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Fed Gov. Waller urges caution for now; cuts possible later in the year

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Fed Governor Chris Waller on interest rate outlook: Caution is warranted
Fed Governor Chris Waller on interest rate outlook: Caution is warranted

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller on Friday expressed caution about current economic conditions but still sees the opportunity for interest rate cuts later this year.

Previously an advocate for rate cuts, Waller said in a CNBC interview that recent developments in the labor market as well as the uncertainty of the war with Iran require a more conservative approach.

“It doesn’t mean that I’m going to stay put for the rest of the year,” Waller said on “Squawk Box.” “I just want to wait and see where this goes, and if things go reasonably well and the labor market continues to be weak, I would start advocating again for cutting the policy rate later this year.”

Markets have almost completely doused the chance of rate reductions through the balance of 2026 and well into 2027. That’s a switch from expectations prior to the war, when traders had been looking for two or three cuts this year.

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But soaring oil prices and an indeterminate time frame over how long the war will last have changed market expectations and caused a rethinking from Waller and other policymakers. Waller had dissented in January from a Federal Open Market Committee decision not to cut, but went along with the majority earlier this week for another pause.

How the Iran war and inflation are impacting the Fed

His earlier dovish position was motivated by a clearly weakening labor market, which produced nearly no net job growth in 2025. However, he noted Friday that the labor force also is not expanding, so “net zero” growth is still leaving the unemployment rate unchanged, even with a 92,000 drop in nonfarm payrolls in February.

“If we get another 90,000 jobs decline in the next jobs report, that’ll be like four negative reports out of five. To me, that’s not zero. So at that point, you need to start thinking about this labor market isn’t good,” Waller said. “I don’t think this war is going to help in any way going forward, but we’ll have to see what happens with inflation.”

Waller is generally sanguine now about inflation, which he sees being boosted by one-off effects from tariffs but otherwise moving structurally towards the Fed’s 2% goal.

“If those tariff effects don’t roll off by the second half of the year, and then inflation starts rising then, then you’re in this tricky business of like, do we worry about inflation? Take a chance on recession or not?,” he said. “So I’m really going to keep an eye on what the future labor markets look like to see whether I want to start advocating for rate cuts in future meetings, but I also want to see what happens with inflation.”

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Earlier Friday, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman who, like Waller, was nominated for the job by President Donald Trump, said she believes the Fed can cut three times this year. That would take the benchmark federal funds rate below the neutral level that FOMC officials see as neither supporting nor restricting growth.

Bowman, in a Fox Business interview, took that position even though she said she expects “strong growth” this year “supported by the supply-side policies that this administration is putting into place.”

Bowman is one of just three Fed officials who see aggressive rate cuts this year, according to an update of the Fed’s “dot plot” grid released Wednesday. A total of 19 policymakers participate in the grid.

Watch CNBC's full interview with Fed Governor Christopher Waller
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Crypto World

Roblox (RBLX) Stock Dips as Platform Introduces Revenue Share on Brand Sponsorships

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RBLX Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Platform will implement revenue sharing on brand sponsorships beginning May 4, 2026
  • Updated advertising policies broaden the definition of promotional content to include any brand-compensated material or external product placement
  • Age restrictions limit pharmaceutical and financial service advertisements to users 13 and older
  • Dennis Durkin, previously CFO at Activision Blizzard, joins the company’s Board of Directors
  • Current analyst consensus rates RBLX as a Buy with a price target of $110

After pursuing advertising opportunities for more than four years, Roblox is implementing its most significant policy transformation to date.


RBLX Stock Card
Roblox Corporation, RBLX

Beginning May 4, 2026, the platform will roll out comprehensive changes to its advertising framework — marking the first time the company will directly participate in revenue generated from brand partnerships within games hosted on its ecosystem.

The revised guidelines establish that promotional material includes any content funded by brands or featuring products available beyond the Roblox platform. This represents a more comprehensive and explicit framework than previous standards.

The updated policy also introduces age-specific restrictions. Players younger than 13 will not see advertisements for pharmaceutical products or financial services. Additionally, this demographic will be excluded from interactive ad experiences that provide in-game incentives for viewing or interacting with sponsored content.

According to the company, these changes aim to streamline brand integration. Through standardized guidelines, transparent pricing structures, and measurable outcomes, Roblox seeks to create a more attractive environment for advertising investment.

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Years in Development

The pursuit of advertising revenue has been part of Roblox’s strategic plan since at least 2021. Leadership has consistently highlighted opportunities including video advertisements, virtual billboards, and branded virtual merchandise as potential revenue streams benefiting both the platform and its creator ecosystem.

Several independent creators have already generated substantial income — in some cases exceeding hundreds of thousands of dollars — through branded experiences and virtual items. The upcoming revenue-sharing framework formalizes these arrangements and ensures Roblox receives a portion of future deals.

Specific details regarding the revenue split structure remain under development. The company has indicated that comprehensive information will be released during the second quarter of 2026.

Roblox stock (RBLX) declined 1.23% at the time of reporting.

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Industry Veteran Appointed to Leadership

On March 19, 2026, Roblox welcomed Dennis Durkin as an independent Class II director on its Board of Directors.

Durkin brings extensive gaming industry credentials, having served as CFO and President of Emerging Businesses at Activision Blizzard. His career also includes executive positions within Microsoft’s Xbox and gaming divisions — representing nearly 30 years of technology and gaming sector expertise.

He has been assigned to both the Audit and Compliance Committee and the Leadership Development and Compensation Committee.

Durkin’s compensation package includes standard cash retainers for board and committee participation, supplemented by time-based restricted stock unit grants aligned with the company’s established outside director compensation framework.

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The board appointment was formally disclosed on March 20, 2026.

The latest Wall Street rating on RBLX maintains a Buy recommendation with a $110.00 price objective. TipRanks’ AI analyst assigns a Neutral rating, acknowledging robust cash flow generation and positive booking trends while highlighting ongoing profitability challenges, margin fluctuations, and balance sheet concerns.

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Crypto World

Privy Taps Deframe by Pods to Unlock DeFi Yield Strategies

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Privy Taps Deframe by Pods to Unlock DeFi Yield Strategies

The Stripe-owned wallet infrastructure provider has integrated Deframe’s DeFi aggregation API, the latest in a string of yield-focused moves.

Privy, the embedded wallet infrastructure provider acquired by Stripe last year, has integrated Deframe, a DeFi aggregation API built by the team behind Pods Finance, to enable developers to offer yield strategies directly within their applications.

The integration gives apps access to Deframe’s suite of yield strategies, spanning protocols such as Aave, Morpho, Lido, and Compound, across Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum, Optimism, Solana, and Polygon.

The partnership comes alongside a flurry of yield-focused moves from Privy. The company recently launched an Earn feature that lets developers connect app balances to curated DeFi vaults through API calls, powered by Morpho vault infrastructure with risk strategies from Steakhouse Financial and Gauntlet.

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The moves signal Privy’s strategy to position embedded wallets not just as onboarding tools but as revenue-generating infrastructure for app developers. Earlier this month, Sky Frontier Foundation announced that developers building on Privy can now integrate access to sUSDS, Sky’s yield-bearing stablecoin.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Onchain Data Says Ether May Have Bottomed: Will Traders Buy?

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price

A key Ether (ETH) onchain indicator has climbed to its highest level in over three years, a level last seen when ETH bottomed during the 2022 bear market cycle.

The signal supports the case for an early bottoming phase, despite the weak spot demand and muted price action. Data suggests that ETH may stabilize near the local floor around $2,000, but a sweep of lower price levels remains possible in the coming weeks.

Ether taker flow spikes: Does this confirm the ETH bottom?

The 30-day average of positive Ether net taker volume climbed to $142 million on March 17, reaching levels last seen on July 18, 2022. The net taker volume measures the difference between aggressive buyers and sellers in derivatives markets. 

A positive reading signals that market orders lean toward buyers. The recent surge aligns with prior spikes seen in mid-2022 during a correction phase.

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH net taker volume. Source: CryptoQuant

These expansions have appeared during transitional periods where traders reposition and add exposure while the price stabilizes near a market bottom, as observed in July 2022 and August 2020.

The Ethereum Coinbase premium index has also been positive since Feb. 24, and the elevated premium levels indicate growing spot demand from US-based traders.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether coinbase premium index. Source: CryptoQuant

However, crypto analyst Pelin Ay noted that despite the drop in supply-side pressure, the price response has remained relatively muted, possibly due to a lack of dominant buy demand. The analyst said, 

“The supply side is bullish, but there are no buyers. It appears that buyers still consider the current price expensive and are waiting for a new bottom.”

Related: Execution quality is the missing metric in Bitcoin and Ethereum markets

What happens if Ether falls below $2,150?

Ether’s short-term support aligns with the 100- and 200-period exponential moving averages (EMAs), but the price is compressing near an ascending trendline, with a potential breakdown placing focus on the lower liquidity zones.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH/USDT four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The internal liquidity sits between $2,100 and $2,000 and a more pronounced cluster has formed near $1,905. 

A larger liquidation cluster sits at $1,976, where over $3 billion in long positions are open. A move into this zone may trigger forced liquidations and create a short-term imbalance.

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Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

If buyers step in, this area may also act as a demand zone and support a price rebound above $2,000.

Crypto trader EliZ outlined a clear threshold at $2,000 on the daily timeframe. Holding above this level keeps the medium-term trend intact. A break below shifts the positioning toward aggressive short exposure, with the lower targets in focus.

Coinbase, Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Futures, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
ETH/USD daily chart by EliZ. Source: X

Related: Crypto Fear and Greed rebounds off extreme lows as traders re-enter