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Crypto Google Searches Plummet to 1-Year Lows Amid Market Crash

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Google worldwide search volume for “crypto” is hovering near a one-year low as investor sentiment cools amid a broad market downturn that has trimmed the crypto market’s total capitalization from a peak above $4.2 trillion to roughly $2.4 trillion. The global Google Trends reading for crypto sits at 30 out of 100, with the 12-month high of 100 last reached in August 2025 when market fervor and valuations were at their peak. In the United States, the pattern mirrors the wider trend but with its own rhythm: after a July high of 100, US search interest dipped below 37 in January and then rebounded to 56 in the first week of February. Taken together, these metrics paint a cautious mood among retail and institutional participants alike.

Google search data has long been used by market observers as a proxy for investor interest and potential turning points, aligning with sentiment gauges such as the Crypto Fear & Greed Index. As liquidity has cooled and volatility has persisted, traders and long-term holders have faced a challenging environment where on-chain activity and capital flows tighten alongside waning enthusiasm for risk-on bets in the crypto space. The juxtaposition of dwindling searches with continuing headlines about market stress underscores a market that remains sensitive to macro headlines, policy signals, and evolving risk appetites.

Google search data is often used as a gauge of investor sentiment and corroborates other indicators that track crowd psychology across the crypto market. As the broader market contends with macro headwinds, retail chatter and social signals continue to reflect a cautious stance, even as some pockets of volatility persist.

Investor sentiment craters as Fear & Greed Index hits record lows

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index plunged to a record low of 5 on Thursday, before ticking up to 8 by Sunday, according to CoinMarketCap. Both readings sit in the “extreme fear” territory, signaling widespread risk aversion among market participants. The latest readings echo sentiment conditions observed during past downturns, including periods that followed the Terra ecosystem collapse and the associated de-pegging event in 2022. CoinMarketCap notes that extreme fear can coexist with abrupt bursts of selling pressure, creating environments where short squeezes and liquidity gaps become more pronounced.

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In broader terms, sentiment has moved in lockstep with price action and liquidity constraints. The market’s mood now resembles the climate seen after the Terra collapse, when contagion fears and leverage-induced liquidations amplified downside pressure. The Terra incident, which destabilized the Terra ecosystem and its dollar-pegged stablecoin, remains a reference point for how quickly confidence can erode in a highly correlated sector. The event set in motion cascading liquidations that helped accelerate a protracted bear phase in 2022, a period that many participants say still informs risk management and portfolio construction today.

The dialogue around sentiment is also fed by data-driven signals from analysts tracking social conversations and on-chain indicators. Santiment has highlighted a sharp decline in positive versus negative commentary, with crowd sentiment skewing heavily negative as traders search for a bottom to time their entries. While some investors seek capitulation points as an opportunity to accumulate, others remain wary of premature bets in an environment where liquidity can tighten quickly and price swings remain pronounced.

CoinMarketCap Fear & Greed Index plunges to record lows

The broader mood is reinforced by market structure data: daily aggregate crypto trading volume has fallen markedly from a high near $153 billion on Jan. 14 to around $87.5 billion most recently, underscoring the retreat in participation and the challenge of sustaining momentum in a risk-off regime. These shifts in activity, combined with sentiment indicators, paint a picture of a market that remains fragile and sensitive to macro catalysts and policy developments. Investors are paying closer attention to how institutions and retail players reposition their risk budgets in the face of ongoing volatility and mixed fundamentals.

Why it matters

At a fundamental level, the convergence of weak search interest, suppressed trading volumes, and extreme fear in sentiment indices matters for participants across the crypto ecosystem. For traders, the current environment reinforces the importance of risk controls, liquidity considerations, and disciplined position sizing, given the potential for rapid shifts if macro catalysts improve or if liquidity flows reaccelerate. For builders and developers, the mood underscores the need for clarity around use cases, real-world utility, and user acquisition strategies that can drive sustained engagement even when markets are challenged.

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From a retail vantage point, the data suggest that casual interest is not being replaced by immediate price upside; rather, attention remains episodic, with bursts around major headlines and then a reversion to the mean. This dynamic can affect onboarding curves for new users and the cadence of education and tooling that platforms rely on to convert curiosity into participation. Meanwhile, for institutions, the subdued atmosphere might translate into more selective allocations, tighter diligence, and a wait-and-see posture as they gauge how the regulatory and macro landscapes unfold in the coming quarters.

The Terra episode remains a salient reminder of how quickly sentiment can flip when confidence erodes and liquidity drains. In such environments, risk models that emphasize stress-testing, collateral management, and scenario planning can be more valuable than outright exposure bets. Investors should remain mindful of the connections between search behavior, sentiment, and price action, recognizing that public interest can act as a leading indicator of potential market inflection—but not a reliable predictor on its own.

What to watch next

  • Continuing Google Trends updates on crypto search interest (worldwide and US) to spot any turning points in public curiosity.
  • Monitoring the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and related sentiment metrics on CoinMarketCap and comparable aggregators.
  • Observing developments around Terra’s ecosystem and the future trajectory of LUNA, as well as any regulatory or governance signals affecting stablecoins and cross-chain liquidity.
  • Watching liquidity dynamics and macro flows, including ETF-related product activity and institutional risk appetites, to gauge potential shifts in market participation.

Sources & verification

  • Google Trends data for Crypto worldwide and US searches (Google Trends links in the article).
  • CoinMarketCap Fear & Greed Index page for sentiment data.
  • CoinMarketCap charts page for market volume trends.
  • Terra ecosystem collapse coverage and its impact on market psychology and liquidity (2022 references cited in the article).
  • Santiment research and weekly summaries on crowd sentiment and social signals.

Market reaction and key details

What the data collectively suggest is a crypto market that remains highly sensitive to macro dynamics, liquidity conditions, and high-profile narrative events. The decline from a peak market cap above $4.2 trillion to roughly $2.4 trillion reflects not only price moves but also a broad retrenchment in risk appetite and a retreat by weaker hands who fueled the late-2021 to mid-2025 hype cycle. The rebound in US search interest in early February indicates that public attention can snap back, but whether that translates into durable capital inflows remains uncertain. As one anchor of the ecosystem, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) continues to lead price discovery, even as broader market participation ebbs and flows in response to evolving fundamentals and sentiment.

Terra’s collapse and the subsequent liquidity shock provided a stark reminder of how correlated risk exposures can be, particularly when leverage is high and confidence deteriorates. The reverberations from that event still inform risk controls, governance discussions, and the pace at which new products attempt to attract capital in a cautious environment. In the near term, the market will likely hinge on macro signals, regulatory clarity, and the interplay between sentiment indicators and actual on-chain activity.

Why it matters (expanded)

For users and investors, the current climate underscores the importance of diversification, prudent risk management, and clear investment objectives. It also highlights the value of staying informed through reliable data sources and avoiding overreliance on short-term sentiment alone. For builders in the space, the message is to emphasize tangible use cases, security, and user-friendly tooling that can withstand periods of market stress. For the market as a whole, the ongoing scrutiny around liquidity, regulatory development, and institutional participation will shape the trajectory of adoption and the resilience of the sector to shocks.

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Ultimately, the story is one of a maturing market that continues to wrestle with volatility, narrative risk, and the pace of innovation. As investors weigh risk-adjusted returns in a downbeat environment, the data offer a sober reminder: interest can surface quickly, but sustained participation requires credibility, resilience, and real-world utility that transcends cycles.

What to watch next

  • Weekly updates on Google Trends for crypto and related terms to identify shifts in public interest.
  • Monitoring the Fear & Greed Index for potential signals that market psychology is shifting toward a more constructive phase.
  • Tracking Terra-related developments and the performance of its associated assets, including governance updates and liquidity restoration efforts.

Sources & verification

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

U.S. rule change may open trillions in 401(k) funds to crypto

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U.S. rule change may open trillions in 401(k) funds to crypto

The U.S. Department of Labor has proposed a rule that would make it easier for 401(k) plans to include alternative assets such as cryptocurrencies, private equity and real estate.

The proposal is in response to President Donald Trump’s executive order, released in August, which directed the Labor Department and the Securities and Exchange Commission to facilitate expanded access to alternative assets in 401(k)s.

“This proposed rule will show how plans can consider products that better reflect the investment landscape as it exists today,” Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer said in a statement.

If adopted, the rule would mark a shift in how retirement plans are built. For years, most 401(k)s have focused on stocks and bonds. The new approach would allow plan providers to add a broader mix of assets, including digital tokens and private-market funds that are not traded on public exchanges.

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The move builds on earlier changes. Last May, the Labor Department rescinded prior guidance that urged fiduciaries to exercise “extreme care” before adding crypto to retirement plans. Trump’s executive order went further, calling for digital assets to be treated on par with other investment options.

Still, the proposal has drawn criticism from some lawmakers and financial advisors.

“As cracks emerge in the private credit market, private equity returns fall to 16-year lows, and crypto keeps tumbling, President Trump has decided now is the time to stick all of these risky assets into Americans’ 401(k)s,” Senator Elizabeth Warren said in a statement. She warned the rule could expose workers to losses while benefiting large financial firms.

The stakes for crypto could be large. U.S. 401(k) plans hold trillions of dollars in retirement savings, and even a small shift into digital assets could send new capital into the market. If a large plan with tens of thousands of workers were to allocate just 1% of its portfolio to bitcoin, that would translate into millions of dollars flowing into crypto funds or tokens.

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Bitcoin, Altcoins Turn Down As Traders Cut Positions, Evade Risk

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Bitcoin, Altcoins Turn Down As Traders Cut Positions, Evade Risk

Key points:

  • Bitcoin’s recovery is expected to face selling near $69,000, but if the bulls prevail, a rally to $74,508 is possible.

  • Most major altcoins remain below their resistance levels, indicating that the bears continue to exert pressure.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose above $68,000, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the higher levels. Sellers are expected to exert pressure to achieve a negative monthly close in March. That will result in six consecutive months of losses for the first time since the 2018 bear market. 

Analysts remain increasingly bearish on BTC’s prospects in the short term. Analyst Willy Woo said in a post on X that BTC may bottom between $46,000 and $54,000 according to various on-chain models.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView

The deeper the fall from the all-time high, the longer it is likely for BTC to take to record a new all-time high. According to an Ecoinometrics’ model, if BTC holds the $60,000 low, a full recovery is expected to happen in roughly 300 days from the October 2025 peak of $126,000. About 175 days have passed since BTC’s all-time high, leaving around 125 days for the full recovery to happen. If BTC falls to the $40,000 to $45,000 range, the recovery may stretch further into Q2 2027, as every 10% drawdown adds 80 days to the recovery duration. 

Will buyers be able overcome the resistance levels in BTC and the major altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out. 

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S&P 500 Index price prediction

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) turned down from the 20-day exponential moving average (6,620) on Wednesday, indicating that bears remain in command.

SPX daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sellers will attempt to sink the price to the 6,147 level, which is likely to attract solid buying by the bulls. A bounce off the 6,147 level may face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the bears will again attempt to sink the index below the 6,147 level. If they succeed, the next stop may be the 5,943 level.

On the other hand, a break and close above the 20-day EMA suggests that the bears are losing their grip. The index may then rally to the 50-day simple moving average (6,803).

US Dollar Index price prediction

The US Dollar Index (DXY) bounced off the 20-day EMA (99.40) on Wednesday, signaling a positive sentiment.

DXY daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers will attempt to strengthen their position by maintaining the price above the 100.54 overhead resistance. If they manage to do that, the index may start a new up move to the 102 level and later to the 103.54 level.

Time is running out for the bears. They will have to defend the 100.54 level and swiftly pull the price below the 20-day EMA to weaken the bullish momentum. The price may then slump to the 50-day SMA (98.25).

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Bitcoin price prediction

BTC closed below the support line of the ascending triangle pattern on Sunday, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls have pushed the BTC price back above the support line and are attempting to pierce the moving averages. If they succeed, it suggests that the break below the support line may have been a bear trap. The BTC/USDT pair may rally to the $74,508 to $76,000 resistance zone.

To retain the advantage, sellers will have to successfully defend the moving averages and swiftly pull the price below the $65,000 level. That clears the path for a drop to the $62,500 to $60,000 support zone.

Ether price prediction

Ether (ETH) closed below the 50-day SMA ($2,040) on Friday, but the bears could not sink the price below the $1,916 support.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are attempting to push the ETH price above the moving averages and get back into the game. If they can pull it off, the possibility of a rally to $2,400 increases. Sellers will attempt to halt the up move at $2,400, but if the buyers bulldoze their way through, the next stop may be $2,600.

This positive view will be negated in the near term if the ETH/USDT pair turns down and breaks below the $1,916 level. That opens the doors for a drop to the $1,750 support.

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BNB price prediction

BNB (BNB) has been trading below the moving averages, but the bears could not pull the price to the $570 support.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The bulls are attempting to start a recovery, which is expected to face resistance at the moving averages. If the BNB price turns down from the moving averages, the risk of a drop to $570 increases.

Contrarily, a close above the moving averages suggests that the BNB/USDT pair may remain inside the $570 to $687 range for some more time. Buyers will be back in the driver’s seat on a close above the $687 resistance.

XRP price prediction

XRP (XRP) remains below the moving averages, indicating that the bears continue to exert pressure.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The gradually downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that the bears have the upper hand. Buyers will attempt to defend the $1.27 level, but if the support cracks, the XRP/USDT pair may descend to $1.11.

Contrary to this assumption, if the XRP price turns up sharply and breaks above the moving averages, it suggests that selling dries up at lower levels. The pair may then march toward the $1.61 level.

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Solana price prediction

Solana (SOL) remains stuck inside the $76 to $95 range, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The flattish moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear edge either to the bulls or the bears. Buyers will have to shove the SOL price above the $95 resistance to start a rally to the $117 level.

On the contrary, a break and close below the $76 level tilts the advantage in favor of the bears. The SOL/USDT pair may then retest the Feb. 6 low of $67.

Related: Bitcoin analysis says $65K ‘entry zone’ with oil back above $100

Dogecoin price prediction

Buyers have managed to maintain Dogecoin (DOGE) above the $0.09 support but are struggling to start a strong rebound.

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DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

That suggests the bears are selling on every minor relief rally to the moving averages. If the DOGE price again turns down from the moving averages, it increases the risk of a break below the $0.09 support. The DOGE/USDT pair may then plunge to the $0.08 level.

Instead, if the price continues higher and breaks above the moving averages, it signals that the bulls remain buyers near the $0.09 level. The pair may then rally to $0.11 and subsequently to $0.12.

Cardano price prediction

Cardano (ADA) closed below the $0.25 support on Friday, indicating that the bears are in control.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Buyers are trying to push the ADA price back above the $0.25 level, but the bears have held their ground. That suggests the sellers are attempting to flip the $0.25 level into resistance. If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair may plummet to the Feb. 6 low of $0.22.

The bulls will have to swiftly thrust the price above the moving averages to trap the aggressive bears. That may drive the pair to the downtrend line. Sellers are expected to vigorously defend the downtrend line, as a close above it signals a potential short-term trend change.

Hyperliquid price prediction

Buyers are attempting to sustain the Hyperliquid (HYPE) price above the 20-day EMA ($37.86), but the recovery lacks strength. 

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HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

If the HYPE price dips below the 20-day EMA and the $36.77 level, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That may pull the HYPE/USDT pair to the 50-day SMA ($33.73), which is likely to act as strong support.

Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, it is expected to face resistance at $41.59 and then at $44. Buyers will have to scale the $44 level to signal the resumption of the up move toward $50.