The crypto market is at a critical point on Wednesday, with bitcoin BTC$74,221.05 priced close to the $75,000 level of support after failing to break through $78,000 on Tuesday.

Ether’s (ETH) chart tells a similar story. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization was rejected off $2,150 on Tuesday, and fell toward the $2,000 support level. It bounced off $2,050 at 05:30 UTC on Wednesday and was recently trading around $2,080.

AI tokens RENDER, FET and NEAR gave back much of their gains from Tuesday’s rally, falling between 1% and 3% since midnight UTC.

The U.S. stock market continued to diverge from crypto on Wednesday, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 index futures both hitting record highs after adding about 0.3%.

Crucially, bitcoin is now below Bitmine (BMNR) Chairman Tom Lee’s line in the sand at $76,000, which, he said, would signal the end of a bear market if BTC were to end the month above that level.

Derivatives positioning

• Crypto futures volume jumped 54% to $201 billion in 24 hours, while liquidations surged 87%. The massive percentage gains largely reflect the market waking up after an extended U.S. holiday lull rather than a structural shift in activity levels.
• Bitcoin dropped 1% over the last 24 hours as open interest climbed to 740K BTC from 704K BTC, a combination that typically confirms a price downtrend. The negative 24-hour cumulative volume delta (CVD) shows traders are aggressively shorting via market orders while funding rates remain neutral.
• Ether’s open interest hit a record high 15.57 million ETH alongside negative CVD. It may be that traders are shorting contracts in anticipation of deeper price loss. This follows a technical breakdown of the bullish trendline that has supported the market since February, opening the door for deeper losses.
• Open interest in ZEC futures dropped for a third day to 2.30 million tokens as the price slid toward $564. The simultaneous drop in both price and open interest suggests that earlier bullish bets are being closed out rather than new short positions being opened.
• Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index (BVIV) rose nearly 3% to 37.35%, marking its first gain in 10 days and a bounce from yearly lows. A continued rise would signal that the market is finally paying up for protection against a potential price swoon.
• Deribit data shows the $55,000 September put is the most traded contract of the past 24 hours. It represents a bet that bitcoin will fall significantly by the end of that month. Most activity has been clustered around downside protection at various strikes between $70,000 and $76,000.

Token talk

• The CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS) fell 2.2% since midnight UTC following losses across the AI sector. The DeFI Select Index (DFX) also struggled on Tuesday, losing 1.5%.
• One bright point is hyperliquid (HYPE). The perpetual exchange’s native token formed a new record high this week and is continuing to show strength on Wednesday, surging by 5.5% since midnight UTC.
• There was also a notable gain for monero (XMR), up by 5% on Wednesday as it retests Monday’s high around $400.
• CoinMarketCap’s “Altcoin Season” indicator also increased to 36/100, demonstrating relative strength among a few select altcoins despite broader market weakness.

Bitcoin (BTC) miner inflows to Binance crossed 20,000 BTC for only the second time this year, placing fresh pressure on Bitcoin’s daily uptrend near the $75,000 support zone. Will BTC defend its higher-timeframe bullish structure, or is the market on the verge of a broader bearish trend shift? 

BTC miner supply meets weaker demand

Crypto analyst Amr Taha said miners transferred roughly 21,000 BTC to Binance on May 18, close to the 23,150 BTC sent on Feb. 5. Large miner deposits are often tied to potential selling activity as miners move BTC to exchanges to cover operating costs.

BTC miners to exchange flow data. Source: CryptoQuant 

However, Taha explained that the market reaction has stayed relatively controlled so far. Bitcoin avoided a sharp breakdown after the transfer, while Binance’s BTC reserve climbed to nearly 634,000 BTC by May 26 from roughly 618,600 BTC on May 6. The exchange added around 15,400 BTC in reserves over the period without triggering aggressive downside continuation.

Glassnode’s onchain data painted a similar picture of slowing momentum rather than panic selling. The realized profit/loss ratio currently sits near 1.56, well below the 2-5 range commonly seen during stronger bull-market phases. The metric measures realized profits relative to losses across the network and points to moderate buying conviction during the recent rebound.

BTC realized profit/loss ratio 30-day moving average. Source: Glassnode

Additionally, Glassnode added that spot demand also weakened over the past two weeks. The spot volume delta slipped back into net sell-side territory after Bitcoin rejected near the low-$80,000 range. The analytics platform noted, 

“If BTC is going to push meaningfully higher from here, spot demand likely needs to step back in. Without that, the market risks drifting back into the same choppy, seller-dominated conditions that capped upside earlier in the year.”

Related: Bitcoin price threatens $75K loss as US-Iran peace progress sparks new stocks records

BTC uptrend faces key test at $75,000

Bitcoin’s higher-time-frame trend still depends on holding above the $75,000 level. The level served as a consistent demand zone throughout May and closely aligns with the neckline support on the daily chart.

However, a developing head-and-shoulders pattern has begun to form after repeated failures near the $80,000-$81,000 range. The latest lower high near $78,000 now shapes the potential right shoulder of the setup.

BTC/USDT, one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

A momentum indicator also leans bearish. The daily relative strength index (RSI) has remained below the neutral 50 level for the past few days, indicating limited strength during recent rebounds. A decisive move below $75,000 could expose the next major support near $70,400.

Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. highlighted the $74,500 area as a critical support level, which currently aligns with the lower boundary of Bitcoin’s 21-day Donchian channel. The Donchian channel tracks the highest and lowest price range over a selected period and is often used to identify trend support and breakout zones. 

If the price is holding near the lower band, it usually signals that buyers are defending the recent trading range, while a breakdown below it can signal rising downside pressure.

Adler noted that Bitcoin’s composite trend signal recently shifted back into a “high bear” zone following a sharp three-week reversal from the May highs near $82,500. BTC now trades only slightly above the $74,500 support band, placing the $74,500-$75,000 region at the center of current market attention.

Bitcoin price structure. Source: CryptoQuant

Related: Sold in May and went away? Bitcoin risks another 10% drop as month turns red

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission wants to tear up the remnants of an old dispute with crypto exchange Gemini, with the agency insisting that its own staff’s assertions about Gemini making misleading statements weren’t handled properly.

The CFTC filed a request alongside Gemini in federal court to negate a settlement secured at the start of last year, with the current agency essentially disputing the conclusions of the previous agency. After a review of the case, the CFTC “concluded the complaint should not have been filed — and would not have been under current enforcement standards,” it said in a Wednesday statement.

In January of 2025, Gemini agreed to resolve an enforcement action with a $5 million fine and other requirements, settling a matter that began in 2017. In meetings with the CFTC back then, its staff had determined that Gemini allegedly made false statements about the relative difficulty of manipulating bitcoin futures contracts and the regulator pursued an enforcement action in 2022.

If the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York grants the request to cancel the settlement and toss the case, the remainder of Gemini’s requirements under the agreement will be nullified — including its injunction preventing the company from making false or misleading statements to the commission in the future.

The CFTC has dramatically reversed its previous relationship with the crypto industry since the arrival of the administration of President Donald Trump just days after the Gemini settlement, and the subsequent appointment of CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, who has embraced digital assets as one of his top policy goals.

Trump has also sought to champion the industry, including specifically welcoming Gemini’s founders, the Winklevoss brothers, to White House events.

The president’s previous nominee to run the CFTC, former Commissioner Brian Quintenz, said last year in posts on X (formerly Twitter) that the Winklevoss brothers had asked him to review the settlement and suggested they were unhappy that he refused to commit to anything further than a review of the case. Trump withdrew his nomination just under three weeks later.

The president’s pro-crypto agenda was on display Wednesday in a posting on his social media platform, Truth Social, where he said, “The new Frontier of Finance is being Built in America, and ‘TRUMP’ will NEVER let Crypto down!”

TLDR:

• The CFTC admitted the 2022 complaint against Gemini should never have been filed under current standards.
• A whistleblower with known credibility issues served as the primary basis for the original complaint against Gemini.
• Agency personnel were found to have misused regulatory authority to create leverage during settlement negotiations.
• The CFTC and Gemini jointly moved to vacate prospective provisions after the civil monetary penalty was already paid.

The CFTC has joined Gemini Trust Company LLC in a motion to vacate a consent order tied to a 2022 enforcement action.

The regulator concluded that the original complaint against the crypto firm should never have been filed. After a comprehensive review, the agency found several serious problems with how the case was built and prosecuted.

The move comes amid broader shifts in federal digital asset enforcement policy across multiple government agencies.

CFTC Review Reveals Serious Enforcement Failures

The CFTC’s internal review of the Gemini case uncovered a troubling series of missteps. The complaint was largely built on testimony from a whistleblower later found to lack credibility.

Rather than targeting alleged fraudsters, the agency pursued Gemini — a company the review identified as a fraud victim itself.

The CFTC stated directly that “the complaint should not have been filed — and would not have been under current enforcement standards.”

Investigators also found that evidentiary support was withheld from a Commissioner ahead of the vote to file the complaint. This raised questions about transparency within the agency’s own decision-making process.

Litigation counsel also invoked the deliberative process privilege, blocking Gemini from accessing evidence needed for its defense.

The review found that personnel “improperly influenced the CFTC’s regulatory authority to create settlement leverage.” These findings paint a picture of an enforcement process that, in this case, went beyond its proper boundaries.

Consent Order Vacated, Prospective Provisions No Longer Apply

The parties entered into a consent order in January 2025 after the original complaint was filed in June 2022. The non-prospective provisions of that order, including the civil monetary penalty, have already been satisfied.

However, the CFTC determined that continuing to enforce the remaining injunctive and prospective provisions no longer serves the public interest.

The agency concluded that “continuing enforcement of the consent order’s prospective provisions serves neither the CFTC’s mission nor the public interest.”

As a result, both parties are now jointly asking the Southern District of New York court to vacate those outstanding provisions.

The CFTC added that applying these terms going forward “would not be equitable,” given the findings of the review.

This development fits within a wider federal reassessment of digital asset enforcement policy. Multiple agencies have revisited and resolved crypto-related cases under revised standards.

For Gemini, the outcome marks a formal acknowledgment that it should not have been a defendant in this matter at all.

BIS tokenization work has cleared its atomic settlement prototype phase and will graduate to real-value cross-border payment trials.

BIS tokenization work has cleared its atomic settlement prototype phase and will graduate to real-value cross-border payment trials. The Bank for International Settlements confirmed the move Wednesday.

Project Agora, a public-private collaboration with seven central banks and more than 40 financial institutions, showed that tokenised commercial bank deposits can settle against tokenised central bank reserves on a shared platform with finality across jurisdictions.

Why the BIS tokenization prototype matters for global banks

The prototype demonstrated atomic settlement, where every leg of a cross-border transaction clears at the same instant or not at all. Banks involved said the design compresses correspondent flows that currently take days into seconds.

SoFi has rolled out its dollar-backed stablecoin, SoFiUSD, to users of its banking app, becoming the first U.S. national bank to offer a stablecoin directly to retail customers on a public blockchain.

The company said Wednesday that nearly 15 million members will be able to buy, sell, hold and convert SoFiUSD within the SoFi app. The stablecoin is available on Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) and is redeemable 1:1 for U.S. dollars through SoFi Bank.

The launch marks a broader push by banks into blockchain-based payments as lawmakers and regulators move closer to establishing rules for stablecoins in the U.S. Stablecoins are digital tokens designed to maintain a fixed value, usually pegged to the dollar. The market is currently dominated by crypto-native issuers Tether’s USDT and Circle’s USDC, which are widely used in crypto trading and decentralized finance.

SoFi said it sees the larger opportunity outside crypto markets.

“The use of stablecoins in traditional finance is still incredibly small today,” a SoFi spokesperson said. “Historically, stablecoins have been used for DeFi and crypto trading, but not for use cases like cross-border payments or B2B transactions.”

The spokesperson added that regulation and institutional oversight could become key advantages as banks enter the sector.

“SoFiUSD competes by offering what crypto-native issuers cannot: the trust, security and oversight that comes with being a nationally chartered bank,” the spokesperson said.

SoFi CEO Anthony Noto said the company wants to combine blockchain-based payments with regulated banking services inside a single platform.

“People no longer have to choose between blockchain technology and regulated banking products,” Noto said in a statement in December alongside the launch of SoFiUSD.

SoFi said future updates will allow users to convert SoFiUSD into tokenized deposits that may earn interest and qualify for FDIC insurance, subject to separate account terms. The company also plans to support 24/7 cross-border transfers and launch trading access through crypto exchange Bullish for institutional clients.

Full availability is expected by early June as members update the latest version of the SoFi app.

Singapore authorities have charged the former CEO of collapsed crypto lender Hodlnaut Zhu Juntao with fraud, nearly four years after the firm froze withdrawals during the collapse of the TerraUSD ecosystem.

The Singapore Police Force said that Zhu faces six charges of fraud by false representation in an announcement on Tuesday. Prosecutors allege Zhu directed employees in 2022 to publish false statements on Hodlnaut’s Telegram channels and in customer emails claiming the company had no direct exposure to TerraUSD’s collapse, and had not suffered losses as a result.

Authorities also alleged Zhu repeated similar claims on his personal X account, then known as Twitter, in three posts in June 2022. If convicted, Zhu could face up to 20 years in prison, fines, or both on each charge under Singapore law.

Zhu disputed all six charges in court and was given a pre-trial conference date in June 2026, according to local media reports.

Hodlnaut was one of several crypto lenders that failed after the implosion of Terraform Labs’ algorithmic stablecoin ecosystem in May 2022. The collapse erased about $40 billion from the crypto market and contributed to failures at firms including Three Arrows Capital, Celsius and Voyager.

Reports filed during Hodlnaut’s restructuring proceedings indicated the company had channelled roughly $317 million of user funds into Terra’s Anchor Protocol, which was offering around 19.5% in annualized yield on UST deposits before the collapse, which saw UST become almost worthless.

Court-appointed judicial managers later estimated Hodlnaut lost about $189.7 million from exposure to the Terra collapse. Reports reviewed during restructuring proceedings said the company had poor internal recordkeeping and that some executives did not fully cooperate with investigators.

Singapore-based Hodlnaut, which was founded in 2019, offered customers yield-bearing crypto accounts and served more than 30,000 users globally before halting withdrawals in August 2022.

The company later entered judicial management and was ordered into liquidation by the Singapore High Court.

Crypto-linked debit and credit cards are transitioning from novelty to everyday fixtures in consumer wallets. Monthly payment volume tied to crypto cards reached $7.8 billion this month, representing roughly a 230% year-over-year surge, according to The Kobeissi Letter, a market research publication tracking crypto payment rails.

Analysts note that Visa handles about 90% of crypto-card transactions through partnerships with on-chain native players such as Jupiter Global—the payments initiative developed by the team behind the Jupiter decentralized exchange on the Solana network. The rapid growth points to a widening bridge between digital assets and real-world spending, with stablecoins playing a central role as a spendable liability.

“Crypto card adoption has rapidly accelerated in 2026 due to growing access to stablecoins as a payment rail through crypto cards. In other words, more people can now spend stablecoins like fiat by using crypto cards, further driving adoption.”

The expanding footprint of crypto cards is often framed as evidence that digital assets are becoming part of mainstream commerce without displacing incumbent payment rails such as Mastercard and Visa. The trajectory suggests crypto-centric payment products are starting to function as real wallets for everyday purchases rather than experimental add-ons for traders and enthusiasts.

Crypto cards powering everyday payments around the globe

The practical side of this evolution is visible in Europe, where OKX—the crypto exchange formerly known as OkEx—launched a stablecoin payments card in January 2026, operating on the Mastercard network. The move underscores a push to normalize stablecoins as a payment rail across established card networks.

OKX’s card data highlights a concrete picture of consumer behavior in crypto-enabled commerce. Grocery purchases topped the spend mix, accounting for about 26% of January transactions, while eateries represented 18% and online shopping 13% of total volume. The data illustrates that crypto cards are being used for day-to-day expenses rather than just high-value or discretionary purchases.

“When crypto pays for lunch, payment adoption is real. For years, critics pointed to a lack of everyday utility as crypto’s weak point: great as a speculative asset, less useful as actual money,” the OKX team said in accompanying materials.

Beyond Europe, the broader ecosystem is moving toward broader, cross-border usage. In March, Visa and Bridge — a fintech firm owned by payments giant Stripe — announced plans to roll out stablecoin-linked payment cards in more than 100 countries. The rollout began with 18 countries, including Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, and Chile, with ambitions to expand across the Asia-Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East regions by the end of 2026. These signals reflect a coordinated effort to connect stablecoins with global consumer wallets through major networks and seamless on-chain settlement.

The collaboration with Bridge, a Bridge-owned entity backed by Stripe’s payments infrastructure, suggests a deliberate strategy to bridge stablecoin rails with traditional card ecosystems. In practical terms, that means more wallets and financial services platforms could offer their users a familiar spend experience using digital assets, while merchants gain access to a broader base of payment methods and settlement rails.

The momentum is consistent with prior coverage of crypto payments and stablecoins, which has highlighted a trend toward integrating digital assets into everyday life without displacing established payment networks. The push from both card networks and fintechs indicates a tipping point where stablecoins and on-chain payments become ordinary, interoperable components of consumer finance rather than niche experiments.

Regional momentum meets global ambition

OKX’s European card launch is a tangible example of how crypto-native rails are being translated into fiat spend, offering a blueprint for other issuers looking to blend crypto wallets with everyday merchants. The by-the-numbers breakdown—grocery, dining, and online shopping—helps illustrate not only where crypto users are spending but also where card-issuers and networks should optimize merchant acceptance and user experience.

The Visa/Bridge plan to deploy stablecoin-linked cards in over 100 countries signals a strategic acceleration in cross-border usability. The initial roll-out targets a diverse set of markets and regulatory environments, aiming to establish a broad, usable on-ramp for stablecoins as a payment method. As this expansion unfolds, watchers will be keen to see how regional regulations, merchant adoption, and consumer trust align to sustain growth beyond early adopters.

What comes next may hinge on several variables: the pace of stablecoin liquidity and on-chain settlement efficiency, the ability of issuers to deliver user-friendly experiences, and the regulatory clarity surrounding stablecoins as payment instruments. The emerging picture suggests continued collaboration between traditional payment networks, crypto-native platforms, and fintech innovation to scale real-world crypto usage without displacing established rails.

For investors and builders, the evolving card-based usage dynamics highlight a few stakes: stablecoins as a payment rail are proving practical at scale; incumbents remain central to the ecosystem, not sidelined; and regional expansion will test how different markets balance user demand with regulatory oversight. The combination could set the stage for a broader integration of digital assets into everyday finance in 2026 and beyond.

Readers should watch the upcoming regional rollouts and merchant-acceptance improvements, as these will shape how quickly crypto cards become a routine payment option rather than a niche feature. Meanwhile, regulatory developments surrounding stablecoins and on-chain settlement will continue to influence issuer confidence and consumer trust in crypto-enabled payments.

TLDR:

• HIP-4 is the first onchain contract to combine spot, perps, and binaries in one unified portfolio.
• Binary options on Hyperliquid allow vault managers to hedge event-driven risk with a fixed payout. 
• HIP-4 is projected to add roughly $25M annually to Hyperliquid’s $636M trading revenue run rate.
• HIP-4 markets at launch include daily BTC binaries and weekly ETH ranges for recurring traders.

HIP-4 introduces a new contract type on Hyperliquid, enabling users to express directional, leveraged, and event-driven views within one portfolio.

This upgrade adds binary options to the platform’s existing spot and perpetuals infrastructure. Currently, no other onchain venue combines all three contract types in a single unified account.

The development brings Hyperliquid closer to the full-service model that traditional financial venues have long kept separate from one another.

HIP-4 Expands the Toolkit Available to Vault Managers

Traditional portfolio managers have always worked with spot positions, futures, and options. Onchain vault managers, however, have only had two of those three until now. HIP-4 changes that by adding binary contracts alongside existing spot and perpetuals on Hyperliquid.

Binary contracts are not a perfect substitute for dated options. That said, they close much of the gap for practical trading purposes.

They allow vault managers to express bounded, dated, and event-driven views that spot and perp positions cannot capture.

With that in place, spot, perp, and binary risk can now net within one portfolio. This unlocks capital efficiencies that fragmented venues cannot match.

A vault manager can run event-driven income on one side and catalyst-protected longs on the other. All of this happens without leaving the platform.

To illustrate, consider a vault manager holding a token ahead of a large supply unlock. Before HIP-4, hedging that specific scenario required moving to a separate venue for the event-driven leg.

Now, all three positions sit in the same Hyperliquid account, offsetting each other through unified portfolio risk netting.

Why Payoff Shape and Revenue Both Drive Hyperliquid’s Growth

HIP-4 pays a fixed amount if an event occurs and nothing at all if it does not. Maximum loss is limited to the premium posted upfront. As a result, there is no liquidation engine or funding rate to manage throughout the position.

Perps cannot cleanly express a Fed meeting hedge or a weekly range view on ETH. HIP-4 fills that gap. Markets at launch are short-dated and recurring, including daily BTC level binaries and weekly ETH range contracts. Hyperliquid already has the trader base these markets are designed to serve.

Some speculative flow will naturally rotate from perps into HIP-4 during periods of event-driven attention. Community discussions across crypto social platforms have reflected growing interest in this shift.

Over time, though, both contract types are expected to grow alongside each other. Hyperliquid captures the flow either way.

On the revenue side, HIP-4 generates modest direct fees by design. At $3 billion monthly in volume with a 7 bps fee, the contract type adds roughly $25 million annualized. That figure is additive to Hyperliquid’s existing $636 million trading revenue run rate.

Reserve yield from retained USDC balances flows through AQAv2, with 90% routed to the Assistance Fund. Each new primitive added to the venue compounds that flywheel.