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Gold Price Falls to a Monthly Low

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Gold Price Falls to a Monthly Low

As the XAU/USD chart shows, gold prices today dropped below the 3 March low, reaching levels last seen in the third week of February.

Why Is Gold Declining Despite the War?

Geopolitical turmoil typically supports demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. However, in the current environment — with the Middle East conflict now lasting more than two weeks — the surge in oil prices and the associated inflation risks have moved to the forefront.

Market participants appear to believe that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates higher for longer. This increases the attractiveness of US dollar-denominated instruments, particularly US Treasuries and money market assets. Rising yields on US government bonds confirm this shift in expectations and simultaneously weigh on gold, which does not generate interest income.

Technical Analysis of XAU/USD

On the morning of 10 March, while analysing gold price movements, we confirmed that the long-term ascending channel remains in effect and also:

→ suggested that its lower boundary could provide support for gold prices;
→ noted that an important test of bullish momentum could come at the breakout level of the purple channel, near $5250.

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As indicated by the arrow, the XAU/USD chart showed a continuation of the bullish impulse later that same day. However, the move lost momentum around $5235, forming peak A, after which a sequence of lower highs and lower lows (A–B–C–D–E) developed.

At the same time:

→ the lower boundary of the long-term rising channel was broken following a weak rebound from B to C;
→ a descending channel (shown in red) has now become relevant;
→ the $5060 level may act as an important resistance area, where sellers were strong enough to break the local support S and push gold prices into the lower half of the red channel.

If bears continue to maintain control, the price of an ounce could decline towards the lower boundary of the red channel.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto World

PEPE, BONK outpace BTC price, ETH as “barbell strategy” wins out: Crypto Daybook Americas

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CD20 components

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Even as bitcoin rallies, non-serious tokens such as memecoins are emerging as the biggest winners.

Among the majors, bitcoin jumped more than 2% in 24 hours, and at one point early Monday briefly topped $74,300 for the first time since early February. Other tokens including XRP (XRP) and solana (SOL) gained over 4%, and ether (ETH) rose 7%. The CoinDesk 20 Index added nearly 4%.

But the top-performing token among the top 100 over the past 24 hours is the memecoin PEPE, which has surged 19%. Its compatriots BONK and PENGU are up over 10%, and SHIB also outpaced ether’s 7% rise. In fact, five of the day’s best-performing coins are meme tokens.

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This illustrates a trend observed since 2023–24. Observers have dubbed it the “barbell strategy:” holding a serious token like bitcoin, with growing institutional adoption, on one end, while speculating in smaller, non-serious coins such as memecoins on the other.

The behavior contrasts with the previous bull market, when BTC rallies tended to lift more productive sectors of the market, such as DeFi and play-to-earn projects.

One possible reason for the absence of a so-called “meaningful alt season” is the flood of new altcoins, which has spread demand across thousands of projects. CoinMarketCap data show the total number of tokens has surpassed 37.8 million in just three years, highlighting the massive influx of new projects.

Some observers are pinning hopes on the Clarity Act in the U.S. to reinvigorate the broader market. Others caution that time is running short for decisive regulatory action.

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In traditional markets, S&P 500 futures traded higher even as oil prices tested the $100 level. Nvidia’s GTC conference begins Monday, and CEO Jensen Huang could outline the company’s AI roadmap, an event the crypto industry will watch closely for signals on data center demand. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Crypto
  • Macro
    • March 16, 8:30 a.m.: Canada consumer price index (CPI) YoY for February (Prev. 2.3%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 16: Bakkt Holdings (BKKT), post-market, -$0.47
    • March 16: Bitcoin Depot (BTM), pre-market, -$0.47
    • March 16: Cango (CANG), post-market, -$0.34

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Decentraland DAO is voting on whether to allow registered users to customize the color of their avatar name tag and to add a more accessible volume slider to the UI sidebar. Voting ends March 16 and 17.
  • Unlocks
    • March 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 1.78% of its circulating supply worth $9.65 millon.
  • Token Launches

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 2.22% from 4 p.m. ET Sunday at $73,300.29 (24hrs: +2.02%)
  • ETH is up 5.98% at $2,259.15 (24hrs: +6.57%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 3.81% at 2,130.70 (24hrs: +3.79%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is unchanged at 2.74%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0041% (4.4435% annualized) on Binance
CD20 components
  • DXY is unchanged at 100.29
  • Gold futures are down 1.36% at $4,983.70
  • Silver futures are down 2.80% at $78.65
  • Nikkei 225 closed down 0.13% at 53,751.15
  • Hang Seng closed up 1.45% at 25,834.02
  • FTSE 100 is unchanged at 10,261.99
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.67% at 5,678.08
  • DJIA closed on Friday down 0.26% at 46,558.47
  • S&P 500 closed down 0.61% at 6,632.19
  • Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.93% at 22,105.36
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed down 0.91% at 32,541.93
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 0.16% at 3,584.57
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is up 1 bps at 4.28%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.37% at 6,660.50
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.45% at 24,504.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 0.78% at 46,957.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.22% (-0.29%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03088 (3.24%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 947 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $32.00
  • Total fees: 1.97 BTC / $140,987
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 111,895 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 14.8 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.92%

Technical Analysis

BTC's daily price swings in candlestick format. (TradingView)
BTC’s daily chart. (TradingView)
  • The chart shows bitcoin’s daily price swings in candlestick format since September 2025.
  • Despite the recent bounce, BTC remains trapped in a sideways grind marked by trendlines connecting highs hit on Feb. 8 and March 4 and lows from Feb. 6 and Feb. 24.
  • The next move largely depends on the direction in which the range play is resolved.
  • A similar price action unfolded in the two months to mid-January and ended deepening the selloff to nearly $60,000.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Friday at $195.53 (+1.19%), +2.72% at $200.84 in pre-market
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $22.35 (+8.34%), +2.68% at $22.95
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $9.32 (+6.39%), +3.54% at $9.65
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.04 (–3.17%), +2.42% at $14.38
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.49 (+1.54%), +0.73% at $16.61
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.76 (+2.20%), +3.18% at $10.07
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $8.97 (–9.94%)
  • CoinShares Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $38.28 (+0.83%)
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $115.38 (+1.05%), +2.88% at $118.70
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $36.62 (+1.05%), +2.40% at $37.50

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $139.67 (+1.70%), +3.10% at $144.00
  • Strive Asset Management (ASST): closed at $9.53 (+7.93%), +3.04% at $9.82
  • SharpLink (SBET): closed at $7.53 (+0.67%), +5.84% at $7.97
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $1.11 (+19.35%), +9.91% at $1.22
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.18 (+2.61%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $180.4 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $56.12 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~ 1.29 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $26.7 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.82 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~ 5.73 million

Source: Farside Investors

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Bitcoin Price Breaks Above 50-day SMA as Analysts See More Gains for BTC

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Bitcoin Price Breaks Above 50-day SMA as Analysts See More Gains for BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) found fresh strength during the early Asian trading hours on Monday as bulls eyed further short-term gains. 

Key takeaways:

  • Bitcoin price rises to a six-week high of $74,400 on Monday, liquidating $300 million in shorts.

  • The 50-day moving average above $71,120 is a key support level to watch for BTC/USD going forward.

Bitcoin leads market in new relief bounce

Data from TradingView showed 2.5% daily BTC price gains, with BTC/USD rising as high as $74,400 for the first time since Feb. 4.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Ether (ETH), the largest altcoin by market capitalization, was trading at $2,250 at the time of writing, up 7% over the last 24 hours. Fifth-placed XRP (XRP) has gained nearly 5% over the last day to trade just above $1.48.

Solana (SOL) has also posted significant gains among the top 10 cryptocurrencies, up 6% over the same period. As a result, the global crypto market capitalization is up 4% over the day to $2.49 trillion on Monday.

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Performance of top-cap cryptocurrencies: Source: CoinMarketCap

“Bitcoin pumped $1,800 in just 30 minutes, hitting a 40-day high of $74,300,” analyst Bull Theory said in the latest post on X, adding:

“It’s surprising how risk assets are performing better than safe-haven assets like gold and silver during an active war.”

Bitcoin’s relief rally is accompanied by significant short liquidations across the crypto market totaling $300 million over the last 24 hours. Meanwhile, Bitcoin futures open interest (OI) continued to rise, with monitoring resource Coinglass showing a 6% jump to $49.2 billion in the past 24 hours.

Commenting on the data, Coinglass said that the same pattern of the OI rising in tandem with the price “preceded the last volatility spikes,” adding:

“New fuel is building again.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin OI vs. price on Binance. Source: X/CoinGlass 

Bulls reclaim the 50-day BTC price trend line

Bitcoin’s latest recovery saw it reclaim a key support level in the form of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $71,120.

“Impressive strength on BTC today – set to close a daily candle above its 50MA for the first time in 55 days,” said trader and investor MacroSRG in a Monday post on X.

BTC rallied 33% in just a month following the last time the price reclaimed this trend line after a long period of trading below it.

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BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Bitcoin is also “set to close 8 consecutive daily green candles for the first time since December 2020,” analyst Max Crypto said in an X post, adding: 

“Last time this happened, BTC rallied 145% in just 2 months.”

Echoing this, MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said that while Bitcoin continues to build momentum, its valuation against gold “rallies substantially,” adding:

“There’s more upside to come; $ETH broke out of the range, which means it’s a matter of time until Bitcoin continues the rally towards $80K.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Michael van de Poppe

Along with the 50-day SMA, the BTC/USD pair now also trades above other key long-term levels, including the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) and the old 2021 all-time high at $68,300 and $69,400, respectively.