machine learning with blockchain to deliver predictive financial intelligence. Customized Prediction Agents provide real-time forecasts and risk assessments for crypto and traditional assets, while DePIN-based infrastructure secures the data processing layer. The platform targets investors who want actionable, data-backed signals rather than running portfolio decisions on sentiment and noise.

The Prediction Agents give Ozak AI a practical utility angle that keeps it grounded compared to AI tokens operating entirely on narrative. For investors browsing top crypto presales with a genuine AI use-case focus, OZ is worth evaluating. The $6.65 million raised is a solid signal for an early-stage project, though it still trails the larger fundraisers pulling the most capital in this April cycle.

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4 crypto presales selling out fast in April 2026: Early-stage gems gaining investor traction - 3

April has one crypto presale with a closing door, and it’s not hard to spot

Based on the latest research, BlockchainFX is the best crypto presale available right now, and that window is genuinely closing. A live product, regulatory licensing, $14.18 million raised, and the LAUNCH50 bonus code still active for 50% extra tokens make this the standout entry across all top crypto presales in April 2026. 

The launch trigger sits just $820,000 away. That is not a long wait, but it is the last one at this price.

For more information, visit the official website, X, and Telegram.

Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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A Developer Just Built Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Without Changing a Single Line of the Protocol: Is This the Fix BTC?

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✨

Researcher Avihu Levy published a working implementation of Quantum Safe Bitcoin on April 9, 2026 – no protocol change required.

The scheme operates entirely within Bitcoin’s existing script constraints, making it available to any user willing to absorb the compute cost today.

Bitcoin’s governance culture makes a Bitcoin soft fork extraordinarily difficult to coordinate. BIP-360, which Levy co-authored and which was merged into Bitcoin’s official repository in February 2026, laid out a quantum-resistant address standard, but it requires protocol-level consensus that could take years to materialize.

Quantum Safe Bitcoin sidesteps that bottleneck entirely. It’s not a theoretical workaround; Levy shipped GPU-accelerated CUDA code, Python pipelines, and complete Bitcoin scripts alongside the academic paper.

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How QSB Actually Works – Hash Puzzles, Not Elliptic Curves

Standard Bitcoin transactions rely on ECDSA signatures over the secp256k1 curve. Shor’s algorithm can compute discrete logarithms efficiently, meaning a sufficiently powerful quantum computer could forge those signatures and drain any wallet with an exposed public key.

Post-quantum cryptography addresses this – but every known implementation requires larger signatures and new opcodes, which means a soft fork.

Levy’s approach cuts the elliptic curve dependency at the root. The scheme, built on Binohash (Robin Linus, 2026), replaces the standard signature verification with a hash-to-signature puzzle. The Bitcoin script hashes a transaction-bound public key via OP_RIPEMD160 and interprets the resulting 20-byte output as a DER-encoded ECDSA signature.

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A random 20-byte string satisfies DER structural constraints with probability roughly 2−46 – that’s approximately one in 70 trillion attempts – which defines the proof-of-work target.

The critical distinction: this puzzle’s security rests entirely on RIPEMD-160’s preimage resistance, not on any elliptic curve assumption.

Source: GitHub

Shor’s algorithm attacks discrete logarithms. It does not break hash functions. That single architectural decision is what makes Quantum-Safe Bitcoin resistant to the quantum threat without touching the protocol.

The construction works in three phases. First, transaction pinning: the prover searches over (sequence, locktime) parameter pairs until the recovered public key’s RIPEMD-160 hash produces a valid DER signature – approximately 246 work.

Second, two digest rounds: for the pinned transaction, the prover searches over subsets of dummy signatures; each subset alters the scriptCode via FindAndDelete, producing a different sighash and a different recovered key.

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Find a subset whose recovered key hashes to a valid DER signature (~246 candidates per round). The total computational cost is $75–$150 per transaction on cloud GPUs.

Zero-Knowledge Proofs and Dashlink enter the picture as an efficiency layer for proof verification. The QSB construction leverages post-quantum cryptography principles by anchoring security to hash-based assumptions – the same foundation underpinning ZK-friendly hash functions used in modern Zero-Knowledge Proofs.

Dashlink’s role is to compress the verification burden so that proof validation stays within Bitcoin’s existing 10,000-byte script limit and 201-opcode ceiling. No new opcodes. No consensus change. The scheme is consensus-valid under rules Bitcoin already enforces.

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside

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Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) is currently in presale, targeting early-mover upside in the Bitcoin yield infrastructure layer – a sector drawing serious institutional attention as US spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in $471.3 million in a single week.

The presale has raised $32 million to date, with the current token price at $0.0093 and staking APY running at 86% annualized for early participants.

The core technical differentiator: Bitcoin Hyper operates as a Bitcoin-native Layer 2 executing smart contracts with BTC as the settlement asset – bypassing the wrapped-token credit risk that plagues existing BTC DeFi infrastructure.

That’s a specific, verifiable architecture claim in a space full of vague interoperability promises.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here before the presale window closes.

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The post A Developer Just Built Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Without Changing a Single Line of the Protocol: Is This the Fix BTC? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bittensor price outlook as top subnet operator Convent AI exits

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Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.

Bittensor price crashed over 25% within hours after Covenant AI, one of the largest and most active subnets on Bittensor, recently exited the network over centralization concerns. 

Summary

  • Bittensor (TAO) plunged 25.6% from $340 to $253 after Covenant AI exited the network, triggering nearly $9 million in long liquidations.
  • Covenant AI founder Sam Dare accused Jacob Steeves of centralization, alleging emission cuts and unilateral control over subnet operations.
  • Technical breakdown below key support levels signals further downside risk, with price eyeing $236 and potentially $175 if selling pressure continues.

According to data from crypto.news, Bittensor (TAO) price fell 25.6% from $340 to an intraday low of $253 on Friday, erasing close to $900 million from its market capitalization. Trading at $266.7, the token has dropped to levels not seen since mid March. 

The sharp drop in price triggered nearly $9 million in liquidations from long positions as bulls were caught off guard after weeks of betting on continued upside. 

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Bittensor price tanked after Covenant AI, the biggest operator of several high-emission subnets, including SN3, SN81, and SN39, officially announced its departure from the Bittensor network. 

In an official statement on April 10 on X, Covenant AI founder Sam Dare accused Bittensor founder Jacob Steeves of betraying the network’s core promise of decentralization. 

The post, which garnered over 1 million views and nearly 800 likes, claimed Steeves suspended emissions to Covenant’s subnets, stripped their moderation rights over their own community channels, and unilaterally abandoned critical subnet infrastructure. The team also said leadership deprecated infrastructure and applied direct economic pressure during the height of the conflict. 

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“Jacob Steeves maintains effective control over the triumvirate, resists any meaningful transfer of authority, and deploys changes unilaterally whenever he chooses, without process and without consensus,” said Dare. 

For context, decentralized, permissionless AI training is not just a theoretical concept for this team; Covenant AI successfully tested decentralized LLM models on the network, notably completing the 72 billion parameter Covenant 72B run across more than 70 independent contributors. 

Following the exit, community members noted that Dare has sold all of his subnet holdings, effectively rugging Bittensor and crushing demand for the token. The founder’s wallet held more than 37,000 TAO tokens, and its liquidation led to the wipeout of nearly $900 million from the market cap. 

On the daily chart, Bittensor has broken below an ascending parallel channel pattern that has formed since late February this year. A breakdown from such a pattern usually signals a trend reversal and a potential for further declines as investors rush to exit. 

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Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart.
Bittensor price has broken from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart — April 10 | Source: crypto.news

Subsequently, the token fell below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $294.2, a level that had served as a strong support floor in recent weeks. 

Hence, the token eyes a drop to $236 next, which aligns with the next Fibonacci retracement in the series, specifically the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Failure to hold above this could lead to a reset of the early March low around $175. 

Technical indicators seem to support the bearish bias at least in the short term. Notably, the Supertrend has flipped red for the first time since March 10, indicating a shift in market momentum. 

Also, the RSI has plummeted to 41, suggesting that while the asset is approaching oversold territory, the current selling pressure remains dominant

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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When Bots Start Farming Each Other: The Next DeFi War

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When Bots Start Farming Each Other: The Next DeFi War

The original “Curve wars” looked chaotic on the surface—protocols bribing veCRV holders, governance drama, and bribe markets forming around liquidity like flies to a very profitable lamp.

But in hindsight, that was version 1.0. A human-heavy, ego-driven, slightly messy experiment in directing liquidity.

What comes next is colder. Faster. And honestly… a little terrifying.

Welcome to Gamified Liquidity Wars 2.0—where the real participants aren’t degens on Discord anymore.

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They’re algorithms.


Phase 1: Curve Wars (Human Edition)

The first major liquidity battlefield formed around Curve Finance, where protocols competed to attract liquidity by incentivizing governance token holders.

The logic was simple:

  • Lock tokens
  • Gain voting power
  • Redirect emissions
  • Bribe voters for liquidity

It was financial politics, but with extra steps and fewer suits.

Humans optimized yield manually. Protocols bribed humans directly. Twitter got spicy. Everyone felt clever.

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But it was still slow.


Phase 2: The Shift Nobody Paid Attention To

While everyone was arguing about governance drama, something quieter was happening:

  • Yield optimizers started automating strategy rotation
  • Market makers began using reinforcement learning models
  • Treasury management became API-driven
  • Incentive routing got abstracted away from humans entirely

At first, these were just tools.

Now they are becoming the actual participants.


Phase 3: AI vs AI Liquidity Wars

Here’s the uncomfortable upgrade:

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Protocols are no longer just about bribing users.

They are bribing systems that decide for users.

Think about it:

  • A liquidity protocol doesn’t target “LPs” anymore
  • It targets yield-optimization agents that constantly reallocate capital
  • Bribes are structured as machine-readable incentive feeds
  • Execution is instantaneous, continuous, and non-human

So instead of:

“Hey human, move your liquidity here for 8% APY”

It becomes:

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“Hey algorithm, I’ll outbid any competitor for your allocation ruleset in real time”

This is no longer marketing.

It’s automated economic warfare.


The New Battlefield: Incentive APIs

Liquidity incentives are evolving into programmable streams:

  • Dynamic reward curves updated per block
  • Machine-readable “priority feeds” for capital routing
  • Autonomous treasury agents negotiating yield conditions
  • Cross-protocol bidding wars are happening in milliseconds

Humans are still “in the system,” technically.

But more like shareholders in a war being fought by proxy bots.

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The Weirdest Part: Bots Will Farm Each Other

Here’s where it gets funny in a dark way.

When every protocol runs an AI allocator, you get loops like:

  • Bot A routes liquidity to Protocol X
  • Protocol X incentivizes Bot B’s strategy
  • Bot B responds by reallocating back to Protocol Y
  • Protocol Y adjusts incentives for Bot A again

And suddenly:

👉 Yield isn’t being “earned.”
👉 It’s being recursively negotiated between machines

At that point, DeFi stops looking like finance and starts looking like:

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two vending machines endlessly trying to outsmart each other over snacks that replenish themselves


What Actually Wins This Game?

✨ Not the protocol with the highest yield.

💥 Not the one with the best UI.

🌟 Not even the one with the deepest liquidity.

The winner is whoever builds:

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the most attractive decision environment for autonomous capital agents

Translation:

  • best incentive routing logic
  • fastest feedback loops
  • lowest friction execution
  • smartest reward shaping over time

Liquidity doesn’t follow hype anymore.

It follows computation.


The End of “Yield Farming” as We Know It

The term “yield farming” implies effort. Strategy. Timing.

But in a world of autonomous capital agents, nothing is farmed manually anymore.

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Yield becomes:

  • continuously optimized
  • always rebalanced
  • permanently negotiated

Farmers are replaced by systems.

And systems don’t sleep.


Final Thought

Curve wars were about controlling human attention.

The next wars won’t even get attention.

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They’ll be fought at machine speed, between agents optimizing other agents, in markets where incentives behave more like physics than finance.

And if that sounds abstract, that’s because it is.

We’re not building DeFi anymore.

We’re building autonomous capital ecosystems that compete with each other for survival.

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And the funniest part?

No one’s really in charge of it.

Not even the bots.

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Avalanche price outlook as AVAX spot ETFs extend zero net inflows streak

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Avalanche Price
Avalanche Price
  • Avalanche spot ETFs have extended their zero net inflows streak to 16 days.
  • The AVAX token has traded lower amid the laggard ETF market.
  • If bulls flip the picture, AVAX could target $16 and then $20 in the next leg up.

Avalanche (AVAX) price faces downward pressure near $9.00 as its spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mark yet another milestone in investor apathy.

Despite gains of nearly 4% this past week, zero net inflows persist and could accelerate amid a sluggish altcoin market.

Avalanche spot ETFs’ “bad” net inflows streak

While spot Bitcoin ETFs have shown intermittent days of net inflows and outflows over the past month, the two spot AVAX ETFs have established a long streak of no net inflows.

SoSoValue data indicates that VanEck’s VAVX and Grayscale’s GAVA have recorded zero net inflows for sixteen consecutive trading days, a streak that began on March 18, 2026.

This drought follows a brief surge on March 17, when the funds attracted $246,000 in combined net inflows, building on $532,000 that flowed in earlier that week.

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Since then, however, capital has stalled completely, mirroring broader altcoin fatigue in a Bitcoin-dominated market.

As of April 10, 2026, cumulative net inflows for the ETFs total $9.76 million, with daily trading volume remaining anemic at $251,800.

The funds collectively manage $17.14 million in assets under management (AUM), representing just 0.43% of AVAX’s circulating market cap.

This limited exposure highlights the challenges in drawing institutional interest to Avalanche’s ecosystem, despite its strengths in high-throughput blockchain scaling and subnet technology.

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Avalanche price outlook

Market observers link the inflows freeze to macroeconomic caution and geopolitical tensions dampening risk appetite.

ETF analysts note that without fresh capital, these products struggle to provide the liquidity boost seen in Bitcoin and Ethereum counterparts, potentially prolonging AVAX’s price consolidation.

AVAX has failed to hit sustained upside momentum since the token tested resistance near $35 in September 2025.

The subsequent plunge below the critical $10 psychological level has left bulls on the defensive, as sellers dominate amid fading on-chain activity and reduced DeFi TVL on Avalanche’s network.

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Currently, AVAX trades around the $9.00 support zone, where the Supertrend indicator gives bears the advantage.

However, a fragile uptick over the past week offers slim hope for upward momentum or stabilization as bulls eye $10.00.

Avalanche Price Chart
Avalanche price chart by TradingView

Technical indicators signal this possibility, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering just above 50 on the daily chart.

Analysts have also pointed to the resilience of the broader crypto market as one likely to support a clean break above $10.20.

If bulls invalidate the downtrend, the immediate target will be the $12-$16 region. Highs of $20 could attract bullish traders.

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However, failure to hold $9.00 risks acceleration toward $8.50, opening the door to a retest of the year-to-date lows of $7.53 reached on February 6.

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Institutions’ bitcoin positioning lacks conviction; CPI, Iran talks might help

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Ticker image (CoinDesk)
Ticker image (CoinDesk)

Bitcoin’s price may have rallied almost 7% since Sunday, but conviction remains weak, with the recovery stalling near $72,000 ahead of key binary risks, including Friday’s U.S. inflation report and U.S.-Iran truce talks this weekend.

The cautious approach is evident in the options market, where institutions continue to chase upside via calls, the derivative contracts that allow traders to bet on gains of the underlying asset.

According to QCP Capital, options tied to BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF (IBIT) show demand for the $45 call expiring in May. That means traders expect IBIT’s price to rise above that level from the present $40. Bitcoin options on Deribit have seen similar flows, with the $80,000 call emerging as the most popular bet. Still, demand for puts, which offer downside protection, persists.

“IBIT options showed sustained open interest in the May 45 call, holding above 80k+ contracts through the week, while downside hedging remained in place via puts and long-dated protection. The combination reflects a market participating in upside, but not abandoning hedges,” the Singapore-based trading firm, which is one of the world’s largest crypto market makers, said in an email.

The sticky demand for protection against declines is also revealed in options skew, which measures the price differential between calls and puts, and remains negative across all time frames. That indicates a lingering bias for put options.

“The skew picture is clear: institutions are buying downside protection and selling upside calls. After the Iran war headlines, some of the tail risk has been priced out, so skew has eased, but the underlying flow remains firmly one-directional. Demand for puts, supply of calls,” Maxime Seiler, CEO of STS Digital, a principal trading firm specializing in digital asset derivatives, told CoinDesk.

The U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for March is expected to show a marked increase in annualized inflation to well over 3%, led primarily by rising energy prices.

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That shouldn’t come as a surprise, given that the Iran war led to a sharp surge in oil and gasoline prices worldwide. Still, markets may see volatility if the core figure, which excludes food and energy, blows past the annualized 2.7% estimate. That would further cement the case for Fed rate increases, potentially weighing on risk assets such as BTC.

Beyond CPI, the weekend meeting between Iranian and U.S. delegates in Pakistan holds the key to financial market stability. BTC’s rally will likely accelerate if they find a way to end the war and normalize oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. The first cues could come through Hyperliquid-listed oil perpetual futures. Stay alert!

What’s trending

Today’s signal

Swings in the MOVE index since June 2025. (TradingView)

The chart shows swings in the ICE BofA US Bond Market Option Volatility Estimate Index (MOVE), which reflects volatility in U.S. Treasury futures.

Sharp spikes in the index indicate rising uncertainty around inflation, interest rates or macro shocks. Treasury notes anchor the global finance and collateral and credit creation. Hence, increased turbulence in U.S. bonds often coincides with tighter financial conditions and broader risk-off sentiment spilling into equities, credit, and crypto markets.

The index popped in March, rising to 115% from 73% only to drop back to 74% this month. It showed that the world’s most important bond market is calm again, a green signal for crypto bulls.

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Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today .

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Premarket data (CoinDesk)

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Former SEC Trading Chief Takes Helm at Major Tokenization Firm Securitize

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Points

  • Brett Redfearn, former director of the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets, has been named president and board member at Securitize
  • Redfearn’s career spans key roles at the SEC, JPMorgan, and Coinbase before founding his own advisory firm
  • The strategic appointment arrives as Securitize moves toward going public through a merger with Cantor Equity Partners II
  • In March 2026, Securitize reached $3.85 billion in distributed asset value
  • Tokenized equities exceeded $1 billion in aggregate onchain value during the same period

Digital asset tokenization platform Securitize has brought Brett Redfearn on board as its president and newest board member. The company made the announcement Thursday amid preparations for its anticipated transition to public markets.

Redfearn’s background includes leading the SEC’s Division of Trading and Markets as director. His professional journey also features more than ten years at JPMorgan, followed by a position as Coinbase’s head of capital markets.

Most recently, Redfearn established Panorama Financial Markets Advisory, providing strategic counsel to exchanges and asset management firms. He had already been contributing to Securitize through his role on the company’s advisory board.

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Securitize specializes in converting conventional financial instruments — including investment funds and private credit products — into digital tokens built on blockchain technology. These tokenized assets offer enhanced tradability and accelerated settlement compared to their traditional counterparts.

Carlos Domingo, Securitize’s CEO, praised the new appointment. “Brett has played a pivotal role in shaping how contemporary markets operate and maintain compliance,” Domingo stated.

Redfearn will collaborate with Securitize’s executive team to expand the platform’s capabilities in issuance, trading infrastructure, and fund administration services.

Expanding Market for Tokenized Real-World Assets

The leadership addition coincides with accelerating interest in tokenizing real-world assets. Data from analytics platform RWA.xyz shows that Securitize achieved $3.85 billion in distributed asset value by March 2026.

Tokenized equities simultaneously surpassed the $1 billion threshold in total onchain valuation during this timeframe. Financial institutions and investment firms continue exploring blockchain-based settlement systems to enhance transaction speed and broaden market participation.

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Securitize aims to serve as a compliant gateway connecting established financial enterprises with emerging digital asset technology.

Journey Toward Public Markets

The firm intends to enter public markets via a business combination agreement with Cantor Equity Partners II. Redfearn’s addition is viewed as bolstering Securitize’s regulatory standing in advance of this transition.

Redfearn represents just one example of regulators transitioning to the cryptocurrency sector. Caroline Pham, former acting chair of the CFTC, departed in December to take a position at crypto payments provider MoonPay.

Separately, the SEC revealed Wednesday that David Woodcock will assume the director of Enforcement role effective May 4, succeeding interim head Sam Waldon.

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Various U.S. legislators have pressed SEC Chair Paul Atkins regarding the departure of former enforcement director Margaret Ryan. Some congressional members suspect her exit may relate to the SEC’s decision to withdraw multiple cryptocurrency enforcement actions, including proceedings against Tron founder Justin Sun.

Redfearn’s selection at Securitize unfolds as the regulatory landscape surrounding tokenized assets evolves through both regulatory agencies and legislative bodies.

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BlackRock rips page from hedge fund playbook, applies it to ETFs

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BlackRock’s Jeffrey Rosenberg explains - what exactly defines ‘alts’ - and why they’re climbing in popularity in the ETF space
BlackRock’s Jeffrey Rosenberg explains - what exactly defines ‘alts’ - and why they’re climbing in popularity in the ETF space

BlackRock is applying hedge fund strategies to its exchange-traded fund business.

Jeffrey Rosenberg, the firm’s senior portfolio manager on the systemic fixed income team, has a leading role in the firm’s liquid alternatives ETFs — which use a long-short strategy in ETF wrappers.

He contends the strategy provides valuable diversification amid the recent breakdown in the relationship between stocks and bonds.

“The great old adage around fixed income is ‘my bonds go up when my stocks go down.’ Now, we just went through a period in March with war risk where we clearly saw again on display… that doesn’t hold. And, really saw it in 2022,” Rosenberg told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “This entire post-Covid environment has really challenged that bedrock principle of the 60-40 portfolio that bonds are diversifying.”

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According to Rosenberg, client demand for liquid alts ETFs is growing because there’s a desire to diversify your diversifiers.

“We’re bringing the techniques that we’ve developed in the hedge fund side of our business, which primarily center around market neutral, long-short investing,” he added. “That’s the key kind of ‘a-ha moment’ for ETF investors to realize most of what they have exposure to in the ETF ecosystem is some kind of beta exposure.”

Rosenberg is a portfolio manager on two BlackRock liquid alts ETFs: the iShares Systematic Alternatives Active ETF (IALT) and the iShares Managed Futures Active ETF (ISMF). As of April 8, the firm’s website shows IALT is up almost 8% so far this year while the ISMF is up nearly 5%.

“What liquid alternatives bring to the table is the ability to look at other sources of return away from just market directionality,” said Rosenberg.

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He highlighted a major challenge investors face on the stock market side.

“Our equity portfolios have been more and more dominated by the big, large cap tech winners,” said Rosenberg. “With that concentration is a loss of diversification and a loss of diversification value on the equity side. So, liquid alternatives can address both of these challenges to portfolio construction.”

‘Something that’s going to zag when the market zigs’

VettaFi’s Todd Rosenbluth still regards liquid alts ETFs as an emerging category.

“Overall, this is still relatively small compared to traditional equity [and] traditional fixed income, but we are seeing advisors looking for something that’s going to zag when the market zigs,” the firm’s head of research said in the same interview.

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Japan approves bill to classify crypto as financial assets

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Japan recognises cryptocurrencies as financial assets
Japan recognises cryptocurrencies as financial assets
  • Cryptocurrencies now fall under Japan’s securities-style financial laws.
  • Insider trading rules and stricter disclosures will apply.
  • Lower taxes may boost investor and institutional participation.

Japan has taken a major step in reshaping how it treats cryptocurrencies.

A new bill approved by the government moves cryptocurrencies into the category of financial assets, placing them closer to traditional investment products such as stocks and bonds.

Following the approval, Japan now no longer views crypto just as a payment tool, but as part of its wider financial system.

This change is expected to have a wide impact on exchanges, investors, and crypto companies operating in Japan.

A shift from payment tools to financial instruments

For years, cryptocurrencies in Japan were mainly treated as a means of payment under a lighter regulatory framework. That approach is now being replaced with a more structured system based on financial market rules.

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Under the new bill, cryptocurrencies will fall under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act.

This is the same legal framework used to regulate traditional securities. In simple terms, crypto is being pulled into the same category as regulated financial products like equities.

This change is not just about classification. It also changes how the market is expected to behave.

Cryptocurrency exchange platforms and issuers will now be required to follow stricter rules around transparency, reporting, and operational conduct.

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The aim is to make the crypto market function with the same level of structure and accountability seen in conventional financial markets.

Stronger investor protection and market discipline

One of the most important parts of the new framework is the introduction of stricter rules around market fairness.

The bill introduces restrictions similar to those seen in stock markets, including clear prohibitions on insider trading in crypto markets.

This means individuals with access to non-public information about tokens or projects will not be allowed to use that information for trading advantage, which will greatly reduce manipulation and unfair practices in the sector.

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In addition, crypto companies and exchanges will face tougher disclosure requirements. They are expected to provide regular and detailed information about their operations and token-related activities.

This is designed to give investors a clearer picture of what they are dealing with before making financial decisions.

Penalties are also being strengthened.

Operating without proper registration or violating market rules can now lead to heavier fines and stricter legal consequences, including prison sentences in serious cases.

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The intention is to discourage bad actors and improve overall trust in the system.

These changes reflect a broader effort to build a safer trading environment as Japan tries to reduce risk in a market that has often been criticised for volatility and lack of transparency.

Cryptocurrency tax changes

Alongside regulatory reform, there is also discussion around tax adjustments that could make crypto investment more attractive.

One of the key expected changes is a shift toward a flat capital gains tax rate of around 20%.

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This would bring crypto taxation closer to the system used for traditional investments and significantly lower the burden compared to previous progressive rates.

A simpler and more predictable tax structure could encourage more individual and institutional participation in the market. It also removes one of the long-standing barriers for investors who were hesitant due to complex tax obligations.

At the same time, the new legal framework opens the door for greater institutional involvement.

With crypto now treated as a financial asset, banks, asset managers, and investment firms may find it easier to enter the market.

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This could eventually lead to the development of regulated crypto investment products, including exchange-traded funds.

The broader shift in Japan’s financial strategy

Japan’s decision is part of a larger effort to modernise its financial system.

By aligning crypto with traditional financial instruments, the country is building a framework that supports both innovation and regulation at the same time.

This move also positions Japan as one of the more structured crypto markets globally.

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While some regions continue to debate how to regulate digital assets, Japan is moving ahead with a clear legal classification and enforcement structure.

The long-term goal appears to be creating a stable environment where digital assets can grow under established financial rules.

If successful, this approach could attract more global capital and strengthen Japan’s position in the evolving digital economy.

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