In April 2026, Aave faced one of the sharpest liquidity shocks in recent DeFi history. According to Galaxy’s analysis referenced in the coverage, users withdrew roughly $8.45 billion from the protocol in the aftermath of the KelpDAO rsETH bridge exploit. The key point for investors and users: Aave’s contracts were not compromised, but connected markets still experienced severe stress.

The episode quickly became a referendum on what “survival” really means for decentralized lending. Aave continued operating, yet analysts and risk observers argued that a functioning core does not automatically translate into comprehensive safety—especially when collateral, borrowing demand, and liquidity are tied to external assets and across multiple protocols.

Key takeaways

• Aave was not hacked; the turmoil followed an external rsETH bridge incident that propagated into Aave via collateral and liquidity linkages.
• Roughly $8.45 billion flowed out after the April 2026 rsETH exploit, illustrating how quickly DeFi can experience bank-run-like dynamics.
• Aave relied on built-in risk tooling and emergency controls to contain damage as some pools hit full utilization, limiting immediate withdrawals.
• Surviving a single stress event does not settle debates about DeFi systemic risk, including concentration and fast-moving user behavior.
• For users, protocol size and transparency are not substitutes for understanding the assets behind lending markets and governance changes.

A stress event triggered outside Aave

The pressure did not originate in Aave’s own code. It began with the KelpDAO rsETH bridge exploit in April 2026, where attackers stole about $292 million worth of rsETH from KelpDAO’s LayerZero bridge. That theft intensified concerns that some rsETH holdings might not be fully backed.

Those concerns mattered to Aave because rsETH was used beyond its source ecosystem. As the token’s perceived backing came into question, the risk spread to DeFi markets that accepted rsETH as collateral. In practical terms, when collateral loses credibility, lenders face increased exposure to bad debt, while borrowers and depositors tend to reposition to reduce risk—often by withdrawing.

That is where liquidity stress accelerated. As more users attempted to exit, some Aave markets saw utilization climb toward the ceiling. When pools approach or reach full utilization, withdrawals become harder for certain participants because the liquidity needed to satisfy redemptions is already deployed. In other words, the episode looked like a DeFi version of a bank run—not because Aave failed to follow its internal rules, but because DeFi markets can react instantly and continuously on-chain.

What Aave’s founder argues—and why it isn’t the end of the debate

Aave founder Stani Kulechov framed the event as evidence of resilience: the core protocol logic continued to work as designed even amid high stress. That distinction is important. Aave did not suffer a direct exploit of its own contracts; however, the surrounding markets were still forced into emergency modes as external asset disruption rippled through collateral and borrowing channels.

Supporters point to the transparency and determinism of DeFi lending—features that differ from traditional banking crises. Collateral and risk settings are visible on-chain, liquidation mechanisms follow predefined smart contract rules, and participants can inspect activity in real time. In theory, such properties reduce some information asymmetries that have historically contributed to conventional financial breakdowns.

Yet independent analysts, as reflected in the coverage, took a more cautious view. The core argument is not that Aave failed to function; it is that “functioning under stress” may not be sufficient to prove that the system is safe in the broader sense. If adverse shocks continue to arrive from connected components—bridges, collateral issuers, or other DeFi venues—then Aave’s ability to limp through one crisis does not guarantee it will navigate the next without more severe outcomes.

Survival versus safety: the role of concentration and network effects

Critics warn against treating a single successful defense as full validation. Stress events can be interpreted through multiple lenses: strong design helps, but favorable conditions and the specific nature of the shock also matter. In the rsETH case, the market still experienced liquidity strains severe enough to require emergency action, including freezes and risk parameter adjustments.

Another concern highlighted in the coverage is concentration risk. Independent observers noted that large exposures can be spread across many DeFi platforms at once. If a small number of actors control outsized positions, their decisions—such as exiting or closing during volatility—can amplify instability system-wide. The same concentration dynamic has been a longstanding concern in traditional finance, and DeFi’s composable architecture can translate it into a faster-moving ecosystem.

Beyond actor concentration, DeFi’s composability is a double-edged sword. Interoperability helps protocols grow and coordinate liquidity across the ecosystem, but it also creates more pathways for stress to spread. When a lending market depends on collateral that is itself linked to leveraged positions and other connected systems, the resulting network can become harder to unwind during shocks. The condition of the wider DeFi system therefore cannot be separated from a single protocol’s performance.

Unlike regulated banks that can run supervised stress tests under defined frameworks, DeFi’s stress tests happen live—using real user funds, real collateral, and no rehearsals. That doesn’t mean DeFi lacks testing; it means the “test” may occur while markets are already under strain.

How Aave’s risk controls shaped the outcome

Even though the incident began elsewhere, Aave’s internal safeguards influenced what happened next. The platform manages borrowing and liquidation through structured limits such as loan-to-value parameters and liquidation thresholds, while also using mechanisms like supply caps and borrow caps to control how much exposure can build around specific assets.

Aave also uses features designed to reduce cross-asset contagion. Isolation Mode can restrict the impact of higher-risk collateral, while Efficiency Mode (E-Mode) applies special settings for assets that typically move together. Governance, with support from risk advisers, is intended to adjust these parameters as needed—though, as observers note, governance changes can take time, and risk models may not fully anticipate rapid spillover during novel conditions.

During the withdrawal surge, these measures generally held, with core protocol functions continuing to operate. Still, utilization reached 100% in major pools in the coverage description, which helps explain why some withdrawals could not be processed smoothly. The takeaway is not that controls prevented all harm; it’s that they likely narrowed the scope of what might otherwise have become a complete failure.

What users and builders should watch next

The rsETH episode shows that Aave can survive extreme liquidity stress without a direct protocol exploit, but it also highlights how external asset failures can quickly propagate through collateral and liquidity connections. Going forward, readers should focus on how quickly risk parameters can be adapted through governance, how effectively protocols manage external collateral dependencies, and whether the ecosystem’s concentration and composability risks are addressed with the same urgency as smart-contract security.

Key Takeaways

• Nvidia secured the leading position in data center Ethernet switching revenue during Q1 2026 — marking its first time at the top
• The company’s switching revenue surged 192.7% compared to the previous year, reaching $2.1 billion and capturing 21.5% market share
• Spectrum-X platform fueled this growth, securing major contracts with hyperscalers and AI-focused cloud service providers
• Total Ethernet switch market expanded 39.8% to $15.4 billion; data center category grew 61% to reach $10 billion
• Arista maintained a strong second-place position in data centers; Cisco continues dominating the broader Ethernet switching landscape

Nvidia recorded $2.1 billion in switching revenue during Q1 2026, representing a remarkable 192.7% increase year over year. This performance propelled the company to claim the leading position in data center Ethernet switching by revenue — a segment where it wasn’t even the frontrunner twelve months earlier.

These figures emerged from IDC’s Quarterly Ethernet Switch Tracker, published this Thursday.

NVDA shares climbed 2.95% during trading.

NVIDIA Corporation, NVDA

The driving force behind this dramatic expansion is Spectrum-X, Nvidia’s comprehensive AI networking solution. This platform combines Spectrum Ethernet switches, BlueField DPUs, and LinkX cables into a unified system specifically engineered for massive GPU cluster deployments.

This integration strategy is proving decisive in competitive situations. Hyperscalers and AI-focused cloud platforms constructing AI factories require networking infrastructure capable of supporting the demands of contemporary training and inference operations. Spectrum-X was purpose-built to address precisely these requirements.

Paul Nicholson, Research VP at IDC, stated emphatically: “NVIDIA’s rise to #1 in datacenter Ethernet switching in a single year is one of the most significant vendor landscape shifts IDC has tracked in enterprise networking.”

He continued, noting that Spectrum-X is “winning AI factory deals that incumbent networking vendors cannot match with standalone hardware alone.”

Widespread Market Expansion

The data center switching category delivered robust performance beyond just Nvidia — the entire segment demonstrated strength. IDC’s research showed the category expanded 61% year over year, reaching $10 billion in Q1. Meanwhile, the complete Ethernet switch market increased 39.8% to achieve $15.4 billion.

AI infrastructure investments are powering this growth. Hyperscalers and major enterprises alike are implementing AI technologies at scale, creating substantial demand for high-speed, minimal-latency networking solutions. The campus and branch category also recorded impressive performance, climbing 12.3% to $5.4 billion, supported by hardware modernization cycles and increasing component costs.

Arista (ANET) secured the second position in data center switching and similarly gained 2.87% by market close. Cisco maintains its leadership in the comprehensive Ethernet switching market, encompassing campus and enterprise segments alongside data center.

Future Outlook

IDC projects sustained momentum in the Ethernet switch market throughout 2026, fueled by ongoing AI investments from hyperscalers and enterprise customers. Demand for 800G and higher-capacity switching is anticipated to remain strong as inference deployment expands alongside training operations.

Nvidia’s leadership position won’t go uncontested. IDC identified Cisco, Arista, and Broadcom (AVGO) as competitors poised to intensify their competitive strategies within the data center segment.

For the campus market, IDC observed that revenue growth might decelerate if memory supply limitations diminish and reduce the pricing advantages that have recently elevated average selling prices.

IDC additionally highlighted macroeconomic concerns — including tariffs and regional economic uncertainty — as potential factors that could dampen expenditures in certain markets.

During Q1, Nvidia’s data center switching revenue represented 21.5% of the total segment, derived entirely from data center applications rather than campus or branch deployments.

• Cardano (ADA) trades near $0.160 with weak momentum and fading buying pressure.
• The key support at $0.157 is critical, with $0.13 risk if it breaks.
• Oversold signals and the Leios testnet could trigger a short rebound soon.

Cardano (ADA) continues to trade under pressure, holding near the lower end of its recent range as both spot and derivatives markets reflect cautious sentiment.

The token is priced at $0.1607, down 3.2% in the past 24 hours.

Over longer timeframes, the token is down 6.1% over the past 7 days, down 35.6% over the past month, and down 73.2% in the past year, reflecting sustained downside pressure across the broader trend structure.

Daily trading activity, however, remains active, with $368.8 million in 24-hour volume.

Weak derivatives positioning and fading participation

In the derivatives market, the long-to-short ratio stands at 0.96, indicating slightly more short positions than long positions among traders.

Futures open interest is around $348 million, continuing a broader decline from mid-May levels.

This reduction in open interest signals lower speculative engagement and suggests that traders are reducing exposure rather than building conviction positions in either direction.

On-chain indicators also reflect strain in market behaviour.

The Network Realised Profit/Loss (NPL) metric has dropped sharply, showing that a large portion of recent holders have been realising losses rather than gains.

This type of activity is commonly associated with capitulation phases, where weaker holders exit positions under sustained price pressure.

Cardano technical analysis

Cardano remains below its major long-term moving averages, confirming that the broader trend is still bearish.

The altcoin’s price is trading under the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which typically reinforces resistance during attempted recoveries.

The RSI (14) on the daily chart is around 31, suggesting bearish control is still present, though no longer in extreme oversold territory.

Cardano price outlook heading into the Leios testnet catalyst

A key event in the near-term outlook is the expected Leios scaling upgrade testnet around June 23.

This upgrade testnet is being closely watched as a potential catalyst for renewed activity within the Cardano ecosystem.

The current market structure at this stage remains weak, but conditions are showing early signs of compression.

Oversold readings on higher timeframes, combined with reduced selling momentum, suggest that price is approaching a decision point rather than continuing in a steady decline without interruption.

If bulls step in around the $0.157 support zone, a short-term rebound toward $0.172 remains the primary recovery scenario.

However, failure to hold this level would keep downside projections toward $0.148 and potentially $0.13 in focus, depending on how market liquidity and sentiment evolve.

Notably, a bearish flag breakdown has also been noted in recent technical assessments, a formation that typically signals continuation of an existing downtrend after a brief consolidation phase.

This adds weight to the downside risk scenario unless buyers regain control above key resistance levels.

Key Highlights

• Shares of TSM have skyrocketed 102.41% in the past twelve months, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500’s 25.39% return.
• First quarter 2026 revenue reached $35.90 billion, marking a 35.1% increase compared to the prior year, driven by High-Performance Computing at 61% of sales.
• Monthly revenue for May climbed 30.1% year-over-year, maintaining a consistent 30% growth rate across the first five months.
• Analysts project FY2026 earnings per share at $15.76, placing TSM at approximately $462 with a forward price-to-earnings multiple near 29x.
• The company carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) alongside a Momentum Style Score of B; Wall Street consensus shows Strong Buy with an average target of $465.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) has delivered extraordinary returns — climbing more than 100% over the past year — and market watchers believe there’s more upside ahead.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited, TSM

Shares of TSM are currently changing hands near $462. The stock has climbed 24.27% in just the past three months and has doubled in value over the trailing year. By comparison, the broader S&P 500 index advanced only 25.39% during the same timeframe.

At least one analyst now suggests TSM has the potential to hit $500 per share, pointing to what they characterize as underappreciated earnings strength and a dominant position in cutting-edge chip production.

The Street’s consensus earnings forecast for fiscal year 2026 sits at $15.76 per share, implying a forward valuation multiple of approximately 29x. With the semiconductor sector’s median multiple hovering around 33x, some observers see opportunity for TSM’s valuation to expand.

A bullish perspective suggests actual earnings power may be closer to $18.48 for FY2026, which would place the stock at roughly 25x forward earnings — a more attractive valuation than headline figures indicate.

Consistent Top-Line Momentum

TSMC delivered first quarter 2026 revenue of $35.90 billion, representing a 35.1% jump from the year-ago period. High-Performance Computing applications contributed 61% of total revenue, while cutting-edge manufacturing processes at 3nm, 5nm, and 7nm nodes generated 74% of wafer revenue.

The 3nm process technology alone represented 25% of wafer revenue — highlighting where TSMC’s premium pricing capability resides.

Recent monthly figures support the growth trajectory. May revenue increased 30.1% versus the prior year. The five-month cumulative revenue expansion for 2026 stands at 30%.

TSMC has adjusted its full-year 2026 capital expenditure guidance toward the upper boundary of its $52 billion to $56 billion range. The chipmaker is scaling capacity to address substantial order volumes from major clients including Nvidia, Apple, and AMD.

The Path to $500 Per Share

Chief Executive C.C. Wei has stated that worldwide semiconductor supply will fall short of AI-related demand for the foreseeable future.

TSMC is expanding manufacturing operations with new fabrication facilities in Taiwan, Arizona, and Japan. The company is simultaneously advancing Chip-on-Panel-on-Substrate (CoPoS) packaging solutions designed for next-generation artificial intelligence processors.

What Analysts Are Saying

TSM currently holds a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) classification along with a Momentum Style Score of B. During the previous 60 days, two earnings projections for FY2026 were revised upward while none were lowered. The full-year consensus figure increased from $15.10 to $15.30 throughout that window.

Among Wall Street firms, TSM carries a Strong Buy consensus derived from five Buy recommendations and one Hold rating. Zero analysts currently assign it a Sell rating.

The mean price objective among these analysts stands at $465, suggesting modest upside of approximately 0.62% from present levels within the coming 12 months.

TSM’s weekly price movement shows a gain of 2.11%, in line with the Zacks Semiconductor – Circuit Foundry industry benchmark. The stock’s average 20-day trading volume registers around 11.6 million shares.

Cloud mining adoption is rising in 2026 as platforms like SHRMiner, BitFuFu, IQMining, Binance Cloud Mining, and CCG Mining offer simplified crypto mining access.

Want to participate in Bitcoin mining in 2026 but don’t want to buy expensive mining rigs? Then, cloud mining platforms remain one of the simplest and most worry-free options. 

Nowadays, more and more investors are entering the market through free cloud mining platforms, easily participating in mining mainstream cryptocurrencies such as BTC, DOGE, and LTC without needing to build their own equipment or bear high electricity and maintenance costs.

However, while there are many platforms on the market, only a few are truly worth considering. A good cloud mining platform should not only have a clear and transparent profit mechanism, but also a stable data center, an automatic payment system, and a sufficiently secure operational background.

Based on the market trends and platform characteristics in 2026, SHRMiner, BitFuFu, IQMining, Binance Cloud Mining, and CCG Mining are the five platforms that deserve close attention.

1. SHR Miner: The most noteworthy cloud mining platform in 2026

For those looking for a service that balances security, flexibility, and beginner-friendliness, SHRMiner is a very popular choice. Launched in 2018 and headquartered in the UK, SHRMiner operates over 100 large-scale renewable energy mining farms in the US, UK, Russia, Switzerland, Iceland, Virginia, Georgia, Vancouver, Canada, and other locations, utilizing renewable energy sources such as hydropower and wind power to enhance mining efficiency.

The platform supports mining mainstream cryptocurrencies such as BTC, LTC, and DOGE. Users do not need to purchase any hardware; they only need to select a suitable contract to start. Its contract coverage is extensive, with a comprehensive range of entry-level and premium packages to suit users with different budgets.

SHRMiner Core Advantages:

Register to receive a $15 bonus and free mining experience.

Zero learning curve: No technical skills, hardware, or complicated operations required — just click to start mining.

Supports daily automatic settlement, with no transaction fees or maintenance costs.

Uses advanced ASIC mining equipment, connected to green energy, improving operational efficiency.

Provides SSL encryption and DDoS protection.

Provides a real-time earnings dashboard, allowing users to track their earnings anytime, anywhere.

Supports multiple contract types including BTC, LTC, and DOGE.

SHRMiner gained popularity in 2026 primarily because it was suitable for beginners to quickly get started while also supporting more advanced users for flexible configuration. Its overall performance was well-balanced, from the initial user experience to contract scalability.

2. BitFuFu: A professional platform backed by Bitmain

BitFuFu has garnered significant market attention due to its association with Bitmain. This type of platform is particularly attractive to users who value mining rig resources and hardware expertise. BitFuFu is suitable for investors seeking a more mature mining service system.

3. IQMining: A Key Focus for Long-Term Contract Users

IQMining has been operating for several years and is characterized by offering longer-term mining contracts. For users who prioritize long-term planning over short-term volatility, IQMining is a common choice.

4. Binance Cloud Mining: Integrated trading and mining

The biggest advantage of Binance Cloud Mining lies in its ecosystem integration. Users can manage mining and asset transfers directly within their Binance accounts, eliminating the need for frequent platform switching. This is especially convenient for existing Binance investors.

5. CCG Mining: A key platform in the European market

CCG Mining offers a comprehensive range of services, including cloud mining, mining rig sales, and hosting. It enjoys considerable brand recognition in the European market and is suitable for users looking to explore diverse mining services.

Why are more and more people choosing cloud mining in 2026?

Compared to traditional mining rigs, the biggest advantages of cloud mining are:

• No need to purchase expensive equipment
• No need to bear high electricity bills
• No need for technical maintenance knowledge
• Quick start after registration

Some platforms also offer free trials and reward mechanisms. For ordinary users, this model is obviously more convenient and more suitable for low-barrier entry into the crypto market.

Conclusion: Which cloud mining platform is worth paying attention to in 2026?

From an overall user experience perspective, SHRMiner remains one of the most competitive platforms in 2026. It excels in platform transparency, mining process, settlement efficiency, and beginner-friendly features, while supporting multiple cryptocurrencies including BTC, LTC, and DOGE, making it highly versatile.

Of course, for those who prioritize exchange integration, Binance Cloud Mining will be more convenient; for those who value long-term stable contracts, IQMining and CCG Mining are also good options.

In general, when choosing the best cloud mining platform, it is recommended to focus on the platform’s background, security mechanisms, contract flexibility, and actual user experience. For users looking to start their free cloud mining journey in 2026, prioritizing a transparent, secure platform with clear settlement is a safer bet.

In short, for those who are looking for a cloud mining platform that balances transparency, flexibility, and ease of use in 2026, SHRMiner is a wise choice.

For more platform information, service details, and cloud computing solutions, visit the official platform or download the mobile application.

Bitcoin fell to around $62,000 on Friday, while CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju warned that Michael Saylor’s continued accumulation strategy may not be enough to address what he considers the market’s most serious threat.

In a June 19 X post, Ki Young Ju argued that Bitcoin faces a greater threat than a sudden price crash. According to the CryptoQuant CEO, a prolonged period of weak performance could gradually erode investor conviction, making it harder for the asset to attract fresh capital and maintain the narratives that have supported previous bull markets.

Discussing Strategy’s role in the market, Ju argued that buying more Bitcoin does not solve the underlying issue.

“That’s why Saylor’s real challenge is not just buying more Bitcoin. It is giving the market a new reason to believe.”

The remarks come as concerns surrounding Strategy’s financing structure continue to grow. STRC, the company’s preferred stock, recently fell to a record low near $82, placing it well below its $100 par value and raising questions about investor demand.

Strategy faces pressure if Bitcoin stagnates

While Ju said investors can tolerate sharp drawdowns when they expect a recovery, he argued that extended sideways trading presents a different problem. According to his analysis, a long bear market could weaken enthusiasm for Bitcoin and put additional strain on Strategy’s ability to raise capital.

Ju warned that STRC becomes most vulnerable when Bitcoin spends years moving sideways rather than experiencing a short-lived crash. As investor interest fades, he said demand for the company’s securities could decline, making fundraising more difficult.

Similar concerns have emerged elsewhere on Wall Street. Market maker QCP recently estimated that Strategy’s current liquidity position provides roughly seven and a half months of runway for dividend payments. QCP noted that the company has already repurchased nearly $1.5 billion of convertible notes due in 2029 while raising about $200 million through MSTR stock sales.

In QCP’s assessment, selling Bitcoin could become one option if Strategy seeks to preserve dividend payments while maintaining its treasury strategy.

Criticism has also come from longtime Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff. As previously reported by crypto.news, Schiff argued that investors who purchased STRC for income may have underestimated the risks involved. He further claimed that future fundraising could become more expensive if new investors demand higher yields to compensate for the stock’s decline below par value.

Bitcoin still lacks its next defining narrative

Looking beyond Strategy, Ju argued that Bitcoin needs a new story capable of attracting the next wave of capital.

Reflecting on previous market cycles, he noted that major milestones once viewed as distant possibilities have already happened. Ju pointed to the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and growing political support for Bitcoin in the U.S. as examples of narratives that have already played out.

“When I founded CryptoQuant in 2018, I strongly believed a Bitcoin ETF would eventually be approved,” Ju wrote, adding that he also expected a future U.S. president to openly support Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.

With those developments now in place, Ju questioned what catalyst could unite investors during the next phase of adoption. Although Michael Saylor has promoted concepts such as Bitcoin banking and digital credit, Ju expressed uncertainty about whether those ideas would resonate with everyday investors.

His warning arrives as financial conditions remain restrictive. Earlier this week, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh led a unanimous vote to keep interest rates steady at 3.50% to 3.75%, while policymakers indicated inflation remains above target.

Higher borrowing costs have continued to weigh on risk assets, adding another challenge for Bitcoin at a time when investors are already searching for a new source of conviction.

Even so, Saylor remains firmly optimistic. Speaking at BTC Prague 2026, the Strategy executive chairman predicted Bitcoin could eventually reach $7 million per coin and argued that the network’s value could one day grow to $100 trillion, underscoring the gap between his long-term outlook and the concerns now being raised by market critics.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose above $63,000 on Friday as markets adjusted to geopolitical and macro changes.

Key points:

• Bitcoin takes a time-out near week-to-date lows after a broadly hawkish Fed interest-rate meeting.
• US-Iran tensions slowly resurface with the Strait of Hormuz oil route in the firing line.
• A trader suggests that a “black swan” event could still come in this Bitcoin bear market.

BTC price lack upside momentum after hawkish Fed cues

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD locked in a tight trading range on low time frames after dropping to eight-day lows.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Weakness had entered after the US Federal Reserve’s latest interest-rate decision, which sparked a broader risk-asset comedown.

Wednesday’s meeting on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) was the first for new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, who avoided giving traders dovish signals on future policy.

“Inflation remains elevated relative to the Committee’s 2 percent goal, in part reflecting supply shocks that have driven price increases in certain sectors, including energy,” he said in a statement after a unanimous board decision to keep rates at current levels. 

“The Committee will deliver price stability.”

Warsh’s tone was unusual, as expectations had seen him being accommodating to US President Donald Trump’s insistence on rate cuts. He also cut the FOMC statement length considerably, using drier language than former chair, Jerome Powell.

“We will have far less information going forward,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter reacted in a post on X, noting that Warsh had also “dropped” its forward guidance.

“He even hinted that the ‘dot plot’ could be changed or eliminated along with all forms of Fed communication, such as the policy statement and press conferences. In other words, the market will now have less Fed outlook which means more uncertainty.”

Fed target rate probabilities for July 29 FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

The latest data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed markets pricing in a near 40% chance of a rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in late July.

Bitcoin “black swan” back on the radar

With US markets closed for the Juneteenth holiday, meanwhile, Bitcoin and crypto were alone in digesting the latest developments in the US-Iran war.

Related: Bitcoin tipped for Q3 ‘macro bottom’ near $50K as major liquidity grab looms

Despite signing a memorandum of understanding (MoU), the two sides appeared far from aligned on the future road map, with Iran once more eyeing the newly reopened Strait of Hormuz oil route.

Citing Bloomberg, Kobeissi reported that traffic “cannot cross the Strait of Hormuz without its permission.”

“The MoU signed with the US only says that transit through the Strait of Hormuz would be free for the duration of its 60 day term,” it explained on Friday. 

“It appears Iran is preparing for long-term control of Hormuz.”

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

WTI crude oil continued to circle $75 per barrel on the day after hitting its lowest levels since early March.

Amid the lull in risk-asset volatility, trader and analyst Rekt Capital hinted that Bitcoin bulls’ true test is yet to come.

“There tends to be a Black Swan event in the second half of Bitcoin Bear Markets. Lesson there,” he told X followers.