Crypto World
How To Trade Crypto & Stocks In Trump’s Friday Strikes
Six major geopolitical and economic actions under President Donald Trump since mid-2025 have shared one precise tactical detail: they all happened on Friday nights, after equity markets closed and before futures liquidity fully developed.
This is not a coincidence. It is, according to pattern analysis, the single most consistent and operationally significant element of Trump’s conflict strategy — and arguably the most tradeable timing signal in macro markets today.
Trump’s Friday Night Strike Pattern Is the Most Tradeable Signal in Macro Right Now
Understanding why Trump uses Friday nights, and what happens to Bitcoin (BTC), equities, oil, and bonds in the 60 hours that follow, could give traders and investors a structural edge that most market participants are not pricing.
“Obviously, Trump chose weekends to carry out combat ops in Venezuela and Iran. Smart move to buy time before Wall Street opens and minimize market shocks. But here’s the structural shift: Markets used to rest on weekends. Now they don’t,” wrote Gracy Chen, CEO at Bitget.
Six Events Show A Singular Trump Playbook
The documented list by financial research firm The Kobeissi Letter is specific:
- On June 21, US and Israeli forces struck Iranian nuclear sites.
- On September 1, the US military targeted Caribbean drug boats.
- On October 10, a 100% tariff threat against China dropped after market close.
- On November 29, Trump closed Venezuelan airspace in its entirety.
- On December 25, military action commenced in Nigeria.
- On February 28, 2026, US forces struck Iran directly.
Every single one landed on a Friday night or early Saturday morning.
The pattern extends to Trump’s corporate pressure campaigns. On August 11, 2025, the Trump administration announced an Intel deal after weeks of public pressure on CEO Lip-Bu Tan, again, structured to land outside active trading hours.
That position returned over 80% in under two months for those who tracked the escalation sequence from the beginning.
The consistency across geopolitical strikes, tariff actions, and corporate confrontations is not accidental. It reflects a deliberate understanding of how financial markets process shock.
Why Friday Night? The Market Psychology Behind the Timing
When a major geopolitical event occurs during active market hours, price discovery breaks down. Liquidity thins immediately. Algorithms amplify every directional tick.
Intraday swings create panic that feeds on itself, producing disorderly markets that are difficult for any participant, including the administration, to read or control.
A Friday night announcement changes the dynamic entirely. Investors, institutions, and governments have a full weekend to process information, consult advisors, and model scenarios before a single share trades.
The shock is real, but the response is measured. Futures markets absorb the initial repricing on Sunday evening at 6 PM ET. This is a low-liquidity session where price moves are sharp but short-lived. Similarly, the gap between the emotional reaction and the rational reassessment becomes visible within hours.
This matters for Trump’s negotiation strategy in a specific way. Trump, by his own description and observable behavior, is highly responsive to financial market performance.
A disorderly market reaction during trading hours creates political and economic pressure, complicating his objectives.
A Friday night announcement gives markets time to digest, and gives Trump’s team time to read the reaction and calibrate the next message before Monday open.
The result: every Friday night event has been followed by:
- A Sunday evening futures shock
- A partial Monday recovery, and then
- A second, more sustained move in the same direction as the initial shock.
Is this three-phase sequence now repeatable enough to trade?
The 60-Hour Window: What Each Asset Does
The 60-hour window from Friday close to Monday open has produced near-identical cross-asset sequences across all six confirmed events.
At Sunday open, Bitcoin sells off 5–12% as it trades as a pure risk asset, with equity correlation spiking above 0.8. Ethereum (ETH) and altcoins fall by 15–25% from pre-event levels in the first 48 hours, as liquidity exits the most volatile assets first.
S&P 500 futures gap down 1.5–3%. Oil spikes 5–10% depending on proximity to energy infrastructure — Iran-related events have produced the sharpest initial moves.
The US dollar catches a strong safe-haven bid. Ten-year Treasury yields drop sharply as flight-to-quality demand floods the bond market.
By Monday morning, a partial reversal begins. Markets price a short engagement based on Trump’s well-documented preference for deals over prolonged conflicts.
BTC recovers 40–60% of its Sunday drawdown. Oil gives back 30–50% of its initial spike. Equity futures stabilize.
This Monday recovery is where most retail traders make their critical mistake.
The partial reversal appears to be a resolution signal. It is not. In every prior cycle, the Monday stabilization has failed. A second, more sustained leg in the original direction (lower equities, higher oil, weaker crypto) follows within 48–72 hours as the market acknowledges the conflict will not resolve quickly.
The correct trading behavior in the 60-hour window is not to react at Sunday open, because:
- Spreads are too wide
- Algorithms are front-running every move, and
- The liquidity is not there for clean execution.
The actionable entry for equities and BTC has historically arrived 48–72 hours after the initial shock, not at the shock itself.
The Bond Market Is the Real Signal
One element of the Friday night pattern that most crypto and equity traders overlook is the bond market’s role as a leading indicator of resolution.
In the April 9, 2025, tariff pause, the most significant de-escalation event of Trump’s second term, it was not equity market weakness that triggered the pivot. It was the bond market.
10 year Treasury yields surged sharply in the days leading up to April 9, signaling structural stress in fixed income that the administration could not ignore. When yields moved, Trump moved.
This dynamic has repeated across multiple cycles. Equity weakness gets bought. Oil spikes get dismissed as temporary.
However, when bond market stress becomes acute (when the 10-year yield is moving in ways that imply credit market dysfunction rather than simple flight-to-quality) the probability of de-escalation language rises sharply.
Traders positioning around the Friday night pattern should therefore monitor the bond market as the leading indicator of Trump’s next pivot, not equity prices or crypto sentiment.
What Makes This Pattern Durable?
The Friday night strike pattern has survived six confirmed events across radically different conflict types: military, tariff, corporate, and geopolitical, without breaking.
That durability comes from the underlying logic being structural rather than tactical. Trump’s three core second-term policy objectives are:
- Lowering inflation
- Cutting gasoline prices to $2 per gallon, and
- Positioning as a peace president in a midterm election year.
Every Friday night event creates short-term upward pressure on oil and inflation expectations. The Friday night timing passes as the mechanism Trump may be using to contain that pressure.
If history is any guide, he gives the markets a weekend to absorb shock before consumer-facing data, like gasoline prices at the pump, can register the move politically.
The pattern will break when one of two things changes:
- Trump abandons the deal-making framework entirely in favor of a genuinely prolonged conflict, or
- The Friday night announcement loses its market-timing advantage as participants anticipate and front-run the window.
Neither has happened across 13 months of observation.
Until one of those conditions is met, the 60-hour post-strike sequence (Sunday shock, Monday partial recovery, Tuesday confirmation) remains the most consistently repeatable cross-asset trading pattern in current macro markets.
As of March 3, 2026, with Brent crude above $85 per barrel and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down roughly 1,100 points, markets are in the phase that has historically preceded Trump’s conditional de-escalation signals.
The Friday night that created this moment is already history. The question is whether traders are positioned for what the pattern says comes next.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
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Crypto World
Aave governance rift deepens as major governance group exits $26 billion DeFi protocol
The Aave Chan Initiative, one of the most active governance groups inside the Aave DAO, announced its shutdown after a dispute over transparency and voting power tied to a record budget request from Aave Labs.
Marc Zeller, founder of ACI, announced that the eight-person team will not seek renewal of its contract and will wind down operations over the next four months. The group plans to continue participating in governance during that period while handing off infrastructure and open-sourcing its tools.
The exit marks a turning point for Aave, the leading decentralized finance protocol with nearly $27 billion in total value locked across 20 blockchains.
It comes weeks after BGD Labs, the team that built and maintained Aave’s V3 codebase, said it would also step away over organizational and strategic disagreements with Aave Labs.
Aave’s governance token, AAVE, is down more than 11% in the last 24 hours over ACI’s exit to now trade at $110. It’s down more than 44% in the past year, compared to BTC’s 24% drop in the same period.
ACI’s impact
ACI said it drove 61% of governance actions over the past three years and helped deploy $101 million in incentives. During that time, Aave’s GHO stablecoin grew from $35 million to $527 million in supply, and the protocol’s DeFi market share rose above 65%, according to the group’s figures. ACI said it cost the DAO $4.6 million over three years.
The conflict centers on a proposal from Aave Labs titled “Aave Will Win.” The plan asked the DAO to approve up to roughly $51 million in stablecoins and 75,000 AAVE tokens to fund product development, marketing and expansion tied to Aave V4.
It also proposed directing all of the revenue from Aave-branded products to the DAO. That proposal has passed its first formal vote over the weekend with around 52% supporting it.
ACI said it requested four conditions before supporting the proposal, including stricter onchain milestone tracking and limits on self-voting by addresses linked to the budget recipient. Those conditions went unaddressed, Zeller wrote.
The organization argued that addresses linked to Aave Labs voted on the proposal, ultimately tipping the outcome in their favor. In a post-mortem published on the governance forum, the group said the episode showed there is “no role for an independent service provider” if the largest budget recipient can influence its own approval without full disclosure.
Aave Labs has not yet issued a response to ACI’s exit.
Winding down
To settle its remaining obligations, ACI will submit a direct proposal to cancel its GHO funding stream and transfer 120 days of funding to its treasury address, with the rest returning to the DAO.
The group said it chose a lump sum approach because it does not trust the governance process to maintain its stream during the transition. After the proposal executes, ACI will also cut its own AAVE vesting stream.
Over the next four months, ACI plans to hand off or open-source the systems it built. These include governance dashboards, incentive frameworks, delegate coordination programs and its roles on committees such as the Aave Liquidity Committee and GHO Stewards. The group will step down from those posts at the end of the wind-down period.
The departure raises broader questions about decentralization inside large DAOs. In theory, token holders control the system yet, in practice, voting power often clusters around founders, early investors and large delegates.
If a single entity holds enough influence, critics say, independent oversight becomes hard to sustain. The decentralization question in Aave began to grow after the DAO started debating who controls the protocol’s interface and who benefits financially from it.
For Aave users, lending and borrowing will continue as normal. Smart contracts remain live, and other service providers such as Chaos Labs, TokenLogic, and Certora continue their roles.
Still, the loss of two major contributors in quick succession may shift how the DAO manages risk, budgets and future upgrades.
Crypto World
The users of blockchain will be AI agents, NEAR co-founder says
SAN FRANCISCO, CA – For years, the crypto industry has searched for its next breakout moment — something on the scale of DeFi summer or the NFT boom. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence has quietly embedded itself into daily life. Developers use ChatGPT as a co-pilot. Consumers rely on AI assistants to draft emails, plan travel, and increasingly manage workflows. Crypto, by comparison, still feels infrastructural.
Illia Polosukhin, co-founder of NEAR, believes that divide is about to collapse — but not in the way many expect.
“The users of blockchain will be AI agents,” Polosukhin said in an interview. “AI is going to be on the front end, and blockchain is going to be the back end.”
His framing cuts against much of crypto’s recent experimentation with AI, which has largely centered on speculative tokens, memecoins and agent-themed trading bots. Instead, Polosukhin argues that AI will become the primary interface layer for everything online, including crypto, abstracting away wallets, explorers and transaction hashes.
“The goal is to make your AI hide all the blockchain,” he said. “The fact that we have [blockchain] explorers is effectively a failure, because we don’t abstract the technology.”
In this view, blockchain doesn’t disappear — it recedes. AI agents interact with protocols directly, executing payments, managing assets, coordinating services and even voting in governance systems. Humans, meanwhile, interact with the AI.
“AI is the front end, not just for blockchain, but for everything,” Polosukhin said. “In a few years, it’s going to be just AI, like the operating system.”
That shift, he argues, could explain why crypto hasn’t had an “AI moment” comparable to the consumer explosion of generative tools. “Blockchain is inherently financial,” he said. “It will be limited to finance, but everything we do in our life is finance.”
Rather than competing with AI platforms, crypto’s role may be to provide neutral financial rails beneath them: settlement, ownership, verifiability and programmable incentives.
Still, Polosukhin is critical of how the industry has approached both AI and governance so far — comments that come just days after Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin proposed “AI stewards” to help reinvent DAO governance.
“In blockchain, we propose technical solutions before asking: what is the core problem?” he said.
He points to decentralized autonomous organizations, or DAOs, as an example. “DAOs have dramatically failed because they have been unbounded, not really designed to solve any problem,” he said, arguing that governance tools, including AI-assisted voting agents, only make sense if they’re tied to clearly defined economic or coordination needs.
Another friction point between the AI and crypto communities has been culture. “The memecoins are ruining [the industry’s] reputation,” Polosukhin said, arguing that rampant speculation and scams have alienated serious AI researchers. “AI people are banning crypto effectively because of memecoins.”
The longer-term convergence, however, may be less about token launches and more about infrastructure. As AI systems increasingly act on users’ behalf, like paying bills, hiring services, allocating capital, they will require trusted execution, privacy and programmable financial coordination.
“Blockchain is about neutral markets and neutral infrastructure,” Polosukhin said.
If AI becomes the operating system of the internet, crypto’s future may not lie in being the app users open, but in becoming the invisible settlement layer their AI agents quietly depend on.
Read more: NEAR Launches Near.com super app, touting AI capabilities and confidential transactions
Crypto World
Trump urges passage of U.S. Clarity Act, attacks banks for ‘undercutting’ GENIUS
U.S. President Donald Trump said bankers are trying to undermine the GENIUS Act — the signature stablecoin legislation he signed into law last year — in a Truth Social post Tuesday, and he urged passage of Congress’ crypto market structure legislation without interference.
“The U.S. needs to get Market Structure done, ASAP. Americans should earn more money on their money,” he said in the post. “The Banks are hitting record profits, and we are not going to allow them to undermine our powerful Crypto Agenda that will end up going to China, and other Countries if we don’t get The Clarity Act taken care of.”
He warned banks against holding the Clarity Act “hostage” in his post, saying the bill was necessary to keep the crypto industry in the U.S.
“They need to make a good deal with the Crypto Industry because that’s what’s in best interest of the American People,” he said.
The market structure bill has been in limbo since the Senate Banking Committee indefinitely postponed a markup hearing, in which lawmakers were set to debate and vote on amendments to the bill, in January. There are a number of issues still holding up passage of the bill, but the most public fight has been between the banking and crypto sectors over whether third parties can offer yield on stablecoin deposits to customers.
Banks are concerned that allowing Coinbase and other exchanges to offer stablecoin yield to customers might lead to deposit flight from the banking sector. Crypto companies contend that people should be allowed to earn yield on their holdings, a practice they say was allowed in the GENIUS Act.
The White House has facilitated meetings between banking and crypto industry representatives to negotiate the language of the bill. Individuals familiar with the negotiations say draft language is circulating among lawmakers.
While the White House had set a tentative deadline for the end of February to get a deal together, one has not yet emerged. The Senate still has time to work on the bill, but the calendar is beginning to shrink. Lawmakers have a recess during the summer, and the 2026 election cycle is beginning to kick into full gear, which will take away from time they could dedicate to the bill otherwise.
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, a federal banking regulator, said in a rule proposal last week that the terms of the contracts between stablecoin issuers and their third-party associates need to be clear about what exactly these third parties are offering, but the agency did not explicitly ban yield payouts.
World Liberty Financial, a company associated with Trump and his family, offers its own stablecoin, USD1, and it recently sought to secure a trust charter under the OCC for an affiliated firm.
The post about the Clarity Act was an abrupt dip into financial policy after Trump spent the last few days overseeing U.S. military strikes against Iran, in what the U.S. government has described as a “special combat operation.” The emerging hostilities have disrupted air travel throughout the Middle East, as well as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Read more: Bitcoin is stuck in a rut but JPMorgan says new legislation could be the ultimate spark
UPDATE (March 3, 2026, 20:25 UTC): Adds additional detail.
Crypto World
CFTC Chair Teases Crypto Perpetual Futures Coming Next Month
Regulators in Washington signaled renewed urgency around how crypto markets are structured and regulated, as a Milken Institute panel brought together key U.S. overseers to discuss perpetual futures, prediction markets and the broader market framework. CFTC Chair Michael Selig outlined a path to US-accessible perpetual futures, while SEC Chair Paul Atkins pressed for greater congressional clarity to steer crypto policy. The conversations come amid ongoing questions about governance, enforcement actions against prediction-market platforms, and a stalled market-structure bill that remains the subject of intense debate in Congress. With the CFTC short of a full slate and lawmakers weighing ethics, stablecoins and tokenized equities, the regulatory tempo appears poised to intensify in the weeks ahead.
During the Washington event, Selig said the Commission is actively pursuing a pathway to “true perpetual futures” for digital assets in the United States, aiming to deliver a functional version “within the next month or so.” The comments underscored a coordinated push to bring crypto product design closer to traditional futures markets and to anchor these instruments within a domestic legal framework rather than offshore venues. Selig’s remarks reflect a broader objective: reduce regulatory arbs and promote market integrity by establishing a clear, US-based regime for innovative derivatives tied to cryptocurrencies.
Notably, Selig currently stands as the sole Senate-confirmed commissioner at the CFTC, a vacancy-heavy backdrop that has persisted for months. He noted the agency’s reliance on a sense of congressional direction to advance policy and market structure reforms, underscoring how essential new leadership could be for momentum. In a panel exchange with Atkins, Selig pointed to the reality that, historically, “the prior administration drove a lot of these firms and the liquidity offshore,” a reality many market participants have cited as a driver of fragmented liquidity and uneven regulatory oversight.
Beyond futures, Selig signaled that the CFTC intends to publish guidance on prediction markets “in the very near future.” The agency has long asserted jurisdiction over event-contract platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket, a stance that has drawn scrutiny from states pursuing their own enforcement actions against these operators. The discussion at Milken highlighted a recurring theme in crypto policy: the tension between federal authority and state-level actions, and the need for clear, uniform standards to prevent a patchwork regulatory environment that complicates compliance for innovators and operators alike.
On the topic of market structure, Atkins stressed the importance of legislative clarity. He described the ongoing digital asset market-structure bill as moving through Congress but effectively paused as the White House and lawmakers navigate debates over ethics, stablecoin yield and tokenized equities. Atkins argued that the SEC needs statutory direction to direct the courts and support the commission’s crypto initiatives, while Selig countered that “there’s only so much you can do without legal certainty from Congress.” The exchange of views captured a broader cross-agency push for a map of responsibilities that could harmonize enforcement, supervision and market access for crypto products.
These remarks come as the Senate Banking Committee has not yet scheduled a markup for the market-structure bill, according to multiple briefings. The White House has been holding a stream of talks with industry leaders on stablecoin yield, a topic that continues to generate both optimism and risk for policy pathways. While administration officials have signaled interest in advancing a framework, observers note that substantive progress remains contingent on navigating concerns about consumer protections, financial stability and the implications for the broader asset class. The absence of a clear legislative timetable has left exchanges, liquidity providers and investors watching closely for any signs of accelerated action or renewed negotiation on key provisions.
Why it matters
The near-term focus on perpetual futures, prediction markets and market structure signals that the U.S. regulatory narrative around crypto is shifting from scattered enforcement and piecemeal guidance toward a more integrated framework. If the CFTC can operationalize a US-based perpetual futures regime in weeks, it could draw liquidity back from offshore venues and consolidate activity within regulated platforms, potentially improving transparency, disclosure and risk controls for retail and institutionally backed trades.
At the same time, the push to clarify the regulatory status of prediction markets—platforms that allow users to trade on event outcomes—has the potential to redefine how decentralized information markets operate in the United States. The CFTC’s insistence on exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts contrasts with ongoing state-level actions against Kalshi and Polymarket, highlighting a broader strategic debate about federal supremacy versus state experimentation. The outcome could influence where innovation remains permissible and where compliance costs rise, shaping the trajectory of experimentation in event-based speculation and its integration with broader DeFi ecosystems.
Meanwhile, the market-structure bill sits at a crossroads. Proponents argue that a statutory framework would reduce uncertainty for market participants and provide a clear mandate for both the CFTC and the SEC. Critics contend that the legislation, if rushed, may neglect nuanced issues such as governance, transparency, and consumer protection. The discussions around stablecoins—central to the policy package—illustrate how a single policy thread can ripple across multiple regulatory domains, affecting liquidity, yield strategies and the potential for tokenized financial instruments. The net effect for users and builders is a heightened need for precise, verifiable guidance and a predictable regulatory clock that can support sustainable product development.
These developments are unfolding against a backdrop of ongoing policy chatter and industry dialogue. The Milken Institute event, the subsequent reporting on Selig’s remarks, and the broader media coverage of market-structure debates collectively reinforce a sense that Washington is recalibrating how crypto markets should operate within a traditional financial framework. As policymakers weigh the balance between innovation and protection, the sector watches for concrete milestones—whether a formal rulemaking, a legislative markup, or a fresh round of guidance—that could anchor near-term decisions around product design, liquidity strategies and risk management.
For investors and developers, the implications are twofold. First, a cleared path for perpetual futures could attract more liquidity to compliant, U.S.-based venues, reducing reliance on offshore liquidity pools that have often been a feature of the crypto derivatives landscape. Second, clear guidance or legislation on prediction markets and stablecoins would help define permissible structures and capital requirements, potentially unlocking new product categories while imposing guardrails designed to reduce systemic risk. In short, the next few weeks could prove pivotal for how deeply regulated, institutionally aligned crypto markets become in the United States, and how much of the global liquidity shift back toward home shores will actually materialize.
As policymakers keep their focus on the balance between innovation and protection, market participants should monitor several concrete signals: when the CFTC releases its true perpetual-futures guidance; whether prediction markets receive formal regulatory clarity; whether the market-structure bill advances in markup; and how the White House’s ongoing discussions with industry translate into concrete policy proposals. The convergence or divergence of these threads will likely shape the trajectory of U.S. crypto market infrastructure for the remainder of the year.
Crypto World
Core Scientific’s Bitcoin Sell-Off Raises Questions About DATs
Core Scientific, a Bitcoin mining company, announced this week its plans to sell nearly all of its Bitcoin holdings to fund its shift towards AI and high-performance computing.
The move reflected a broader trend in the Bitcoin mining industry. However, it also raised questions over the purpose of sustaining Bitcoin treasuries, especially in light of a broader market downturn.
Bitcoin Miner Reduces Holdings for Growth
Core Scientific unveiled on Monday its plans to use the proceeds from its Bitcoin sales to finance its growing data center buildout. According to its most recent 10-K filing, the company sold 1,924 Bitcoin between December and February for aggregate proceeds of nearly $176 million.
According to Bitcoin Treasuries, Core Scientific currently holds 613 Bitcoin, worth nearly $42 million.
The company also announced that it will transition its Pecos, Texas, facility from Bitcoin mining to colocation services, a move that aligns with rising demand for artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure.
The change reflects a broader trend among Bitcoin miners seeking more lucrative business models. It also coincides with weaker Bitcoin prices and rising energy costs, which have burdened miners’ operations.
Last December, BeInCrypto reported that Bitcoin mining profitability hit record lows by the end of 2025, with 70% of the top 10 Bitcoin mining companies already generating revenue from infrastructure services.
Core Scientific became the latest miner to do so, joining CleanSpark, Riot Platforms, and IREN, among others.
However, its latest move not only reflects general restructuring but also indicates a shift away from Bitcoin accumulation.
Bitcoin’s Stagnation Raises Questions for DATs
Core Scientific’s Bitcoin holdings, prior to its recent sell-off, were not among the largest in the industry. According to Bitcoin Treasuries, it ranks 59th out of the top 100 public Bitcoin treasury companies.
However, the scale of this sell-off has sparked questions about the future profitability of digital asset treasuries (DATs).
This shift also coincides with MARA Holdings revising its treasury policy, now allowing the sale of Bitcoin held directly on its balance sheet.
The announcement marked the second-largest Bitcoin holding company’s sharp departure from its prior “full HODL” stance. It also raised broader questions over whether other DATs will soon follow suit.
Bitcoin’s failure to reach new highs, instead stagnating, has raised broader concerns. As of writing, its price is $68,000, but it has fallen 11% over the past month and 27% over the past three months.
The possibility of Bitcoin returning to its previous all-time high of $126,000 now seems increasingly unlikely.
Meanwhile, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), the top Bitcoin treasury holder, remains committed to Bitcoin, with founder Michael Saylor tweeting on Tuesday, “I’m buying Bitcoin right now. Are you?”
However, the volatility of its stock, MSTR, has raised concerns about investor confidence.
Meanwhile, Phong Le, the company’s CEO, admitted last November that Strategy might be forced to sell Bitcoin under specific crisis conditions.
Crypto World
MARA Clarifies Bitcoin Strategy After 10-K Misinterpretation
MARA Holdings, one of the world’s largest Bitcoin mining companies, has rejected claims that it plans to unload the majority of its Bitcoin holdings following speculation about a shift in its treasury policy.
The clarification came in a post on X from MARA vice president for investor relations Robert Samuels, who said the company has not altered its core Bitcoin (BTC) treasury approach.
His remarks were a direct response to SwanDesk adviser Jacob King, who claimed Tuesday that MARA had shifted toward a sell-down strategy, citing filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. King’s post had received more than 325,000 views at the time of writing.
Samuels pointed to the company’s 2026 10-K filing, which states that MARA expanded its policy to allow for potential sales of Bitcoin held on its balance sheet.

“Our 2026 10-K clearly states we expanded our strategy to allow for sales of bitcoin held on our balance sheet,” Samuels wrote.
As Cointelegraph initially reported, the filing authorizes discretionary transactions based on market conditions and capital allocation priorities, rather than mandating a reduction in reserves.
The distinction, Samuels argued, is between preserving optionality and committing to a material drawdown of Bitcoin treasury holdings.
MARA has historically positioned itself as a long-term Bitcoin holder, making any perceived shift in its treasury strategy closely watched by investors and market participants.
Related: Bitcoin mining’s 2026 reckoning: AI pivots, margin pressure and a fight to survive
MARA doubles down on diversification while maintaining a large BTC treasury
While MARA has broadened its operational footprint in recent years, its balance sheet remains heavily tied to Bitcoin exposure.
That diversification accelerated last month when MARA acquired a 64% stake in Exaion, a France-based computing infrastructure company focused on high-performance computing and blockchain services.
Even so, Bitcoin remains central to MARA’s balance sheet. The company holds 53,822 BTC, valued at about $3.7 billion, making it the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miner by treasury size.

Among public companies overall, only Michael Saylor’s Strategy holds more, with over 720,000 BTC accumulated to date.
Related: American Bitcoin boosts hashrate with 11,298 new mining machines
Crypto World
Bybit Retrieves $300M for Thousands of Users Through AI-Enhanced Fraud Prevention: Report
Beyond recoveries, Bybit blocked 3 million credential-stuffing attempts tied to account takeover schemes in 2025.
Bybit has reported recovering $300 million for thousands of users at a time when crypto-related fraud remains high across the industry.
The exchange attributed these efforts to an AI-powered fraud detection system that intervenes before people lose their funds.
Security Initiative Results
Bybit shared the results of its 2025 Security Initiative, stating on social media,
“We raised the standard in 2025, intercepting $300M in impersonation scams and fraud through our new AI-driven risk framework.”
The announcement comes as crypto fraud continues to weigh on the sector, with Chainalysis data showing that $17 billion in digital assets was drained in scam and fraud cases in 2025.
The report reveals that in the fourth quarter alone, the exchange flagged $500 million in withdrawals for review. Of that amount, $300 million was successfully intercepted and recovered, protecting the savings of more than 4,000 users.
During the same period, Bybit’s proprietary AI models identified 350 high-risk investment fraud addresses using on-chain data, shielding 8,000 people from potential withdrawal losses. The company also reported blocking over 3 million credential-stuffing attempts linked to account-takeover efforts in 2025.
Additionally, its system automatically labeled 350 suspicious addresses, and it manually tagged 600 more via internal ticket operations, preventing a further $1 million in imminent fraud losses.
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David Zong, Head of Group Risk Control at Bybit, said in a statement that the firm’s goal in 2025 was to transform risk control into an active and intelligent guardian by integrating AI and on-chain monitoring.
“By integrating AI-driven on-chain monitoring with real-time intelligence from industry partners like TRM, Elliptic and Chainalysis, we not only just protect Bybit users but also help map the DNA of fraudulent networks,” he wrote.
Three-Tier Risk Framework
Bybit’s protection model structures potential scam scenarios into three escalating tiers while preserving normal trading activity. At the lowest risk level, the platform uses big data analysis to detect unusual activity, such as mass withdrawals to newly created addresses, and deploys automated surveys to support its Risk Operations team in blacklisting suspicious destinations.
Real-time alerts trigger during the withdrawal process for medium-risk cases, such as accounts flagged through credential stuffing databases or linked to questionable withdrawal addresses. This, in turn, prompts individuals to review transactions that may be influenced by social engineering tactics.
At the highest level, wallet addresses associated with confirmed scams face immediate withdrawal blocking and a mandatory one-hour cooling-off period.
The report concluded by outlining standardized monitoring indicators for wider industry use, including an anti-credential stuffing engine, real-time on-chain AI pattern recognition for pig butchering flows, an integrated intelligence hub combining tools from TRM Labs, Elliptic, and Chainalysis, and an end-to-end cross-chain tracing model for illicit fund tracking.
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CFTC Chair Teases Crypto Perpetual Futures in ‘the Next Month or so‘
SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig addressed market structure, prediction markets and perpetual futures at a Tuesday event.
Michael Selig, chair of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), said the agency will soon address how to handle perpetual futures contracts for cryptocurrencies.
In a Tuesday panel hosted by the Milken Institute in Washington, DC, Selig said that the CFTC was working toward getting “true perpetual futures” in the United States “within the next month or so.”
The CFTC chair is currently the only Senate-confirmed commissioner, with no indication as of Tuesday that US President Donald Trump will nominate anyone to fill any of the agency’s four vacant commissioner slots.
“The prior administration drove a lot of these firms and the liquidity offshore,” said Selig in a panel discussion with SEC Chair Paul Atkins.

Selig added that the CFTC was working to provide guidance regarding prediction markets “in the very near future.” He claimed in February that the agency had “exclusive jurisdiction” over regulating platforms offering event contracts, pushing back against many state-level enforcement actions against companies including Kalshi and Polymarket.
Related: Can US lawmakers pass crypto market structure before the midterms?
Market structure bill will impact SEC and CFTC
Atkins addressed concerns related to the digital asset market structure bill moving through Congress, which, according to some experts, has effectively been put on hold amid discussions on ethics, stablecoin yield and tokenized equities. According to the SEC chair, the agency needed a “sense of Congress enshrined in statutory form” to “direct the courts where to go” and support the commission’s efforts on crypto.
“There’s only so much you can do without legal certainty from Congress,” Selig said in response to Atkins’ remarks.
As of Tuesday, the Senate Banking Committee had not scheduled a markup to consider the market structure bill. The White House held the latest in a series of talks with industry leaders last week on stablecoin yield, but it was unclear whether those discussions would result in the legislation moving forward.
Magazine: Clarity Act risks repeat of Europe’s mistakes, crypto lawyer warns
Crypto World
This Solana Cohort’s Gains Could Effect a 38% Price Drop
Solana (SOL) has been facing a period of consolidation, with its price fluctuating between $87 and $77 in recent weeks. However, recent developments in the market suggest that the cryptocurrency could be at risk of a significant downturn.
A bearish pattern has emerged, and shifting investor behavior could trigger a price crash, with potential losses of up to 38% if SOL breaks below key support levels.
Rising Concern: Solana STHs Profits
One of the key indicators raising concern for Solana is the LTH vs. STH NUPL (Long-Term Holder vs. Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss). Since February, the unrealized profits of short-term holders (STHs) have been steadily climbing.
STHs are typically quick to sell when they see profits, and this could add significant selling pressure on Solana’s price. The absence of a similar profit rise among LTHs means that there is less stabilization from long-term holders.
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In fact, if the LTHs were to panic sell as well, it could further exacerbate the downward pressure on the price. The lack of support from these long-term holders raises the risk of intensified selling in the market.
Solana Faces Increased Selling Pressure
The overall macro momentum for Solana is showing signs of weakness. The Exchange Net Position Change indicator has highlighted a rising trend in exchange inflows, which signals increased selling activity.
Over the last four weeks, this indicator has consistently noted that Solana is facing selling pressure from investors, further contributing to the bearish sentiment surrounding the asset.
As more Solana holders sell their holdings, the downward pressure on SOL could intensify. This increasing sell-off could compound the bearish pattern forming on the charts, making it more likely that the price will break down below critical support levels.
SOL Price May Fall Out Of The Flag
At the time of writing, Solana is trading at $83, remaining rangebound between $77 and $87. The formation of a bearish flag pattern indicates that the price could experience a significant drop if it breaks below the $77 support level. A breakdown below this level could set Solana up for a 38% crash, with the price potentially falling to as low as $51.
In order for this crash to occur, the selling pressure would need to continue rising, and Solana would need to break the $64 support level. If this happens, the price could fall to $57, $51, and eventually $45, validating the bearish pattern.
However, if investor sentiment shifts and focus turns toward supporting a recovery, Solana’s price could break out of the consolidation. If SOL manages to breach resistance levels at $88 and $96, it would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially sending the price upward toward $100, marking a monthly high.
Crypto World
JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon says stablecoin issuers paying interest should be regulated as banks
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said banks want stablecoin issuers that pay interest on customer balances to face the same rules as traditional lenders, sharpening an ongoing debate over U.S. crypto legislation.
In an interview with CNBC on Tuesday, Dimon addressed reported tensions with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, who pulled support for the proposed CLARITY Act just one day before the Senate Banking Committee was scheduled to vote on it. Dimon argued that there needs to be a line between rewards paid on transactions and interest paid on stored balances.
“Rewards are the same as interest,” Dimon said. “If you are going to be holding balances and paying interest, that’s the bank. You should be regulated by a bank.”
Banks would accept a compromise in which crypto platforms offer rewards tied to transactions, he said. But firms that function like deposit-taking institutions should meet the same standards as banks, including capital and liquidity rules, anti-money laundering controls and federal deposit insurance requirements.
Dimon framed the issue as one of fairness and safety.
“Level playing field by product,” he said, arguing that companies offering similar financial services should operate under similar oversight. Without that parity, he warned, risks could build outside the regulated system. Armstrong, on the other hand, has said he believes that banks should be forced to compete instead.
Dimon, however, stressed that JPMorgan does support competition and uses blockchain in its own operations. The bank has developed a deposit token and processes payments and data transfers on distributed ledger systems. “We’re in favor of competition,” he said. “But it’s got to be fair and balanced.”
He also pointed to the broader compliance burden banks carry, from anti-money laundering checks to community lending obligations. Those requirements, he said, are designed to protect the financial system.
“For the safety of the system, not just the fairness of competition,” Dimon said.
The debate over stablecoin oversight has become a central issue in Washington as lawmakers weigh how to regulate digital assets without pushing activity into less transparent corners of the market. Lawmakers are reviewing new draft language circulated by the White House, though the banking and crypto industries have yet to reach agreement on whether stablecoin issuers should be allowed to offer yield on customer balances.
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