Connect with us

Crypto World

GENIUS Act turns stablecoins into tools of dollar dominance, not crypto rebels

Published

on

GENIUS Act turns stablecoins into tools of dollar dominance, not crypto rebels

The U.S. Senate is finally treating stablecoins as extensions of the dollar system itself, using the GENIUS Act to pull digital dollars inside the regulatory perimeter.

Summary

  • The GENIUS Act passed the Senate 68–30, requiring payment stablecoins to be fully backed by cash and short‑term Treasuries with frequent, public reserve disclosures.
  • Built on the Lummis–Gillibrand blueprint, the bill splits oversight between bank regulators and states while explicitly pitching regulated stablecoins as a way to cement U.S. dollar dominance.
  • Critics warn the framework could entrench Trump‑linked ventures like World Liberty Financial and cement a two‑tier regime that squeezes offshore “grey‑market” stablecoins in the name of fighting illicit finance.

The U.S. Senate is finally treating stablecoins like part of the dollar system, not a crypto side project. In June 2025, senators passed the GENIUS Act, a landmark bill to create a federal regulatory framework for dollar‑pegged stablecoins, after more than a year of bipartisan trench warfare over Trump‑linked crypto politics, illicit finance, and the future of U.S. monetary power.

What the senator‑backed stablecoin bill actually does

Reuters reports that the GENIUS Act passed the Senate 68–30, with a bloc of Democrats crossing the aisle to join most Republicans in backing rules that would require payment stablecoins to be fully backed by “liquid assets like U.S. dollars and short‑term Treasury securities,” and mandate monthly public disclosure of reserves. Mayer Brown notes that the bill builds directly on the earlier Lummis–Gillibrand Payment Stablecoin Act, which set out a comprehensive regime for dollar‑backed tokens, splitting supervisory roles between federal and state regulators and explicitly positioning regulated U.S. stablecoins as a tool to “promote U.S. dollar dominance.”

Advertisement

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand’s own statement is blunt: “Passing a regulatory framework for stablecoins is absolutely critical to maintaining the U.S. dollar’s dominance, promoting responsible innovation, protecting consumers and cracking down on money laundering and illicit finance.” The bill aims to “fence in” risks around reserves, custody, insolvency and privacy, while giving banks and licensed non‑banks a clear path to issue payment tokens that can move “nearly‑instantly” around the world at lower cost than legacy wires and remittance products.

Politics, risks and macro stakes

The politics are nasty because the stakes are large. Reuters and Politico detail how Democratic support briefly collapsed in May 2025 over concerns that Republican drafters had watered down safeguards on foreign stablecoins and anti‑money‑laundering, just as President Trump’s own stablecoin venture, World Liberty Financial, was tied to a $2 billion Abu Dhabi‑backed investment into Binance. Senator Elizabeth Warren attacked the bill as creating a “super highway” for corruption and warned it could open the door for tech giants like Amazon and Meta to launch their own tokens without sufficient constraints.

Behind the floor drama is a clear macro calculation. The Lummis–Gillibrand materials cite UN estimates that offshore, unregulated stablecoins were used for roughly $17 billion in illicit transactions between 2022 and 2023, ranging from drug trafficking to sanctions evasion, and argue that forcing issuers onshore under tough rules would “cripple” that channel while locking in the dollar as the base currency of a multi‑trillion‑dollar digital economy. U.S. Treasury officials have gone further in speeches and private briefings, floating scenarios where regulated stablecoins generate trillions in incremental demand for Treasuries by 2030, effectively turning crypto rails into a new distribution channel for U.S. public debt.

For crypto markets, the senator‑driven stablecoin push is both a legitimization and a constraint. On one side, a clear federal framework promises mainstream integrations with banks, payments firms and on‑chain finance – a path to scale for the same dollar tokens that today power remittances on BNB Chain and elsewhere. On the other, the combination of reserve rules, licensing and harsh penalties for offshore USD tokens is meant to squeeze the grey‑market coins that made crypto dollarization possible in the first place. The message from Washington’s most aggressive stablecoin hawks is simple: digital dollars are welcome, as long as they stay inside the regulatory perimeter and serve U.S. monetary and security interests first.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Crypto World

Hyperliquid Will Hit $150 by Mid 2026, Predicts BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes

Published

on

Hyperliquid Will Hit $150 by Mid 2026, Predicts BitMEX's Arthur Hayes

Hyperliquid (HYPE) may hit $150 by August, according to BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes.

Key takeaways:

  • CEX volume rotation and demand for macro-linked markets, including oil, are boosting HYPE’s bull case.

  • A cup-and-handle setup is hinting at an initial breakout toward $50.

CEX to DEX rotation can grow HYPE prices fivefold

In a post published on Monday, Hayes said that if Hyperliquid keeps pulling derivatives volume away from centralized exchanges (CEX) and expands its product suite, HYPE could climb roughly fivefold from around $30.

To make it happen, Hyperliquid’s 30-day annualized revenue run rate must rise to $1.40 billion by August from $843 million in March.

Advertisement
CEX to DEX rotation (black line) chart. Source: Defi Llama

Such growth is achievable if the platform captures another 3.96% share of derivatives volume from centralized exchanges after already absorbing roughly 6% as of March.

Hyperliquid uses about 97% of its revenue to buy HYPE tokens from the open market. Therefore, most of the money the platform makes is used to buy its own token, which can support the price if trading activity keeps rising.

That structure, Hayes said, boosts HYPE’s odds of rising toward $150.

Tokenized oil boom: Hyperliquid’s bull case

Hayes’s bullish call came as the US–Iran war turned oil into Hyperliquid’s top-traded assets.

On Tuesday, CL-USDC, its crude oil-linked perpetual pair, reached about $1.29 billion in 24-hour volume, overtaking ETH-USDC at roughly $1.24 billion, showing traders are increasingly using the platform to bet on traditional assets, not just crypto.

Advertisement
Top-10 traded pairs on Hyperliquid. Source: Hyperliquid

The trend also supports Hayes’s broader HIP-3 thesis. HIP-3 lets users launch perpetual markets permissionlessly by staking HYPE, and Hayes said newer listings tied to oil, gold, silver and major US indexes are already gaining traction.

Related: Oil retreats from 25% surge as G7 weighs emergency reserve release

He argued that HIP-3 now contributes nearly 10% of Hyperliquid’s revenue and could grow revenue by 160% in the coming months if the DEX keeps offering macro assets like gold and oil.

HIP-3 monthly revenue statistics. Source: Maelstrom

Last year, Maelstrom, a family office fund tied to Arthur Hayes, predicted declines in HYPE prices due to $11.90 billion in token unlocks. Since then, the Hyperliquid token has fallen by roughly 40%.

HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Still, Hayes has also made several high-profile calls that did not play out.

That includes Bitcoin targets of $250,000 by the end of 2025 and $200,000 by March 2026, as well as a January 2025 call for TRUMP memecoin to hit a $100 billion market cap by inauguration.

HYPE technicals hint at initial breakout toward $50

From a technical perspective, HYPE may rally toward $50 in March or by April, based on a cup-and-handle pattern.

Advertisement

A cup-and-handle forms after a rounded recovery and a brief consolidation. It confirms when price breaks above the neckline resistance, with upside typically measured by the pattern’s maximum height.

HYPE/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Applying the technical rule to HYPE gives a measured upside target of around $50 if the price breaks decisively above the $35.50 neckline resistance. If the pattern plays out, it will result in gains of more than 40% from current levels.

Conversely, a pullback from $35.50 could push the HYPE price initially toward $30, a level aligning with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement line and the 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA, the red wave).