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FX Markets Are Changing: What’s Driving Currencies Now?

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FX Markets Are Changing: What’s Driving Currencies Now?

FX markets have become increasingly reactive in March, with geopolitical developments—particularly the US–Iran conflict—driving price action across currencies, commodities, and interest rate expectations.

In this update, we examine the key forces shaping the FX market right now, including:

✔️ The impact of rising oil prices on inflation and currency dynamics
   
✔️ Shifting central bank expectations and delayed rate cut outlook

✔️ Elevated volatility and what it signals for near-term market conditions
       
Stay ahead of market moves — follow for timely insights into FX, macro trends, and volatility conditions.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Solana Foundation President Says Web3 Gaming ‘Is Not Coming Back’

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the-defiant

Liu also added “head of gaming” at Solana Foundation to her X bio, in what appears to be a pointed joke.

Solana Foundation president Lily Liu said blockchain gaming is dead in an X post today, March 20. A later, self-proclaimed “shitpost” from the Foundation’s chief product officer poked fun at Liu’s statement, but the original post had already set off a wave of comments, both criticizing Liu’s take, and defending the future of web3 gaming.

Liu’s statement, which reads “Also, gaming on a blockchain is not coming back,” was a response to a March 18 X post from Polymarket claiming, somewhat misleadingly, that Meta is shutting down its metaverse division.

In what appears to be an act of self-aware irony, as of today, Liu’s X bio also says she is not only president, but also the “head of gaming” at Solana Foundation, a title that is absent from the exec’s LinkedIn and other profile bios.

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the-defiant
Lily Liu’s X bio on March 20

No such role appears in any official Solana Foundation communications or staff listings The Defiant could find, strongly suggesting the title was meant to be ironic.

X account Solana Gaming added to the confusion with a post congratulating Liu on her new role as the Foundation’s head of gaming.

Liu has been notably dismissive of the blockchain gaming meta in recent months. In a more extended X post on Feb. 5, Liu said blockchain networks should focus on finance and tech for core use cases, writing:

“I am happy the misadventures around things like gaming in particular are fully dead and over.”

The Solana Foundation president continued, “This blockchain adventure has always been about finance: open financial rails for anyone and everyone on the internet.”

As The Defiant reported last April, MagicBlock’s $7.5 million seed round to build real-time gaming infrastructure on Solana was backed by Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko himself.

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Web3 Gaming’s Struggle

As The Defiant reported previously, blockchain-based and crypto-integrated games have struggled to sustain demand. While monthly investments in web3 gaming projects were in the tens of millions of dollars last year, per data from DappRadar, that interest is far lower than capital flows during the sector’s peak in 2021, when blockchain games raked in a total of $4 billion from venture capital firms.

Is Meta’s Metaverse Also Dead?

The Polymarket post about Meta’s metaverse shutdown, which Liu’s post today was a response to, was itself notably misleading. As WIRED reported yesterday, what Meta, the parent company of Facebook, WhatsApp, and Instagram, actually announced was the shutdown of its online, multi-player game Horizon Worlds in VR, reportedly via an email to users on Tuesday. Horizon Worlds, which is also referred to as a metaverse platform, is a project developed by Reality Labs, Meta’s metaverse arm.

However, the tech giant then quickly reversed course, with CTO Andrew Bosworth just days later stating that, in response to users, the company had decided to keep Horizon Worlds running in VR to support existing games and fans, though with limited support, and no new games or major investments.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Coinbase Launches Stock Perpetual Futures for Non-U.S. Users

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Coinbase Launches Stock Perpetual Futures for Non-U.S. Users

The exchange is offering leveraged contracts on major technology stocks and ETFs.

Coinbase on Friday rolled out perpetual futures contracts tied to U.S. equities, becoming one of the first major centralized exchanges to offer the product and expanding its derivatives lineup beyond crypto.

The contracts cover all seven Magnificent 7 stocks — Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta, and Tesla — as well as ETF perpetuals tracking the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) in select jurisdictions. They are available to eligible non-U.S. retail users on Coinbase Advanced and to institutions on Coinbase International Exchange.

The contracts trade around the clock, are cash-settled in USDC, and offer up to 10x leverage on individual stocks and 20x on ETF products. Like crypto perpetuals, they have no expiration date and use a funding rate mechanism to track spot prices.

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Competing With DeFi

The launch positions Coinbase against decentralized platforms that have already built significant traction in equity-linked perpetuals. TradeXYZ, the perpetuals arm of Hyperliquid tokenization layer Unit, has crossed $1.4 billion in open interest and routinely processes more than $1 billion in daily volume, according to DeFiLlama.

Earlier this week, the platformlanded a license from S&P Dow Jones Indices to launch the first officially sanctioned S&P 500 perpetual futures contract on-chain — a milestone that lends institutional credibility to the DeFi side of the equity perps market.

Coinbase acknowledged in itsblog post that much of the demand for continuous equity exposure has been concentrated on decentralized venues.

The launch follows Coinbase’s recent push into European derivatives, where its MiFID-regulated entity began offering crypto futures across 26 countries earlier this month. The company said it plans to expand the lineup over time, adding more equities, indices, commodities, and other globally traded assets.

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This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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Crypto Clarity Act may be cleared to move after senators agree on stablecoin yield

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Crypto Clarity Act may be cleared to move after senators agree on stablecoin yield

The two U.S. senators negotiating a controversial provision in the crypto industry’s market structure bill — Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Angela Alsobrooks — have reportedly agreed on a compromise that could advance the industry’s top priority to the next stage in the Senate.

The two were reported by Politico to have agreed in principle on an approach to stablecoin yield in the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, and that potentially knocks down one of the top unresolved issues in the wide-ranging bill. Still, no further details emerged, other than Alsobrooks reiterating that the yield accord would bar rewards on passive balances of stablecoins.

Bankers had argued that stablecoin rewards on holdings of the U.S. dollar-tied tokens could closely resemble interest on bank deposits, and any threat to that core component of U.S. banking could put lending at risk. Both Alsobrooks and Tillis had agreed to find an approach that wouldn’t threaten banking.

“Sen. Tillis and I do have an agreement in principle,” Alsobrooks told Politico on Friday. “We’ve come a long way. And I think what it will do is to allow us to protect innovation, but also gives us the opportunity to prevent widespread deposit flight.”

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The White House was reviewing updated legislative text on Thursday, CoinDesk previously reported. White House officials didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the Friday development.

Industry insiders have told CoinDesk that they were aware of a new compromise, but they haven’t yet seen the legislative text that the senators agreed on.

Though the stablecoin question was at the forefront of the Clarity Act negotiations, there remain a number of other points to iron out, including the bill’s treatment of decentralized finance (DeFi), a corner of the sector in which some Democrats had expressed unease over illicit finance.

Lawmakers have suggested in recent days that the Clarity Act could get a Senate Banking Committee hearing late next month. If it’s approved there, it advances toward the Senate floor, though it first needs to be melded with a similar version that already passed in the Senate Agriculture Committee.

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Senator Cynthia Lummis, the Republican atop the banking panel’s crypto subcommittee, said earlier this week she expected a hearing in the latter half of April. She posted on image Friday on social media site X that depict a “yield” sign.

Advocates have been hoping for a May resolution of the years-long legislative effort. But Senate floor time is at a premium, and it’s under some threat from unrelated issues, such as the Republican’s voter-ID bill and the back-and-forth over the war in Iran.

Read More: Key U.S. senator on crypto market structure bill negotiation: ‘We think we’ve got it’

UPDATE (March 20, 2026, 15:36 UTC): Adds quote from Senator Alsobrooks and tweet from Senator Lummis.

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Google warns over 200 million iPhone crypto wallets at risk

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Google warns over 200 million iPhone crypto wallets at risk

Google just disclosed a vulnerability that targets iPhone crypto wallets and could have affected an estimated 270 million Apple devices.

The DarkSword exploit, which strings together multiple zero-day vulnerabilities, is still live today and affects iPhones running iOS 18.4 through 18.7, updates that were released between April and September last year.

Up-to-date Apple devices use iOS 26.3.1. However, because many people don’t automatically upgrade, 24% of all iPhones still use iOS 18 according to Apple’s own data.

DarkSword allows hackers to orchestrate six vulnerabilities together to silently compromise devices, dump their Keychain databases, and vacuum up crypto wallet data. 

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Frequently targeted apps by DarkSword hackers include crypto wallets MetaMask, Phantom, and dozens of others by Coinbase, Ledger, and more. Visiting a poisoned website in Safari is all it takes to trigger the attack.

Google’s Threat Intelligence Group has observed Russian state-linked hackers, a Turkish surveillance vendor, and another threat cluster wielding DarkSword against targets in Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Malaysia, and Ukraine since at least November 2025.

Read more: Legacy DeFi platforms lose $27M as hacking spree continues into 2026

Zero-day access to iPhone crypto wallet files

DarkSword isn’t a keylogger or clipboard sniffer; it gains kernel-level access, then injects JavaScript into privileged iOS system processes to pillage the device.

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The sinister toolkit hunts specifically for crypto wallet files, scanning for apps matching terms like “metamask,” “ledger,” “trezor,” “phantom,” “coinbase,” “binance,” and “kraken.” It grabs whatever wallet data it finds.

It can also pull the device’s Keychain database which is an Apple system-level storage service for passwords. 

DarkSword can also access WiFi passwords, iCloud data, Safari cookies, iMessages, WhatsApp histories, call logs, location histories, photos, and encryption keys protecting stored credentials called keybags.

Read more: Venus Protocol hacker lost $4.7M after nine months of planning

All six vulnerabilities have now received patches if an iPhone user upgrades their operating system.

Apple addressed most in iOS 18.7.2 and 18.7.3. However, if their passwords, files, or crypto wallet data have already been stolen, all of those credentials and personal security implications would have to be re-secured.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Institutions Expect Digital Asset Prices to Rebound in 2026

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Institutions Expect Digital Asset Prices to Rebound in 2026

Institutional demand for crypto is holding up despite ongoing turbulence, with new data showing large investors are preparing to increase allocations even after the market’s sharp sell-off since October.

At the same time, stablecoins are gaining traction across both retail and institutional channels. Japan is moving ahead with regulated USDC (USDC) lending products, while new models tied to real-world assets are beginning to take shape.

Elsewhere, crypto companies continue to tap traditional capital markets, with Abra pursuing a public listing via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) deal.

Together, the latest developments point to a market that is still expanding through regulated pathways, even as price volatility and regulatory uncertainty persist.

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Institutional investors double down on crypto

Despite recent volatility and a 40% crypto market sell-off since October, institutional investors are preparing to increase their digital asset exposure, with most expecting prices to rise over the next 12 months. 

A January survey of 351 investors by Coinbase and EY-Parthenon found that 73% plan to buy more digital assets this year, while 74% expect prices to move higher.

Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) remain the primary entry points, but interest is expanding into stablecoins and tokenized assets. Two-thirds of respondents said they prefer gaining exposure through regulated vehicles such as exchange-traded products.

The data points to steady institutional demand, with capital continuing to move through structured, compliant channels despite market turbulence.

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Crypto exchange-traded products remain an attractive entry point for institutional investors. Source: Coinbase-EY

SBI rolls out retail USDC lending in Japan

SBI VC Trade is expanding stablecoin use in Japan with the launch of a retail USDC lending service, as regulated access to dollar-backed tokens gains traction. The move follows recent regulatory changes that allow licensed companies to handle foreign stablecoins, such as Circle-issued USDC.

The platform enables users to lend USDC in exchange for yield, marking one of the first retail-facing products of its kind in Japan. SBI, a major financial group, has been building out its crypto offering within the country’s regulated framework.

The rollout highlights how stablecoins are moving beyond trading into regulated financial products, particularly in markets where legal clarity has already been established.

A table comparing Japan’s tax treatment of USDC lending and foreign currency deposits. Source: SBI VIC Trade

Abra targets Nasdaq listing through SPAC deal

Crypto wealth manager Abra is planning to go public through a merger with New Providence Acquisition Corp., in a deal that values the combined entity at around $750 million. The company is expected to list on Nasdaq under the ticker ABRX.

Abra has shifted its focus toward wealth management services, including trading, custody and yield products, following regulatory challenges tied to its earlier lending operations. The SPAC route offers a faster path to public markets at a time when traditional IPO activity remains limited.

The deal reflects continued efforts by crypto companies to access public capital, even as regulatory scrutiny and market conditions remain uneven.

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Theo launches $100M gold-linked yield stablecoin vault

Tokenization platform Theo has unveiled a $100 million vault tied to a gold-linked, yield-bearing stablecoin, designed to combine price stability with onchain returns. The structure links the token’s value to gold while offering yield to users.

The model introduces a hybrid approach that blends commodity backing with onchain financial mechanisms, reflecting broader efforts to bring real-world assets into crypto markets. Gold serves as the underlying collateral, offering an alternative to fiat-backed stablecoins.

The product highlights growing experimentation around yield-bearing stablecoins, as developers look to expand their role beyond simple price stability.

Crypto Biz is your weekly pulse on the business behind blockchain and crypto, delivered directly to your inbox every Thursday.

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