Connect with us

Crypto World

Euro Recovers Early-Week Losses Ahead of Key Inflation Data

Published

on

Euro Recovers Early-Week Losses Ahead of Key Inflation Data

The euro is strengthening after declining earlier in the week. During the first trading sessions the single currency remained under pressure, but was later followed by a sharp rebound. The recovery was supported by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, where signs have emerged of a slowdown in the escalation surrounding Iran. The reduction in geopolitical risks has weakened demand for safe-haven assets and allowed European currencies to partially recover their losses.

At the same time, market participants remain cautious as important inflation figures from both the eurozone and the United States are due to be released soon.

Inflation data remain a key factor shaping expectations for the future policy path of central banks. Higher inflation in the US could strengthen the dollar by reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a tight monetary policy stance. Meanwhile, accelerating inflation in Europe could support the euro, as it would strengthen arguments for the European Central Bank to keep interest rates elevated for a longer period.

Overall, the current movement in major euro pairs appears largely corrective, while the next directional move will likely depend on the upcoming macroeconomic releases.

Advertisement

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair began the current trading week with a price gap, after which it tested an important support level near 1.1510. However, the sharp decline attracted buyers and the price soon returned above 1.1600. Technical analysis suggests that the pair may advance towards the 1.1700–1.1740 area, as a bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe.

If the price settles below 1.1600, a renewed test of the recent low at 1.1510 may follow.

Key events for EUR/USD:

  • today at 09:00 (GMT+2): Germany Consumer Price Index (CPI);
    today at 12:30 (GMT+2): Germany 10-year government bond auction;
  • today at 14:30 (GMT+2): US Consumer Price Index (CPI).

EUR/JPY

A renewed test of the key support level at 182.40, observed at the beginning of the week, triggered a sharp rebound and pushed the pair above 183.00. If the news flow from the eurozone remains supportive, the pair could test the next important resistance levels in the 184.30–184.70 range.

A decisive move below 183.40 would invalidate the bullish scenario.

Advertisement

Key events for EUR/JPY:

  • today at 14:30 (GMT+2): speech by Bundesbank representative Mauderer;
  • today at 01:30 (GMT+2): Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index.

Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips (additional fees may apply). Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen.

This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Senator Introduces ‘DEATH BETS’ Act Against War-Linked Prediction Markets

Published

on

Senator Introduces 'DEATH BETS' Act Against War-Linked Prediction Markets

US Democratic Party Senator Adam Schiff introduced legislation Tuesday that would explicitly bar federally regulated prediction-market platforms from listing contracts tied to war, terrorism, assassination and individual deaths.

The bill, called the DEATH BETS Act, would amend the Commodity Exchange Act to make those contracts prohibited for entities overseen by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

In a statement announcing the bill, Schiff said markets that let traders profit from violent events create incentives for the misuse of classified information, threaten national security and encourage violence. He said prediction markets had become a “Wild West” and called for Congress and the CFTC to make clear that such “death bets” are not allowed.

The bill seeks to ban prediction market contracts that involve references to “terrorism, assassination, war, or any similar activity,” or that are related to an “individual’s death.” The bill was referred to the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry for consideration, where Schiff is a member.

Advertisement
DEATH BETS Act. Source: Schiff.senate.gov

US-Israel war with Iran ignites military insider concerns

The legislation comes after renewed scrutiny of event-contract platforms during the recent US and Israeli military confrontation with Iran, when war-related markets drew heavy trading and fresh allegations of insider activity.

Six Polymarket traders netted $1 million by accurately betting on the US strike against Iran.

Related: Suspected insider wallets rack up $1.2M betting on ZachXBT’s Axiom exposé

The six wallets were all created in February and placed all their bets on the contracts predicting the timing of a potential US attack, with several shares purchased only hours before the first reported explosions in Iran’s capital, Tehran.

Source: Lookonchain

On Tuesday, a new wallet spent $32,900 to bet on US forces entering Iran by Saturday, despite the odds continuing to decline, according to blockchain data platform Lookonchain.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket face trading halt in Nevada after court rulings

Advertisement

In February, Israeli authorities arrested and indicted two people suspected of using secret information about Israel striking Iran for insider trading on Polymarket.

Insider concerns grew in January after a Polymarket account profited $400,000 after it placed a bet on a contract predicting that Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro would be captured, wagering the funds just hours before US forces captured him.

Magazine: Inside a 30,000 phone bot farm stealing crypto airdrops from real users