Crypto World
Ethereum price holds 0.618 fibonacci support as bullish volume signals reversal
Ethereum price is testing a critical confluence support zone around the 0.618 Fibonacci level, where improving bullish volume suggests a potential reversal may be developing.
Summary
- 0.618 Fibonacci and value area low form key support zone
- Bullish volume emerging, signaling possible accumulation
- $2,286 resistance becomes upside target, if reversal confirms
Ethereum (ETH) price action has entered a decisive technical region after an extended corrective phase pushed the asset toward high-timeframe support. Following sustained selling pressure, ETH is now trading within a major confluence zone that historically attracts demand and often acts as a pivot for market reversals.
Rather than showing continued acceleration lower, recent behavior indicates stabilization near support. This shift is drawing attention from traders watching for early signs of accumulation. When price approaches major Fibonacci retracement levels alongside strong structural support, the probability of a rotational move higher begins to increase, provided buyers continue to defend the area.
Ethereum price key technical points
- 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with major support, creating reversal potential
- Value area low and $1,826 high-timeframe support converge, strengthening demand zone
- Bullish volume response emerging, suggesting early accumulation behavior

Ethereum is currently trading near $1,826, a level reinforced by multiple technical factors. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, often referred to as the “golden ratio” in technical analysis, sits directly within this region. Historically, this level frequently acts as a turning point during corrective moves within broader trends.
The significance of this area is amplified by its overlap with the value area low, which represents the lower boundary of fair value within the previous trading range. When price revisits such zones, markets often attempt to rebalance as buyers and sellers reassess value.
This confluence transforms the region into a high-probability reaction zone rather than an arbitrary support level.
Liquidity sweep could trigger reversal
An important dynamic unfolding around this support is the presence of resting liquidity below recent lows. Markets commonly sweep liquidity beneath key support before reversing direction. Such moves allow larger participants to accumulate positions while forcing weaker hands out of the market.
If Ethereum briefly trades below support and quickly reclaims it, the move could resemble a swing failure pattern (SFP), a classic reversal setup. This type of price action often signals that selling pressure has been absorbed and that demand is beginning to outweigh supply.
The emergence of bullish volume during these tests is particularly important, as it indicates buyers actively stepping into the market rather than passive stabilization.
Bullish volume suggests accumulation
One of the more constructive developments is the gradual increase in bullish volume near support. Rising buy-side participation at key technical levels often precedes rotational moves higher.
Volume behavior frequently acts as confirmation of intent. When buyers appear at high-timeframe support while momentum indicators begin stabilizing, markets transition from distribution into accumulation phases. Ethereum’s current setup reflects early signs of this transition.
However, confirmation remains essential. Sustained buying interest must continue to defend the support region to validate the reversal thesis.
Upside rotation targets higher resistance
If Ethereum successfully holds the $1,826 support cluster, attention shifts toward higher resistance zones. The first major objective lies near the value area high, where price previously faced rejection.
Beyond that, high-timeframe resistance around $2,286 becomes the next technical target. A rotational move toward these levels would represent a recovery within the broader trading structure rather than an immediate trend reversal.
Such moves often unfold gradually, beginning with stabilization, followed by higher lows and expanding bullish momentum.
Market structure at a turning point
From a market structure perspective, Ethereum remains at an inflection point. The broader correction has not yet invalidated long-term structure, but continued defense of support is necessary to prevent deeper downside continuation.
The combination of Fibonacci confluence, liquidity dynamics, and improving volume creates conditions favorable for a reversal attempt. Still, failure to hold this region would reopen risks toward lower support levels.
What to expect in the coming price action
From a technical, price action, and market structure standpoint, Ethereum is positioned at a potential turning point. Holding above the 0.618 Fibonacci support near $1,826 significantly increases the probability of a rotational move higher.
In the immediate short term, traders should monitor volume expansion and price acceptance above support. A confirmed swing failure or strong bullish reaction could initiate a move toward higher resistance zones, beginning with the value area high and extending toward $2,286.
Until proven otherwise, Ethereum appears to be transitioning from corrective weakness toward stabilization. If demand continues to build at current levels, the market may be preparing for a relief rally following its recent decline.
Crypto World
Tokenized Real Estate Projects Advance in Dubai and the Maldives
Entities in Dubai and the archipelagic nation of the Maldives are moving forward with tokenized real estate development projects worth millions of dollars, combined.
On Friday, the Dubai Land Department announced that it would launch the second phase of a real estate tokenization pilot program. The move followed about $5 million worth of real estate in Dubai being tokenized, allowing the resale of about 7.8 million tokens.

The tokenization infrastructure partner for the pilot, called Ctrl Alt, which is also licensed as a Virtual Asset Service Provider in Dubai, will issue “Asset-Referenced Virtual Asset management tokens” to facilitate the transfer of the tokens on secondary markets.
According to Ctrl Alt, all onchain transactions for the real estate tokens will be recorded on the XRP Ledger and secured by Ripple Custody.
Related: Ripple CEO confirms White House meeting between crypto, banking reps
The Dubai Land Department predicted in May 2025 that the tokenization project could contribute about $16 billion by 2033, equivalent to 7% of the jurisdiction’s total property transactions.
Some experts have said Dubai’s real estate market and crypto-friendly regulatory environment have made the emirate stand out among other jurisdictions globally.
Trump-tied hotel deal in the Maldives is also looking to tokenize
Ctrl Alt’s announcement came a few days after real estate development company DarGlobal and World Liberty Financial, a crypto company backed by US President Donald Trump and his sons, announced plans to tokenize the development phase of a Trump-branded resort in the Maldives.
The tokenization deal will happen in partnership with financial technology company Securitize.
“We definitely see this as taking over the way other projects are being funded,” DarGlobal CEO Ziad El Chaar told Cointelegraph, adding:
“[Tokenization] will open the door to many more investors, who would like to take part in investing in real estate but don’t have access today.”
World Liberty announced the deal at a crypto-aligned event at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago property on Wednesday.
Attendees included traditional finance players like Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, crypto industry representatives including Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, and Senators Ashley Moody and Bernie Moreno.
Magazine: Here’s why crypto is moving to Dubai and Abu Dhabi
Crypto World
Fed Research Finds Kalshi Markets Outperform Wall Street Surveys
A new study found that Kalshi’s markets respond more quickly to economic shifts than traditional surveys.
Despite endless debates over where gambling ends and predicting begins, a new Federal Reserve Board paper finds that prediction markets often pick up shifts in expectations faster — and sometimes even more accurately — than traditional tools.
The study, published by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday, Feb. 18, focused on prediction market Kalshi, comparing it with more traditional survey and market-implied forecasts and examining how expectations respond to macroeconomic and financial news.
When compared to standard benchmarks, the paper found that “Kalshi’s forecasts for the federal funds rate and CPI provide statistically significant improvements over fed funds futures and professional forecasters.” The authors also note that for inflation, Kalshi’s numbers often beat the consensus survey forecasts.
“The mode of the Kalshi distribution, for example, has perfectly matched the realized federal funds rate by the day of each meeting since 2022, a feat not achieved by either surveys or futures,” the paper says.
In tougher economic scenarios, Kalshi puts “far more weight on extreme inflation and weak growth than surveys,” the researchers add, suggesting that prediction markets are more sensitive to risks such as recession or runaway inflation.
The paper flags that Kalshi’s retail investor base “may alter its risk-premia properties,” but concludes that prediction markets are best seen as a supplement, not a replacement.
As The Defiant reported earlier, daily trading volume across Polymarket and Kalshi hit $400 million for the first time earlier in February, with sports and political markets drawing nearly all the liquidity.
According to data from Artemis, open interest across platforms, Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Opinion, and others, jumped above $1.1 billion for the first time on Feb. 7, setting a new all-time high.
Crypto World
4-Hour Triangle Compression Signals Imminent Breakout
After the aggressive sell-off toward the $1.8K region, the market has transitioned into choppy consolidation, while lower timeframes are now approaching a decisive breakout point. The key question is whether this compression resolves to the upside or results in continuation within the dominant downtrend structure.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, ETH continues to trade inside a descending channel, with the midline acting as dynamic resistance and the $1.8K region serving as a firm structural base. Following the aggressive sell-off, the price action has turned increasingly choppy, printing overlapping candles and minor retracements rather than impulsive continuation. This behavior signals equilibrium and indecision.
The consolidation remains confined between the channel’s mid-boundary above and the $1.8K demand zone below. Each attempt to push higher has been capped before reclaiming a meaningful resistance cluster, while sellers have failed to generate a decisive breakdown beneath the base. Until one of these boundaries is violated, the dominant expectation is continued range-bound fluctuation.
A confirmed breakout above the midline would open the path toward the next resistance zone around the $2.3K–$2.5K region. Conversely, losing $1.8K would invalidate the equilibrium and likely trigger another bearish impulse.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price compression is more evident. ETH has formed a clear triangle pattern, defined by descending resistance and rising support. The structure reflects volatility contraction and is now approaching its apex, suggesting that a breakout is imminent.
The recent higher lows inside the pattern indicate improving short-term demand, increasing the probability of an upside resolution. However, as long as ETH remains capped below the 0.5 Fib at $2,396, the structure remains technically corrective within a broader downtrend.
A confirmed breakout above the triangle, followed by a reclaim of $2,396, would shift short-term momentum toward the 0.618 level at $2,549 and potentially the 0.702–0.786 retracement cluster near $2,658–$2,767, which also coincides with a marked supply zone on the chart.
On the downside, failure to break upward and a decisive loss of the triangle’s ascending support would expose the $1,800–$1,746 base once again. In that scenario, the recent consolidation would resolve as a continuation pattern rather than a reversal attempt.
At this stage, ETH is at a technical inflection point, with Fibonacci resistance levels clearly defining the upside targets and the $1.8K base anchoring the downside risk.
Sentiment Analysis
The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio across all exchanges provides additional context for the current equilibrium. The ratio has remained below the 1.0 threshold for a prolonged period, indicating that aggressive market sells have dominated overall order flow. This aligns with the broader bearish structure observed on higher timeframes.
However, the recent rebound in the ratio and the stabilization of its 30-day EMA suggest that selling pressure may be weakening. Although buyers have not yet taken full control, the gradual recovery toward the neutral level signals improving demand. If the ratio decisively moves above 1.0 and sustains that level, it would confirm aggressive market buying and increase the probability of an upside breakout from the triangle structure.
Overall, Ethereum is positioned at a technical and derivatives inflection point. The daily chart reflects equilibrium, the 4-hour chart shows imminent compression resolution, and order-flow metrics suggest that bearish dominance is softening. A decisive break from the current structure will likely define the next impulsive phase.
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Crypto World
Custodia CEO Caitlin Long Says Trump Family Crypto Ties Are Blocking the CLARITY Act in the Senate
TLDR:
- Custodia CEO Caitlin Long called Trump family crypto ties the “big showstopper” blocking the CLARITY Act in the Senate.
- Long described the bill’s Senate passage as a “coin flip,” with seven Democratic votes still needed to reach cloture.
- Trump-linked projects like World Liberty Financial have made securing bipartisan Senate support significantly more difficult.
- Long warned that without legislation, crypto regulations remain vulnerable to reversal by any future incoming administration.
Custodia Bank CEO Caitlin Long has identified Trump family crypto ties as a central obstacle to the CLARITY Act’s Senate passage.
Speaking at ETH Denver on Wednesday, Long said meme coins and ventures linked to President Donald Trump have eroded bipartisan support for the bill.
She described its chances as a “coin flip.” The legislation passed the House in July 2025 but remains stalled in the Senate over ethics concerns and stablecoin disputes.
Long Points to Trump-Linked Crypto as the “Big Showstopper”
Long did not hold back when asked about the bill’s Senate difficulties. She called the Trump family’s involvement in crypto “the big showstopper in the CLARITY Act.”
Projects like World Liberty Financial and Trump-associated meme coins have drawn sharp Democratic opposition. That opposition has made the 60-vote cloture threshold increasingly difficult to reach.
Senator Elizabeth Warren has been among the most outspoken critics of Trump’s crypto activities. Long noted that even Senator Cynthia Lummis, a leading crypto advocate, admitted the controversy has complicated her efforts. “It created controversy,” Long told Decrypt.
“Lummis herself has said it made her job harder.” The ethics dimension has shifted the debate away from policy and toward politics.
Seven Democratic votes are needed to advance the bill past the Senate cloture threshold. So far, that number has proven hard to secure. Long acknowledged that an agreement satisfying both Congress and the White House remains possible.
“There is a possibility they reach an agreement on something the White House can live with, and Congress is comfortable with,” she said, “but they’ve got to be able to get the cloture vote.”
Meanwhile, negotiations are still active. White House officials, lenders, and the Crypto Council for Innovation met on Thursday to discuss stablecoin reward provisions.
That issue has emerged as another major sticking point alongside the ethics controversy. Both problems must be resolved for the bill to move forward.
Long Warns Against Relying on Rulemaking Over Legislation
Beyond the political obstacles, Long raised a broader concern about regulatory durability. She warned that rules established through agency rulemaking carry no permanent weight.
“When a new administration comes in, those rules can be reversed through new rule-making,” she said. A statutory framework, by contrast, requires a much harder process to undo.
Passing the CLARITY Act would lock in a regulatory structure that is far more resistant to political change. “If Congress puts it in statute, it doesn’t mean it can’t be changed,” Long said.
“It’s just a lot harder to change.” That durability is precisely why she believes congressional action matters more than regulatory guidance alone.
Long also addressed the current market downturn with measured perspective. She noted that a 50% drawdown is familiar to anyone who has been in crypto for years. “Those of us who’ve been around for a long time, a 50% drawdown is nothing,” she said.
Bear markets, she added, are an opportunity to build knowledge, with her consistent advice remaining the same: “Bear markets are the best time to get self-educated.”
Crypto World
Move Over M2: Data Shows Treasury T-Bill Issuance Drives Bitcoin Price Cycles
TLDR:
- Treasury T-bill issuance holds a +0.80 correlation with Bitcoin price over the last four years of data.
- M2 money supply has decoupled from Bitcoin, making it an unreliable indicator for forecasting price direction.
- The Fed balance sheet scores a near-zero correlation of -0.07 with Bitcoin, removing it as a credible signal.
- T-bill issuance peaked in late 2024, and Bitcoin has shown renewed weakness as early 2026 issuance declines.
T-bill issuance is gaining recognition as Bitcoin’s most reliable macro indicator, pushing aside long-favored metrics like M2 money supply.
A crypto analyst recently shared data pointing to a +0.80 correlation between Treasury T-bill issuance and Bitcoin over four years.
That figure towers above what M2 and the Federal Reserve balance sheet have managed to produce. With Bitcoin last trading around $67,721, the conversation around macro signals is shifting in a clear direction.
Why M2 and the Fed Balance Sheet No Longer Tell the Full Story
T-bill issuance is stepping into the spotlight as M2 money supply loses its grip as a Bitcoin forecasting tool. Crypto analyst Axel Bitblaze posted on X that Bitcoin has already decoupled from M2 in observable stretches.
During those periods, M2 stayed flat or moved higher, yet Bitcoin did not respond accordingly.
The Federal Reserve balance sheet has also struggled to track Bitcoin’s price behavior with any consistency. Bitblaze recorded the correlation between the Fed balance sheet and Bitcoin at just -0.07. That number effectively removes it from serious consideration as a directional signal.
T-bill issuance, however, has held a +0.80 correlation with Bitcoin across the same four-year period. For a notoriously volatile asset like Bitcoin, that reading carries real weight.
Analysts are now paying closer attention to how Treasury market activity channels liquidity into broader risk appetite.
The Four-Year Timeline That Makes T-Bill Issuance Hard to Ignore
The case for T-bill issuance as a Bitcoin signal is built on a timeline that stretches back to late 2021. Bitblaze noted that issuance peaked around that time, and Bitcoin soon followed with its own cycle top.
When issuance began falling through 2022, Bitcoin crashed in the months that came after.
The connection held again in mid-2023, when T-bill issuance bottomed out alongside Bitcoin’s price floor. From that low point, both began climbing in tandem, with Bitcoin trailing the issuance trend by a visible lag.
Through 2024 and into 2025, rising issuance continued to pull Bitcoin higher with that same delayed rhythm.
Then in late 2024, T-bill issuance peaked once more. As early 2026 arrived, issuance started declining, and Bitcoin’s price weakened in step.
Bitblaze summed it up directly: “When the blue line goes up, BTC follows with a delay. When it rolls over, BTC struggles.” The four-year record now has traders watching Treasury issuance schedules as closely as any on-chain metric.
Crypto World
CZ Returns to US for Trump-Backed Crypto Event
The event hosted at Mar-a-Lago blended politics and digital assets, signaling deeper ties between industry and power brokers.
Former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) returned to the United States this week for the first time since his release from a California federal prison in 2024.
The visit took place at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, where Zhao attended a 500-person convention hosted by the Trump family-backed World Liberty Financial.
CZ Makes Appearance at Crypto Event
A Wall Street Journal (WSJ) report revealed that the gathering brought together prominent figures from finance, technology, and entertainment.
Guests included Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon, New York Stock Exchange president Lynn Martin, “Shark Tank” personality Kevin O’Leary, and Coinbase founder Brian Armstrong, who had also attended a smaller VIP dinner on Tuesday evening alongside Trump’s sons and CZ. Rapper Nicki Minaj, who has publicly supported the Trump administration, also held a “fireside chat” on that day.
Posting on X during the occasion, Zhao shared a photo of himself listening to a top federal crypto regulator, writing, “Learned a lot.”
CZ, whose crypto exchange has been barred from operating in the U.S. since 2023 for violating anti-money-laundering rules, pleaded guilty to a related charge that same year. He was then sentenced in April 2024 to four months in prison and officially released in late September after serving his term.
Later in October 2025, the crypto entrepreneur received a presidential pardon from President Donald Trump. During a recent interview on the “All-In” podcast, Zhao said he “didn’t do anything” to secure the clemency but noted that it could help the exchange resume its efforts to return to the American market.
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World Liberty Unveils Ambitious Crypto Vision
World Liberty’s leadership used the occasion to lay out its vision for the cryptocurrency industry. CEO Zach Witkoff described the company’s goal as creating a “new digital Bretton Woods system,” referencing the 1944 conference that established a post-war economic order.
His co-founders, the Trump sons, talked about the scale of the event, with Donald Trump Jr. joking about how much it would have been unimaginable a year ago. Meanwhile, Eric Trump compared it to the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, saying it offered “better hospitality, better food, better weather, better group of people, less wokeness.”
The firm also promoted its stablecoin, USD1, and outlined plans to sell digital tokens that would give accredited investors a share of loan revenues from a Trump resort under development in the Maldives.
The president’s sons also addressed questions about foreign investment in World Liberty, including a $500 million deal with a senior Abu Dhabi royal, stressing that such moves are standard in global finance and unrelated to government agreements.
Several other Trump administration officials were also in attendance, including Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael Selig and Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs Jacob Helberg.
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Crypto World
SEC makes quiet shift to brokers’ stablecoin holdings that may pack big results
Broker-dealers regulated by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) can treat their stablecoin holdings as regulatory capital, according to a tweak this week to a frequently-asked-questions document maintained by the agency.
That’s a seismic shift offered in the form of a minor addition to the SEC’s “Broker Dealer Financial Responsibilities” FAQ. It’s on-brand for a regulator that has made a steady series of changes to its crypto approach through informal guidance, industry correspondence and staff statements ever since its Crypto Task Force began work during the administration of President Donald Trump.
In this case, a new question No. 5 was added about what kind of “haircut” a firm should take on its holdings of stablecoins — the dollar-tied tokens such as Circle’s USDC and Tether’s USDT. The answer was 2%, meaning that instead of the previous understanding that such assets were not considered measurable against a broker-dealer’s capital tally (100% haircut), the firms will be able to count 98% of those holdings.
“While this guidance does not create new rules, it helps reduce uncertainty for firms seeking to operate compliantly under current securities laws,” said Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber.
This puts stablecoins on the same footing as other financial products.
“That means stablecoins are now treated like money market funds on a firm’s balance sheet,” Tonya Evans, a former professor who now runs a crypto education business and is on the board of directors at Digital Currency Group, wrote in a post on social media site X. “Until today, some broker-dealers were zeroing out stablecoin holdings in their capital calculations. Holding them was a financial penalty. That’s over.”
Before, the more stringent SEC limits meant those companies — firms registered with the SEC to handle customers’ securities transactions and also trade in securities on their own behalf — weren’t easily able to custody tokenized securities or act as a go-between for trading. Now the firms that follow this steer from the agency will be able to more easily provide liquidity, aid settlement and advance tokenized finance.
“Everywhere from Robinhood to Goldman Sachs run on these calculations,” Larry Florio, deputy general counsel at Ethena Labs, wrote in an explainer posted on LinkedIn. Stablecoins are now working capital, he said.
SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce runs the agency’s task force and issued a statement on the change, contending that using stablecoins “will make it feasible for broker-dealers to engage in a broader range of business activities relating to tokenized securities and other crypto assets.” And she said she wants to consider how the existing SEC rules “could be amended to account for payment stablecoins.”
That’s the drawback of informal staff policies — they’re as easy to reverse as they were to issue, and they don’t carry the weight (and legal protections) of a rule.
The SEC has been working on some crypto rules in recent months, but they haven’t yet been produced, and the process usually takes several months — sometimes years. Even a formal rule can still be reversed by a new leadership at the agency, which is why crypto advocates are pushing for more legislation from Congress that would set the government’s digital assets approach into law, such as last year’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.
UPDATE (February 20, 2026, 22:23 UTC): Adds comment from Digital Chamber CEO.
Crypto World
Is PUNCH token the new Moo Deng?
A macaque monkey called Punch that’s emotionally attached to his IKEA plushie has spurred on a memecoin run reminiscent of Moo Deng’s fame after he was bullied by the rest of its housemates at a Japanese zoo.
The Punch token (PUNCH) was launched on February 6 as memes and stories around the monkey began to circulate.
Punch was born at the Ichikawa City Zoo, where he was rejected by his mother during a heat wave and raised by the zoo staff. He was reintroduced to his group of monkeys but has struggled to become accepted ever since.
The little guy has been chased and harassed by the other monkeys, but what’s caught everyone’s attention is the comfort he’s found with an IKEA monkey plushie.
This virality has led to PUNCH’s trading volume rising to $46 million and the price of the token shooting up 12,777% across the week to $0.031.
A lot of memecoin traders have felt that there hasn’t been a good “runner” in some time. This is a type of token that gains significant attention and increases in price.
Read more: Paul brothers business partner claims ‘0% rug pull risk’ with new memecoin
When a penguin from Werner Herzog’s 2007 documentary “Encounters at the End of the World” became viral earlier this year, a token themed around that penguin attracted $500 million in trading volume and hit a market cap high of $153 million.
Another successful runner similar to Punch was the launch of the Moo Deng token back in 2024, a token based on a viral baby hippo that was filmed biting its carers. The Moo Deng token reached a market cap of over $600 million.
Both tokens, however, are down over 90% since their all-time highs, like most memecoins.
PUNCH token shows signs of market manipulation
Popular crypto trader The White Whale issued a warning about the Punch token, suggesting that it’s showing signs of “market manipulation” and that the sheer volume of liquidity the token attracted suggests that it’s not organic.
They said, “The project and project dev is most likely not behind the things I’m warning about here. The project may or may not be a good project. But this is cabal action. Plain and simple.”
It’s not just crypto traders who have jumped on the monetary potential of a viral monkey, as users have already suggested buying up the plushie monkey from their local IKEAs and selling them on at an inflated price.
Read more: What are TikTok coins?
Scalpers or not, IKEA has recorded an increase in sales of the plushie thanks to Punch’s fame.
The zoo itself is also experiencing a surge of visitors who have come just to see Punch the monkey.
Punch has even caught the eyes of Justin Sun, the billionaire founder of Tron, who donated $100,000 to the zoo housing Punch via his exchange HTX.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
LINK ETFs hit 1.16% supply as inflows top $630k
LINK slips ~1% in 24h as ETFs absorb 1.16% supply on steady $630k inflows.
Summary
- LINK ETFs now hold 1.16% of circulating supply after ~$630k net inflows, signaling institutional accumulation and reduced exchange‑available liquidity.
- LINK trades near $19.1, up ~0.8% on the day but down ~5% week‑on‑week, with ~$627.6M in 24h volume as price consolidates below nearby resistance.
- On‑chain and ETF data show no weekly outflows, while DeFi oracle demand and CCIP integrations continue to expand Chainlink’s role in infrastructure.
Chainlink exchange-traded funds have accumulated holdings equivalent to 1.16% of the cryptocurrency’s total circulating supply, according to market data reported this week.
The ETFs registered net inflows of $630,000, bringing institutional holdings to the 1.16% threshold. The accumulation represents a shift toward long-term custody positions among institutional investors, according to market observers.
Chainlink’s price has remained in a relatively narrow trading range during the period, according to exchange data. The token’s consolidation occurs as the broader decentralized finance sector’s total value locked surpasses key milestones, according to industry tracking platforms.
Technical indicators including the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Relative Strength Index (RSI) show signs of momentum improvement, according to market analysis. The token faces potential resistance levels that could be tested in February if buying pressure increases, analysts stated.
The ETF products provide institutional investors with regulated exposure to Chainlink without direct exchange purchases, according to investment analysts. By holding tokens in custody rather than on exchanges, the funds reduce available supply for trading, creating potential scarcity effects, market participants noted.
Chainlink operates as a decentralized oracle network that provides external data to blockchain smart contracts. The project’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) enables asset transfers between different blockchain networks, a feature that has attracted institutional attention, according to industry reports.
The DeFi sector’s expansion has increased demand for oracle services, as smart contracts require reliable external data feeds to function, according to blockchain analysts. Each new protocol integration expands the utility of oracle networks, industry observers stated.
The 1.16% supply threshold marks a notable milestone for institutional accumulation in the Chainlink ecosystem, according to market commentators. Continued weekly inflows could support price stability by reducing exchange-available supply, analysts noted.
Pension funds and other institutional investors have shown interest in cryptocurrency ETF products that offer liquidity and regulatory structure, according to investment industry sources. The products appeal to large investors seeking low-slippage entry points into digital assets, market participants stated.
Crypto World
Dubai Real Estate Tokenization Enters Secondary Market Phase With 7.8 Million Tokens Now Up for Trading
TLDR:
- Dubai’s real estate tokenization enters Phase Two, putting 7.8 million tokens up for regulated secondary market trading.
- Ctrl Alt and DLD built a controlled trading framework to test market efficiency while protecting investor interests and governance.
- ARVA management tokens and ownership tokens work together on-chain to create one immutable record of property ownership.
- All Phase Two transactions settle on the XRP Ledger, secured by Ripple Custody within Dubai’s regulated digital asset framework.
Real estate tokenization in Dubai has reached a new milestone. Ctrl Alt and the Dubai Land Department (DLD) have launched Phase Two of their Real Estate Tokenization Project Pilot.
This phase introduces controlled secondary market trading for tokenized property assets. The move follows a successful pilot that tokenized ten properties worth over $5 million.
Around 7.8 million tokens issued during the first phase are now eligible for resale within a regulated trading environment.
Secondary Market Trading Opens Under Regulated Framework
Phase Two creates a structured environment for investors to trade tokenized real estate assets. Trading takes place on the project’s distribution platform, keeping transactions aligned with existing land registry processes. All on-chain activity continues to run on the XRP Ledger and is secured by Ripple Custody.
The Dubai Land Department and Ctrl Alt designed the secondary market to test market efficiency and operational readiness.
Governance structures and investor protections remain central to the framework’s design. This approach ensures trading activity stays within regulatory boundaries set by VARA.
Ctrl Alt serves as the tokenization infrastructure partner for the project. The firm minted and issued the original title deed ownership tokens during Phase One. Now, it is deploying the secondary market functionality for Phase Two operations.
Robert Farquhar, CEO, MENA at Ctrl Alt, spoke about what the phase represents for Dubai’s digital asset landscape:
“We’re proud to work with the Dubai Land Department and VARA on Phase Two of the project, demonstrating what is possible when governments and institutional-grade innovation come together to build market-leading digital rails. Secondary market trading is essential to that outcome.”
Dual Token Framework Supports Smooth Fractional Ownership
For Phase Two, Ctrl Alt will issue Asset-Referenced Virtual Asset (ARVA) management tokens. These tokens facilitate regulated secondary-market transfers alongside the original ownership tokens. Both token types are recorded on-chain, creating one immutable ownership record.
Ctrl Alt engineered a technical framework to support the dual operation of ARVA management tokens and ownership tokens on-chain. This structure handles the complexity behind the scenes.
Distribution platforms like PRYPCO can then deliver fractional real estate experiences without building their own tokenization infrastructure.
Matt Acheson, CPO at Ctrl Alt, described the engineering approach behind the system:
“Our goal was to build a secondary market infrastructure that is efficient for the entire ecosystem while maintaining the controls and governance required by the DLD and VARA. We manage the underlying complexity of this tokenization technology so that distribution platforms can deliver smooth, fractional real estate experiences to their end users.”
Ctrl Alt holds a licensed Virtual Asset Service Provider status and was the first firm to receive an Issuer license from VARA.
The company additionally holds a Broker-Dealer license, strengthening its position to support regulated token transfers.
These credentials allow Ctrl Alt to operate within Dubai’s formal digital asset framework while supporting government-led real estate innovation.
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