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Democrats Introduce Bill to Ban Polymarket US Prediction Market Contracts

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Congress just put prediction markets like Polymarket US and Kalshi directly in its crosshairs, and the market is spooked. House Democrats introduced the ‘Banning Games on Deaths and Elections Act’ this week.

It is a bill that would explicitly prohibit event contracts tied to elections, war, and death on platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi. The legislation arrives as scrutiny of insider trading on these platforms has reached a breaking point.

Separately, Sen. Adam Schiff and Rep. Mike Levin unveiled the DEATH BETS Act, a companion push targeting the same contract categories under the Commodity Exchange Act.

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Rep. Jamie Raskin, leading the House effort, called election gambling contracts a direct threat to democratic integrity. This news comes as Bitcoin USD fell -1.8% overnight, losing $70,000 in the process, and is currently trading at $69,500.

Kalshi and Polymarket US are under fire following the introduction of a bill that could see death bets axed across prediction markets
SOURCE: TradingView

What is the DEATH BETS Act, and What Does it mean for the Likes of Polymarket and Kalshi?

Both bills address the ambiguity in the Commodity Exchange Act regarding event contracts, particularly those related to assassinations, military strikes, or election outcomes. They aim to explicitly prohibit such contracts.

The Banning Games on Deaths and Elections Act would amend the Act to categorize contracts involving these events as “contrary to the public interest,” a standard the CFTC uses to block listings.

Currently, there is no solid legislative foundation for this definition, which allowed Kalshi to successfully challenge the CFTC in court last year.

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The DEATH BETS Act goes further, targeting any CFTC-registered exchange that handles contracts related to terrorism, assassination, war, or individual deaths. A reported half-billion dollars was bet on the timing of US military strikes on Iran.

Research indicates insiders profited significantly from these bets, including one trader who earned $553,000 from a contract tied to the assassination of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei.

EXPLORE: Best Crypto Presales to Buy in 2026

What This Means for Polymarket US and Kalshi

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Kalshi and Polymarket approached the Iran contracts differently: Kalshi voided its Supreme Leader contract due to a technicality in the language, while Polymarket settled the bet, leading to $679M in conflicting market results and regulatory scrutiny.

Kalshi won a legal battle allowing it to resume US election betting, but the proposed Banning Games on Deaths and Elections Act could quickly reverse that decision.

Meanwhile, Polymarket continues to dominate global prediction market volume, with over $3.6Bn in bets during the 2024 presidential cycle alone, but may now face increased pressure from the CFTC and SEC if the bill progresses.

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What Traders Are Watching Next in the Prediction Markets Space

The political landscape for the DEATH BETS Act is complicated. Representative Raskin and the sponsors face resistance from a crypto-friendly faction in a divided Congress, with no cross-party support and no scheduled committee votes.

Meanwhile, the CFTC aims to expand the use of prediction markets through Cboe’s partial-payout framework. Economist Alex Tabarrok argues that limiting these markets hinders information aggregation, likening event contracts to insurance products.

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If either bill passes the committee, the CFTC could immediately delist war and death contracts. If both bills stall, the agency will continue under its ambiguous mandate, allowing platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket US to operate. The focus now remains on the DEATH BETS Act text and committee timeline.

DISCOVER: Next Crypto to Explode in 2026

The post Democrats Introduce Bill to Ban Polymarket US Prediction Market Contracts appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Ethereum Whales Boost XAUT Holdings as Supply Hits 712K

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Ethereum whales increased their XAUT holdings as wallet numbers rose to 35,609 by March 11.
  • Tether expanded XAUT supply to 712,247 tokens, pushing market capitalization near $3.57B.
  • Gold prices gained over 78% in the past year, while BTC declined by 16.78%.
  • Abraxas Capital accumulated about 2.7K XAUT tokens valued at roughly $265M.
  • XAUT recorded nearly double the trading volume of Paxos Gold across major exchanges.

Ethereum whales accelerated purchases of Tether Gold (XAUT) as gold prices held above $5,179. Wallet data showed steady growth in holders during early March. At the same time, new token issuance pushed supply and market capitalization higher.

Ethereum Whales Increase XAUT Holdings as Wallet Count Rises

Ethereum whales expanded their XAUT reserves as on-chain data recorded steady accumulation. Wallets holding XAUT rose to 35,609 on March 11, up from 33,390 on March 1. The increase reflected growing demand for tokenized gold exposure on Ethereum.

Large holders concentrated the supply as top wallets added more tokens in recent days. The second-largest wallet controlled 8.02% of the total supply after recent purchases. Blockchain trackers linked that wallet to addresses associated with Abraxas Capital.

Abraxas Capital held about 2.7K XAUT tokens valued at nearly $265M. The firm moved most tokens to a final destination wallet and limited outflows. Meanwhile, Antalpha reduced part of its holdings after weeks of accumulation.

Antalpha retained most of its reserves despite recent sales. RhinoFi recorded the largest XAUT outflow among tracked entities. However, on-chain records showed limited activity from the DeFi protocol.

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XAUT Supply Expands as Gold Outperforms BTC

Tether minted new XAUT tokens in early 2026, lifting total supply to 712,247. Market capitalization approached $3.57B, near record levels. The growth followed sustained demand for tokenized gold exposure.

Gold prices climbed over 78% in the past year, while BTC declined 16.78%. Traders shifted capital toward gold as volatility increased in crypto markets. XAUT offered spot exposure to physical gold through blockchain infrastructure.

Tether reported $2.31M in net earnings from XAUT during the last quarter of 2025. The company controls the physical gold backing the token supply. It also remains one of the largest XAUT holders.

XAUT trading volumes reached roughly double those of Paxos Gold (PAXG). Bitget processed most XAUT trades, while some whales used Bitfinex. The token maintained liquidity despite the absence of a Binance listing.

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Only one company, US-based Aurelion, currently holds XAUT as a treasury asset. DeFi protocols also accept XAUT as collateral in select markets. Data showed continued holder growth as of March 11, reflecting ongoing accumulation by large Ethereum wallets.

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Contrivian Expands Multi-Constellation Connectivity with Amazon Leo

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Crypto Breaking News

Editor’s note: Contrivian’s latest agreement with Amazon Leo signals a shift toward more resilient, software-driven connectivity for government operations. By combining low Earth orbit satellites with Lighthouse performance optimization and NorthStar lifecycle management, Contrivian aims to deliver multi-constellation networking that remains stable even as networks shift across technologies. This editorial prelude highlights how the move expands the company’s mission-critical toolkit, enabling state and local agencies to access high-availability connectivity without disruptive failovers. The collaboration underscores a broader trend toward integrated, monitored networks designed to support critical services at scale.

Key points

  • Contrivian becomes an authorized Amazon Leo reseller to deliver government connectivity.
  • Multi-constellation, software-defined connectivity blends LEO with Lighthouse and NorthStar.
  • Designed to support mission-critical applications with no disruption to end users.
  • Public sector and other critical industries gain access to resilient, high-performance networks.

Why this matters

Downtime threatens operations, safety, and budgets. A unified, monitored network blending fiber, broadband, LTE/5G and satellite offers critical resilience for government work. The Contrivian–Amazon Leo collaboration highlights a shift toward software-driven, multi-constellation connectivity that is continuously observed and managed, helping public sector networks stay online and secure even when individual links fail. By tying Lighthouse performance optimization and NorthStar lifecycle management into a single architecture, Contrivian and Amazon Leo aim to raise overall service reliability.

What to watch next

  • Rollout of integrated connectivity for state agencies under the new reseller arrangement.
  • Broader adoption of multi-constellation, software-defined networking across government operations.
  • Ongoing enhancements in satellite orchestration and lifecycle management.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Contrivian Expands Multi-Constellation Connectivity with Amazon Leo

Contrivian signs agreement as an authorized reseller of Amazon Leo for mission-critical applications and services.

San Francisco, CA – Mar. 11, 2026 – Contrivian, a technology company providing intelligent mission-critical connectivity, has signed an agreement as an authorized reseller with Amazon Leo to deliver resilient, high-performance connectivity for state and local agencies in the United States. The agreement expands Contrivian’s multi-modal connectivity solutionsto deliver reliable networking that can support mission-critical applications and services.

Contrivian combines low Earth orbit technology with its proprietary Lighthouse performance optimization technology and NorthStar lifecycle management solution to deliver intelligent, software-defined multi-constellation connectivity. This eliminates the need for failover across networking technologies as well as across satellite constellations, with no disruption to applications or end users.

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“We aren’t just providing satellite connectivity. We’re enabling mission-critical applications and services on a global scale. We’re providing software-enabled connectivity that is intelligently integrated, continuously monitored, and managed as part of a unified operational model,” said Grant Kirkwood, CEO of Contrivian. “Our agreement with Amazon Leo strengthens that architecture. It reflects how resilient networks must now be designed. It adds true diversity at the satellite layer and gives our customers greater control, greater performance stability, and greater assurance when failure is not an option.”

Contrivian engineers, orchestrates, and manages mission-critical connectivity for organizations that operate in environments where downtime carries operational, financial, or safety risk. The company integrates fiber, broadband, LTE/5G, and low Earth orbit satellite into a single, performance-driven architecture.

“Amazon Leo is developing the world’s most advanced satellite communication network. Through this agreement with Contrivian, we will provide essential connectivity to state and local government agencies, enabling them to stay connected and share vital information, even in isolated areas or during service disruptions,” said Carolyn Cuppernull, Business Development at Amazon Leo for Government.

Contrivian serves public sector agencies, healthcare providers, energy operators, financial institutions, and other critical industries. It designs, deploys, monitors, and supports connectivity across fixed sites, remote facilities, and mobile operations worldwide. The company continues to invest in advanced satellite orchestration capabilities as the global low Earth orbit ecosystem evolves.

About Amazon Leo

Amazon Leo is Amazon’s low Earth orbit satellite network. Its mission is to deliver fast, reliable internet to customers beyond the reach of existing networks, from individual households and small businesses to large enterprise and government customers and anyone in between. Amazon Leo is powered by an initial constellation of more than 3,000 satellites, connected to a secure, global network of ground gateway antennas and dedicated fiber, and includes a lineup of compact, high-performance customer terminals – Amazon Leo Nano, Amazon Leo Pro, and Amazon Leo Ultra – that communicate with satellites passing overhead. The entire system is designed and operated in-house at Amazon and aims to connect tens of millions of customers around the world.

https://leo.amazon.com

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About Contrivian

Contrivian is a technology company specializing in mission-critical connectivity for enterprise and government organizations. The company integrates fiber, broadband, LTE/5G, and low Earth orbit satellite into a unified, software-defined architecture designed for performance and resilience.

Its proprietary Lighthouse solution continuously monitors network conditions and dynamically routes traffic based on real-time performance data. Its NorthStar solution provides centralized visibility and lifecycle management across global deployments.

Contrivian serves public sector agencies, healthcare providers, energy operators, financial institutions, and other organizations operating in environments where connectivity must remain stable and predictable. Headquartered in San Francisco, the company delivers managed connectivity services worldwide.

www.contrivian.com

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Mastercard Unveils ‘Crypto Partner Program’ with Major Industry Players

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Mastercard Unveils 'Crypto Partner Program' with Major Industry Players

The initiative brings together a broad spectrum of well-known, global crypto firms and blockchain projects including Circle, Solana, Binance, Polygon, and Ava Labs.

Mastercard announced today, March 11, that it launched a new Crypto Partner Program. The global initiative brings together more than 85 crypto firms, payments providers, and financial institutions to collaborate on the next phase of on-chain payments.

Mastercard said the aim of the new partner program is “to create a forum for meaningful dialogue and collaboration as this space continues to mature.”

Per a video from Mastercard as part of the announcement, the crypto-native participants include Anchorage Digital, Aptos, Arc, Ava Labs, Binance, BitGo, Bybit, Circle, Cosmos, Fireblocks, Gemini, Mercuryo, MoonPay, Optimism, Paxos, Polygon, Rain, Ripple, and Solana — a broad, global cross-section of blockchain networks, custodians, exchanges, and stablecoin issuers.

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The program is designed to let participants engage directly with Mastercard teams on the design and direction of future products and services, with a focus on connecting digital asset infrastructure to established card rails and global commerce flows, per Mastercard’s announcement.

The move formalizes what has been a rapidly expanding series of crypto partnerships for Mastercard over the past year, in some cases with crypto firms that are now part of the Crypto Partner Program, including Ripple, Gemini, and MoonPay.

In November, The Defiant reported that Ripple, Gemini, and WebBank teamed up with Mastercard to test settling Gemini Credit Card transactions using Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger — a move that would mark one of the first instances of a regulated U.S. bank settling traditional card transactions with a regulated stablecoin on a public blockchain.

Earlier, MoonPay issued a stablecoin-powered virtual card in collaboration with Mastercard.

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As The Defiant reported last June, Mastercard partnered with blockchain oracle provider Chainlink — which was not in the list of participating firms today — to allow its more than 3 billion cardholders to purchase cryptocurrencies directly on-chain.

This article was generated with the assistance of AI workflows.

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Why QCP Capital says BTC is a ‘stress barometer’

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Bitcoin Investors
Bitcoin Investors
  • QCP sees Bitcoin as a ‘stress barometer’ amid macro, geopolitical risks.
  • BTC continues to eye $70,000 as support, with gains key to upside continuation.
  • Breakdown risks BTC retesting $63k lows, where prior dip-buying emerged.

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show resilience near the critical $70,000 level after today’s US CPI data.

The bellwether digital asset had traded slightly off this mark earlier in the day.

According to analysts at Singapore-based trading firm QCP Capital, Bitcoin’s uptick from lows of $63,000 suggests stabilisation.

However, the continued fluctuation around the $70k mark signals that the market is yet to return to full risk-on sentiment.

QCP sees Bitcoin as a ‘stress barometer’ amid geopolitical risks

While bulls have been patient, the broader context of BTC’s next move combines factors around escalating Middle East risks and the US economic outlook.

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QCP has highlighted this in its latest forecast for cryptocurrencies, noting that BTC acts as a “cleaner stress barometer” amid stagflationary pressures.

Bitcoin held relatively firm even as equities came under pressure amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, with the US-Israel conflict with Iran weighing on stocks and pushing Treasury yields higher.

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The benchmark cryptocurrency also remained close to the $70,000 level as oil prices retreated after a sharp rally toward $120.

However, QCP Capital said the recent swings in crude oil have exposed fragile liquidity and positioning across macro markets, a dynamic that could keep digital assets on edge.

Derivatives markets reflect this cautious tone. Implied volatility has eased, but risk reversals remain negative, suggesting traders continue to favour short-dated downside protection rather than aggressive bullish positioning.

According to QCP, the current setup also underscores Bitcoin’s growing role as a “cleaner stress barometer” during periods of macro uncertainty.

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Bitcoin’s outlook after the US CPI print

Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released on March 11, 2026, showed consumer price inflation rose broadly in line with expectations.

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.3% on a seasonally adjusted monthly basis and 2.4% from a year earlier.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.2% for the month and 2.5% annually.

The figures were largely in line with consensus forecasts.

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Bitcoin moved modestly higher following the release, climbing back above $70,000 to trade around $70,230 at the time of writing.

Meanwhile, US stock futures edged lower after the report as investors also reacted to news that Iran had attacked two ships in the Strait of Hormuz, adding to geopolitical uncertainty.

The February CPI reading reflects inflation conditions before the escalation of the Iran conflict and the recent surge in oil prices.

Analysts say upcoming macro data, next week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, and developments in the Middle East will remain key drivers of near-term market sentiment.

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From a technical perspective, Bitcoin needs to reclaim the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), which continues to act as a significant supply zone despite recent attempts to move above it.

Immediate resistance is seen in the $72,000–$75,000 range, while support is located around $63,000–$64,000.

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Goldman Sachs Takes Lead With $153.8M in XRP ETFs

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Goldman Sachs disclosed a $153.8 million position in spot XRP ETFs in its Q4 2025 13F filing.
  • The bank holds about 73% of the $211 million reported by the top 30 institutional investors.
  • Goldman Sachs spread its XRP ETF exposure across four issuers to diversify allocation.
  • Spot XRP ETFs have attracted $1.4 billion in net inflows since launching in November 2025.
  • Total assets under management for XRP ETFs reached $1.44 billion by early March 2026.

Goldman Sachs has disclosed a $153.8 million position in spot XRP ETFs in its Q4 2025 13F filing. The bank now holds about 73% of the $211 million reported by the top 30 institutions. The filing places Goldman Sachs at the forefront of institutional exposure in the newly launched XRP ETF market.

Goldman Sachs Builds $154 Million Position Across XRP ETFs

Goldman Sachs allocated its XRP ETFs exposure across four separate issuers instead of a single fund. The bank reported about $40 million in the Bitwise XRP ETF and $38 million each in the Franklin XRP Trust and Grayscale XRP ETF. It also disclosed roughly $36 million in the 21Shares XRP ETF.

This structure shows a diversified allocation within the same asset class. The XRP position forms part of a wider $2.3 billion crypto ETF portfolio. That portfolio includes $1.1 billion in Bitcoin ETFs and $1 billion in Ethereum ETFs.

Millennium Management ranked second with $23.1 million in disclosed XRP ETF holdings. However, its position is less than one-sixth of Goldman Sachs’ exposure. As a result, Goldman holds the dominant institutional share based on current filings.

XRP ETFs Record $1.4 Billion Inflows Since Launch

Spot XRP ETFs began trading in November 2025 after the SEC resolved its lawsuit against Ripple in August. Since launch, the funds have attracted $1.4 billion in net inflows. Total assets under management reached $1.44 billion by early March 2026.

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The ETFs recorded net outflows on only nine trading days during that period. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart said, “About 84% of XRP ETF assets sit with retail investors.” Eric Balchunas also stated that most holders fall below the 13F reporting threshold.

Standard Chartered revised its XRP price target to $2.80. The bank’s forecast implies close to 100% upside from recent levels. Broader institutional estimates place year-end 2026 projections between $3.00 and $8.00.

Prediction markets currently assign a 67% probability that XRP closes above $1.50 by late March 2026. On the infrastructure side, Binance integrated Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin on the XRP Ledger. The RLUSD stablecoin now carries a market capitalization of $1.59 billion.

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Banks, including SBI Holdings, Santander, and PNC, continue using XRP for cross-border settlements. Monthly transaction flows through these channels exceed $15 billion, according to reported figures. These developments follow the ETF launch and reflect ongoing activity across the XRP ecosystem.

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Bitcoin Sees Modest Relief as US CPI Inflation Avoids Surprises

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Bitcoin Sees Modest Relief as US CPI Inflation Avoids Surprises

Bitcoin (BTC) broke back above $70,000 around Wednesday’s Wall Street open as US inflation data soothed anxious markets.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin bounces around a narrow range as US inflation data offers a modest tailwind.

  • Oil prices stay lower as an emergency release of 400 million barrels is confirmed.

  • BTC price expectations focus on future liquidations in the mid-$60,000 zone.

Bitcoin edges higher as CPI matches expectations

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action eking out modest gains, while failing to match local highs from the day prior.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The February print of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was in line with expectations at 2.4% year-on-year, per data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). 

“Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 2.4 percent before seasonal adjustment,” it confirmed in an official statement.

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US CPI 12-month % change. Source: BLS

This was a relief for risk assets already on edge over geopolitical instability and its potential impact on inflation. The Middle East conflict and global oil supply squeeze, however, were likely only to be truly reflected in March’s inflation data.

“The market will now await March’s data,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter thus wrote in a response on X.

Other recent inflation gauges missed anticipated levels both to the upside and downside, making for a shaky overall picture of inflationary forces even before events in Iran.

Oil, a key risk factor for CPI going forward, stayed below the $90 mark on the day as the International Energy Agency (IEA) approved the emergency release of 400 million barrels — the largest such release ever recorded. 

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Trader eyes BTC price “breakout upwards” in March

With price still rangebound, Bitcoin market participants chose not to bet big up or down.

Related: Bitcoin faces ‘highly volatile’ setup as bulls eye return to $80K by month-end

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“Very simple; buy the lower bounds, sell the higher bounds,” trader, analyst, and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe told X followers. 

“I still think we’ll see that breakout upwards in this month to test higher grounds, but if not, I’m a buyer on lower levels.”

BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Trader Lennaert Snyder eyed downside liquidity for a potential local low, suggesting that this could come at around $65,000.

Data from monitoring resource CoinGlass put 24-hour crypto market liquidations at $240 million, with short positions accounting for a larger slice of the total.

Crypto liquidation history (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass