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Ethereum Holds Between Key MVRV Levels as Breakout Nears

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Crypto Breaking News

KEY HIGHLIGHTS

  • Ethereum stalls between MVRV levels, hinting at a major breakout soon
  • ETH range tightens as bulls and bears battle for market direction
  • Key MVRV zone puts Ethereum at a decisive technical crossroads
  • Ethereum consolidation signals a potential sharp move ahead
  • ETH volatility drops while pressure builds for a breakout move

Ethereum trades near $2,450 within a narrow MVRV-defined range, signaling an imminent directional move. The asset shows limited volatility, yet price compression suggests rising pressure. Market structure reflects balance, but conditions point toward a likely breakout or breakdown.

Short-term price action remains contained, and momentum signals stay mixed across indicators. Traders assess key levels while waiting for confirmation signals. This phase reflects a transitional period rather than a stable trend.

On-chain data highlights a midpoint position between historical valuation bands. This positioning often precedes sharp moves. Therefore, market participants anticipate a shift in direction soon.

Ethereum Range Reflects Market Indecision and Accumulation

Ethereum continues to trade between MVRV support and resistance zones, showing no clear trend. The lower band attracts buying interest, while the upper band limits price expansion. This balance creates a tight consolidation range.

Price behavior indicates that both bullish and bearish forces remain active. Buyers attempt to defend support zones, yet sellers apply pressure near resistance levels. As a result, the market maintains equilibrium without clear dominance.

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This range typically signals preparation for a stronger move. Historical patterns show that such compression phases do not last long. Therefore, the current setup suggests a pending breakout scenario.

Ethereum Faces Critical Breakout or Breakdown Setup

A move above the upper MVRV band could trigger renewed bullish momentum. Such a breakout would likely attract fresh demand and strengthen price structure. Momentum indicators would need to confirm this shift.

Conversely, a drop below the lower band may lead to extended downside pressure. This scenario could trigger liquidations and weaken overall sentiment. Market structure would then shift toward a bearish continuation.

On-chain metrics show balanced positioning across participants. This balance increases the importance of confirmation signals. Volume expansion will likely validate the next directional move.

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Ethereum Market Sentiment Remains Calm but Tense

Market activity appears subdued, yet underlying tension continues to build. Reduced volatility reflects hesitation rather than stability. Participants wait for a decisive signal before taking positions.

Technical and on-chain indicators offer mixed signals at current levels. This lack of alignment contributes to uncertainty in short-term direction. However, it also increases the probability of a strong move once clarity emerges.

The current environment reflects a calm phase before potential volatility expansion. Such conditions often precede rapid price movements. Therefore, the market may shift quickly once a trigger occurs.

Ethereum Highlights Shift Toward Data-Driven Analysis

Ethereum’s current setup reflects the growing role of on-chain metrics in market analysis. MVRV now serves as a key valuation tool alongside traditional indicators. This shift improves transparency in market behavior.

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Institutional participation continues to influence data-driven strategies. Market participants increasingly rely on blockchain insights for decision-making. This trend reshapes how assets like Ethereum are evaluated.

Technical analysis now integrates with on-chain data to form hybrid strategies. This approach provides a broader view of price action and positioning. As a result, market interpretation becomes more precise and structured.

Ethereum Risks Persist Despite Clear Technical Setup

Despite defined levels, risks remain within the current structure. False breakouts may occur in low-liquidity conditions. Such moves can mislead short-term positioning.

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Bitcoin’s influence continues to affect Ethereum’s direction. Broader market sentiment may shift due to macroeconomic developments. These external factors add uncertainty to the setup.

Momentum failure could also lead to sharp reversals. Therefore, confirmation remains critical before any directional bias. The market requires strong volume support for sustained movement.

Ethereum Prepares for a Decisive Market Move

Ethereum remains positioned at a critical inflection point between key MVRV levels. This phase reflects preparation rather than trend continuation. Market structure suggests that a resolution is approaching.

Traders now focus on breakout confirmation and volume signals. Changes in on-chain activity will provide further direction. These indicators will likely define the next phase of price action.

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This consolidation phase may appear quiet, yet it carries significant implications. The next move could shape Ethereum’s medium-term trajectory. It may also influence broader cryptocurrency market trends.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Foundry’s institutional Zcash pool captures a third of new issuance

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Cyclops raises $8m for enterprise stablecoin infrastructure

Foundry’s U.S.‑based, compliance‑first Zcash pool has already grown to roughly one‑third of network hashrate, giving institutional miners a regulated way into privacy coins while stoking fresh centralisation fears.

Summary

  • Bitcoin mining giant Foundry has launched an institutional Zcash pool that already accounts for roughly one‑third of new ZEC issuance.
  • The U.S.‑based, compliance‑focused pool is pitched at institutional and public miners as a “purpose‑built” alternative to offshore privacy‑coin infrastructure.
  • Foundry argues Zcash’s zero‑knowledge privacy with selective disclosure makes it more compatible with regulation than rivals like Monero.

Foundry Digital, operator of the Foundry USA Bitcoin mining pool, has officially launched an institutional‑grade Zcash (ZEC) mining pool that has quickly grown to around 30% of the network’s hashrate, consolidating a significant share of new ZEC issuance under a single U.S.‑regulated operator. The Rochester, New York‑based firm, which Fortune notes already commands about 31% of global Bitcoin production, is positioning its new pool as the default home for institutional miners seeking exposure to privacy‑focused assets without abandoning compliance.finance.

In a Business Wire release, Foundry said the Zcash pool has seen “rapid and sustained hashrate growth reaching ~30% of the current Zcash network hashrate” since it was first announced on March 11, with “multiple institutional mining customers already onboarded and contributing hashrate.” The company stressed that the pool is “designed for professional mining organizations and public companies that require a U.S.-based, compliance-ready partner, including KYC verification in line with Foundry’s institutional standards,” mirroring the governance of its Bitcoin operation.

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Foundry CEO Mike Colyer framed the move as both a bet on Zcash and a response to unmet institutional demand. “Zcash has matured into an institutional‑grade asset, but the mining infrastructure supporting it hasn’t kept pace,” he said, adding that the new pool is “purpose‑built for the operational and compliance requirements of institutional and public miners.”

A CoinMarketCap summary of the launch notes that the pool will offer know‑your‑customer and anti‑money‑laundering checks, transparent payout calculations, reporting tools and 24/7 technical support, with no minimum hashrate required to join.

Zcash, launched in 2016, relies on zero‑knowledge proofs (zk‑SNARKs) to enable shielded transactions that hide sender, receiver and amount while still allowing selective disclosure to auditors or regulators. Foundry and several commentators have argued that this “privacy with a view key” model is more compatible with institutional compliance than fully opaque systems like Monero, which lack native mechanisms for selective transparency.

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At the same time, the arrival of a U.S. pool with roughly one‑third of Zcash’s hashrate raises familiar centralisation questions. Unfolded and other mining trackers have previously highlighted that Foundry USA already coordinates about 30% of Bitcoin’s global hashrate, and Mempool.space data shows the pool averaging more than 340 exahashes per second on Bitcoin alone. Adding a Zcash operation that quickly captures around one‑third of ZEC issuance further concentrates influence over block production in a single corporate group, albeit one that stresses its role in “contribut[ing] to the decentralization of Bitcoin’s hashrate” by anchoring North American capacity.

For Zcash, the trade‑off is stark: institutional capital and hashpower are flowing in through a U.S.‑regulated gateway that validates the project’s positioning as a compliant privacy coin, but at the cost of a more concentrated mining landscape. As regulators in the U.S., EU and Hong Kong tighten their grip on stablecoins, exchanges and tokenized assets — a trend explored in recent crypto.news coverage of HKDAP’s launch, MiCA implementation and the CLARITY Act — Zcash’s bet is that privacy with selective disclosure, plus a mining pool built for auditors rather than cypherpunks, is a price worth paying for long‑term relevance.

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Bitcoin’s 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

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Bitcoin's 50% Drawdown ‘Priced In’ Quantum Computing Threat: Bernstein

Bernstein said Monday that Bitcoin’s selloff has already priced in much of the market’s fear around quantum computing, arguing that the threat is real but still manageable rather than an immediate existential risk.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) near 50% drawdown from its $126,198 all-time high in October 2025 is proof that the market has “priced in” several risks tied to a quantum breakthrough, partly thanks to technological progress on zero-knowledge privacy and quantum-proof cryptography that “counterbalance” the AI and quantum acceleration, Bernstein said in a Monday note shared with Cointelegraph.

The note lands two weeks after Google researchers said future quantum computers could break the elliptic-curve cryptography used across many blockchains with fewer than 500,000 physical qubits in some architectures, reviving debate over how quickly Bitcoin needs a post-quantum upgrade path. This research suggested a quantum computer could crack a Bitcoin private key in nine minutes, in a theoretical scenario, which is less than Bitcoin’s 10-minute block production time.

However, Bernstein said Bitcoin core developers have “adequate time” to determine a post-quantum path. Last week, Bernstein predicted that Bitcoin has about three to five years to prepare for a post-quantum security upgrade, Cointelegraph reported on Wednesday.

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Graph showing the risk that an on-spend quantum attack that takes 9 minutes to derive a private key succeeds against Bitcoin. Source: Google Quantum AI

Institutions will play constructive role in quantum-proofing Bitcoin

Bernstein said large institutional holders, including exchange-traded fund (ETF) issuers and corporate treasury buyers such as Strategy, are likely to play a constructive role in any eventual consensus on a post-quantum upgrade.

“We expect institutional partners with now billions at stake to play a constructive role in building consensus on the post-quantum path.”

The note also highlighted the recently introduced BIP-360 proposal and added that slower consensus from Bitcoin developers is seen as responsible behavior when it comes to a $1.5 trillion asset.

BIP-360 is a draft Bitcoin Improvement Proposal that proposes a Pay-to-Merkle-Root output type designed to reduce long-exposure quantum risk by removing Taproot’s key-path vulnerability, though it does not itself add post-quantum digital signatures.

Bernstein said BIP-360 could be implemented as a soft fork for exposed Bitcoin addresses, but added that this would still leave around 8% of the BTC supply in inactive addresses vulnerable to future quantum breakthroughs.

Related: Bitcoiners push for quantum-resistant BIP-360 upgrade as debate heats up

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Quantum-proofing Bitcoin is a social issue, not technical

The real challenge of quantum-proofing Bitcoin lies in the societal adoption element of the new standards, not the technical development, according to Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos blockchain.

“The coding work could be done this afternoon,” but Bitcoin holders would still need to migrate to this new standard, Breitman told Cointelegraph during an interview at EthCC 2026.

“If Bitcoin needed to migrate in the next month, they could do it from a technical perspective […] but they can’t get everyone to migrate their key in a month, Breitman said. “It’s going to take years for people to properly migrate their keys,” he added.

Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos, interview at EthCC 2026. Source: Cointelegraph

Asset manager Grayscale’s head of research, Zach Pandl, shared a similar view in a research report last Monday. He said Bitcoin’s quantum-proofing challenges are “more social than technical,” provided that its UTXO model does not have native smart contracts and that some address types are not quantum vulnerable.

However, he warned that the community needs to find consensus on how to quantum-proof wallets where the private key has been lost or is otherwise inaccessible.

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Magazine: AI has dramatically accelerated the quantum threat to Bitcoin: AI Eye