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David Einhorn signals caution as his hedge fund Greenlight prioritizes capital protection

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David Einhorn, President at Greenlight Capital, speaking at the 14th CNBC Delivering Alpha Investor Summit in New York City on Nov. 13, 2024.

Adam Jeffery | CNBC

Hedge fund manager David Einhorn said he is focusing on capital protection as markets rally on geopolitical optimism, warning that investors may be underestimating potential downside risks.

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“It probably won’t surprise anyone that we are again putting capital preservation at the top of our priorities,” Einhorn said in his latest investor letter dated Monday and obtained by CNBC. “With so little downside priced in, we are willing to risk missing out on a possible recovery to position ourselves to play more offense, should one of the downside scenarios materialize.”

U.S. stocks have rebounded violently with the S&P 500 entirely erasing the losses suffered since the Iran war began. The market is building on the recent gains this week even after U.S.-Iran negotiations over the weekend broke down, as investors remained optimistic that a deal between the two countries was still possible.

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S&P 500 year to date

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Greenlight’s funds returned 6.5% in the first quarter, outperforming the S&P 500’s 4.4% decline. Still, Einhorn said the firm has kept relatively low gross and net exposure, reflecting caution about valuations and the broader macro backdrop.

“Even the most cautious are investing with a Sammy Hagar inspired mentality: one foot on the brake and one on the gas,” he said in the letter. “Nobody wants to miss the V- or even the checkmark-shaped recovery.”

As the conflict began, Greenlight was already running with relatively low exposure, citing what it viewed as stretched valuations. Einhorn said Greenlight has made few adjustments, trading around index hedges and adding a long position in October oil futures. That bet has risen only modestly, as markets largely expect any supply disruption to be temporary.

Performance in the quarter was driven by gains in gold, Acadia Healthcare, DHT Holdings and Core Natural Resources, according to the letter. Greenlight also initiated a medium-sized position in Versant Media Group and smaller stakes in Crocs and SLM Corp.

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Disclosure: Versant Media is the parent company of CNBC.

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Crypto World

WLFI Risks 20% Drop As World Liberty Financial Faces Insider Allegations

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Donald Trump, Price Analysis, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch

World Liberty Financial’s WLFI token risks dipping 20% in April, according to a mix of convincing technical and fundamental indicators.

Key takeaways:

Bear pennant hints at WLFI dip in April

As of Tuesday, WLFI was consolidating inside a classic bear flag, a continuation pattern that typically forms after a sharp decline.

In technical analysis, a bear flag typically resolves when the price breaks below the lower trendline alongside rising trading volumes and falls by as much as the structure’s maximum height.

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Donald Trump, Price Analysis, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch
WLFI/USDT four-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Applying this classic rule to WLFI’s chart brings its measured downside target to around $0.066 in April, down about 20% from the current price levels.

Conversely, a break below the upper trendline risks invalidating the bear flag setup, with the 20-day (green) and 50-day (red) exponential moving averages (EMAs) at around $0.081 and $0.085 serving as primary upside targets.

Insider activity, token unlock fears add pressure

Beyond technicals, WLFI faces mounting scrutiny that continues to weigh on sentiment.

On-chain data from Arkham Intelligence show wallets linked to the project deposited roughly 3–5 billion WLFI tokens—largely illiquid—as collateral on Dolomite to borrow about $75 million in stablecoins, including USD1 and USDC.

Source: X

Over $40 million was later moved to Coinbase Prime. The position pushed pool utilization to ~93%, restricting withdrawals and drawing criticism for “circular” liquidity extraction.

The structure is risky because it uses thinly traded internal tokens to borrow real liquidity, meaning any sharp WLFI price drop could trap depositors, trigger bad debt, and deepen selling pressure.

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Source: X

At the same time, markets are bracing for a proposed unlock of over 16 billion WLFI tied to still-locked public allocations, raising dilution risks.

Adding to the pressure, Tron founder Justin Sun, who reportedly invested ~$75 million and became an adviser, again accused WLFI of embedding a hidden backdoor blacklisting function in the smart contract.

Related: US President Trump faces renewed backlash as Trump-linked tokens crash

This allegedly allowed the team to unilaterally freeze his wallet/assets without notice or recourse, violating “decentralization” promises.

He called it a trap, denounced “token scandals,” claimed governance votes were rigged/non-transparent and demanded unlocks/transparency.

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