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Grayscale Lays Out 3 Arguments for Long-Term Crypto Investment

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Software Stocks Under Stress: Is Bitcoin at Risk?

The crypto market has faced a significant drawdown this year, extending the decline that followed the October market crash.

However, in its latest market commentary, Grayscale Investments noted that now may be an appropriate time for long-term investors to consider allocating to crypto.

Grayscale Report Highlights AI’s Resilience Amid Crypto Market Decline

Grayscale highlighted that the crypto markets saw a notable decline in early February, following the downturn in high-growth software stocks and other equity sectors tied to early-stage technology. Market data showed that during the first week alone, the total crypto market cap dropped by around 10.8%.

The market experienced a notable decline towards the end of the first week, with Bitcoin (BTC) falling to $60,000, while other major assets also saw significant losses.

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The FTSE/Grayscale Crypto Sectors Index dropped 26% from January 30 to February 5. The report also revealed that the artificial intelligence (AI) segment emerged as the top performer in February among crypto sectors. The sector experienced a more modest drawdown compared to others.

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“The outperformance seemed due to renewed enthusiasm around AI agents — autonomous software that can work independently on your behalf to pursue a complex set of objectives. Technological innovation appears to be accelerating with the rise of agent-based systems, particularly OpenClaw — a locally hosted productivity assistant that became one of the fastest-growing open-source projects in history,” the report read.

Kite AI, centered on agent-native stablecoin payments, and Pippin AI, which develops on-chain AI agents, both saw strong performance.

However, Grayscale’s report indicated a rebound, with the FTSE/Grayscale Crypto Sectors Index recovering 4% by the end of the month. The report added that metrics such as trading volumes and implied volatility have also “settled down.”

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Grayscale Identifies Key Reasons for Long-Term Crypto Allocation

With market conditions stabilizing, Grayscale presents three core arguments for long-term accumulation. First, is the relationship between blockchain and AI. The report asserts that AI and blockchain are complementary, not competing.

“In fact, blockchains will likely be the financial rails for AI agents, given certain advantages over traditional bank-based finance — as discussed in the popular report by Citrini Research on possible AI disruptions,” Grayscale wrote.

While crypto assets declined alongside software stocks amid the market slump, the report suggested that investors may eventually differentiate between technologies disrupted by AI and those that complement it.

Second, the report pointed to stablecoin and tokenization trends. According to Grayscale, regulatory clarity, including the passing of the GENIUS Act last year, is encouraging institutional investment in stablecoins and tokenized assets. Recent actions by companies like Meta, Stripe, and BlackRock further demonstrate the sector’s growth potential.

“In February, reports indicated that Meta may reinvest in stablecoins after shelving its Libra/Diem project amid regulatory headwinds, and Stripe said in its annual letter that ‘stablecoin payments are advancing quietly and inexorably as real-world uptake continues apace.’ Separately, BlackRock said it would integrate its tokenized money market fund BUIDL with UniswapX,” the report highlighted.

Although the Clarity Act is delayed in the Senate, Grayscale highlights that its potential passage could facilitate institutional capital inflows into the asset class.

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Lastly, the firm stated that the US economy remains healthy, with some indicators suggesting further potential growth. While there is uncertainty regarding the new Fed Chair nominee, Grayscale views the overall macro environment as supportive of risk assets.

“Overinvestment in AI is a medium-term risk, but the pace of innovation remains rapid and there are still shortages of data center capacity. The market reacted negatively to the nomination of Kevin Warsh to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, but we doubt he will be as hawkish in practice as some of his viewpoints while Fed governor (2006-2011) might suggest,” Grayscale said.

Thus, Grayscale Investments presents a compelling case for long-term crypto growth. However, investors must carefully assess their risk appetite and time horizon, as the crypto market’s unpredictability can affect short-term returns despite long-term opportunities.

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DOJ seeks forfeiture of $327K in USDT linked to romance scam

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DOJ seeks forfeiture of $327K in USDT linked to romance scam

The United States Attorney’s Office for the District of Massachusetts filed a civil forfeiture action Monday seeking to recover 327,829.72 USDT, allegedly involved in a money laundering scheme connected to an online romance scam.

Summary

  • DOJ is seeking to recover approximately $327,829 in USDT linked to a romance fraud and money-laundering scheme.
  • Investigators say the stolen funds were routed through intermediary wallets and converted to stablecoin to conceal origin.
  • The action underscores continued federal efforts to trace and reclaim crypto assets to return them to defrauded Americans.

Justice Department targets crypto laundering in online romance scam

The complaint, filed in federal court, names the cryptocurrency as defendant property and seeks its forfeiture under federal law as proceeds of fraud and laundering.

According to the complaint, the stolen funds originated from a Massachusetts resident who was targeted in late 2024 on a dating app. The fraudster, identified only by an alias, convinced the victim to send funds for purported cryptocurrency investments that never existed.

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Rather than investing the money, the scammers diverted it through a series of cryptocurrency wallets and ultimately converted it to USDT, a common tactic to obfuscate the origin and movement of illicit proceeds.

Several of the wallets in question were seized by law enforcement in August 2025 after blockchain analysis traced connections to the scam.

Under U.S. civil forfeiture law, property traceable to illegal activity may be seized by the government and ultimately returned to victims if the court finds it to be proceeds of crime. The Justice Department’s action allows third parties with a legitimate interest in the property to file claims before any forfeiture is finalized.

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Prosecutors said the forfeiture complaint is part of broader efforts to target online frauds, including romance scams, investment schemes, and cyber-enabled financial crime that increasingly leverage cryptocurrency to move and hide funds.

The case highlights both the growing sophistication of crypto-related fraud and law enforcement’s expanding use of blockchain analysis to trace and reclaim stolen digital assets for fraud victims.

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Bank of Japan eyes tokenized central bank money in blockchain push

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Bank of Japan eyes tokenized central bank money in blockchain push

Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo said the rapid integration of blockchain and artificial intelligence is reshaping the financial system, positioning central banks to play a pivotal role in anchoring trust as crypto-linked infrastructure matures.

Summary

  • The BoJ is exploring issuing or connecting central bank money to blockchain networks, including through Project Agorá and domestic sandbox testing.
  • Japan’s retail CBDC program remains active, with technical experiments aimed at preparing digital cash as a future “anchor of trust.”
  • Ueda warned that fragmented blockchain systems could create systemic risk unless central bank money bridges networks and ensures settlement finality.

Bank of Japan’s Ueda backs blockchain settlements, advances CBDC experiments

Speaking at FIN/SUM 2026 in Tokyo, Ueda described blockchain as moving firmly into its “implementation phase,” with decentralized finance (DeFi), smart contracts and tokenized assets increasingly influencing settlement, payments and cross-border finance.

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He emphasized that blockchain’s programmability, particularly atomic transactions that bundle multiple actions into a single execution, could streamline complex processes such as delivery-versus-payment (DvP) and cross-border transfers.

For crypto markets, the speech revealed two key themes: interoperability and settlement in central bank money.

Ueda warned that a fragmented ecosystem of multiple blockchains and traditional payment rails could create conversion bottlenecks and systemic risks if interoperability is not ensured. He suggested central bank money, potentially in tokenized form, could function as a bridge across networks, preserving the “singleness of money” while enabling innovation.

The BOJ is advancing several initiatives with direct implications for digital assets. Its retail central bank digital currency (CBDC) pilot continues technical testing, while Project Agorá — a joint effort with other central banks and major financial institutions — is exploring tokenized central bank deposits on blockchain networks for cross-border payments.

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A separate BOJ sandbox is testing how current account deposits at the central bank could be used to settle transactions conducted on distributed ledgers.

Ueda also highlighted AI’s growing role in analyzing blockchain transaction data for risk management and AML/CFT compliance, signaling closer scrutiny of crypto-linked activity even as innovation expands.

The message to markets was clear: blockchain-based finance is no longer experimental. But its long-term stability, Ueda said, will hinge on central banks embedding trust, liquidity and settlement finality into the next generation of digital infrastructure.

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Will Solana price crash now that it has charted a bearish flag pattern?

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Solana weekly on-chain revenue.

Solana price tanked over 7% on Monday as fears of the impact of the ongoing U.S.-Iran war continued to drive investors away from risk assets. Current technical signals suggest the token could be set for a downturn.

Summary

  • Solana price has remained in a downtrend as network revenue declined amidst a market-wide downturn.
  • A bearish flag pattern has positioned the token for more downside.

According to data from crypto.news, Solana (SOL) price fell 7% from $88.05 on Sunday to an intraday low of $81.86 on Monday, March 2. Subsequently, it attempted a breach of the $90 resistance supported by a broader market recovery, but the rally lost steam just below that mark.

On the monthly timeframe, Solana has fallen over 30%, and is down over 44% from this year’s highs.

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Solana price has remained in a downtrend as network revenues have fallen. Notably, the weekly revenue generated by the Solaba network has dropped over 30% from what was recorded during mid January, data from DeFiLlama show.

Solana weekly on-chain revenue.
Solana weekly on-chain revenue – March 3 | Source: Defilama.

The total value locked in the network has also fallen from over $9 billion recorded on Jan. 17 to $6.64 billion at the time of writing.

With both network revenue and TVL going down, investors are concerned that Solana’s explosive growth phase is over, and the memecoin fever that fueled the network is finally breaking.

Demand for the token across the derivatives market has also contributed to the downturn. Data from CoinGlass show that SOL futures open interest has scaled back by nearly 45% to $4.93 billion from its January high of $8.88 billion as traders unwind positions awaiting signs of more calmness in the global geopolitical landscape.

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Solana price is also affected by the market-wide downturn in response to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, which has pushed investors away from risk assets to more traditional alternatives, as they expect more volatility over this week.

The most recent trigger came after the retaliatory attack from Iran on U.S. ships over the weekend, stationed around the Strait of Hormuz, sparking a jump in oil prices. Investors are concerned this could lead to higher inflation in the U.S., which could likely force the Fed to hike interest rates or hold them steady at restrictive levels for longer.

Risk-assets like Solana tend to benefit from interest rate cut expectations and struggle when the Fed sets a hawkish tone.

On the daily chart, Solana price has formed a bearish flag pattern since the token entered a downtrend from mid January this year, before moving into consolidation over the past few weeks. Bearish flags have typically been precursors to further downward breakouts.

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Will Solana price crash now that it has charted a bearish flag pattern? - 1
Solana price has formed a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart — March 3 | Source: crypto.news

Other technical indicators also favour the bears. The Supertrend has flashed red while the Aroon lines have pointed downwards, with the Aroon Down at 50%, indicating that sellers still maintain firm control of the market.

Hence, Solana price risks dropping to the Feb. 6 low of $70 if the current bearish momentum prevails, especially considering the broader downturn. 

On the contrary, a rebound above $90, a resistance level that the token has struggled to break multiple times over the past few weeks, could offer the necessary optimism for a rally towards the $100 psychological resistance level.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Bitcoin Re-tests $70K as Loss Flows Drop to 2-Week Low

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) rallied to $70,000 on Monday amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. CryptoQuant data shows short-term holder losses transferred to exchanges fell to a two-week low, contrasting with the heavier selling seen in early February.

Bitcoin short-term sellers step back

The short-term holder (STH) profit/loss (P&L) to exchanges metric tracks how much Bitcoin recent buyers send to exchanges at a profit or loss. These participants tend to amplify volatility during stress events.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin short-term holder P&L to exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

On March 1, the realized losses fell to 3,700 BTC even as geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran escalated in the Middle East. Bitcoin dipped to $63,000 during that window, but exchange inflows from this cohort did not expand in response.

For comparison, on Feb. 5–6, the STHs sent 89,000 BTC to exchanges at a realized loss within 24 hours. That marked a peak capitulation window. Since then, the loss-driven inflows have steadily compressed.

Crypto analyst MorenoDV noted that the most event-sensitive holders have not accelerated distribution and exhibited “zero panic.” The drop in loss transfers signals that the sell pressure from recent buyers has cooled.

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A strong rally may depend on whether realized losses stay contained or reaccelerate toward prior capitulation levels during this period of geopolitical uncertainty.

Related: Michael Saylor’s Strategy buys $204M of Bitcoin in 101st purchase

BTC futures deleveraging meets external liquidity

BTC derivatives data indicate a significant risk reduction. Crypto analyst Darkfost highlighted that Binance open interest declined to 97,680 BTC from 130,800 BTC since the start of the year, a 25% contraction. 

The estimated leverage ratio, which compares open interest to exchange BTC reserves, fell to a 0.146 weekly average. Levels below 0.15 have historically aligned with aggressive deleveraging phases during this cycle.

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On the technical side, Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim its Monthly RVWAP (rolling volume-weighted average price), currently near the high-$68,000 region. The Monthly RVWAP is a volume-weighted average price anchored to the start of the month. BTC trading above it places the average monthly participant back in profit and often shifts the short-term positioning bias of traders.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The four-hour chart shows the price pushing through $70,000 and approaching the first external liquidity pocket from $70,000 to $71,500. Converting that range into support may trigger a price expansion to the $80,000 region, where prior supply capped upside in January. Crypto trader LP said,

“On the HTF, low-leverage liquidation clusters are stacking near and just above the range highs, sitting between 70–73K. These higher timeframe liquidity pools often act as magnets when they build in size.”

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin external liquidity levels. Source: X

The BTC spot flow data adds further context. Binance spot printed roughly $7.79 million in positive delta during the breakout leg, Coinbase added about $1.16 million, and OKX contributed nearly $3.7 million.

The positive delta across venues signals aggressive spot bidding rather than isolated derivatives-driven activity. With leverage use reduced and loss-driven selling falling, the market’s attention shifts to how the price may react around the $71,500 liquidity band.

Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Iran, Markets, United States, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Price Analysis, Market Analysis
Bitcoin spot data flows from exchanges. Source: exitpump/X

Related: Will Bitcoin crash if oil prices hit $100 per barrel?