Crypto World
Grayscale’s Zach Pandl says Fed pause may mark Bitcoin bottom
Bitcoin has fallen more than 50% from its $125,000 cycle peak, but Grayscale’s Zach Pandl has argued that the cryptocurrency may have already reached its bottom if the Federal Reserve stops raising interest rates.
Summary
- Zach Pandl says Bitcoin may have bottomed if the Fed ends rate hikes and economic growth remains stable.
- Grayscale sees the CLARITY Act, Fed policy, and Strategy’s finances as key factors for Bitcoin.
- Strategy’s $216 million Bitcoin sale strengthened its cash reserve and reduced concerns about forced selling.
Grayscale Research has presented two competing views of when the current Bitcoin bear market could end, with one based on the asset’s four-year cycle and the other tied to economic growth, real interest rates and Fed policy.
Pandl, Grayscale’s head of research, favors the second explanation because Bitcoin has increasingly behaved like a mature asset affected by the same macroeconomic forces that influence other major markets. Under that view, stable growth and an end to rate hikes could allow Bitcoin’s latest low to hold.
The cycle-based model offers a less favorable timeline. According to Grayscale, Bitcoin has historically reached a bottom about one year after its cycle peak and roughly two and a half years after each halving. Previous bear markets have also produced average drawdowns of around 80%.
Following that pattern, Grayscale’s analysis indicates that Bitcoin could face more selling before forming a low in September or October. An 80% decline from the latest cycle peak would also leave the asset well below the levels reached during its recent fall under $60,000.
Grayscale does not expect the current downturn to match those earlier losses, however, because institutional participation has remained stronger than in past cycles. The asset manager believes Bitcoin’s expanding role in investment portfolios has made macro conditions more useful than halving history when assessing the market.
Fed policy may determine whether Bitcoin’s low holds
According to Pandl, previous Bitcoin bear markets often coincided with slowing economic growth or rising real interest rates. The current decline has also unfolded as investors priced in the possibility of more Fed tightening and real borrowing costs moved higher.
If policymakers finish raising rates while economic activity remains stable, Pandl believes Bitcoin may not need another major decline to complete its bear market. A renewed increase in borrowing costs would weaken that case, particularly if persistent inflation forces the Fed to keep policy restrictive.
Grayscale made a similar argument in a June market note that identified Fed policy as one of three conditions affecting Bitcoin’s chances of securing a cycle low. The other two involved progress on the CLARITY Act and an improvement in Strategy’s financial position.
Its base case assumed that the digital asset market structure bill would pass the Senate, Strategy would strengthen its balance sheet, and the Fed would avoid additional rate hikes. Grayscale warned that a failure across those areas could extend pressure on Bitcoin.
“If downside risks materialize, we could see bitcoin fall moderately further,” Pandl said.
Explaining that weaker outcome, Pandl pointed to the possibility that the CLARITY Act could fail to pass this year, digital asset treasury companies could continue deleveraging, and the Fed could raise rates because inflation remains elevated.
The CLARITY Act would establish a federal market structure for digital assets and provide rules for exchanges, developers and token issuers. According to the Senate update cited in an earlier report, the bill reached the Senate calendar after committee approval but still required floor debate, possible amendments and 60 votes.
Bitcoin’s fall below $60,000 added urgency to those risks. Previous crypto.news analysis found that spot exchange-traded fund outflows and leveraged liquidations intensified the selloff as traders tried to defend the $60,000 area.
Strategy’s cash reserve has reduced a key market risk
Since Grayscale published its June assessment, Strategy has taken steps that the asset manager views as supportive for the company’s finances and Bitcoin’s price structure.
A July 6 Grayscale Research report examined Strategy’s decision to sell 3,588 Bitcoin for about $216 million. Rather than treating the transaction as evidence of financial distress, Grayscale argued that the sale strengthened the company’s balance sheet and lowered financing pressure.
Strategy used the proceeds to meet preferred-share dividend obligations and replenish its dollar reserve. According to Grayscale, the transaction lifted that reserve to about $2.55 billion, providing enough cash to cover nearly 17 months of dividend payments under the obligations in place at the time.
Pandl wrote that Strategy’s financing structure remained well supported despite concerns from some market participants. Grayscale also argued that the larger cash buffer reduced the chance that the company would need emergency funding or additional Bitcoin sales during severe market volatility.
Under Strategy’s updated treasury framework, the company may issue shares or sell Bitcoin when needed to maintain enough dollars for dividends. Grayscale believes that policy gives the company more room to manage its obligations and removes some uncertainty surrounding its capital structure.
The announcement initially pushed Bitcoin toward $61,000 before the cryptocurrency recovered above $63,000. Grayscale interpreted the improved cash position as a factor that could help Bitcoin establish a more durable floor by reducing fears about forced selling from its largest corporate holder.
Pandl’s macro-based outlook still depends on conditions that have not been fully resolved. Grayscale’s assessment leaves the current low vulnerable if inflation triggers another Fed hike, economic growth deteriorates or policy progress stalls, while stable growth and unchanged rates would support the case that Bitcoin’s bottom is already in place.
Crypto World
US Federal Officials Barred Until 2029 from Issuing or Sponsoring Tokens under CLARITY’s Proposed Ethics Rules
Senate Republicans have released the proposed text for the Digital Asset Market Clarity (CLARITY) Act, including language on ethics that would bar all US federal officials — including President Donald Trump — from issuing or sponsoring any digital asset.
In the 616-page text of the CLARITY Act made public on Wednesday, US lawmakers included language that the White House described as the “most comprehensive and wide-ranging ethics provision in history.“ The bill said all public officials, employees and their spouses would be barred from issuing or sponsoring digital assets and crypto platforms would similarly be blocked from listing assets issued or sponsored by federal officials.

Text of CLARITY Act released on Wednesday. Source: Cynthia Lummis
According to Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of the bill’s chief advocates, the ethics provisions would also apply to Trump, who faces significant pushback from lawmakers over earning more than $1.4 billion in 2025 from his crypto ventures. The ban on public officials would only be temporary, expiring on Jan. 20, 2029 — the day Trump’s second term as president will end.
The US Attorney General will largely be responsible for enforcing the ban rather than state authorities. As of Wednesday, Trump’s former personal attorney and acting AG Todd Blanche was awaiting a Senate confirmation vote to head the Justice Department.
“I wouldn’t support the bill if that’s the language,” said Senator Angela Alsobrooks in a Tuesday statement to Politico on having the DoJ behind enforcement of ethics. “But we’ll keep working from that floor to reach an agreement that holds us all accountable.”
The CLARITY Act, which awaits a potential vote in the Senate before returning to the House of Representatives and possibly Trump’s desk, still needs support from several Democratic lawmakers to meet a 60-vote threshold. Many Democrats have explicitly said that they will not vote for any bill without strong ethics language to address what some have called the president’s “crypto corruption.”
Will enough Democrats sign onto the bill?
Notably, CLARITY’s ethics provisions did not appear to include children of public officials in its temporary ban. All three of Trump’s sons are co-founders of his family’s World Liberty Financial crypto business, and two launched a Bitcoin (BTC) mining company, American Bitcoin.
“This bill applies one ethics standard to everyone, including the President of the United States, and backs it up with real enforcement, real penalties, and a Department of Justice mandate to act,” said Lummis on behalf of the US Senate Banking Committee’s subcommittee on digital assets. “This is not talk.”
Related: Nigerian president signs order on approach to crypto regulation, taxes
Senate Majority Leader John Thune reportedly plans to put CLARITY up for a vote on the Senate floor sometime next week regardless of whether it has enough support from Democrats to pass. The chamber only has a few weeks to hold a vote before it breaks for state work periods.
“[E]thics is far from the only thing at stake,“ said Solana Policy Institute President Kristin Smith in reaction to the CLARITY text. “The Senate has added a full disclosure regime, an entire illicit finance section, and improved spot market regulation […] The Senate has a real chance to pass durable, bipartisan market structure legislation.“
Magazine: The digital euro: Surveillance money, or a better alternative to cash?
Crypto World
$141M Fundraise to $8 Daily Fees: Movement Labs Files for Bankruptcy
Movement Labs has filed for Chapter 11 insolvency protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court of Delaware.
This follows months of controversy and a token scandal that left the network dealing with major financial issues.
Movement’s Bankruptcy Timeline
In its bankruptcy filing, the company said it has under 1,000 creditors, between $100,000 and $500,000 in assets, and more than $1 million in liabilities. The largest unsecured claim, worth more than $1.6 million, belongs to former co-founder Ruhikesh Manche. Other major creditors are the Delaware Division of Revenue and Anchorage Digital.
The firm’s problems started in December 2024, after it launched its MOVE token. But shortly after its debut on Binance, some $66 million worth of the tokens were dumped onto the market as part of a market-making deal with Rentech. This sudden increase in supply led to its price tumbling and wiped out billions of dollars in value within days.
Binance later banned Rentech for misconduct, accusing it of selling the entire stash just one day after the listing while placing very few buy orders. According to the exchange, the market maker earned a profit of $38 million before it removed it from its platform on March 18.
Movement then launched a token buyback program in response to repurchase MOVE tokens and restore liquidity to the ecosystem. It also contracted Groom Lake to review its deal with Rentech, after which it was discovered that it had ties to the Chinese market maker Web3Port, ultimately leading to the dismissal of Manche over the scandal.
Per the bankruptcy filing, the first creditor hearing is scheduled for August 20.
From $141M to $8 in Daily Fees
Interestingly, Movement had raised a total of $141.4 million across several funding rounds, including a Series A led by Polychain Capital. On paper, that level of funding should have provided the project with some financial stability, but the network’s on-chain activity tells a different story.
DeFiLlama data shows its daily app revenue has been less than $800 since November 2025. The project’s chain fees have also stayed in the single digits for months, with returns for the last 24 hours at just $8 per the same source.
MOVE hit a new all-time low on July 20, after a stormy few months where it went from about $0.041 in January to $0.01043 two days ago. At the time of writing, it had moved less than 2% from the all-time low, with its new level representing a plunge of over 99% from its all-time high of $1.45, according to CoinGecko data. Meanwhile, the network’s Total Value locked (TVL) sits at roughly $133 million.
Movement was originally made to link blockchains built on its Move programming language with Ethereum. But the layer-2 network announced in June that it would be pivoting toward cross-border payments, remittances, and dollar-saving products.
The post $141M Fundraise to $8 Daily Fees: Movement Labs Files for Bankruptcy appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Crypto PAC Pours $1M into Michigan Democratic Primary Race
An affiliate of the cryptocurrency-aligned political action committee (PAC) Fairshake is attempting to influence voters in a primary race for Michigan’s 13th congressional district, with about $1 million in media on the line.
In filings with the US Federal Election Commission (FEC) as of Tuesday, the Protect Progress PAC had spent more than $986,000 on ads supportive of Democratic incumbent Shri Thanedar and opposing his challenger, Donavan McKinney. The reported expenditures came two weeks before the Democratic candidates were set to face off in an Aug. 4 primary to determine who will stand in the November general election.

Source: FEC
The media spending echoed Protect Progress’ moves from 2024, when the PAC spent about $1 million supporting Thanedar. That year, he defeated Democratic primary candidates with 54.9% of the vote, and Republican and other party challengers in the November election with 68.6%.
Fairshake and its affiliates reported having $191 million in their war chest to potentially influence voters in key elections. The PACs are just a few of many aligned with the industry attempting to send what they consider “pro-crypto” candidates to the next US Congress. Others included Fellowship, backed by Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage Digital, and the Blockchain Leadership Fund, a hybrid PAC backed by Anchorage and Chainlink Labs.
Related: Crypto-backed candidates notch wins in three US state primaries
McKinney did not run against Thanedar in 2024, nor had he appeared to have made any significant public statement directly supporting or opposing digital assets. Thanedar, in contrast, voted for many crypto-related bills while serving in the House of Representatives, including the CLARITY Act, GENIUS Act and Promoting Innovation in Blockchain Development Act. He also reportedly lost more than $600,000 in the second quarter of 2026 after investing $3.7 million of campaign funds into crypto companies.
“Shri has voted for every bill [Donald] Trump and the crypto lobby have brought to Congress,” said McKinney in a Tuesday statement on the PAC spending, adding:
“The crypto lobby is paying my opponent back for helping Trump make over $1 billion since taking office.”
PAC’s sights set on Washington as well
In addition to Protect Progress’ activity in Michigan, the PAC spent more than $100,000 on media supporting Representative Greg Stanton’s reelection bid in Arizona. Like Thanedar, Stanton voted in favor of CLARITY and GENIUS in the House. He won his primary on Tuesday for Arizona’s 4th congressional district with 65% of the vote.
The state of Washington’s party primaries, also scheduled for Aug. 4, could see some influence from a Fairshake affiliate. According to FEC filings, the Defend American Jobs PAC spent more than $65,000 on media to support Amanda McKinney, a Republican running for Washington’s 4th district who has made at least one public statement supporting crypto. Representative Dan Newhouse announced in 2025 that he would not pursue reelection in the district.
Magazine: Will the crypto lobby’s $189M campaign get CLARITY over the line?
Crypto World
John Paulson says we are in early stages of a long-term bull market for gold

John Paulson, the hedge fund manager who made billions betting against the U.S. housing market before turning bullish on gold, said he believes the precious metal is only in the early stages of a long-term rally.
“I do think we’re in the beginnings or the early stages of a long-term bull market for gold,” Paulson said on CNBC’s “The Exchange” Wednesday. “As people lose faith in paper currencies, gold as an alternative will continue to grow.”
Paulson, whose wager against subprime mortgages became one of the most profitable trades in Wall Street history, shifted his focus to gold in 2009, arguing that the unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus following the financial crisis would ultimately weaken the U.S. dollar. Since then, gold prices have roughly quadrupled, topping the $5,000 threshold before pulling back.
The billionaire investor said demand for bullion continues to broaden, led by central banks that have been adding to their reserves alongside growing private-sector interest.
“Gold is becoming the most apt reserve currency in the world, replacing fiat currencies,” Paulson said. “The demand from central banks, for instance, has continued to grow, as has the private sector.”
Paulson also argued that investors stand to benefit more from owning gold miners than bullion itself, particularly companies with large undeveloped reserves.
“I think the greatest way to invest is to invest in early-stage gold stocks,” he said.
Paulson made the comments as NovaGold Resources announced it would acquire Paulson Advisers’ 40% stake in the Donlin Gold project in Alaska. Paulson, who serves as co-chairman of NovaGold, said the company offers investors leveraged exposure to rising gold prices because of its sizable resource base.
“NovaGold has 40 million ounces of gold indicated and measured resources and reserves at the market [capitalization] of $4.2 billion,” Paulson said. “I think the best way to play gold is through stocks like NovaGold, if not NovaGold itself.”
Crypto World
Crypto Industry Pushes for Senate Vote on New CLARITY Act Text as Democrats Blast Ethics Plan

Crypto executives and policy groups called on the Senate to move quickly after Senate Republicans released updated text of the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act on July 22, while key Democrats attacked the draft's approach to policing crypto conflicts of interest among government officials, the… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Coinbase stock sinks 4% as CLARITY Act odds collapse to 37%
Coinbase shares have fallen 4% to about $169 on July 22 as the CLARITY Act’s 2026 passage odds dropped 15 percentage points from the previous day’s peak.
Summary
- Coinbase stock fell 4% as the CLARITY Act’s passage odds dropped to 37%.
- COIN must reclaim $170.89 to target resistance at $180.70 and $190.51.
- SUI staking and a $150,000 SEC settlement added company-specific catalysts.
Polymarket data places the bill’s chance of passing before the end of 2026 at 37%, down from 52% on July 21, after disagreements emerged over how proposed ethics restrictions should be enforced.

President Donald Trump had agreed to include ethics provisions in the market structure bill, helping lift the probability on Polymarket and sending COIN stock 9% higher on July 21. The compromise, however, failed to secure enough support after some Democratic senators objected to assigning enforcement responsibility to the U.S. Department of Justice instead of state attorneys general.
Senator Angela Alsobrooks described the White House proposal as an “unserious offer” and stated that senators would continue working on language capable of holding all parties accountable. Her comments weakened expectations that the latest concession would end the dispute holding up the legislation.
Republican Senator Thom Tillis also indicated that the text was not ready for a procedural vote. According to Tillis, lawmakers still need to make changes before senators can support advancing the bill, leaving its timetable uncertain despite the renewed negotiations.
Falling bill odds have interrupted COIN’s rebound
Monday’s policy optimism helped Coinbase shares close above $170 for the first time since June 2, but the rally lost momentum as the disagreement in Washington returned. TradingView data shows COIN opened at $172.25 on July 22, reached $174.96 and fell as low as $168.32 before trading near $169.11.
On the daily chart, the latest advance also pushed COIN above a descending trendline drawn from its May high. Tuesday’s decline brought the stock back below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $170.89, making that level the first resistance buyers need to recover.

Momentum readings still show some support beneath the pullback. The chart’s moving average convergence divergence line has moved above its signal line, while the histogram has turned positive, a combination that TradingView’s indicator readings associate with improving bullish momentum.
COIN’s relative strength index stands at 53.68, above its moving average of 49.70 and well below overbought territory. According to the chart, this neutral-to-positive reading gives buyers room to extend the recovery if the stock retakes $170.89 and attracts follow-through demand.
Above that barrier, the Fibonacci retracement identifies $180.70 as the next resistance, followed by $190.51 and $202.65. A close above the $180.70 midpoint would strengthen the recovery case and place the psychological $200 area close to the 23.6% retracement.
Failure to reclaim $170.89 would leave COIN exposed to the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $156.92. The chart places the full retracement at $139.13, although the July price structure also shows several recent lows around $150 that could offer support before the stock reaches the lower target.
Bitcoin’s recovery to around $66,000 may provide an additional catalyst because Coinbase earns part of its revenue from crypto trading. Raymond James, however, expects subdued market activity to weigh on the company’s performance and has initiated coverage with a $158 price target, roughly 6.5% below COIN’s quoted level near $169.
Oppenheimer previously lowered its Coinbase target to $209, also citing soft spot-trading volumes during the crypto downturn. Despite its cautious stock forecast, Raymond James estimated that Coinbase’s expanding product range, including prediction markets, could eventually produce more than $100 million in annualized revenue.
New products and an SEC settlement support the business case
Coinbase added another service on July 22 by opening SUI staking to eligible customers. According to the exchange, users can begin with one SUI and earn estimated annual rewards ranging from 1.4% to 3.3% while keeping their tokens in their Coinbase accounts, although availability varies by location.
Alongside the product rollout, Coinbase secured a $150,000 settlement from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over missing communications from former Chair Gary Gensler. Coinbase Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal disclosed the agreement on July 22, ending the exchange’s Freedom of Information Act lawsuit against the regulator.
Under the settlement described by Grewal, the SEC will pay Coinbase and revise its record-retention rules after nearly 11 months of Gensler’s text messages were lost. Grewal wrote that the agency blamed a process that “automatically wiped” certain data, including communications Coinbase had requested while investigating how senior officials approached crypto policy and enforcement.
Coinbase had also sued the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation in 2024 for records it believed could reveal efforts by U.S. regulators to limit crypto companies’ access to banking services. The SEC agreement resolves only the related records case, but it adds a legal win as investors assess the exchange’s regulatory position.
Attention now turns to Coinbase’s second-quarter results, scheduled for July 30. Analysts expect earnings of $0.19 per share, compared with a loss of $1.49 per share in the first quarter, making trading revenue, new services and management’s outlook key tests for COIN after its policy-driven rally.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Tesla holds 11,509 Bitcoin despite another $112M quarterly loss
Tesla has kept its 11,509 Bitcoin reserve unchanged while recording a $112 million after-tax loss on digital assets during the second quarter.
Summary
- Tesla kept its 11,509 BTC reserve unchanged despite a $112 million after-tax loss.
- Bitcoin’s second-quarter decline reduced the reported value of Tesla’s digital assets.
- Tesla’s revenue beat expectations, but adjusted earnings and free cash flow disappointed.
Tesla’s second-quarter shareholder update showed that the electric vehicle maker neither bought nor sold Bitcoin during the three months ended June 30. The decision extended a holding pattern that began after the company sold most of its original position in 2022.
Bitcoin’s sharp decline during the quarter reduced the reported value of Tesla’s remaining crypto assets. The cryptocurrency traded near $83,000 at the start of the period before falling as low as $58,000 in late June.
By the time Tesla released its results, Bitcoin had recovered to about $65,840. The rebound came too late to reverse the loss recorded for the reporting period because Tesla’s digital assets are measured using their fair value at the applicable reporting date.
Tesla adopted the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s updated crypto accounting standard in 2024. Under those rules, eligible crypto assets are valued at current market prices, with quarterly gains or losses recognized through earnings.
The $112 million figure should therefore be described as an after-tax fair-value or mark-to-market loss, rather than an impairment charge under the accounting model Tesla previously used. The former impairment system generally required companies to record declines while preventing them from recognizing recoveries unless the assets were sold.
Tesla’s Bitcoin reserve remains untouched
Tesla’s reported balance of 11,509 BTC has remained unchanged across recent quarterly disclosures. At Bitcoin’s price of roughly $65,840 following the earnings release, the position was worth about $758 million, although its accounting value depends on the price used at the quarter’s close.
Arkham Intelligence also tracks 11,509 BTC in wallets associated with Tesla, placing the company among the largest publicly traded corporate Bitcoin holders. Tesla’s continued ownership contrasts with its decision to sell about 75% of its holdings during the second quarter of 2022.
The company entered the market in February 2021, when an SEC filing disclosed that Tesla had invested $1.5 billion in Bitcoin under a revised investment policy. Tesla said at the time that the purchase was intended to diversify its cash holdings and provide additional flexibility.
Following that investment, Tesla briefly allowed customers in the United States to buy vehicles with Bitcoin. Chief Executive Elon Musk suspended the payment option in May 2021, citing concerns about the use of fossil fuels in Bitcoin mining and transactions.
Tesla later converted roughly $936 million of Bitcoin into cash during the 2022 sale. Musk attributed the decision to uncertainty over COVID-related restrictions in China and the company’s desire to strengthen its cash position, rather than a loss of confidence in Bitcoin.
Since completing that disposal, Tesla has retained its remaining coins through several large price cycles. Its position survived Bitcoin’s fall below $16,000 in late 2022, the cryptocurrency’s subsequent recovery, and the latest decline toward $58,000.
No statement in Tesla’s second-quarter materials indicated that the company plans to restart Bitcoin purchases or reduce the reserve. Its unchanged balance instead continued the passive approach visible in its disclosures since the 2022 sale.
Tesla had recorded a $173 million after-tax digital-asset loss in the first quarter of 2026, according to its previous earnings report. Bitcoin declined from about $90,000 at the beginning of that period to roughly $68,000 by the end of March, reducing the value assigned to the same 11,509-coin position.
Revenue growth fails to prevent an earnings miss
Tesla’s core business delivered mixed second-quarter results while the Bitcoin loss weighed on its reported numbers. The company generated $28.2 billion in revenue, beating Wall Street’s estimate of approximately $26.4 billion and rising from $22.5 billion a year earlier.
Adjusted earnings came in at $0.33 per share, however, missing analysts’ expectations. Tesla also reported net income of about $1.11 billion, compared with $1.17 billion during the corresponding quarter of 2025.
Vehicle deliveries supported the revenue increase after Tesla handed over 480,126 cars during the quarter. The company’s delivery report put the total about 25% above the year-earlier period and made it one of Tesla’s strongest quarters by vehicle volume.
Profitability remained under pressure despite the sales recovery. Tesla reported an automotive gross margin of 16.3%, excluding regulatory credits, up from about 15% one year earlier but below the 19.2% recorded in the first quarter of 2026.
Heavy spending also pushed Tesla’s free cash flow to negative $1.1 billion, according to its shareholder update. The company ended the quarter with approximately $43.5 billion in cash and investments while continuing to fund artificial intelligence infrastructure, manufacturing projects, robotaxis and the Optimus humanoid robot.
Against those larger expenses, the $112 million digital-asset loss represented one volatile component of Tesla’s results rather than a cash outflow caused by a Bitcoin sale. Tesla’s filings show that the company still owns the same number of coins, leaving the reported value of the position exposed to Bitcoin’s price at future quarter-end dates.
Crypto World
S&P Unveils Digital Asset Index Tracking Blockchain Fundamentals
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Pantera Capital launched a digital asset index that tracks blockchain networks and protocols based on protocol revenue, marking a departure from crypto benchmarks built around market capitalization or token prices.
The index draws from the S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Asset Index but only includes assets that meet minimum thresholds for protocol revenue, market capitalization and liquidity. Eligible networks are then ranked by aggregate protocol revenue over the previous two quarters and weighted by adjusted market capitalization, with the largest holding capped at 35% and the remaining constituents generally capped at 20%. The index is rebalanced quarterly.
According to an announcement from the companies, the benchmark is intended for institutional allocation and may serve as the basis for investment products or as a reference for actively managed digital asset portfolios. S&P said the rules-based framework is designed to distinguish established blockchain activity from speculative exposure.
The index launched with 18 constituents, with Ether (ETH), BNB (BNB), Solana (SOL), TRON (TRX) and Hyperliquid (HYPE) as its five largest holdings, according to an S&P Dow Jones Indices Indexology blog post. The blog identified Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP (XRP) as the largest non-constituents compared with the S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Asset Index, reflecting the benchmark’s protocol revenue-based selection methodology.
Related: Pyth unveils continuous pricing indexes for US stocks and commodities
The launch also builds on S&P Dow Jones Indices’ broader expansion into digital asset benchmarks. Last October, the index provider introduced the S&P Digital Markets 50 Index, which combines 15 cryptocurrencies with 35 publicly traded companies tied to the crypto ecosystem.

Source: Tron DAO
Asset managers expand crypto index offerings
The debut follows a broader industry push to develop institutional-grade benchmarks for digital assets as traditional finance firms expand crypto offerings and tokenized assets gain traction.
Hashdex launched the Nasdaq Crypto Index US ETF on Feb. 14, 2025, the first multi-asset spot crypto exchange-traded fund in the United States. Franklin Templeton followed six days later with the Franklin Crypto Index ETF, a market capitalization-weighted fund tracking Bitcoin and Ether through the US CF Institutional Digital Asset Index.
The trend continued in April when MarketVector Indexes and Coinbase Asset Management launched the Coinbase Store of Value Index, a benchmark combining Bitcoin and tokenized gold using an inverse-volatility weighting model to provide diversified exposure to the assets.
In December, Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan said “crypto index funds are going to be a big deal in 2026” as the market becomes more complex and investors seek broader exposure to digital assets. He argued that predicting which blockchain networks would emerge as long-term winners was increasingly difficult, making diversified index products a practical way to gain market exposure.
Magazine: The digital euro: Surveillance money, or a better alternative to cash?
Crypto World
Dogecoin (DOGE) Prints a Major Buy Signal: Big Pump on the Way?
The biggest meme coin, like many other leading cryptocurrencies, has been underperforming over the past several months, with its price down 73% on a yearly scale.
And while the bear market remains persistent and could linger a bit longer, some analysts have highlighted key reasons why DOGE could be gearing up for a rebound.
‘Invest When No One Else Cares’
Dogecoin has dropped to its current $0.07 (per CoinGecko), but the renowned analyst Ali Martinez outlined that the weekly TD Sequential indicator has flashed multiple consecutive buy signals. He described the trend as “a rare setup that could be warning a major bull rally is approaching.”
X user Cryptollica also chipped in. They pointed to the “dead attention” surrounding the meme coin lately, claiming that investors looking to make money should hop on the bandwagon when interest is at its weakest.
The analyst also touched on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which tumbled below 1. This development indicates that most holders are sitting at a paper loss and the asset is trading below its average cost basis. Usually, dropping to such territory appears near cycle bottoms, suggesting the bulls may soon take control.
JAVON MARKS joined the topic, too, saying DOGE could be on the verge of a major rally and could mirror its performance in past years. That said, the analyst envisioned a parabolic rise to $0.653, $0.7, and even $1.25 in the following years.
Trader Tardigrade made the most optimistic prediction, opining that DOGE has staged a massive double bottom formation that could trigger a price explosion to as high as $3.25.
The Bearish Case
It is hard to ignore other factors that suggest Dogecoin’s valuation could head south soon. The first one is the asset’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has risen above 70. Such high levels indicate that the meme coin has entered overbought territory and could be due for a correction. Conversely, readings below 30 are often seen as buying opportunities.

Next on the list is the lack of institutional support. Spot DOGE ETFs have not been attractive for pension funds, hedge funds, and other conservative investors, and that is no good news for the valuation. The opposite scenario would have forced the issuers of these products to buy real DOGE, thus potentially fueling a price appreciation. Since day 1, spot Dogecoin ETFs have generated a cumulative total net inflow of just $11.77 million, which is far below what spot XRP ETFs, for instance, have attracted.

The post Dogecoin (DOGE) Prints a Major Buy Signal: Big Pump on the Way? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Tesla holds bitcoin steady, reports $112M impairment loss
Tesla (TSLA) held its bitcoin holdings unchanged during the second quarter, maintaining its treasury of 11,509 BTC as the cryptocurrency’s price declined 14% over the three-month period.
The electric vehicle maker reported an after-tax impairment loss of $112 million on its digital asset holdings, according to its latest earnings release. Tesla has neither bought nor sold any bitcoin since 2022.
Bitcoin fell from about $83,000 at the start of the second quarter to roughly $58,000 by the end of June amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty and volatility across risk assets. The cryptocurrency was recently trading at $65,840.
Tesla remains one of the largest publicly traded corporate holders of bitcoin, though its holdings are significantly smaller than those of firms such as Strategy (MSTR), which has continued to aggressively accumulate the cryptocurrency.
The company’s crypto update came alongside mixed second-quarter financial results. Tesla reported non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.33, missing analyst expectations of $0.55. Revenue came in at $28.2 billion, topping consensus estimates of $27.6 billion.
Gross margin was 16.8%, while GAAP net income totaled $1.11 billion. The company also reported negative free cash flow of $1.1 billion for the quarter.
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