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How Is the PMI Index Signaling the Start of Altcoin Season?

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Altcoin Dominance, PMI, and MACD-H Indicator. Source: Matthew Hyland

The decline in altcoin market capitalization has started to slow in the first week of March despite numerous negative geopolitical developments. In addition, the newly released PMI index is reviving hopes that altcoins may recover soon.

However, any recovery could face significant challenges as the proportion of altcoins trading near their all-time lows continues to rise.

Why Could the PMI Report Influence Capital Flows into the Altcoin Market?

A positive macroeconomic signal has just emerged, bringing renewed optimism. The US ISM Manufacturing PMI has remained above the 50 threshold for two consecutive months.

The ISM Manufacturing PMI reflects survey results from purchasing managers about their business conditions. It helps assess whether the US manufacturing sector is expanding or contracting.

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Specifically, the February 2026 PMI reached 52.4. Although it came in slightly lower than January’s 52.6, it still exceeded the forecast of 51.8.

Historical data shows that when the ISM PMI rises above 50—indicating economic expansion—it often coincides with strong rallies in Bitcoin and altcoins.

Analyst Ash Crypto explained that when PMI exceeds 50, the US economy enters an expansion phase. Corporate profits increase. Household income improves.

Consumer spending accelerates. Investor risk appetite strengthens.

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“If ISM stays above 50 for a few more months, the crypto winter could be over soon,” Ash Crypto stated.

Analysts expect that the ISM Manufacturing PMI remaining above 50 for two consecutive months signals the beginning of a new US business cycle. This environment creates favorable conditions for capital to flow into high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

Analyst Matthew Hyland combined PMI data with historical models and indicated that altcoin dominance has just confirmed a breakout signal.

Altcoin Dominance, PMI, and MACD-H Indicator. Source: Matthew Hyland
Altcoin Dominance, PMI, and MACD-H Indicator. Source: Matthew Hyland

The rising PMI, together with the recovery of the monthly MACD-H indicator and the breakout from a falling wedge pattern in altcoin dominance, suggests a potential altcoin season scenario in 2026.

38% of Altcoins Are Trading Near All-Time Lows

A recent report by CryptoQuant analysts reflects a still-bleak outlook for altcoins.

Darkfost, an analyst at CryptoQuant, stated that approximately 38% of altcoins are trading near their all-time lows. This marks the lowest level in the current cycle and appears even worse than the period immediately following the collapse of FTX.

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“This chart perfectly illustrates the current situation for altcoins. Investors remain cautious and continue to lose interest in altcoins,” Darkfost explained.

Percentage Altcoins near ALT. Source: CryptoQuant.
Percentage Altcoins near ALT. Source: CryptoQuant.

However, he added that severely deteriorating conditions can also create an environment where opportunities begin to emerge.

A recent report by BeInCrypto highlighted additional signals in March that suggest altcoins could recover. However, the excessive number of altcoins combined with tight liquidity conditions may limit the extent of any rebound.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: War De-escalates, But Still Underperforming

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The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..

Bitcoin is experiencing a sharp sell-off, even as the U.S.-Iran war de-escalates, trading at the $71,000 level, and still is 4% lower than a week ago. The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction.

This retreat places BTC below its critical 20-day EMA of $70,515, signaling renewed bearish momentum in the short term. Amid the volatility, macro factors are heavily influencing price discovery, pushing the Fear & Greed Index down to a reading of 11, or extreme fear.

The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..
Fear and Greed Index, Alternative

While the immediate outlook appears grim, a major catalyst looms: the SEC decision on 91 crypto ETF applications due by March 27. Market participants are bracing for extreme volatility; an approval could trigger a swift rebound, while rejection may force a deeper capitulation.

Can Bitcoin Price Reclaim $73,000 Before the Weekly Close? Here’s Our Prediction.

Bitcoin’s failure to hold the $69,000–$71,000 consolidation zone has exposed lower support levels. Currently, BTC is struggling against resistance at $71,500, blocked by the falling 20-day and 50-day EMAs.

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The MACD histogram remains positive but is trading below the signal line, indicating that while selling pressure has eased slightly, bullish momentum is nonexistent. A critical defense line sits at $65,500; losing this level could validate a prolonged correction. Conversely, a successful breakout above immediate upper resistance at $73,600 could invalidate the bearish thesis.

The broader crypto market has underperformed significantly this week despite a bullish Bitcoin price prediction. However,..
BTC USD, TradingView

For now, we should watch the $73,600 level closely; a clean break here is required to shift the 14-day RSI from its neutral 50.20 stance into bullish territory. This cycle, Bitcoin price prediction focuses more on sentiment than chart structures.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

LiquidChain Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Consolidates

While Bitcoin struggles to maintain the $67,000 floor, capital is beginning to rotate into infrastructure plays that solve the market’s fragmentation issues. The current bearish sentiment provides a pivotal moment for “pick-and-shovel” assets, or projects that gain utility regardless of whether the market trends up or down. As BTC dominates headlines, smart money often hunts for asymmetric returns in presale markets.

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Enter LiquidChain ($LIQUID), a Layer 3 (L3) infrastructure project designed to fuse Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment. The project has raised more than $600K in its ongoing presale, with tokens priced at $0.0143 at a very early stage.

LiquidChain’s “Deploy-Once Architecture” allows developers to write code once and access users across three major chains, eliminating the friction of bridging while giving more than 1700% APY on staking rewards.

It acts as “The Cross-Chain Liquidity Layer,” offering sub-second unified settlement. However, early-stage infrastructure carries development risk; the roadmap must be executed flawlessly to compete with established L2s. Investors looking for a hedge against BTC stagnation can research the presale below.

Visit LiquidChain Presale

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Disclaimer: Crypto is a high-risk asset class. This article is provided for informational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. You could lose all of your capital.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: War De-escalates, But Still Underperforming appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Alibaba (BABA) Stock Climbs Nearly 3% on Launch of XuanTie C950 Processor

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BABA Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Alibaba introduced the XuanTie C950, a cutting-edge 5nm RISC-V processor developed by its DAMO Academy division
  • The processor operates at 3.2 GHz with performance exceeding its predecessor, the XuanTie C920, by over 300%
  • Target applications include cloud infrastructure, AI inference operations, and agentic AI systems
  • The company plans a separate public listing for T-Head, its semiconductor division
  • BABA shares gained 2.98%, finishing at $126.06 on March 23

Alibaba’s semiconductor ambitions took center stage this week. During an internal DAMO Academy conference held Tuesday, the tech giant revealed its XuanTie C950 processor, claiming it represents “the highest performing RISC-V CPU in the world.”

The processor features 5-nanometer manufacturing technology and operates at 3.2 GHz, utilizing the open-source RISC-V architecture. This open framework enables chip developers to adapt instruction sets for specialized AI applications without incurring licensing costs — a strategic benefit for organizations deploying AI agents across large-scale operations.


BABA Stock Card
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, BABA

Performance metrics show the C950 delivering over three times the speed of the earlier XuanTie C920 model. The company has not disclosed which manufacturing partner produced the silicon.

According to Alibaba’s announcement, the processor targets cloud computing environments and AI inference tasks. End users will have the flexibility to configure the chip for specialized inference requirements.

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Building a Complete AI Ecosystem

CEO Eddie Wu articulated his strategy last year: positioning Alibaba as an end-to-end AI technology company spanning both hardware and software layers. That vision is now materializing.

During last week’s quarterly earnings discussion, Wu confirmed that Alibaba’s custom AI accelerators have transitioned into volume production. The T-Head semiconductor division is now competing directly with Nvidia and Huawei in China’s domestic marketplace.

T-Head has already onboarded significant enterprise clients, and Alibaba continues advancing preparations for the unit’s independent stock market debut. That initiative remains in progress.

The company maintains two distinct chip product families. The Zhenwu 810E lineup focuses on AI model training and inference capabilities. Meanwhile, the XuanTie portfolio, now including the C950, targets high-performance cloud environments and agentic AI deployments.

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RISC-V Emerges as Strategic Architecture

RISC-V has gained substantial traction among Chinese technology firms as geopolitical friction restricts access to Western semiconductor intellectual property. Alibaba ranks among the architecture’s earliest and most committed advocates domestically.

The standard directly challenges offerings from Arm Holdings and Intel. When Arm encountered limitations conducting business with Huawei following US export restrictions, RISC-V partially addressed that market void.

The C950 debut caps an active period for Alibaba’s artificial intelligence product portfolio. Last week witnessed the introduction of Wukong, an enterprise-grade platform engineered for AI agent orchestration.

Monday brought the global launch of Accio Work, the international edition of that platform. Targeting small and mid-market enterprises, it promises autonomous execution of sophisticated operational workflows.

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Earlier this month, Alibaba consolidated certain AI development teams into a newly formed division called Alibaba Token Hub, concentrating on enterprise-focused AI workplace solutions.

The competitive landscape: Token pricing for Chinese AI models has plummeted amid intense domestic rivalry, compelling firms like Alibaba to pursue margin protection and competitive differentiation through hardware and infrastructure innovation.

BABA finished trading at $126.06 on March 23, advancing $3.65 or 2.98% for the session. Pre-market activity on March 24 showed shares retreating to $124.94, declining 0.90%.

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Nasdaq and Talos Aim to Tackle Tokenization Collateral Bottleneck

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Nasdaq and Talos Aim to Tackle Tokenization Collateral Bottleneck

Nasdaq will integrate its Calypso risk and collateral platform and trade surveillance system with digital asset infrastructure firm Talos’s institutional trading tools.

The integration announced Monday aims to offer institutional clients a “unified” workflow for managing tokenized collateral and monitoring crypto and traditional assets for market abuse. It aims to ease a bottleneck in institutional tokenization, with Nasdaq citing internal research that roughly $35 billion in collateral sits tied up in “corrective and non-interest-bearing measures.”​

Nasdaq’s integration of its trade surveillance tools means that Talos clients will be able to run alerts for opaque tactics such as wash trading, spoofing and layering across the venues they access. 

The companies said the partnership is intended to bring “institutional-grade” compliance standards to digital asset markets.

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