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Crypto market rallies as top Federal Reserve official maintains support for interest rate cuts

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here’s why Pepe Coin, Zcash, Morpho, and Dogecoin are rising

The crypto market rally resumed on Wednesday as a senior Federal Reserve official maintained his view that the bank should cut interest rates despite the rising inflation jitters.

Summary

  • The crypto market rallied on Wednesday. Stephen Miran said that he supported interest rate cuts.
  • He argued that the labor market was not strong and that inflation was largely contained.
  • The rally also happened amid rumors that Iran had reached out to the United States.

Bitcoin (BTC) zoomed past the key resistance level at $72,000, leading to a broader rally among other altcoins. SPX6900 jumped by 20%, while Aerodrome Finance, Kite, Zcash, and Decred soared by over 10%. The market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies rose by 6.48%, while the futures open interest rose to over $95 billion.

Stephen Miran supports interest rate cuts 

One major reason why the crypto rally is happening is that Stephen Miran, a top Fed official appointed by President Donald Trump, expressed his support for interest rate cuts despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions and higher crude oil prices.

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Miran has always argued that inflation is still low and that the labor market was still under increased pressure. As such, he believes that cutting interest rates will be ideal to supercharge the economy. He said:

“When you look at the totality of labor-market data, there’s still evidence to me that it needs more support from monetary policy.”

Miran, however, is part of the bank’s minority in his support for more interest rate cuts. The most recent Fed minutes showed that some officials supported hiking rates in the last meeting, citing the elevated inflation, which has remained above the 2% target for over four years.

Inflation may remain above this range for longer as Trump plans to implement a new 15% universal tariff as soon as this week. Also, the ongoing war in Iran has pushed crude oil and natural gas prices to the highest level in months. Higher energy prices often lead to higher inflation because they are used in transport, manufacturing, and other activities.

Crypto market rally also triggered by hopes of talks between the US and Iran 

The crypto market rally also happened as investors cheered a report saying that Iran had reached out to the United States for talks on how to end the ongoing war. Officials from the government’s intelligence office made the approach on Sunday, a day after the war started. 

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Still, it is unclear whether the two sides will meet soon to talk, as they are both confident of victory. Trump has insisted that the US was ready to fight the war as long as possible. He has also not ruled out a ground operation in the country. Similarly, Iran has maintained that it was prepared to continue fighting.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

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Bitcoin Rebounds 4% on Iran Ceasefire Hopes but Faces $72K Resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) rose back above $71,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday after Trump’s administration offered a 15-point plan to Iran to end the war, sparking short-term optimism across risk assets.

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin bounces 4% to $71,500 after President Trump sent Iran a 15-point proposal aimed at ending the war. 

  • Bitcoin faces stiff resistance above $72,000. 

Bitcoin jumps 4% on ceasefire hopes

Data from TradingView showed BTC price rose as much as 4% to an intraday high of $71,300 from Tuesday’s low of $68,890, recouping all the losses incurred the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The price reacted to news that the US, through the primary intermediary Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir (Pakistan’s Chief of Army Staff), has sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the war.

The key elements of the plan include: a temporary ceasefire with calls on Iran to dismantle or severely limit its nuclear program, suspend its ballistic-missile work, and the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz for safe maritime traffic.

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Source: X/The Kobeissi Letter

Meanwhile, Iran continues to deny any ongoing talks as ​​Trump delayed his self-imposed deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Following the news, WTI crude oil dropped 5.75% to $87 per barrel, while Brent crude shed 6% to trade at $98.

Oil prices table. Source: Oil Price.com

Gold extended yesterday’s gains, now up 2.53% on the day to trade at $4,561 at the time of writing.

This move eases inflation fears tied to disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, positively impacting risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Analysts noted the swift repricing, with Coinlore saying that Bitcoin is now acting as a “real-time sentiment instrument for global risk.”

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr said that BTC will “likely remain headline-driven” until the US and Iran send a “public de-escalation signal.”

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Bitcoin price faces “rough times ahead”

Despite the rebound, BTC’s upside appears to be capped at $72,000, where the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) and the upper trend line of a symmetrical triangle converge.

A break above $72,000 would confirm a bullish breakout from the triangle, toward the measured target at $92,400, 30% above the current price.

BTC/USD daily chart. Cointelegraph/TradingView

Glassnode’s cost-basis distribution heatmap reveals concentrated supply and resistance between $72,000 and $74,000, where investors acquired roughly 380,000 BTC over the last 30 days. This indicates that sellers could aggressively defend this zone.

Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: Glassnode

On the downside, a dense accumulation cluster sits around $65,000, where investors previously acquired 160,000 BTC. 

This level coincides with the lower trend line of the symmetrical triangle, which, if lost, could trigger the next leg lower toward the bearish target of the triangle at $52,500.

Meanwhile, Capriole Investment’s Bitcoin Macro index has dropped to -1.37, levels seen at the depth of previous bear cycles.

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The chart below shows that the metric historically spends a year at or below these valuations before recovering.

“Bitcoin Macro index is in the value zone,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in an X post on Wednesday, adding:

“In all prior instances, price went lower into deeper value first before recovering, suggesting we may have more rough times ahead first.”

Bitcoin Macro Index. Source: Capriole Investments

As Cointelegraph reported, traders warn of a second bear flag breakdown that could clear the path for another sell-off below $50,000.