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February 2026 Records Lowest Crypto Theft Activity in Almost 12 Months

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TLDR

  • February recorded crypto security breaches totaling $26.5M to $35.7M, marking the lowest monthly figure since March 2025
  • A $10M oracle manipulation attack on YieldBlox’s Stellar-based lending platform represented the month’s largest single exploit
  • Private key compromise led to approximately $8.9M in losses for IoTeX on February 21
  • Compared to January’s $86M in losses, February saw a dramatic 69%+ decline, and remained far below the $1.5B Bybit breach from February 2025
  • Phishing scams persisted as a major vulnerability, responsible for $8.5M in February theft

February witnessed a dramatic downturn in cryptocurrency theft, with blockchain security experts reporting the lowest monthly losses in nearly a year. Leading security platforms PeckShield and CertiK documented total losses between $26.5 million and $35.7 million throughout the month.

This represents a significant improvement from January’s $86 million figure, marking a decline exceeding 69% in just one month. The contrast becomes even starker when compared to February 2025, when the massive $1.5 billion Bybit exchange compromise dominated the statistics.

While February recorded 15 separate security incidents, two major attacks drove the majority of financial damage. The most significant breach targeted YieldBlox, a decentralized autonomous organization operating a lending protocol on the Stellar blockchain, resulting in $10 million in stolen assets.

On February 22, an exploiter took advantage of low liquidity conditions within the USTRY/USDC trading pair. Through a strategically executed abnormal transaction, the attacker artificially pumped the token’s valuation by 100x, manipulating the system into permitting massive undercollateralized loan withdrawals.

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The month’s second-largest security failure struck IoTeX, a blockchain platform focused on Internet-of-Things applications, on February 21. Unauthorized access to a compromised private key granted the attacker entry to the project’s token safe.

The perpetrator rapidly converted stolen tokens into ETH before moving funds through multiple cross-chain bridges toward Bitcoin. While CertiK’s analysis estimated damages near $9 million, IoTeX representatives contested this figure, claiming actual losses were closer to $2 million.

Foom.Cash, a privacy-focused protocol, suffered the third-largest attack with $2.2 million in losses. The exploit leveraged a cryptographic vulnerability to manufacture fraudulent zkSNARK proofs, generating fake authentication credentials that bypassed protocol security measures.

What Drove the Drop

According to PeckShield’s analysis, February’s reduced numbers stem largely from the absence of any catastrophic “mega-hack” comparable to previous incidents like the Bybit breach. Additionally, a significant Bitcoin price downturn early in the month, with values falling beneath $70,000, redirected market focus away from protocol vulnerabilities.

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Kronos Research’s Dominick John attributed the improvement to enhanced risk management protocols, elevated counterparty vetting standards, and superior real-time security monitoring deployed across major cryptocurrency platforms. He highlighted that artificial intelligence-powered code auditing tools and automated vulnerability detection systems are identifying weaknesses before exploitation occurs.

Phishing Still a Problem

Despite encouraging overall trends, phishing schemes continue plaguing the crypto ecosystem. These social engineering attacks claimed $8.5 million during February.

The proliferation of “drainer-as-a-service” operations, including platforms like Angel Drainer and Inferno Drainer, has democratized sophisticated phishing campaigns. These services supply turnkey solutions including replica websites, counterfeit social media profiles, and pre-built malicious smart contracts, requiring only a revenue-sharing agreement with operators.

PeckShield recommended that both institutional players and high-value individual wallet holders implement multi-signature cold storage solutions while maintaining rigorous private key security protocols.

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Notably, wallet drainer-related losses have shown substantial year-over-year improvement, declining from $494 million throughout 2024 to $83.85 million across 2025.

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AWS Data Centers in UAE Disrupted After Strikes Amid Rising Gulf Conflict

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Key Takeaways

  • Unidentified objects impacted AWS facilities in the UAE on Sunday, triggering fires and service disruptions
  • Emergency services cut power to affected zones; a secondary UAE location experienced additional electrical issues
  • Bahrain-based AWS infrastructure also experiencing power supply and network connectivity challenges
  • Timing aligns with Iranian military response throughout the Gulf region, though AWS hasn’t established direct causation
  • Customers advised to migrate workloads to alternative regions while restoration efforts continue over several hours

Amazon’s cloud computing division experienced significant service interruptions following an incident where unknown projectiles hit its United Arab Emirates facility on Sunday, resulting in fire damage and electrical system failures.

The disruption began approximately 4:30 p.m. local time in Dubai. Emergency response teams disabled the facility’s electrical infrastructure to control the resulting flames.

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According to AWS’s official service health dashboard, “objects struck the data center, creating sparks and fire” at one of its UAE-based availability zones.


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Subsequently, another UAE availability zone encountered what the company characterized as a “localized power issue,” further extending the scope of regional service degradation.

The cloud infrastructure provider additionally documented electrical and network connectivity complications affecting one of its Bahrain deployment zones.

The company instructed affected customers to redirect their operations to infrastructure located in unaffected geographic regions during remediation. AWS projected that full restoration would require “multiple hours away.”

These technical failures occurred simultaneously with Iranian military operations targeting the UAE, part of a coordinated retaliatory campaign spanning the Middle East following joint US and Israeli strikes that resulted in the deaths of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and additional high-ranking Iranian leadership.

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Tehran’s response encompassed multiple territories, with projectile and unmanned aerial vehicle assaults documented against American military installations and allied nations including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia.

AWS has neither acknowledged nor dismissed any direct correlation between the facility damage and Iranian military actions. Company representatives provided no statement when approached for comment.

Impact on UAE-Based AWS Clients

Prominent AWS enterprise customers operating in the UAE include Al Ghurair Investment LLC and Dubai Islamic Bank.

The cloud provider maintains 123 availability zones distributed across 39 geographic regions worldwide, establishing extensive infrastructure redundancy — though regional concentration still created vulnerability in this scenario.

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Ongoing Restoration Efforts

AWS initially communicated progress toward service restoration early Monday but subsequently revised its status, continuing to direct users toward alternative regional infrastructure.

As of Monday morning in Dubai, both affected UAE availability zones along with the single Bahrain zone continued experiencing service degradation.

Shares of Amazon (AMZN) traded up 1.00% at the most recent market check.

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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

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Riot, Core earnings, U.S. jobs report: Crypto Week Ahead

Earnings reports are still rolling in. This week Riot Platforms, the fourth-largest bitcoin miner by market cap, is due to report, as is Core Scientific, the No. 6.

Like many of their peers, the two are using their experience running large data centers and negotiating power-supply deals to expand into AI. Core, whose proposed $9 billion purchase by CoreWeave (CRWV) failed in October, barely mentions digital asset mining on its homepage. It will be interesting to see how much of its business still comes from that source.

Also due this week is the U.S. jobs report for February. The world’s largest economy is forecast to have added 60,000 nonfarm positions last month, according to the consensus estimate on Trading Economics.

Traders will also be monitoring the war in the Middle East, which has seen the U.S. and Israel strike Iran in what President Donald Trump called “major combat operations” targeting the country’s missile, naval and nuclear infrastructure.

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Iran has retaliated with attacks on various countries in the region that host U.S. military bases. The conflict has been escalating with Iran-backed militias joining in. Trump has said it’s expected to last “four to five weeks,” so an earlier-than-expected truce could bring risk appetite back.

What to Watch

(All times ET)

  • Crypto
    • March 2: SuperRare to release Delirium, a new collection by artist Xer0x
    • March 2: Mantra’s OM token to change to MANTRA with a 1:4 coin split as the Mantra chain upgrades from v6 to v7.
    • March 3: SolCex mobile app to debut on Google Play and Apple’s App Store.
    • March 4: Qubic begins testing parallel dogecoin mining and AI training
  • Macro
    • March 2, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI for February est. 52.3 (Prev. 52.6)
    • March 3, 5:00 a.m.: Eurozone inflation rate YoY flash for February (Prev. 1.7%); Core YoY (Prev. 2.2%)
    • March 3, 7:30 p.m.: Australia GDP growth rate QoQ for Q4 (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 3, 8:30 p.m.: China NBS manufacturing PMI for February (Prev. 49.3)
    • March 4, 8:15 a.m.: U.S. ADP employment change for February (Prev. 22K)
    • March 4, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. ISM services PMI for February (Prev. 53.8)
    • March 4, 2:00 p.m.: U.S. Fed Beige Book
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. initial jobless claims for week ending Feb. 28 (Prev. 212K)
    • March 5, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm productivity QoQ prel for Q4 (Prev. 4.9%)
    • March 5, 4:30 p.m.: U.S. Fed balance sheet update for period ending March 4
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm payrolls for February Est. 60K (Prev. 130K)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. unemployment rate for February (Prev. 4.3%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. average hourly earnings MoM for February (Prev. 0.4%)
    • March 6, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. retail sales control group MoM for January (Prev. 0.0%)
    • March 8, 8:30 p.m.: China inflation rate YoY for February (Prev. 0.2%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 2: Riot Platforms (RIOT), post-market, -$0.32
    • March 2: Core Scientific (CORZ), post-market, -$0.18
    • March 6: Metalpha (MATH), pre-market
    • March 9: Sharplink (SBET), pre-market, $0.31
    • March 11: Exodus Movement (EXOD), pre-market, $0.14

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • PoolTogether DAO is voting to manually resubmit and execute the remaining actions for the PTBR-35 governance shutdown after a previous execution error. Voting ends March 2.
    • Angle DAO is voting on an orderly wind-down of the EURA and USDA stablecoins, providing users a one-year 1:1 redemption period followed by a final settlement airdrop. Voting ends March 2.
    • GMX DAO is voting to transition to a defined leadership model by hiring a CEO with performance-tied compensation and forming an interim leadership committee to guide the restructuring. Voting ends March 2.
    • ShapeShift DAO is voting to appoint PTT as the Tokenomics Workstream Leader for a six-month term, compensated entirely in FOX tokens to eliminate stablecoin costs. Voting ends March 3.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting to explore the automatic execution of approved proposals and soft term limits for signer keys while maintaining emergency oversight. Voting ends March 3.
    • Uniswap DAO is voting across two linked proposals to expand v2 and v3 protocol fees to eight layer-2 networks and enable a new tier-based fee system across all v3 pools. Voting ends March 4 and 5.
    • ENS DAO is voting to replace three DNSSEC oracle algorithms to patch a critical RSA signature forgery vulnerability and significantly reduce gas costs. Voting ends March 4.
    • Gnosis DAO is voting to provide a grant to fund the continued support, infrastructure and maintenance of the Revoke.cash security platform. Voting ends March 5.
  • Unlocks
    • March 5: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 2.24% of its circulating supply worth $18.35 million.
    • March 6: Hyperliquid (HYPE) to unlock 2.72% of its circulating supply worth around $288.77 million.
  • Token Launches
    • March 8 or earlier: Chiliz (CHZ) to deploy revenue from the protocol to buyback and burn CHZ tokens.
    • March 8 or earlier: WhiteBit Token (WBT) to be listed on Kraken.

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XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises

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XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 2

The XRP market is undergoing a structural shift as trading dynamics move from spot accumulation to a derivatives-led environment.

Summary

  • XRP is shifting from spot-driven accumulation to a speculative, futures-led market, signaling an impending “volatility squeeze” as leveraged traders position for a major move.
  • The price remains trapped below the 50-day SMA ($1.63) with a neutral-to-bearish RSI of 39, indicating a lack of buying pressure despite the surge in trading activity.
  • Traders are eyeing $1.20 as the “must-hold” support floor, while a breakout above the $1.50–$1.80 resistance range is required to confirm a bullish reversal.

Recent Coinglass data reveals a significant uptick in XRP futures volume relative to spot trading, signaling that speculative interest is once again a primary price driver. This surge in futures activity typically precedes a “volatility squeeze,” where the price breaks sharply as leveraged positions are either rewarded or liquidated.

XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 2

For the Ripple token (XRP), this suggests the market is no longer in a state of passive holding but is bracing for a decisive move.

This futures-dominated landscape makes the price more susceptible to rapid squeezes; while it provides the liquidity needed to break overhead resistance, it also warns that any downside could be exacerbated by a cascade of liquidations.

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XRP price navigates critical support

Technically, XRP is navigating a precarious path, currently trading near $1.35 as of March 2026. The price action remains pinned below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $1.63, which acts as a formidable dynamic resistance.

XRP price prediction as XRP futures trading rises - 3
XRP price performance | Source: Crypto.News

Until XRP secures a daily close above this level, the medium-term bias remains bearish. Recent candlestick patterns show a string of small-bodied “doji” candles, reflecting market indecision despite the rising futures turnover.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently hovers around 39, placing the asset in a neutral-to-bearish zone that lacks the immediate buying pressure required for a reversal.

Immediate support is firmly established at the $1.20 mark, a level that has historically served as a psychological safety net. Should XRP fail to hold $1.20, a deeper retracement toward $1.00 becomes a distinct possibility.

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Conversely, the first major hurdle for a bullish recovery sits at $1.50, followed by a high-volume resistance zone at $1.80.

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Aave Proposal Clears First Hurdle After Split Vote

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Aave Proposal Clears First Hurdle After Split Vote

Aave’s “Aave Will Win” framework has passed its Temp Check vote, clearing the first formal stage of the protocol’s governance process. 

On Sunday, the off-chain Snapshot vote closed with 52.58% voting in favor, 42% against and 5.42% abstaining. The result advances the measure to the Aave Request for Final Comment (ARFC) stage, where terms may be revised before any binding on-chain vote.

The framework asks tokenholders to approve up to $42.5 million in stablecoins and 75,000 Aave (AAVE) tokens for Aave Labs. In return, the organization would route 100% of revenue from Aave-branded products to the Aave DAO treasury under a DAO-funded operating model. 

The narrow margin highlights a divided governance base as the protocol considers structural changes to its funding, revenue alignment and long-term development. 

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Aave DAO’s Temp Check voting results. Source: Snapshot

The ARFC stage will determine whether concerns raised during the debate will translate into revisions before a formal Aave Improvement Proposal is submitted on-chain. 

Split vote reflects ongoing governance tensions

Aave founder Stani Kulechov said in a post on X that the Temp Check brings the protocol closer to a “fully token-centric model,” adding that structural improvements will be incorporated at the ARFC stage based on community feedback.

Source: Stani Kulechov

Critics previously questioned the size of the funding package and the inclusion of 75,000 AAVE tokens, which carry voting power.

Others called for clearer definitions and stronger disclosure standards around governance holdings. 

Related: Grvt integrates Aave so traders can earn yield on perp collateral

On Feb. 25, competing reports from Aave Chan Initiative (ACI) founder Marc Zeller and Aave Labs offered contrasting interpretations of past funding and value creation ahead of the vote. 

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The ACI published a transparency report reviewing Aave Labs’ historical funding, while Aave Labs outlined its role in building the protocol since 2017. 

What happens next in Aave governance process?

Under Aave’s governance framework, proposals typically move from Temp Check to ARFC before advancing to an on-chain Aave Improvement Proposal (AIP) vote. Only AIPs executed on-chain are binding. 

If the proposal advances beyond ARFC, tokenholders will vote on whether to formalize the DAO-funded model and ratify Aave V4 as the long-term technical foundation.

The outcome could reshape how the Aave ecosystem structures development, revenue and brand stewardship.

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