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How Gold, Bitcoin, and Oil Have Performed Since Trump Took Office

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BTC Chart

The past year’s price action shows how politics, inflation concerns, and a weaker dollar reshaped market trends.

Gold has surged to new record highs, Bitcoin (BTC) has swung sharply, and oil keeps reacting to headlines since U.S. President Donald Trump began his second term in January 2025.

Over the past year, gold has jumped roughly 80%, while Bitcoin is down over 25% despite trading as high as $124,000 last October. Oil, on the other hand, has hovered near recent highs but continues to move on geopolitical developments.

Together, the moves show how less predictable markets have become. Instead of following cycles, assets are increasingly reacting to politics, inflation worries, and shifting expectations for growth, forcing investors to rethink what counts as a safe haven, a risky trade, or a macro signal.

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Gold: The Classic Hedge

Gold has been one of the clearest winners of the past year, rising about 80%. The metal traded near $2,941 per ounce a year ago and now sits around $5,300, as investors increasingly turned to it for protection against inflation, geopolitical tensions, and general uncertainty.

During the year, gold fell as low as $2,857 and hit an all-time high above $5,500. Jonathan Rose, CEO of BlockTrust IRA, said the rally shows how investors tend to return to fundamentals when uncertainty rises.

“If there’s one thing the current administration’s ‘America First ‘ agenda has proven, it’s that the market eventually stops trading on ‘vibes’ and starts trading on plumbing,” Rose said. He added that gold’s resilience stems from its role as an asset not dependent on leverage or liquidity cycles.

“It’s held by central banks and ‘old money’ that doesn’t panic-sell to meet a 4:00 PM margin call,” Rose said. “While the digital world was reeling from the largest leveraged liquidation event on record ($20 billion wiped out in a single cascade), gold acted as the asset of last resort.”

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Meanwhile, Sid Powell, CEO of Maple, said the metal’s performance reflects a familiar pattern during uncertain periods.

“In uncertain political and macro environments, gold has done what it always does – steadily attracting demand as investors look for protection against inflation risk, policy shifts, and instability,” Powell explained.

And this interest in gold has also shown up on-chain, with tokenized gold assets surpassing $4 billion in market value earlier this year as investors sought exposure to the metal through digital rails.

Bitcoin: The Volatile One

If gold has delivered steady gains, Bitcoin has delivered volatility. In the year since Trump took office again, Bitcoin has fallen around 25%. It traded near $95,740 a year ago and now sits around $69,000 – a far choppier performance than gold.

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And the path has been anything but linear. Over the past year, BTC rallied to an all-time high on Inauguration Day, reaching $108,500, dropped to a low of $74,000 in April 2025, and then rallied to a new high of $124,773 in October. This solidified its status as a highly volatile asset after being touted as a “safe” hedge against inflation for the first half of 2025.

BTC Chart
BTC Chart

For much of the year, BTC and gold traded closely together, both benefiting from inflation concerns and political uncertainty. But that correlation weakened in recent months. While gold continued climbing to record highs, Bitcoin pulled back sharply from its peak.

The divergence only accelerated after the Oct. 10 crash, when roughly $20 billion in leveraged positions were liquidated – the largest derivatives wipeout in crypto history. The event not only drained liquidity but also marked a turning point for crypto market structure.

Marissa Kim, Head of Asset Management at Abra, said the shift reflects broader macro dynamics rather than crypto-specific factors. “Since Trump took office, asset performance has been shaped less by traditional fundamentals and more by a breakdown in old monetary and market cycles.”

She said Bitcoin initially moved in tandem with gold and other assets as investors piled into what she described as the broader “debasement trade,” driven by inflation fears and uncertainty about the future monetary order.

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“While many ‘debasement trade’ assets have performed extremely well… BTC and crypto performance has lagged,” Kim said.

Oil

Unlike gold’s steady rise or Bitcoin’s volatility, oil has mostly been moving on geopolitical news, experts said, making it a bit more predictable.

Prices have stayed near recent highs, with U.S. crude trading in the low-to-mid $60s per barrel and Brent crude hovering around the upper-$60s to around $70, as markets weighed the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran nuclear deal and the risk of supply disruptions in the Middle East.

“Oil’s a different story, as it’s been a mix of geopolitics, supply constraints, and growth expectations,” Arrash Yasavolian, founder and CEO of Vanta, told The Defiant. “However, it got swept into the same reflation tape at different points.”

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He said the recent swings show how investors are once again treating assets based on their specific roles rather than broad macro narratives. “And now with unrest in Venezuela and Iran, oil feels much more volatile and less safe than gold,” Yasavolian added.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump’s recent proposal to raise tariffs to 15% after the U.S. Supreme Court ruled his emergency tariffs illegal has added new concerns about global growth.

USD: The Silent Influencer

While gold, Bitcoin, and oil have drawn most of the attention, the U.S. dollar has quietly shaped the environment behind their moves.

The U.S. Dollar Index is down around 8% over the past year, falling from above 106 last February to around 97.7, and earlier this year touched its lowest level in about four years. A weaker dollar tends to support commodities like gold and oil and can also make alternative assets like Bitcoin look more attractive.

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Analysts have tied the decline to a mix of tariff threats, fiscal concerns, and expectations that interest rates could move lower, factors that have also coincided with investors rotating into hard assets.

In that sense, the dollar hasn’t been the headline story, but it has influenced how other markets behave.

When looking at the entire picture, the moves across gold, Bitcoin, oil, and the dollar suggest markets are becoming more fragmented. It also highlights how each asset is increasingly reacting to its own drivers rather than a single macro narrative.

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Bitmine buys $139M in ETH as Tom Lee sees winter ending

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Bitmine buys $139M in ETH as Tom Lee sees winter ending

Bitmine Immersion Technologies has increased its Ether holdings again as chairman Tom Lee said the token’s recent weakness may be nearing an end. The company disclosed a fresh purchase of 65,341 ETH worth about $139 million, lifting its total holdings to more than 4.6 million Ether.

Summary

  • Bitmine bought 65,341 ETH, lifting total holdings above 4.6 million tokens this week.
  • Tom Lee said Ether’s mini-crypto winter may be nearing its final stage now.
  • Bitmine is nearing its goal of owning 5% of Ether’s circulating supply.

Bitmine said it has raised its buying pace over the past three weeks. Lee said the company’s base case is that Ether is in the final stages of a “mini-crypto winter” after several months of pressure across digital asset markets.

The latest purchase added 65,341 ETH to the company’s balance sheet. That brought Bitmine’s holdings to about 4.661 million Ether as of March 23, according to the company’s update.

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Lee also pointed to policy and market signals that he said support a better outlook for crypto. In the company statement, he linked that view to progress on the CLARITY Act and to the way Ether and other digital assets have held up during recent geopolitical stress.

Bitmine’s total Ether position now equals about 3.86% of the circulating supply, based on Ethereum’s circulating supply of about 120.69 million tokens. The company has said it wants to accumulate 5% of the circulating supply over time.

To reach that goal at the current supply level, Bitmine would still need roughly 1.37 million more ETH. At prices near $2,156, that would require close to $3 billion in additional purchases.

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Ether’s supply is not fixed. The total can rise or fall depending on issuance and token burning, so the amount needed to reach 5% can change over time.

Staking remains part of the strategy

Bitmine said more than 3 million of its Ether is now staked. That means the company is not only building a treasury position but also using the assets within Ethereum’s proof-of-stake system.

The company also reported other holdings on its balance sheet. These include about $1.1 billion in cash, 196 Bitcoin, a $200 million stake in Beast Industries, and a $95 million stake in Eightco Holdings.

Moreover, Bitmine is now one of the largest corporate Ether holders in the market. Strategic ETH Reserve data cited in public reports shows Bitmine ahead of other treasury firms, with SharpLink Gaming and Ether Machine trailing by a wide margin.

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The company’s latest move also reflects a wider trend that grew across 2025 as more firms shifted capital into crypto treasury strategies. 

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Cryptocurrency fraudsters gain ground as panic over the war fills social media

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Crypto Breaking News

Fraud networks work by using X accounts

ZachXBT determined that there was a group of X accounts on the network that shared updates related to war to gain some credibility and an audience. Most of these accounts would frequently post about the political happenings to become known to active users, and they also had the benefit of reposting similar content that would assist in increasing their reach as well as ensuring constant exposure.

The accounts later started to promote fraud involving crypto after gaining a following. They involved bogus giveaways and organized pump-and-dump operations on unsuspecting participants. As a result, the users, who interacted with content about the war, were exposed to false promises of easy returns with the help of digital assets.
The research revealed that operators used to switch usernames and account identities to minimize chances of detection. They also purchased older accounts that were already followed to sound more believable. In addition to that, the network employed the same message being sent repeatedly on a number of profiles, which enabled them to push scam campaigns within a short period and successfully.

Major Profits on Organized Plans

According to on-chain data, such synchronized operations brought a lot of money to the operators. One instance was the report by ZachXBT that a campaign generated six-figure profits during short-term token promotions. There was also one case where multiple accounts promoted the token known as ORAMAMA in a single day and then never promoted it again.

The emergence of the scams is a part of a bigger story with scammers exploiting major international events to target online audiences to trick them. The presence of fear and uncertainty in the current conflict has empowered purported scammers to integrate misinformation into financial frauds, although the social media platforms continue to be at the center of the operation plans. The results mention how scammers can use geopolitical tension to organize coordinated campaigns of financial frauds, whereas the social media platforms remain central to their operational strategies.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: War De-escalates, But Still Underperforming

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The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..

Bitcoin is experiencing a sharp sell-off, even as the U.S.-Iran war de-escalates, trading at the $71,000 level, and still is 4% lower than a week ago. The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction.

This retreat places BTC below its critical 20-day EMA of $70,515, signaling renewed bearish momentum in the short term. Amid the volatility, macro factors are heavily influencing price discovery, pushing the Fear & Greed Index down to a reading of 11, or extreme fear.

The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..
Fear and Greed Index, Alternative

While the immediate outlook appears grim, a major catalyst looms: the SEC decision on 91 crypto ETF applications due by March 27. Market participants are bracing for extreme volatility; an approval could trigger a swift rebound, while rejection may force a deeper capitulation.

Can Bitcoin Price Reclaim $73,000 Before the Weekly Close? Here’s Our Prediction.

Bitcoin’s failure to hold the $69,000–$71,000 consolidation zone has exposed lower support levels. Currently, BTC is struggling against resistance at $71,500, blocked by the falling 20-day and 50-day EMAs.

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The MACD histogram remains positive but is trading below the signal line, indicating that while selling pressure has eased slightly, bullish momentum is nonexistent. A critical defense line sits at $65,500; losing this level could validate a prolonged correction. Conversely, a successful breakout above immediate upper resistance at $73,600 could invalidate the bearish thesis.

The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..
BTC USD, TradingView

For now, we should watch the $73,600 level closely; a clean break here is required to shift the 14-day RSI from its neutral 50.20 stance into bullish territory. This cycle, Bitcoin price prediction focuses more on sentiment than chart structures.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Consolidates

While Bitcoin struggles to maintain the $67,000 floor, capital is beginning to rotate into infrastructure plays that solve the market’s fragmentation issues. The current bearish sentiment provides a pivotal moment for “pick-and-shovel” assets, or projects that gain utility regardless of whether the market trends up or down. As BTC dominates headlines, smart money often hunts for asymmetric returns in presale markets.

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Enter LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer 3 (L3) infrastructure project designed to fuse Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment. The project has raised more than $600K in its ongoing presale, with tokens priced at $0.0143 at a very early stage.

LiquidChain’s “Deploy-Once Architecture” allows developers to write code once and access users across three major chains, eliminating the friction of bridging while giving more than 1700% APY on staking rewards.

It acts as “The Cross-Chain Liquidity Layer,” offering sub-second unified settlement. However, early-stage infrastructure carries development risk; the roadmap must be executed flawlessly to compete with established L2s. Investors looking for a hedge against BTC stagnation can research the presale below.

Visit LiquidChain Presale

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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: War De-escalates, But Still Underperforming appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Alibaba (BABA) Stock Climbs Nearly 3% on Launch of XuanTie C950 Processor

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BABA Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Alibaba introduced the XuanTie C950, a cutting-edge 5nm RISC-V processor developed by its DAMO Academy division
  • The processor operates at 3.2 GHz with performance exceeding its predecessor, the XuanTie C920, by over 300%
  • Target applications include cloud infrastructure, AI inference operations, and agentic AI systems
  • The company plans a separate public listing for T-Head, its semiconductor division
  • BABA shares gained 2.98%, finishing at $126.06 on March 23

Alibaba’s semiconductor ambitions took center stage this week. During an internal DAMO Academy conference held Tuesday, the tech giant revealed its XuanTie C950 processor, claiming it represents “the highest performing RISC-V CPU in the world.”

The processor features 5-nanometer manufacturing technology and operates at 3.2 GHz, utilizing the open-source RISC-V architecture. This open framework enables chip developers to adapt instruction sets for specialized AI applications without incurring licensing costs — a strategic benefit for organizations deploying AI agents across large-scale operations.


BABA Stock Card
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, BABA

Performance metrics show the C950 delivering over three times the speed of the earlier XuanTie C920 model. The company has not disclosed which manufacturing partner produced the silicon.

According to Alibaba’s announcement, the processor targets cloud computing environments and AI inference tasks. End users will have the flexibility to configure the chip for specialized inference requirements.

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Building a Complete AI Ecosystem

CEO Eddie Wu articulated his strategy last year: positioning Alibaba as an end-to-end AI technology company spanning both hardware and software layers. That vision is now materializing.

During last week’s quarterly earnings discussion, Wu confirmed that Alibaba’s custom AI accelerators have transitioned into volume production. The T-Head semiconductor division is now competing directly with Nvidia and Huawei in China’s domestic marketplace.

T-Head has already onboarded significant enterprise clients, and Alibaba continues advancing preparations for the unit’s independent stock market debut. That initiative remains in progress.

The company maintains two distinct chip product families. The Zhenwu 810E lineup focuses on AI model training and inference capabilities. Meanwhile, the XuanTie portfolio, now including the C950, targets high-performance cloud environments and agentic AI deployments.

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RISC-V Emerges as Strategic Architecture

RISC-V has gained substantial traction among Chinese technology firms as geopolitical friction restricts access to Western semiconductor intellectual property. Alibaba ranks among the architecture’s earliest and most committed advocates domestically.

The standard directly challenges offerings from Arm Holdings and Intel. When Arm encountered limitations conducting business with Huawei following US export restrictions, RISC-V partially addressed that market void.

The C950 debut caps an active period for Alibaba’s artificial intelligence product portfolio. Last week witnessed the introduction of Wukong, an enterprise-grade platform engineered for AI agent orchestration.

Monday brought the global launch of Accio Work, the international edition of that platform. Targeting small and mid-market enterprises, it promises autonomous execution of sophisticated operational workflows.

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Earlier this month, Alibaba consolidated certain AI development teams into a newly formed division called Alibaba Token Hub, concentrating on enterprise-focused AI workplace solutions.

The competitive landscape: Token pricing for Chinese AI models has plummeted amid intense domestic rivalry, compelling firms like Alibaba to pursue margin protection and competitive differentiation through hardware and infrastructure innovation.

BABA finished trading at $126.06 on March 23, advancing $3.65 or 2.98% for the session. Pre-market activity on March 24 showed shares retreating to $124.94, declining 0.90%.

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Nasdaq and Talos Aim to Tackle Tokenization Collateral Bottleneck

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Nasdaq and Talos Aim to Tackle Tokenization Collateral Bottleneck

Nasdaq will integrate its Calypso risk and collateral platform and trade surveillance system with digital asset infrastructure firm Talos’s institutional trading tools.

The integration announced Monday aims to offer institutional clients a “unified” workflow for managing tokenized collateral and monitoring crypto and traditional assets for market abuse. It aims to ease a bottleneck in institutional tokenization, with Nasdaq citing internal research that roughly $35 billion in collateral sits tied up in “corrective and non-interest-bearing measures.”​

Nasdaq’s integration of its trade surveillance tools means that Talos clients will be able to run alerts for opaque tactics such as wash trading, spoofing and layering across the venues they access. 

The companies said the partnership is intended to bring “institutional-grade” compliance standards to digital asset markets.

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